Monday, December 15, 2025

2025 For the Love of Indy Awards

We have reached the end of another year, and the motorsports year is effectively over. We are so deep into 2025, seasons that will conclude in 2026 have already begun, but before we get into next year, let's honor the top moments from this year. 

There were a number of incredible performances from the world of motorsports. Some racers confirmed their greatest and put their names even higher in the record books. Breakout performances came as we had expected. There were fierce challenges and a few tussles that went to the very last lap, even the last few corners. We also saw contentious moments that we wish had played out better. This was also a year where the action in the courtroom received just as much attention as the action on the racetrack.

Plenty of memorable moments occurred in 2025, and this is our chance to highlight what stood out over the last year.

Racer of the Year
Description: Given to the best racer over the course of 2025.
And the Nominees are:
Lando Norris
Max Verstappen
Álex Palou
Kelvin van der Linde
Sébastien Ogier
Toprak Razgatlioglu

And the winner is... Álex Palou
In one of the most dominant seasons IndyCar has ever seen, Álex Palou left his mark as one of the greatest to ever compete in the series. If there was any question over how good Palou's talent is, it was answered in 2025.

Expectations were high for the three-time champion who had won the last two titles, but Palou floored us all with his next act. He had already achieved greatness, but this was a special level. He opened the season with consecutive victories, including a memorable drive from over ten seconds back at Thermal Club to win the race. After finishing second at Long Beach, Palou followed it up with three consecutive victories, the last of which was at the Indianapolis 500.

The only thing missing in Palou's already esteemed career, Palou topped IndyCar's most historic race. Already coming close to Indianapolis victory in 2021, Palou had a methodical race and waited for the moment to take control. With a well-timed pass into turn one, Palou took the lead from Marcus Ericsson and dared Ericsson and the rest of the field to beat him in the final sprint to the checkered flag. No one could. That was the theme of the season.

Palou didn't just win the championship, he comprehensively smashed the grid, and he set marks we have not seen since IndyCar reunification. Eight victories were the most since 2007. He clinched the title with two races remaining, the first time the title has been secured with multiple races to go since 2002. He scored over 76% of the maximum total points that could be scored in a season, the most for a champion when there has only been one IndyCar series since 1979. 

Not to forget mentioning this was Palou's third consecutive championship and his fourth title in his six IndyCar season. And he is still only 28 years old. We are witnessing something breathtaking. There is no end in sight for Palou's greatness, and just when you thought you had Palou figured out, he came away and blew the doors off history.

On the other nominees:
Norris became World Drivers' Champion in what was meant to be his season for McLaren, but after a mechanical issue at the Dutch Grand Prix, Norris had work to do to overcome teammate Oscar Piastri, but in the final stretch of the season, Norris picked away at Piastri's lead. For over two months, Norris showed his ability to extract everything for the McLaren MCL39, and he could not be defeated. Piastri could not hold off nor keep up, and Norris capped off a seven-victory season, which include triumphs in Monaco and his home race at Silverstone, with a world title. 

It wasn't for a lack of effort that Verstappen came up shy in earning his fifth consecutive world championship. It was frankly incredible that he came as close as he did. After his home race at Zandvoort, Verstappen was 104 points behind Piastri and 70 points behind Norris. After winning only twice in the first 14 races and only having five podium finishes in the same timeframe, Verstappen ended with ten consecutive podium finishes, six of which were victories, but it only brought him within two points of Norris. There were a few races where Verstappen left points on the table, his time penalty at Barcelona stands out, but when his back was to the wall, Verstappen rose to a level no one else could match. They were only fortunate they were able to hold off the charge.

It was a triple-champion season for van der Linde. It started with a GT World Challenge Europe Sprint Cup title with Team WRT co-driver Charles Weerts. Then van der Linde and Weerts combined for the overall GT World Challenge Europe championship, which included a victory in the endurance race at Circuit Paul Ricard. The most impressive title was the Intercontinental GT Challenge title, where van der Linde won four of five rounds, the Bathurst 12 Hour, 24 Hours Nürburgring, Suzuka 1000 km and the Indianapolis 8 Hour. 

Most retirees spent their lives not doing what dictated their lives through their prime years and caused the most headaches and frustrations. Ogier did not get that memo. The Frenchman has been dabbling in rally the last few years, and that was the plan for this year. The problem was Ogier is still really good at what he does. Even after skipping rounds, his was still at the top of the championship. Soon he took the championship lead. The run at another title was too great to pass up. Ogier went for it, and even though he lost ground in the Central European Rally, Ogier did enough in Japan and Saudi Arabia to claim a record-tying ninth World Rally Championship.

How does one top an 18-win, 27-podium championship season? If you are Razgatlioglu, you win 21 races and stand on 31 podiums. You scored 89 points more than the year before and claim your third World Superbike championship. He started slow once again at Phillip Island, but once into the meat of the season, the Turkish rider could not be caught, winning 13 consecutive races at one point.

Past Winners
2012: Kyle Larson
2013: Marc Márquez
2014: Marc Márquez
2015: Nick Tandy
2016: Shane van Gisbergen
2017: Brendon Hartley
2018: Scott Dixon
2019: Marc Márquez
2020: Lewis Hamilton
2021: Kyle Larson
2022: Max Verstappen
2023: Max Verstappen
2024: Toprak Razgatlioglu

Race of the Year
Description: Best Race of 2025.
And the Nominees are:
Australian Grand Prix
MotoGP's French Grand Prix
Moto2's British Grand Prix
Snap-On Milwaukee Mile 250
Deutsche Tourenwagen Masters Finale from Hockenheim

And the winner is... MotoGP's French Grand Pix
The changing conditions caused minor chaos ahead of the MotoGP round from Le Mans. After one waved off start due to riders changing bikes, the race had an even more chaotic start as most started on slick tires before the rain began to fall again. This sent riders sliding and teams scrambling to adjust, but not all. 

Johann Zarco and the Castrol LCR Honda team started on the wet tires from 11th on the grid. Zarco fell back to 17th on the first lap, but as the weather rolled in, he started picking up spots and by lap eight, he was the leader. Due to the pit stop and combination of long lap penalties, Zarco was significantly ahead of the field, and the intensifying rain made it difficult for anyone to overcome the deficit to the Frenchman. Zarco, for his part, rode a focused race, not pushing the limit, but running confidently to put more time between himself and the competition.

Throughout the field, riders clashed in an attempt to get the most out of this race. Fabio Quartararo went down early from pole position. Francesco Bagnaia went down and lost a lap he could never get back. Álex Márquez had a pair of falls ruin his race. But we also saw Fermín Aldeguer and Pedro Acosta slug it out for the final podium position. Takaaki Nakagami also started on wet tires and used it to finish sixth from 22nd. Lorenzo Savadori scored his career best finish as a replacement rider for the injured Jorge Martín, starting 21st and finishing ninth.

But the man of the hour was Zarco, an unexpected result created through adverse conditions. The Frenchman won on home soil by 19.907 seconds over Marc Márquez, ending Ducati's winning streak at 22 races, giving Honda its first victory in over a year, and it was the first French Grand Prix victory for a French rider since 1954.

