The 13th round of the 2025 NTT IndyCar Series season is the one international trip on the schedule. Exhibition Place in Toronto, Ontario, Canada hosts an IndyCar race from the 39th time and this will be the 81st time IndyCar has raced in Canada. There have been four different winners in the last four Toronto races, and Honda has won three consecutive times. Canada will have one native driver entered in this year's race as we hit 22 years since a Canadian won in Toronto, and this year's race falls five days short of the 21st anniversary of the last Canadian win on Canadian soil. That would be Paul Tracy in the final Vancouver race on July 25, 2004. Only five races remain in the 2025 season, and this will be the final street race of the season.
Coverage
Time: Coverage begins at 12:00 p.m. ET on Sunday July 20 with green flag scheduled for 12:20 p.m. ET.
Channel: Fox
Announcers: Will Buxton, Townsend Bell and James Hinchcliffe will be in the booth. Kevin Lee, Georgia Henneberry and Jack Harvey will work pit lane.
Channel: Fox
Announcers: Will Buxton, Townsend Bell and James Hinchcliffe will be in the booth. Kevin Lee, Georgia Henneberry and Jack Harvey will work pit lane.
IndyCar Weekend Schedule
Friday:
First Practice: 3:00 p.m. ET (75 minutes)
Saturday:
Second Practice: 10:30 a.m. ET (60 minutes)
Qualifying: 2:30 p.m. ET
Sunday:
Warm-up: 8:32 a.m. ET (25 minutes)
Race: 12:20 p.m. ET (90 laps)
Qualifying: 2:30 p.m. ET
Sunday:
Warm-up: 8:32 a.m. ET (25 minutes)
Race: 12:20 p.m. ET (90 laps)
FS2 will have coverage of Friday practice session while FS1 will have coverage of Saturday's sessions and the Sunday morning warm-up. Fox will have race coverage.
Five More Laps
Prior to the 2025 season, Toronto was one of six races to see its race distance increased. This year's Toronto race will be 90 laps. Outside of the 2014 doubleheader, every Toronto race since it returned to the schedule in 2009 has been scheduled for 85 laps. This will be the longest Toronto race since 2003, which was scheduled for 112 laps.
This distance change is meant to change pit strategy and discourage fuel saving, making a three-stop strategy more likely than a two-stopper.
At Mid-Ohio earlier this month, the additional ten laps had most teams running a three-stop strategy, however, Scott Dixon was still able to win the race despite making one fewer pit stop. It was the third consecutive time a 90-lap Mid-Ohio race was won with a two-stop strategy. Though Dixon won on a two-stop strategy, the next four finishers made it on three stops. Six of the top ten finishers were three-stoppers, and four made it on two-stop strategies. However, 18 of the 22 lead lap finishers made at least three pit stops.
At 85 laps, Toronto has been a clear two-stop race. Seven consecutive Toronto races have been won with a two-stop strategy. The last Toronto race won with three pit stops was in 2015 when Josef Newgarden, along with the rest of the top fifteen used a three-stop strategy.
In the last six Toronto races, no one finishing in the top seven made more than two pit stops. In 2022, the top 13 finishers each made it on two stops.
However, there should be some concerns whether five extra laps will lead to one more pit stop.
Last year, Kyle Kirkwood won at Toronto after stopping on lap 34 and lap 53, however, Álex Palou ended up finishing fourth after stopping on lap 24 and lap 49. Palou went 36 laps on his final stint. If drivers can make it 30 laps, this will easily be a two-stop race.
In 2022 and 2023, each winner stopped prior to lap 49. In 2022, Scott Dixon made his final stop on lap 46 and lap 46 was the earliest anyone made their final pit stop. In 2023, Christian Lundgaard stopped on lap 18 and lap 48, but two drivers stopped prior to lap 48 and made it to the finish. Palou and Colton Herta each stopped on lap 43, and made it 42 laps on their final stint.
Cautions did play a small factor. In 2022, there were two cautions for nine laps after lap 46. However, in 2023, there was only one caution for five laps after lap 43, and that came from lap 46 through lap 50. In last year's race, nine of the final 21 laps were under caution.
Last year's race saw Rinus VeeKay and Graham Rahal finish in the top ten on three-stop strategies, but they ended up eighth and tenth respectively. There were only 12 cars that finished on the lead lap in last year's race, and 12 cars failed to finish the race. In 2023, Rahal was the only driver in the top ten with more than two pit stops, and Rahal stopped four times on his way to finishing ninth. Rahal stopped under the first caution for an opening lap incident. He then stopped on lap 37 before stopping under caution on lap 43 and then under caution on lap 48 when he was more in the pit window. In 2019, Rahal also finished ninth after making three stops, the only non-two-stopper in the top ten of that race.
The Final Street Race
Toronto is the fourth of four street races on the 2025 schedule, and only two drivers could end up as the king of the road.
