With the MotoGP season concluding in Valencia on Sunday, the motorcycle season is effectively over... for now. There will be two-wheel action returning in the very near-future. It doesn't take long for that competition to return. It practically comes when the calendar flips.
Until then, let's take this moment to acknowledge the predictions made over a variety of categories of the two-wheel discipline.
MotoGP
1. Marc Márquez will reach 100 career pole positions
Correct!
On his way to his ninth world championship and first since 2019, Márquez won eight pole positions, giving him 102 in his career when the season was all said and done. The Catalan rider started on pole position in the first four races, setting him up nicely to hit the century mark at some point during this season. He would not win pole position for the next three rounds, but he then won pole position at Aragón and Mugello. Márquez reached the century mark within the first nine races.
He won two more pole positions at Germany and Hungary, and he ended the season with most pole positions despite missing the final four races due to a collarbone fracture suffered during the Indonesian Grand Price after contact from Marco Bezzecchi.
2. The "sprint champion" will score fewer than 150 points
Incorrect!
Marc Márquez won 14 sprint races on his own. That is 168 points. He didn't need to score a point in any other sprint race for this prediction to be incorrect. Márquez ended the season with 190 points, the most from sprint races. His brother Álex scored 158 points in sprint races.
Not only did the sprint champion score more than 150 points, but so did the sprint vice-champion. Just goes to show how wrong this prediction was.
3. On at least one occasion will there be three consecutive races with three different manufacturers victorious
Correct!
In 2024, Ducati won 19 races and Aprilia won once.
In 2025, Ducati opened with five consecutive victories. Then in a stunning mixed conditions race, Johann Zarco won the French Grand Prix for LCR Honda. At the next race at Silverstone, Marco Bezzecchi took a stunning victory from tenth on the grid, ironically ahead of Zarco and Márquez, and Aprilia made it three different winning constructors in three races.
Ducati then won the next 11 races. Aprilia won three of the final four, two at the hands of Bezzecchi.
Somehow, this prediction turned out to be correct, and I doubt anyone expected Honda to be involved (Thanks for nothing, KTM).
4. The difference between the top two riders on Japanese bikes will be less than 50 points
Incorrect!
Despite Zarco's victory and some rather encouraging days for Honda, a Honda rider was not the best Japanese bike contestant in the 2025 season. That went to Yamaha's Fabio Quartararo, who scored 201 points and finished ninth in the championship. Quartararo had a slow, but improving start to his season, and in the fifth round from Jerez he started on pole position and finished second. It was the first of three consecutive pole positions the Frenchman would earn.
However, he had three-race retirement run from Le Mans through Aragón, but then Quartararo had 13 consecutive finishes in the points before he crashed out of the Valencia finale. That consistency put a gap between Quartararo and the rest of the riders on Japanese bikes.
The next closest was fellow Frenchman Johann Zarco, who was 12th in the championship, but on 148 points, 53 points behind Quartararo!
Darn! So close! I don't know where this one got away from me. I am sure there are four races, grand prix and/or sprint, where Zarco could have been at least a spot better.
5. David Alonso's longest winning streak is not greater than four races
Correct!
After smacking the competition silly in Moto3 in 2024 with 14 victories from 20 races, Alonso moved up to Moto2 and had humbling success against the bigger boys. He only won once, and that was at Hungary. In only five races did Alonso finish on the podium, and three of those were in the final four races.
The Colombian was ninth in the championship on 153 points.
6. Moto3 will be the closest championship margin among the top three classes
Incorrect!
Moto3 was the greatest margin between first and second in the championship for the second consecutive season! Much of that was down to Marc Márquez missing the final four rounds, allowing his brother Álex Márquez to finish 78 points back. However, Moto3 also had its champion-elect out for multiple races to end the season.
In Moto3, José Antonio Rueda won the title on 365 points, but Rueda missed the final three races after he suffered a fractured hand and concussion from a collision with Swiss rider Noah Dettwiler on the sighting lap for the Malaysia race. Dettwiler suffered multiple cardiac arrests and open leg fracture as well as injuries to his lung and a removal of his spleen from that collision.