On the other nominees:
The first race of the Formula One season told the story for the entire 2025 season. Oscar Piastri appeared to have what it took to bring the fight to Lando Norris at McLaren, but when the rains came, Piastri spun off the road and his shot at victory was gone. Meanwhile, after spending a portion of the offseason wondering how far Red Bull would fall, Max Verstappen showed he would be a threat and pushed Norris to the finish. Norris did not crack, and won by just over eight-tenths of a second. Meanwhile, Andrea Kimi Antonelli made his debut and went from 16th to fourth. Alexander Albon had a competitive day at Williams, and Ferrari had a minor letdown.

Moto2's race from Silverstone was a tightly contested affair from lights out to the checkered flag. It was mostly a race between Arón Canet, David Alonso and Diogo Moreira. At the start of the final lap, it appeared we were watching Canet and Alonso chasing victory, but their battle opened the door for Senna Agius to sweep through the final few corners to take his first career victory while Moreira snuck ahead for second. Alonso was third while Canet went from first to fourth in the final two corners.

IndyCar's trip to Milwaukee saw an abundance of passing as the teams dealt with tire wear, and it became a factor in how the final results would play out. Álex Palou had a handle on the race though, and he looked set for another victory. But one spritz of rain slowed the race, and allowed a number of drivers to make a pit stop for tires about 40 laps to the finish. Palou stayed out to maintain the lead. Behind him saw a scramble as drivers looked to charge down the Catalan driver. Christian Rasmussen broke away from the pack, and picked his way to the front. He reached Palou, who made a strong effort to keep Rasmussen in second, but the fresh tires were the difference, and a pass on the outside put the Dane into first. Rasmussen drove on the ragged edge to the checkered flag, as he took his first career IndyCar victory.

The final race of the DTM season was a dream scenario. Seven drivers could have walked away from Hockenhem as champion. Marco Wittmann had one of the best cars in the race, but he was shuffled back during pit stops while Ayhancan Güven leaped into first during the pit cycle. As the race shook out, Güven was leading the championship despite entering the race fifth in points. However, the Turkish driver was only four points clear of Lucas Auer, and if Güven dropped to second, he would lose five points and fall to second in the championship. On the final lap, Wittmann took the lead out of turn 10, but diving into turn 12 in the stadium section, Güven used every bit of racetrack and even some grass to re-take the lead with four corners left in the season. Güven's move won him the race and the title.

Past Winners
2012: Indianapolis 500
2013: British motorcycle Grand Prix
2014: Bathurst 1000
2015: Australian motorcycle Grand Prix
2016: Spanish Grand Prix
2017: All the races at the World Superbike/World Supersport weekend at Phillip Island
2018: Petit Le Mans
2019: Honda 200 at Mid-Ohio Sports Car Course
2020: Turkish Grand Prix
2021: Monaco ePrix
2022: British Grand Prix
2023: 12 Hours of Sebring
2024: Indianapolis 500

Achievement of the Year
Description: Best success by a driver, team, manufacture, etc.
And the Nominees are:
Nick Tandy's Completes the "Big-Six"
Sébastien Ogier's Ninth World Rally Championship
Shane van Gisbergen's Record for Victories in a NASCAR Cup Series Rookie Season
Corey Heim's Record for Most Victories in a Single NASCAR Truck Series Season
Álex Palou's Championship Season

And the winner is... Sébastien Ogier's Ninth World Rally Championship
I don't think anyone saw this coming. 

With Ogier planning on running a part-time season in the World Rally Championship, Ogier's success pushed him to compete for the world championship. Through the first eight rounds, the Frenchman had the had missed as many rounds as he had rally victories (three) and yet he was still 21 points off the championship lead. Finishes of third, first and first in the next three rounds lifted him to first in points. Ogier's hand was forced to make a championship run.

But it wasn't easy. Ogier had to overcome issues in the Central European Rally. He was 13 points off Elfyn Evans with two rounds remaining. Ogier scored the maximum points with victory in Rally Japan, and a third in the inaugural Rally Saudi Arabia gave him a record-tying WRC title. 

After three seasons running part-time, Ogier won a title while still part-time. The mark Sébastien Loeb first reached 13 years ago of nine world championships has now been matched, and I am not sure anyone saw that coming let alone the way it did. No one saw the record-tying title looking like this, going to a driver who was slowly stepping away from competition only to be so successful he had to keep returning to claim the ultimate prize.

On the other nominees:
We don't see new marks reached in motorsports, but Tandy achieved something no other driver had done in motorsports history. With his victory in the 24 Hours of Daytona, it gave him overall victories in the 24 Hours of Le Mans, 24 Hours Nürburgring, the 24 Hours of Spa, and now Daytona. He came the first driver to win all four of those 24-hour races overall. But it gets better! Six weeks later, Tandy won the 12 Hours of Sebring overall. Throw in an overall victory at Petit Le Mans a decade ago, and he is the first driver to win the "Big Six" endurance races overall. A Bathurst 12 Hour victory would put him in even more rarified air.

Did anyone think the record for most victories in a NASCAR Cup Series rookie season would fall even with van Gisbergen competing in a series with a half-dozen road course races? Van Gisbergen was the favorite in every road course race, but this is NASCAR. The favorite does not win that often. Cautions do not fall in a driver's favor. A restart is botched. Someone runs into someone else. Drivers become collateral damage. Not in van Gisbergen's case. He won five races, and most of those were shellackings. Entering this year, the rookie record for victories was three. Tony Stewart did it in 1999. Jimmie Johnson matched it in 2002. In 2025, van Gisbergen obliterated it. It is hard to see it being matched anytime soon. 

Setting a series-record for victories in a season is impressive no matter the series. Heim was the championship favorite for the Truck Series in 2025, and he still exceeded the expectations of many. No driver had ever hit double-figures for victories in this category. Heim won 11 times. He won at Daytona (after Parker Kligerman was disqualified). He won at Charlotte. He won all three road course races. In the playoffs, he won five of seven races, including the finale to claim the title after having to restart ninth on new tires at the start of overtime. Heim's average finish was fifth. He had 19 top five finishes and 21 top ten finishes. He led 1,625 laps. The next closest driver led 1,128 fewer.

Palou's season was incredible. Along with his third consecutive championship and fourth in his IndyCar career, this was only the ninth time since 1946 a driver has won at least eight races in a season. It was the sixth time a driver had at least 13 podium finishes and the ninth time a driver had at least 14 top five results. His 711 points were the most in a season since the Indy Racing League started awarding 50 points for a victory in 1998. He scored over 76% of the maximum amount of points. Without a question, Palou was the best driver in IndyCar in 2025.