With his two victories at Long Beach and Detroit, Kyle Kirkwood has the most street course points this season. Add on 30 from St. Petersburg and Kirkwood has scored 137 points from the first three street course events. The only driver who could pass him is Álex Palou. Palou has 96 points, 41 points behind Kirkwood with 54 points left on the table.
Kirkwood will clinch best street course driver with a 16th-place finish.
If Kirkwood does not start the Toronto race, Scott Dixon has an outside shot at best street course driver. Dixon has scored 86 points through three street course races, 51 points behind Kirkwood. Along with an absent Kirkwood, Dixon would need to win Toronto with at least two bonus points scored to surpass the American.
Dixon has more pressure behind and then a chance to jump to the top. Christian Lundgaard has 85 street course points while Scott McLaughlin rounds out the top five on 83 points. Lundgaard's best street course finish was third at Long Beach while McLaughlin's best was fourth at St. Petersburg after starting on pole position and leading the most laps.
Colton Herta sits on 78 points while Felix Rosenqvist and Will Power are tied on 68 points. Rosenqvist and Power's best street course finish is fourth. Power holds the tiebreaker with his next best being fifth to Rosenqvist's seventh.
There is a four-way for ninth. Josef Newgarden, Kyffin Simpson, Marcus Ericsson and Patricio O'Ward are all tied on 63 points. In order of tiebreaker, Newgarden is ahead as his best finish was third at St. Petersburg, Simpson was fifth at Detroit, Ericsson was sixth at St. Petersburg, and O'Ward's only top ten finish this year on a street course was seventh at Detroit.
Alexander Rossi is eight points off the four-way tie for ninth with Marcus Armstrong a further three points behind Rossi. Santino Ferrucci rounds out the top fifteen on 50 points. Though Ferrucci was runner-up at Detroit, he suffered a 26-point penalty after his team was found to have run the incorrect driver equivalency weight.
Sting Ray Robb has scored 47 points on street courses, one more than David Malukas. Rinus VeeKay has 38 points from street courses with Graham Rahal and Robert Shwartzman each earning 36 points from street races. Rahal holds the tiebreaker over Shwartzman as Rahal's best street cours result was 12th to Shwartzman's 16th.
Conor Daly has 31 points while Christian Rasmussen has 29, Louis Foster has 28, Nolan Siegel has 26, Callum Ilott has 25, Jacob Abel has 24 and Devlin DeFrancesco has 21 points from three street course starts.
Siegel was not cleared to drive in the second Iowa race last week after his accident in the first race of the weekend. Arrow McLaren has contact Linus Lundqvist to be its reserve driver should the Swede's services be required.
Dating back to last season, Honda has won six consecutive street course races. Chip Ganassi Racing and Andretti Global have split the races three apiece. Scott Dixon and Kyle Kirkwood have each won twice while Colton Herta and Álex Palou have each won once.
Team Penske is Winless
We have completed 12 races and Team Penske is winless.
The team did have its best race of the season at Iowa.
In the Saturday race, Team Penske went 2-3-4 with Josef Newgarden ahead of Will Power and Scott McLaughlin. It was Penske's first time with multiple podium finishers all season. The team had three total podium finishes in the first ten races. The first Iowa race was the first double top five day for the team since the Grand Prix of Indianapolis in May, and it was the team's first double top ten day since Detroit at the start of June.
However, thing reared its ugly head on Sunday. McLaughlin was caught in an opening lap incident when Devlin DeFrancesco spun. Power suffered an engine issue and was done after 21 laps. Newgarden drove a respectable race and led 72 laps, but untimely cautions shuffled the Tennessean back to a tenth-place finish. The second Iowa race was the fourth time this season Penske has had multiple cars finish outside the top twenty. Prior to this season, Team Penske had not had a race where multiple cars failed to finish in the top twenty on the racetrack since 1998 CART season finale at Fontana.
This is the first time Team Penske has failed to win one of the first 12 races in a season since its winless season in 1999. Newgarden enters Toronto on a 16-race winless streak, his longest slump since he went winless in the first 67 starts of his career. Power is on a 15-race winless streak while McLaughlin is on a 13-race winless streak.
Prior to the two-year quarantine from Toronto due to the global pandemic, Team Penske was ruling the Queen City. Penske had won three of four Toronto races with three different drivers. Penske had a driver on the podium in eight consecutive Toronto races.
In the three Toronto races since its return to the calendar in 2022, Team Penske's best finish is fifth. Last year, Penske failed to have one top ten finisher at Toronto.
Power has won three times at Toronto, but he has finished outside the top ten in six consecutive races at Exhibition Place. His average finish over those six starts is 16.333. Since winning in 2016, he has led only one lap at Toronto.