With Rueda out, Ángel Piqueras ended the season 84 points off Rueda in second.
Moto2 ended up being the closest championship, and it was the only one that went undecided into the final round. Diogo Moreira scored 287 points, 30 more than Manuel González.
World Superbike
7. Toprak Razgatlioglu will have more third-place finishes in the final four rounds than he will in the first eight rounds
Correct!
Somehow, Razgatlioglu was better in 2025 than he was in 2024, and somehow, this prediction ended up coming true in the final race of the season.
In the first eight rounds, Razgatlioglu had zero third-place finishes. He needed one third-place finish for this to come true. Entering the final race, race 36 of the season, he still had not finished third this season.
What happened in the final race of the season?
Razgatlioglu ended up third behind Nicolò Bulega and Álvaro Bautista. In the final four rounds, Razgatlioglu had one third-place finish. In the first eight rounds, he had none.
Count it!
8. At least two rounds will feature three different winners
Incorrect!
There were only three winners the entire season. Toprak Razgatliogu won 21 times and Nicolò Bulega won 14 times. Andrea Locatelli won one race, and it was a weekend when there were three different winners in each race.
At Assen, Bulega won the first race, Razgatlioglu won the SuperPole race and Locatelli won the second race.
Eight rounds saw a rider sweep the weekend. Five came at the hands of Razgatlioglu and three times it was Bulega.
Besides the Assen round, in the other three rounds, Razgatlioglu and Bulega were first and second. There wasn't even a case of, in a weekend where the two split the races, there was one race where someone else finished second and we were maybe a position away from this being correct.
9. None of the top five riders in the championship miss a race
Incorrect!
This was looking good heading into the penultimate round of the season from Estoril. Each of the top five riders had started every race. Then Danilo Petrucci injured his hand in training and missed the final two rounds. Petrucci ended up fifth in the championship.
It was inconsequential that Petrucci was 66 points clear of Alex Lowes in sixth, but Lowes missed the final two races of the Donington Park weekend.
Supercross/Motocross
10. At least one Supercross podium will feature three riders that do not finish in the top three of the championship
Correct!
Somehow, this one was correct, but it was due to unfortuante circumstances. The top three finishers in the 2025 championship (Cooper Webb, Chase Sexton and Justin Cooper) combined for 29 out of a possible 51 podium finishes. Six riders outside the top three in the championship finished on the podium at some point over the 17 race season, but there was one race where none of the podium finishers ended up being top three championship finishers.
It was the third round of the seaosn from Anaheim. Jett Lawrence won the race. Ken Roczen was second. Jason Anderson was third.
Lawrence tore his ACL in the next round from Glendale, ending his season. He ended up classified 18th in championship.
Roczen ended up suffering an ankle injury that took him out of the final two races of the season. This dropped Roczen to fifth in the championship, ten points behind Cooper. Roczen won at Daytona, and he had seven podium finishes in 2025.
Anderson's season ended after the Birmingham round due to ongoing health concerns. Anderson did return for the Motocross season, but he ended his season after six rounds due to his health.
Not really how I wished this prediction ended up being correct. I was hoping for a competitive season where fourth, seventh and eighth in the championship all had their best nights occur simultaneously.
11. Jorge Prado will be the top finishing European rider in the Supercross championship
Incorrect!
As mentioned above, Ken Roczen was fifth in the championship, and the German rider was the best European of the 2025 season.
Prado ran the first two races and in qualifying for the third round from Anaheim, Prado dislocated his shoulder and surgery took him out of the remainder of the season. The Spaniard had finished 14th and 12th in the first two races.
12. Neither Jett Lawrence nor Haiden Deegan will win SuperMotocross World Championships
Incorrect!
While Deegan did not win the SuperMotocross World Championship in the 250cc division as Jo Shimoda took the title with two victories over the three rounds, Jett Lawrence did win the SuperMotocross championship for the third consecutive year in the 450cc class. Lawrence went first, second, first over the three rounds from Charlotte, St. Louis and Las Vegas respectively.
That is six-for-12, 50%.
There are a few tough breaks. A few went my way that seemed unlikely.
Win some, lose some, onto the next one.