Past Winners
2012: DeltaWing
2013: Sebastian Vettel for winning nine consecutive races on his way to a fourth consecutive title
2014: Marc Márquez: Setting the record for most wins in a premier class season.
2015: Justin Wilson Memorial Family Auction
2016: Jimmie Johnson for his seventh NASCAR Cup championship
2017: Jonathan Rea: For becoming the first rider to win three consecutive World Superbike championships.
2018: Robert Wickens for winning IndyCar Rookie of the Year despite missing the final three races.
2019: Joe Gibbs Racing setting single-season record for most Cup victories by a in NASCAR's modern-era.
2020: Donald Davidson for 55 years of service to the Indianapolis Motor Speedway and the Indianapolis 500
2021: Team WRT's championship success across multiple series and disciplines
2022: Max Verstappen achieving the most grand prix victories in a single season
2023: Max Verstappen breaking the record for highest winning percentage in a Formula One Season
2024: Jorge Martín and Pramac Racing's first MotoGP championship for an independent team

Moment of the Year
Description: The Most Memorable Moment in the World of Racing during the 2025 season.
And the Nominees are:
Team Penske's Attenuator Penalty at Indianapolis
McLaren Flipping Positions at Monza
Nico Hülkenberg's Podium Finish at Silverstone
William Byron's Flat Tire at Phoenix
23XI Racing/Front Row Motorsports vs. NASCAR Settlement

And the winner is... A TIE! Nico Hülkenberg's Podium Finish at Silverstone and 23XI Racing/Front Row Motorsports vs. NASCAR Settlement

The news at the end of last week was too hard to ignore. One moment will stand out for the beauty of sport and perseverance. The other is the first domino to fall in seismic change to one of the largest sanctioning bodies in the world. 

Hülkenberg had become the journeyman driver everyone loved. His Formula One career was over five years ago, but a few one-off drives as a super-sub kept him in the conversation. Everyone was comfortable with Hülkenberg being the record-holder for most grand prix starts without a podium finish, a dubious honor to hold, but one that has some meaning in terms of integrity and respect from those within Formula One. 

The British Grand Prix did not appear to be the place for a historic first. Hülkenberg started 19th, but in a  race of changing conditions, Hülkenberg and the Sauber team played the strategy right, and Hülkenberg was able to pick up positions. He was able to run with the big dogs, and in the closing laps, it appeared he would have his toughest test as Lewis Hamilton took on new tires in an effort to get on the podium. However, Hamilton's fresher rubber was not enough to leap ahead of Hülkenberg, and the German's tires held on. All eyes were on third as he took the checkered flag.

One record was gone. Another was created. In his 239th start, Nico Hülkenberg was able to claim his first career podium finish, a universally beloved result. 

------------

For over a year, we have been anticipating a legal showdown in the NASCAR world. When 23XI Racing and Front Row Motorsports did not sign the charter renewals in September 2024, it signaled a challenge of NASCAR's order of operations that had largely gone uncontested for over 75 years. Over the entire 2025 season, the tension was building as a day in court was destined to occur. 

We got nine days. Nine days where secrets were revealed and the fabric of the largest sanctioning body in the United States was torn. Everyone went into this trial knowing nothing would be the same when it was over, and after a few days and testimonies that were unflattering to NASCAR, a settlement was reached that saw charters become permanent as well as additional revenue being shared with the teams that previously remained entirely in NASCAR's control. 

The dust is still settling in the aftermath of this case, and it will be a few years before we really see how the landscape of NASCAR has changed, but it is going to be different and it will all stem from Thursday December 11, 2025 after 23XI Racing and Front Row Motorsports did the unthinkable and questioned the France family's grip on premier stock car racing. 

On the other nominees:
For the second consecutive year, Team Penske caused the greatest waves in IndyCar, and it wasn't for success on the racetrack. During inspection for the second day of Indianapolis 500 qualifying, it was found that the Team Penske cars all had illegal modifications to the attenuators. In the immediate aftermath, Will Power and Josef Newgarden were moved to the rear of the grid, strategists were suspended, and tempers flared once again in the aftermath of a Penske cheating scandal. It turned out to be a significant moment for the team, as team president Tim Cindric, managing director Ron Ruzewski and general manager Kyle Moyer were all dismissed from the team. Add to it that Penske had its worst season since 1999, and 2025 will be remembered for all the wrong reasons in Team Penske's long-esteemed history.

For a brief moment, Oscar Piastri was in control of the World Drivers' Championship. A victory in the Netherlands combined with Lando Norris' retirement saw Piastri up 34 points with eight races remaining. In the next race at Monza, Norris was ahead in second while Piastri ran in third. After the final pit cycle, Piastri moved into second after Norris had a slow stop changing the front left tire. Once the cars were back on track, Piastri was asked to readdress the positions and allow Norris through. Piastri reluctantly did, and it gave Norris three more points. In the moment it was suspect as to why the championship leader was returning points to his teammate, but at the end of the season, when Norris ended two points clear of Max Verstappen, that one decision stands out even more.

We were three laps away from a clean end to the NASCAR Cup Series season, and Denny Hamlin was three laps away from scoring his seventh victory of 2025, and claiming his first Cup Series championship. Suddenly, William Byron was in the wall, and the championship finish became even cloudier. It would come down to a final round of pit stops. Hamlin took four tires. Kyle Larson took two. Two tires were enough as Larson ended up third while Hamlin was sixth. It was another unsatisfying end to a NASCAR season, and one that could not be ignored.

Past Winners
2012: Alex Zanardi
2013: 24 Hours of Le Mans
2014: Post-race at the Charlotte and Texas Chase races.
2015: Matt Kenseth vs. Joey Logano
2016: Toyota Slows at Le Mans
2017: Fernando Alonso announcing his Indianapolis 500 ride
2018: Kyle Busch and Kyle Larson battle at Chicagoland
2019: Kyle Kaiser and Juncos Racing knocking out Fernando Alonso and McLaren and Penske Purchasing Hulman & Co.
2020: March 12-13
2021: The entire Formula One season
2022: Ross Chastain's final corner at Martinsville
2023: Shane van Gisbergen winning the NASCAR Cup race at the Chicago street course
2024: The Indianapolis 500 Post-Storm

Pass of the Year
Description: Best pass of 2025.
And the Nominees are:

And the winner is... Ayhancan Güven on Marco Wittmann in turn 12 at Hockenheim
Güven had to make the move to win the championship. After pulling off a great pit strategy to put him in first, Güven had just lost the lead to a rather strong Wittmann, and the stadium section at Hockenheim is not the friendliest to passing. 

Turn 12 is the last true braking zone before the flowing final four corners, and Güven took his shot up the inside. He dropped his left side tires into the grass, but he was side-by-side with Wittmann, and some contact was made. Wittmann was pushed wide, and Güven went through. There was no time for a counter move, and Güven's pass not only won a race but completed an astonishing championship drive.

On the other nominees:
Marc Márquez had made a slight mistake early into the sprint race from Austin, and it cost him the lead. Ducati teammate Francesco Bagnaia and his brother Álex split Marc exiting turn 18, but Marc was able to power down into turn 19 and dove up the inside. Effortlessly, he was back into the lead before the final corner of the circuit. It was a statement move of what was to come in 2025.

When the laps are running out at the Indianapolis 500, any pass feels risky. Ericsson led the race, but had an eager Palou behind him. Not to forget mentioning the leaders had two back-markers ahead and both leaders were in dirty air. This was to the benefit of Ericsson, as there was additional risk for Palou. The move was always going to come, but with 14 laps remaining, it may have come sooner than we thought. Palou made a late dive up the inside of turn one, and Ericsson could not react. Palou was into the lead. There was plenty of laps remaining, but at that moment, it felt like the race was over. Palou was practically unbeatable and he dared Ericsson and the rest of the field to take the Indianapolis 500 from him. No one could.