Newgarden is a two-time Toronto winner and prior to finishing 11th last year, he had six consecutive top ten finishes North of the Border. However, he has not led in the last four Toronto races after leading 25 laps from pole position in 2018.
Last year was McLaughlin's worst Toronto finish after he and Power came together in turn five, putting McLaughlin into the barrier. This left the New Zealander with a 16th-place finish. Prior to that, he finished ninth and sixth in his first two visits. In 2023, he led 28 laps after starting second. McLaughlin has started in the top six in all three of his Toronto starts.
Team Penske has only five Toronto victories. Prior to its three-in-four-year run at the end of the 2010s, Penske won in 1993 with Paul Tracy and Power won there in 2010.
Engine Picture
As we are nearing the end of the season, engine usage will play a bigger role in starting grid as some teams will exceed the four-engine limit and will start incurring grid penalties. An unapproved engine change and exceeding the four-engine limit leads to a six-spot penalty on a road or street course, and a nine-spot penalty on an oval.
We have already had a few penalties this season for engine changes. The earliest was at Detroit where Scott Dixon and Graham Rahal each had to serve six-spot grid penalties. Dixon took on his fifth engine at Detroit. Rahal had taken on an unapproved engine change during the Indianapolis 500 festivities, which had to be observed in the Motor City.
The only other grid penalty this season was Christian Rasmussen at Mid-Ohio. Rasmussen had an unapproved engine change after he lost an engine during the Iowa test prior to the Mid-Ohio weekend, which meant the Dane took on his fifth engine of the season.
Engine count does play a pivotal role in paying out points for the manufacturers' championship. Any team that has exceeded the four-engine limit is ineligible to earn manufacturer points. The top two finishers from each manufacturer score points toward the manufacturers' championship.
Entering the Iowa weekend, Santino Ferrucci and his #14 A.J. Foyt Racing Chevrolet was the only other Chevrolet on his fourth engine of the season. Every other Chevrolet team was on its third engine. During the Iowa weekend, four more Chevrolet teams took on their fourth engine of the season, the #2 Team Penske of Josef Newgarden, the #6 Arrow McLaren of Nolan Siegel, the #20 Ed Carpenter Racing of Alexander Rossi and the #76 Juncos Hollinger Racing of Conor Daly.
Will Power did lose an engine in the second Iowa race, meaning Power will likely be on his fourth engine starting this weekend at Toronto.
In the Honda camp, Kyffin Simpson was the only other Honda besides Dixon to be on his fourth engine of the season. Every other Honda team was on its third engine. During the Iowa weekend, Graham Rahal in the #15 Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing Honda became the third Honda team to take on a fourth engine of the season.
Approved engine changes occur once an engine reaches 2,000 miles. The remaining five races alone have a scheduled 1,138.64 miles remaining before we get to practice and qualifying where mileage will vary.
Over the last five race weekends, starting in Detroit, Dixon has completed 2,066.32 miles through all the races, qualifying sessions and practice sessions. Though Dixon is no longer eligible for manufacturer championship points, and he will have to take a grid penalty regardless, he will be due for taking on his sixth engine in 2025.
Engine count was pivotal in the 2023 manufacturers' championship because though Honda won 12 of 17 races, Chevrolet earned the manufacturers' championship as Scott Dixon and Álex Palou were each ineligible to earn manufacturer championship points in the final three races despite the two Chip Ganassi Racing drivers combining to win the final three races. Chevrolet ended up winning the manufacturers' championship by 12 points that year.
Through 12 races in 2025, Honda has 1,147 points, a 208-point advantage over Chevrolet with five races remaining. Chevrolet has won the last three manufacturers' championships. Prior to that, Honda has won four consecutive years from 2018 to 2021. The average points total for the last four manufacturers' champions is 1,455.75.
While Honda has won the last three Toronto races, since engine competition returned to IndyCar in 2012, Chevrolet holds the edge at Toronto having won seven of 13 races.
Road to Indy
The bottom two rungs of the Road to Indy join IndyCar on its trip across the border, and we could see a championship claimed this weekend.
In USF Pro 2000, Max Garcia enters with 384 points as he has won four of the last five races, and through 14 races Garcia has yet to finish worse than fourth. With his run of form this season, Garcia is 97 points clear of Ariel Elkin with 132 points left on the table. Garcia just needs to leave Toronto with a 67-point lead to clinch the championship. He could even clinch the championship halfway through this weekend.
If after the first Toronto race, Garcia has at least a 100-point lead, meaning he just needs to score at least three points more than Elkin in the opening race, he will clinch the championship.
There are two other drivers still mathematically alive for the USF Pro 2000 championship. Canadian Mac Clark is on 279 points while Alessandro de Tullio is on 267 points.
Clark has yet to win in his USF Pro 2000 career, and in 2025 he has nine podium finishes but has yet to stand on the top step. De Tullio won three of the first four races, but he has only finish on the podium twice in the last ten races, and he has not been on the podium in the last five races.