On the final lap of the Moto2 race from Aragón, the top two riders were going for their first career victories in the category. Deniz Öncü and Diogo Moreira were feeling each other out as it appeared the race would come down to the final lap. Moreira took the lead into turn five, but Öncü remained on the Brazilian's heels. Öncü made the move to the outside off the final corner and it was enough to beat Moreira to the line by 0.003 seconds.

The NASCAR Truck Series finale from Phoenix saw a late caution, and a slow stop for four tires knocked Corey Heim from the lead to ninth, and the fourth-best of the four championship contenders. At the restart for the first overtime attempt, Heim went to the very inside of the racetrack, and with four fresh tires he entered in eighth and came out the other side in second. Another caution had come out before the field could take the white flag, but this move set up Heim up to restart second for the second attempt, and right next to championship rival Ty Majeski. With the tire advantage, Heim was in control, and he pulled away to take the race victory and championship.

Past Winners
2012: Simon Pagenaud at Baltimore
2013: Robert Wickens at Nürburgring and Peter Dempsey in the Freedom 100
2014: Ryan Blaney on Germán Quiroga
2015: Laurens Vanthoor from 4th to 2nd on the outside in the Bathurst 12 Hour
2016: Scott McLaughlin on Mark Winterbottom at Surfers Paradise
2017: Renger van der Zande: From second to first on Dane Cameron at Laguna Seca
2018: Alexander Rossi for all his passes in the Indianapolis 500
2019: Álex Rins on Marc Márquez in the final corner at Silverstone in the British motorcycle Grand Prix
2020: Pipo Derani on Ricky Taylor into turn one at Road Atlanta
2021: Shane van Gisbergen from fourth to second at Sandown
2022: Ross Chastain's final corner at Martinsville
2023: António Félix da Costa on Jean-Éric Vergne in turn eight of the final lap of the Cape Town ePrix
2024: Josef Newgarden on Patricio O'Ward for the lead on the final lap of the Indianapolis 500

The Eric Idle Award
Description: "When You're Chewing on Life's Gristle, Don't Grumble, Give a Whistle, And This'll Help Things Turn Out For The Best, and...  Always Look On The Bright Side of Life."
And the Nominees are:
Denny Hamlin
Connor Zilisch
Jack Doohan
The #7 Porsche Penske Motorsport Entry
Team Penske's IndyCar Program

And the winner is... Connor Zilisch
Zilisch smacked around the competition in NASCAR's second division in 2025. Ten victories, 20 top five finishes, 22 top ten finishes, eight pole positions and over 1,000 laps led. 

And yet it did not end in a championship. Despite finishing third in the Phoenix finale, Zilisch lost the championship as Jesse Love won the race. It was Love's second victory of the season, his first since the Daytona season opener. 

Zilisch was left emotional after his astonishing season that saw him overcome multiple injuries and multiple missed races would only be good enough for second in the history books. 

The silver-lining is Zilisch had earned universal sympathy for his result. Going into the Phoenix finale, many dreaded how the season would end for all three NASCAR national series as in two of them there were two deserving champions who stood above the rest of the competition. Even in a loss, Zilisch won the admiration of many because over an entire season, everyone saw how his ability was greater than his competition.

On the other nominees:
Same story, different series. We all know what happened to Hamlin in the final race of the NASCAR Cup Series season. He had never been that close to a championship. Three laps is all that was behind him and a championship. In a format that ultimately only rewards what happens in the final race, Hamlin had done everything right. He led 208 laps. He was clear of the field and then one caution reset the field. One round of pit stops shuffled the deck. After two more laps, Hamlin was three positions short of his first career championship. 

Doohan got six races in Formula One with Alpine, but even before the first race of the season, Doohan had lost the confidence of the team. He was always bound to lose his ride. Alpine had more interest in Franco Colapinto. It was only a matter of time before the Argentine would get the race seat. Doohan had no favors in an Alpine that was the worst car on the grid. With no points, the Australian was canned. If there is any consolation, Colapinto never scored a point in 2025, and he never looked any more competitive than Doohan did.

The year started with such promise with victories in the 24 Hours of Daytona and 12 Hours of Sebring for the #7 Porsche Penske Motorsport entry, and it won at Long Beach to make it three wins on the spin to start 2025. However, the #7 Porsche could not get the championship over the line. The #7 Porsche of Felipe Nasr and Nick Tandy finished tenth or worse in the final four races. Even worse, the #6 Porsche won the championship despite winning only one race the entire season. 

This was one of the worst seasons Team Penske has ever had in IndyCar. The team did win a pair of races, but it failed to win any of the first 14 races. On five occasions did the team fail to have a single top ten finisher. None of the three drivers finished better than eighth in the championship, and the season was marred with another cheating scandal, this one leading to the dismal of three notable personnel. 

Past Winners
2012: Ben Spies
2013: Sam Hornish, Jr.
2014: Alexander Rossi
2015: McLaren
2016: Toyota
2017: Nick Heidfeld
2018: Brett Moffitt
2019: Dennis Lind
2020: Marc Márquez
2021: Liam Lawson
2022: Linus Lundqvist
2023: Eli Tomac
2024: Kyle Larson

Comeback of the Year
Description: The Best Comeback in the 2025 season.
And the Nominees are:
Álex Palou overcoming a ten-second gap at Thermal Club.
José António Rueda: Last to first at the British Grand Prix
David Alonso: 11th to 1st at the Hungarian Grand Prix
Isack Hadjar: From failing to start the Australian Grand Prix to Formula One Podium
Max Verstappen: From 104 points back to two points short of a fifth world championship

And the winner is... José Antònio Rueda: Last to first at the British Grand Prix.
Moto3 championship leader Rueda was forced to start last at Silverstone after being penalized for slow riding on the racing line during qualifying. Rolling off 26th, Rueda would have 15 laps to get back to the front after he was supposed to start on pole position.

Rueda was up eight spots in the first lap. He was up four more spots after lap two. He gained positions on each of the first seven laps, which saw him rise to fifth. It became a little more of a struggle as he reached the top of the grid, but he was up to third on lap 11, and second on lap 12. On lap 13, he took the lead with two laps remaining, but the final lap brought a stiff challenge from Máximo Quiles, who took the lead, but Rueda outmaneuver Quiles in the final corners as an outside-inside move saw Rueda slip through in the final corner to win by 0.046 seconds.

On the other nominees:
IndyCar's trip to Thermal Club looked to be wrapped up with 20 laps remaining. Patricio O'Ward was over ten seconds ahead of the field heading into the final round of pit stop. However, Palou had a new set of alternate tires for the final run to the finish. O'Ward had primary tires, and this was the difference. Palou clawed back time in a blink, and soon he was in the lead, checking out on the competition. What went from a ten-second deficit turned into a ten-second victory for Palou in fewer than 20 laps.

David Alonso did not get off to a great start in Hungary. Dropping from eighth to 11th on the first lap of the Moto2 race, Alonso had some work to do in the inaugural visit to the Balaton Park. Alonso started slow on a circuit where it was difficult to pass. He was back up to eighth by lap four. He spent the next six laps in seventh before he cracked the top five on lap 14 of 25. The final stretch is where Alonso came to life. He went from fourth to second in four laps, and he had Manuel González in his sights for the lead on the final lap. Alonso got it, but nearly threw it away running wide in the final set of corners, but the Colombian had enough to cross the line first, scoring his maiden Moto2 victory.

For a split second, we all thought there wasn't a way Isack Hadjar would survive a full season after he spun on the formation lap. We saw a driver despondent to his mistake, as Hadjar seemed to also believe he had thrown his Formula One chance away. The saving grace was Hadjar meeting Anthony Hamilton, Lewis Hamilton's father, in the paddock area where Hamilton consoled the heartbroken and devastated driver. That moment of comfort possibly has saved Hadjar's career. This mistake on his first act on stage did not derail the promise we had seen. Instead, Hadjar went on to score his first points two races later. He ended up finishing third at the Dutch Grand Prix and ended the season 12th in the championship, the top Racing Bulls driver.

It didn't quite fully pan out, but the fact Verstappen went from over four races behind the championship lead to being alive for the title at the Abu Dhabi season finale is nothing but staggering work. At no point over the first two-thirds of the season did it appear Verstappen had what it took to challenge the McLaren drivers, but he ended the season with ten consecutive podium finishes, six of which were victories. He came two points short. He could find two points wherever he wishes from this season. The obvious spot is Barcelona, where causing a collision with George Russell cost him a ten-second penalty, dropping him from fifth to tenth, a nine-point penalty in terms of positions lost. Verstappen nearly pulled it off. It was remarkable he made it that close.

Past Winners
2013: Michael Shank Racing at the 24 Hours of Daytona
2014: Juan Pablo Montoya to IndyCar
2015: Kyle Busch
2016: Max Verstappen from 15th to 3rd in the final 18 laps in the wet in the Brazilian Grand Prix
2017: Kelvin van der Linde: From third to first after a botched pit stop in the final 20 minutes in the 24 Hours Nürburgring
2018: Billy Monger: Returning to racing after losing his legs and finishing sixth in the BRDC British Formula 3 Championship with four podium finishes and a pole position at Donington Park.
2019: MotoE: For getting to the grid after fire destroyed every motorcycle prior to the first round of the season
2020: The #7 Acura Team Penske: Coming from last in the championship to winning the IMSA DPi championship
2021: Kyle Busch's victory at Pocono
2022: Robert Wickens
2023: McLaren's 2023 Formula One Season
2024: Chase Sexton: From last to first in Hangtown

Most Improved
Description: Racer, Team or Manufacture Who Improved The Most from 2024 to 2025.
And the Nominees are:
Álex Márquez: From eighth on 173 points with one podium finish to second on 467 points with three victories in MotoGP.
Ayumu Iwasa: From fifth on 63.5 points to first on 124 points in Super Formula
Christian Rasmussen: From 11.6 points per start and his best finish being ninth as a rookie to 18.41 points per start and a victory in his sophomore season.
Dale Coyne Racing: From no finish better than 13th to a podium finish and seven top ten finishes.
Ford Multimatic Motorsports: From no cars in the top five of the IMSA GTD Pro championship to a third-place championship finish and three victories.

And the winner is... Álex Márquez
On a year-old Ducati and with his brother Marc with the factory team, Álex Márquez rose to his greatest heights in MotoGP. Álex somehow beat Francesco Bagnaia. We thought 2025 would see Marc Márquez and Bagnaia duke it out over 22 races in a fierce competition between the factory Ducati riders. Instead, Marc Márquez's closest competition was his brother on the older model. 

Álex was in Marc's wing mirrors the entire season, and few got as close as Álex did. Álex led the champion after Austin. At Jerez, he scored his first career MotoGP victory after Marc had a fall early, and Álex was still in the championship lead. That would not stick as Marc showed his might over the summer, but no one else kept up as well as Álex did. 

Along with the Jerez victory, Álex Márquez also won at Barcelona and Sepang. He had seven runner-up finishes this season and he had another two finishes in third. He won three sprint races and had 15 sprint race podium finishes. Marc missing the final four races allowed Álex to finish 78 points behind his brother. At the time of Marc's injury in Indonesia, he was 183 points clear of his brother, but Álex was 114 points clear of Marco Bezzecchi in third, and he was the second-best Ducati rider as Bagnaia wound up fifth.

On the other nominees:
In year two in Super Formula, Iwasa was more competitive and was competing well with the veterans Sho Tsuboi and Kakunoshin Ohta. Iwawa scored his first career victory at Sportsland SUGO, and he was a regular podium finisher, but a few bad days pulled down his championship hopes. Entering the final round from Suzuka, he was 14.5 points off the championship lead. A retirement in the first race was a set-back, but a fourth in a makeup race from the second Fuji doubleheader revived his title chances. In the final race of the season, Iwasa won from pole position to take the title by 5.5 points over Tsuboi.

After a good but not great rookie season, Rasmussen showed better strength in his second IndyCar season. He was difficult to race at times but Rasmussen was getting better finishes with Ed Carpenter Racing. He scored his first career podium finish at Gateway after overcoming a fueling issue that threw off his strategy the entire race. He looked good at all the ovals. At Milwaukee, taking tires with about 40 laps to go when a spritz of rain slowed the race allowed Rasmussen to make a late charge. Passing the likes of Josef Newgarden, Scott McLaughlin, Alexander Rossi and Patricio O'Ward, Rasmussen found himself battling Álex Palou for the victory, and Rasmussen powered through to take an unforgettable first career victory.

In 2024, Dale Coyne Racing was an afterthought in IndyCar. At no point could the team string together a good run of results. With a constant rotation of drivers, the team never had a top ten finish. Its cars were the bottom two in the Leaders' Circle program. In 2025, Coyne was in the fight thanks to Rinus VeeKay. It was ninth in the opening race. VeeKay was fourth and pushing for a podium at Barber Motorsports Park. The Dutchman had a run of top ten finishes during the summer, and it hit a high at Toronto, when VeeKay led a good portion of the race before finishing second when he fell behind Patricio O'Ward during the final pit cycle. VeeKay was only 13th in the championship, but he was ahead of Alexander Rossi, Santino Ferrucci, Marcus Ericsson, Nolan Siegel and all three Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing drivers, a good leap forward for a Dale Coyne Racing driver.

The Ford Mustang GT3's first season in IMSA was good. It wasn't great. There were some teething issues but there was some promise. That promise developed into success in the opening race of 2025. The #65 Ford of Christopher Mies, Denis Olsen and Frédéric Vervisch won the 24 Hours of Daytona. The #64 Ford of Sebastian Priaulx and Mike Rockenfeller would go on to win at Detroit and at Indianapolis. With three victories, Ford was tied with BMW for most GTD Pro victories.