Nineteen cars are entered this weekend, and there is a surprise entry. Liam McNeilly, who won the first five U.S. F2000 races before visa issues prevented him from re-entering the United States after he traveled back to his native United Kingdom in May, is entered in the #6 Jay Howard Driver Development entry for Toronto. Despite having not raced since April, McNeilly is still seventh in the U.S. F2000 championship standings.
USF Pro 2000 will race at 4:20 p.m. ET on Saturday July 19, and at 10:20 a.m. ET on Sunday July 20. Both races are scheduled for 25 laps or 45 minutes.
It is honors even in U.S. F2000 as Toronto marks the penultimate round of the season before the Portland triple-header to cap off the championship. No matter what, U.S. F2000 will head to Portland with the title undecided.
Jack Jeffers and Thomas Schrage are tied on 288 points after 13 races. Jeffers has won three times while Schrage has won twice. Jeffers has eight podium finishes while Schrage has nine.
Teddy Musella has one victory this season, and Musella is 32 points off the tie at the top of the championship. G3 Argyros is on 219 points in fourth while Caleb Gafrarar has 212 points in fifth, and Gafrarar scored his first victory of the season when he won the first Mid-Ohio race. Evan Cooley rounds out the top six on 190 points.
Then you have McNeilly on 163 points in seventh before reaching Indianapolis Raceway Park winner Anthony Martella in eighth on 156 points. Lucas Fecury and Sebastián Garzón round out the top ten on 148 points and 147 points respectively.
The first U.S. F2000 race will be on Saturday July 19 at 1:30 p.m. ET. Race two will be at 9:25 a.m. ET on Sunday July 20. Both races are scheduled for 20 laps or 40 minutes.
Fast Facts
This will be the tenth IndyCar race to take place on July 20 and the first since Josef Newgarden won at Iowa in 2019.
This will be the fifth Toronto race run on July 20. Bobby Rahal won on this date at Toronto in 1996. Mark Blundell did it 1997. Both races of the 2014 Toronto doubleheader were held on July 20 after the Saturday race was rained out. Sébastien Bourdais won the first race, and Mike Conway won the second race.
Since reunification, the Toronto winner has gone on to win the championship six times in 14 seasons. Four of those championships went to Chip Ganassi Racing drivers (Dario Franchitti in 2009 and 2011, Scott Dixon in 2013 and 2018).
As there have been four different drivers to win the last four Toronto races, there have also been four different teams to win the last four Toronto races.
The last time there were at least five consecutive Toronto races with a different team winning was 2004 through 2010. In the final four Champ Car years, Newman/Haas Racing, RuSport, Forsythe Racing and Walker Racing won while Chip Ganassi Racing and Team Penske won the first two years post-reunification.
The last time we had five consecutive different drivers win was from 2013 through 2016. Scott Dixon won the second race of the 2013 doubleheader, Sébastien Bourdais and Mike Conway split the 2014 doubleheader, Josef Newgarden won in 2015 and Will Power won in 2016.
The average starting position for a Toronto winner is 3.6315 with a median of third.
Five consecutive Toronto races have been won from the front row. Twenty total Toronto races have been won from the front row.
It has been 37 races since there has been a winner from the fourth starting position. The most recent was Álex Palou at Mid-Ohio in 2023.
Only once has a Toronto winner started fourth. That was Will Power in 2016.
Nine times has a Toronto winner started outside the top five, most recently was in 2017 when Josef Newgarden won from seventh.
Three times has a Toronto winner started outside the top ten (Michael Andretti from 13th in 2001, Mike Conway from 11th in the second race in 2014, Josef Newgarden from 11th in 2015).
Only once in the last 29 races has a winner started outside the top ten. Will Power won from 22nd in the second Iowa race last year. In the 29 races prior to that, seven times did the winner start outside the top ten.
The average number of lead changes in a Toronto race is 4.324 with a median of four.
Six of the last eight Toronto races have had at least five lead changes.
The average number of cautions for a Toronto race is 3.324 with a median of three. The average number of caution laps is 13.594 with a median of 12.
Thirty consecutive Toronto races have had multiple cautions, and there has never been a caution-free Toronto race.
Predictions
Honda completes the sweep and Colton Herta makes it four street course victories from four street course races in 2025. Álex Palou finishes on the podium while Kyle Kirkwood must settle for a top five result and lose more points to the championship leader. At least four top ten finishes make at least three pit stops, but all of the podium finishers make it on a two-stop strategy. Christian Lundgaard is back as the top Ed Carpenter Racing finisher. Team Penske does not have any cars finish outside the top twenty, and no Penske car makes contact with another. Louis Foster gets his first top ten finish. Sleeper: Marcus Armstrong.