Past Winners
2012: Esteban Guerrieri
2013: Marco Andretti
2014: Chaz Mostert
2015: Graham Rahal
2016: Simon Pagenaud
2017: DJR Team Penske
2018: Gary Paffett
2019: Cooper Webb
2020: Joan Mir
2021: Francesco Bagnaia
2022: Scott McLaughlin
2023: Jorge Martín
2024: McLaren

And that will do it. At the end of every year, the moment presents itself to ask if we saw this coming. Did this past year play out as we thought? Even when things occur as we predicted, I don't believe any of us can accurately predict all the little details well enough to say there were no surprises. There is always something that we could not script mostly because it is more detailed than we can even imagine. 

This year felt the same way. There are no surprises with an Álex Palou championship, a Lando Norris breakthrough, Marc Márquez returning to glory, and another unsatisfying end to the NASCAR season, but with how each played out, from the sheer dominance of Palou, the three-way fight for Norris, Márquez being miles clear of the competition, and the utter shock of the final laps from Phoenix, it leaves me stunned thinking about how 2025 played out. 

Let's hope 2026 plays out the same way. Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays. We will be looking forward to the upcoming New Year very shortly.  


Thursday, December 11, 2025

2025 Formula One Predictions: Revisited

The circus is over. Formula One wrapped up its world tour this past weekend in Abu Dhabi, and with Formula One somehow being the last major series running at the end of the year, it is the final set of predictions we must revisit before we start making 2026 predictions in a little over a week or so. 

For a season that saw a first-time champion and a three-way title fight to the very last lap, how did things play out compared to expectations from nearly a year ago?

1. None of the top five championship finishers in 2024 finish in the same position in 2025
Correct!

In 2024, the top five were Max Verstappen, Lando Norris, Charles Leclerc, Oscar Piastri and Carlos Sainz, Jr.

In 2025, the top five were Norris, Verstappen, Piastri, George Russell and Leclerc.

These drivers went +1, -1, +1, +2, and -2 from one year to the next. Sainz, Jr. dropped four spots in his first year with Williams after his final year with Ferrari, which was expected. 

We went into this season expecting change, and we got it, but Verstappen made a great effort to maintain the top spot. He was three points away from taking the title and then obliterating this prediction.

2. Max Verstappen has fewer total podium finishes but he will have a stretch with three consecutive podium finishes
Incorrect!

Verstappen had more podium finishes than last year!

Through the first 14 races, the Dutchman had five podium finishes. He had not finished on the podium in consecutive races, and he went into the summer break with no podium result in three races. He was on pace for 8.5 podium finishes this season, which could have been eight or maybe Verstappen would have caught a break and finished with nine. Either way, it was fewer than the 14 podium finishes he scored in 2024.

Then Verstappen ended with ten consecutive podium finishes to close out the season, surprising his 2024 total. That is outstanding. 

3. Lando Norris will have consecutive finishes outside the points
Incorrect!

In 24 races, Norris scored points in 21 of them. In the three races where he did not score, he had contact with Oscar Piastri in the closing laps of the Canadian Grand Prix, he suffered a mechanical failure eight laps from the finish in the Dutch Grand Prix, and then he was disqualified from the Las Vegas Grand Prix for excessive skid block wear.

Those were the tenth, 15th and 22nd races of the season. None of those races occurred consecutively. Heck, only once did Norris finish off the podium in consecutive races, and that was the disqualification from Las Vegas and fourth at Qatar.

4. Lewis Hamilton wins at least four pole positions
Incorrect!

Hamilton's best starting position all season was third in Mexico City. He started outside the top 15 on four occasions this season. What we thought was going to be a special partnership definitely turned out to be something memorable, but for all the wrong reasons, as Ferrari regressed and Hamilton had his worst season of his Formula One career.

Forget the pole positions, Hamilton didn't even get on a podium. He had at least five podium finishes in his each of his first 18 seasons. He was sixth in the championship, which all things considered is not a horrible season, but he was only six points away from finishing seventh, which would have been a new career-low for the Brit. 

And it doesn't feel like there is any belief things will be better in 2026. 

5. Andrea Kimi Antonelli scores the fewest points for a Mercedes driver since 2013
Correct!

It is correct, but it is because Antonelli scored the fewest points for a Mercedes driver since 2012, as the Italian had 150 points, the fewest since 2012 when Nico Rosberg scored 93 points and Michael Schumacher had 49 points.

Despite the lack of production relative to the last decade-plus at Mercedes, Antonelli had an impressive season. He was on the podium twice, and was second in Brazil. He was also second in the sprint race from Interlagos. he scored fastest lap in his third career start at Suzuka along with two more fastest laps later in the season at Spa-Francorchamps and Austin. He did have a rough spring-into-summer where he was third in Canada but that was sandwiched between six results outside the points, including three retirements, but Antonelli made good strides over the course of the season. 

6. Williams will have a top six finish on the road in a race that does not end prematurely
Correct!

This was clinched in the first race of the season, as Alexander Albon, in the changing conditions on the streets of Albert Park, ended up finishing fifth from sixth on the grid in Australia. 

Boom! One race and done. However, Williams had seven top six finishes this year, and six of those came on the road with races that went the distance. 

Albon had another pair of fifth-place finishes in Miami and Imola. He would then be fifth at Zandvoort.

Two races later, Carlos Sainz, Jr. scored a podium finish with a third in Baku. Sainz, Jr. was elevated to fifth at Las Vegas after both McLarens were disqualified, but in the next race, the Spaniard was third in Qatar with no post-race penalties for others helping his cause.

7. Haas scores its second most points in team history
Correct!

Haas scored 79 points, which surpassed 2024's 58 points for the second-most in the team's history. It was only 14 points off the team's high-water mark of 93 points from the 2018 season. 

Oliver Bearman was tremendous this season, and he led the way for Haas in his rookie season with 41 points, including a five-race stretch from Singapore to Las Vegas where he finished in the points. This included Bearman taking fourth in Mexico City.

Esteban Ocon started well. Ocon was fifth in Shanghai, the second race of the season, and that would be his best finish of the season. He scored points in nine races, but the only time he scored in consecutive races was a ninth in Canada and a tenth in Austria.

8. Fernando Alonso says something that makes Lawrence Stroll respond and it is a headline
Incorrect!

Things played out very calmly at Aston Martin though Alonso dropped a place in the championship and scored 14 fewer points than the year before. The Spaniard never spouted off any displeasure that required a response from the big boss. 

Which leads me to believe there is some faith in the Aston Martin camp that it was willing to take a step back this year for something greater next year. With Adrian Newey at the helm ahead of a new regulation set about to be introduced, perhaps Alonso has some belief he is about to get one of the best cars on the grid, and all he had to do in 2025 was keep his comments to himself.

9. The team formerly known as Toro Rosso will feature three drivers
Correct! 

This was almost a given before the season started. There was no way Red Bull was going to avoid playing musical chairs. I think they played it much sooner than we expected. Liam Lawson had two races with Red Bull Racing before he was moved to the team formality known as Toro Rosso with Yuki Tsunoda leaving the Italian team to join the Austrian outfit. 

How did things go after that? Lawson scored 38 points in his 22 races with the Red Bull's B-Team while Tsunoda contributed 30 points to the team that ended up third in the World Constructors' Championship.

10. Jack Doohan will have at least six finishes between eighth and tenth
Incorrect!

Doohan got six races total before he was tossed aside. He retired from Australia, then went 13th, 15th, 14th, 17th over the next four races before retiring at Miami and then being sidelined at Alpine for Franco Colapinto. 

In hindsight, it is hard to believe Doohan would have had six points-scoring finishes. Pierre Gasly had five finishes in the points all season for Alpine. Gasly was sixth at Silverstone, so that is a positive. Colapinto scored zero points. He was 11th at Zandvoort. That was the closest the Argentine got to scoring in 2025. 

11. Both Sauber drivers will score at least ten points
Correct!

Nico Hülkenberg scored 51 points with 15 of those points coming from his memorable third-place finish in the British Grand Prix, Hülkenberg's first career Formula One podium in his 239th start. 

Gabriel Bortoleto scored 19 points in his rookie season with his first points coming in Austria, an eighth earning him four points. The Brazilian would pick up two more points in Belgium, and then he put himself over the top for this prediction when he was sixth in Hungary, earning him eight points! He would add four more points in Monza and another point in Mexico City. 

This left Sauber with 70 points, a considerable leap from the four points it had in 2024, and 70 points was Sauber's best season since 2012, when it had 126 points. 

Despite scoring 70 points, Sauber was still ninth in the constructors' championship, the fourth time in the last five seasons it has finished in one of the bottom two positions.

12. Michael Schumacher will move up to fourth all-time in winning percentage after the 2025 season
Incorrect!

This prediction was basically saying Max Verstappen would win six races or fewer in 2025. If Verstappen won six races of fewer, his career winning percentage would drop below Michael Schumacher's and Schumacher would move up to fourth all-time. 

However, despite having only won two of the first 15 races and being on pace for three victories the entire season, Verstappen won six of the final nine races. That gave him eight victories on the season, the most in Formula One, and it left Verstappen with a career winning percentage of 30.47%, still fourth all-time and better than Schumacher's 29.74%.

Six-for-12, 50% again. A pair of these were heading in the other direction before Max Verstappen went on a tear and nearly pulled out an unthinkable fifth consecutive championship. 

This was a fun season between McLaren's inter-team politics and Verstappen's charge. We didn't even mention Christian Horner's dismissal and Red Bull flourishing afterward, and by Red Bull I mean Verstappen because Tsunoda was still nowhere competitive as has been the case for multiple second drivers in that team. 

George Russell did win two races with Mercedes. Ferrari had its issues and that was deflating, but Hülkenberg's podium finish will standout. Williams got on the podium twice and was rather competitive. Even Isack Hadjar, who started the season spinning out on the formation lap in Australia, scored a third in the Dutch Grand Prix. We had three drivers this season score their first career podium finish when you include Antonelli. 

I don't know how things will play out next year the new regulations, but you have Audi joining. You have Cadillac forming a new team. Honda is moving to Aston Martin. Red Bull has brought Ford back into the series. It is at least looking good on paper.

Monday, December 8, 2025

Musings From the Weekend: Emptying the Bucket

Here is a rundown of what got me thinking...

Max Verstappen won the race, but Lando Norris won the World Drivers' Championship in Abu Dhabi. Oscar Piastri is numb. Lewis Hamilton did not get one podium finish this season after never having fewer than five in any of his previous seasons. Formula Two didn't have the cleanest finish to the season, but Jak Crawford did finish second in the championship behind Leonardo Fornaroli. Sting Ray Robb was confirmed to be returning to Juncos Hollinger Racing for 2026. Will Power is going to run the 24 Hours of Daytona. The courtroom has been busy. We are firmly into December, and there is a lot to say before the year ends.

Emptying the Bucket
We are at the end of the year, and this is the last musings before the New Year. With the end of the year, we are at point where there is little time and lots to say, but not everything is fully fleshed out, or it doesn't require a full report. Some items don't quite fit. 

However, with this being the end of 2025, I thought I would empty the bucket on thoughts, ideas, musings that didn't quite fit at some point in 2025. What we have here is a collection of thoughts that crossed my mind over 2025 and will see the light of day before the year comes to a close. 

Why was Ryan Truex the reserve driver?
This goes back to the Mexico City NASCAR race. Truex took over the #11 Toyota for Joe Gibbs Racing as Denny Hamlin missed the race due to the birth of his child. Truex got the call because he is the reserve driver for JGR, and he works in the simulator for the team. My question is why?

Truex is more than capable for the role, but the problem is Truex was not racing anywhere. His only race up to that point in 2025 was the Daytona season opener in NASCAR's second division. Why would any team have a reserve driver be someone who was not regularly competing? That driver should be race fit and ready to go. A simulator role is not enough preparation for a driver. If Truex is going to be a reserve, shouldn't Gibbs make sure he is competing and best prepared to be called in to run a Cup race?

This goes for any Cup team and any team in any series. I don't understand why a reserve driver would be doing nothing. In Formula One, that driver should be racing somewhere, whether it is Formula Two, sports cars, Super Formula, whatever that keeps a driver fresh. Standing at the back of the garage or only driving the simulator isn't enough. It would be best to make sure the reserve is at least competing somewhere.

IndyCar Didn't Lose Connor Zilisch
This comes up every now and then in IndyCar circles. 

Young American driver succeeding in NASCAR, IndyCar fan base starts crying about how IndyCar lost that driver. It was the case for Kyle Larson, Christopher Bell, even Kasey Kahne and Ryan Newman to an extent a generation go. Now it is Connor Zilisch's turn.

One problem... Zilisch was never IndyCar's nor was he on that path. 

Zilisch was racing Mazda MX-5 Cup when he started car racing. Name one IndyCar driver that started in Mazda MX-5 Cup. I will wait. Then Zilisch got an opportunity to run late models which turned into the NASCAR career that is starting to blossom. He is also a kid from the Charlotte, North Carolina-area. You know, NASCAR Country. 

Not every young American driver dreams of being in IndyCar but especially those who are never on the path. IndyCar isn't the premier series in this country. A lot of that comes down to money. You can make a healthy living being average in the NASCAR Cup Series, better than being a regular winner in IndyCar. That is a deciding factor for people. 

Zilisch is 19 years old and he is about to start raking in money. He has also had the support from day one. Trackhouse got behind him. Dale Earnhardt, Jr. and JR Motorsports got behind him. IndyCar teams do not give that kind of support. You do not see a driver get two or three years in the ladder system and then another three or four years in the top series, all paid for, ever in IndyCar. You can prove your worth and still be forced to pay or teams will give up on you quickly. Look at how fast Sage Karam and Oliver Askew were cast aside, and both won in the ladder system.

The point is, Zilisch wasn't an IndyCar loss. If you are upset that the best talent we have seen in decades never was on the IndyCar path, that is one thing, but he was never heading that direction from his first time in a race car. 

Throwback Weekends are a Distraction
Every year we get to a point in the IndyCar season and someone suggests there should be a throwback weekend where all the teams run a livery that pays homage to a car from the past. NASCAR ran a similar weekend at Darlington for the last decade. 

It solves nothing. 

It is a pure play on nostalgia, a distraction from the current state of affairs. It is something to talk about for a week, maybe two if done right, but it is self-serving. More people are not going to be tuning in because Josef Newgarden is driving a car that looks like Al Unser's 1987 Indianapolis 500 winner or Scott Dixon is driving a car that looks like Alex Zanardi's Target cars or the McLarens look like the McLarens from the 1970s. 

A throwback weekend is self-serving.

Plus, everyone will get bored of it quickly. NASCAR's throwback weekend is there in name only. It moved to the spring Darlington race and maybe a quarter of the teams participate. No participates in the theme aspect, changing their attire to fit a time period. It is hard to buy in every year to a costume party. Once you get through three decades everyone gets bored, and we come to realize there isn't that much that we ogled over. There were two or three great things that are stuck in our minds, but that is about it.

If it happens, do it once to get it out of your system, but acknowledge it can only be a one-time thing.

MotoGP Sprint Points
If sprint races are half-distance races, I think only half the sprint races should count toward a riders' championship points total. If there are 22 races, only 11 sprint race results can count toward the championship. 

It makes the grand prix results matter more. You can only be bailed out with sprint results so often. 

I was thinking this after 2024 when you had Francesco Bagnaia win 11 of 20 races but was second in the championship by ten points and you had Jorge Martín finish on the podium in 16 of 20 sprint races while winning only three grand prix the entire season. Martín did have 16 podium finishes in grand prix, but he scored 43 points more than Bagnaia in sprint races.

Sprint races are fine, but if you want the grand prix results to matter, there should be a limit on how many sprint races count toward the championship. It caps how many points can come from sprint races. Win 11 sprint races, congratulations, you have 132 points from sprint races, but that is the most you can earn. The incentive would still be there to get the best result you can to take points away from fellow competitors in sprint races. You wouldn't see riders not trying during the sprint races. 

MotoGP has hit this patch with sprint races where they aren't standing out during a race weekend, and it is starting to feel excessive, especially if one rider is going to be dominating on Saturday and Sunday. It just puts the best further away from the rest of the field. Only counting half the sprint races toward the championship would at least limit the beat down.

NASCAR Overtime
This one stems a bit from the NASCAR finale, though I have been thinking this way even prior to that. If NASCAR is going to have it, there should be parameters that negates overtime. Not every football, basketball, hockey, lacrosse, soccer, whatever sport goes to overtime. or has the chance of going to overtime. Every NASCAR race has the potential of going to overtime no matter what happens during the race.

However, some drivers dominate a race, and that is clearly the best driver on the day. There should be criteria a driver can reach to negate any overtime. I am not sure what the marks should be, but if a driver leads the most laps or leads majority of the laps, that might need to be enough to negate an overtime should a caution come out in the closing laps with that driver leading. 

Overtime, arguably, was meant to prevent good races from being ruined due to a caution, but that doesn't mean every race. If a driver has a two-second lead with five laps to go, that wasn't going to be a good finish. That race is under control. It is over. If a caution comes out, no one is losing an exciting finish. If a gap to second is that big, maybe that should be enough to clinch a victory. 

Also, not every driver should be competing at overtime. The Nashville Cup race in 2024, which Joey Logano won while Zane Smith finished in the top five after spending most of the race outside the top twenty should never happen. The 25th-place runner at the scheduled should not finish in the top five due to overtime. There should be some incentive and protection for having a good race, and the end of the scheduled distance is a marker where you were either good or you weren't.

Overtime should be limited to the top ten drivers competing. One, it protects the drivers who had good races and keeps them from finishing worse than tenth. Two, it would allow overtime to be a reasonable finish and prevent these races where it takes 45 minutes to run two consecutive green flag laps, which do nothing to help viewership. You aren't going to have accident after accident with ten cars on track, nor would you have pile ups that require a red flag to clean up. Three, there should be a protection from pit stops. 

I don't think one final pit stop should determine the race. Once a race hits the scheduled distance, drivers should have to finish with the tires they have. No team should get the benefit of saving a set of tires in the pit lane. If you want to win the race, beat the driver who was leading the race straight-up. Pass them with what you got. And in that case, if you make it the scheduled distance on the fuel you have, you shouldn't lose due to fuel mileage. The top ten should come down pit lane, top off on fuel, and then rejoin in the positions they were in. 

This gets rid of strategy finishes in overtime and it makes every finish a true race to the finish with the leader not being put at a disadvantage. It actually gives the leader an incentive to be first, and we should want drivers wanting to be the leader. The leader should never be at a disadvantage. 

William Byron Would Have Raced Differently
At the NASCAR finale in Phoenix, William Byron had a tire failure while running in the top five with three laps remaining. At the end of the race, Kyle Larson was champion, and based off of the full season points aggregate, Larson would have also be champion based on that metric. The two systems produced the same champion, so that means everything was alright... right?

Except no, because entering Phoenix Byron would have had an 11-point lead over Larson based on the full season aggregate. If Byron had an 11-point lead, he would not have been racing the way he did at Phoenix, which led to the blown tire. 

As it played out, Byron wasn't leading the championship at the time of the tire failure, but trying to chase down Denny Hamlin, who was leading and in turn leading the championship. If Byron had an 11-point lead over Larson, he would not have been pushing to beat Hamlin, especially since Hamlin would have been 103 points behind Byron in seventh and would have been mathematically eliminated prior to the finale. 

Byron would have also scored stage points and he would have had 18 points after winning the first stage while finishing third in the other. Larson would have scored only 12 points. That means Byron's lead would effectively have been up to 17 points. 

Byron could let Larson ahead at that point. He would have had a 16-position cushion to play with. Byron could have taken it easy and instead of running in the top five, could have been fine running eighth or ninth. If he was driving that way, he likely doesn't lose a tire, he doesn't have an accident, and he likely would have done enough to win the championship. 

This is why we cannot just take the results as they play out in this system and say if there was a full-season aggregate the champion would have been this or that driver. Based on the points, Larson would have been champion, but if Byron had entered the finale with an 11-point lead over Larson instead of being equal with Denny Hamlin and Christopher Bell also contending for the championship, he would likely not have been in that exact same position that led to a flat tire. 

The Interlagos Obsession
This came to mind this weekend during the Formula One finale. 

Many were bemoaning another dud of a race from Yas Marina, and rightfully so. The Abu Dhabi Grand Prix has been on the calendar for nearly 20 years now, and Yas Marina has never produced a truly good race. That is with multiple regulations and rulesets. At some point, it is the racetrack that is the issue.

At the same time, there was that crowd saying essentially they would chew their arm off to have Interlagos return as the finale and calling it Interlagos' rightful place for the finale...

But is that true?

Interlagos didn't host a Formula One finale until 2004. It then was the finale from 2006 through 2008 and then returned to the finale spot from 2011 through 2013. That is only seven seasons with Interlagos hosting the finale. 

Is the desire for Interlagos to be the finale because of tradition or because it hosted the 2007 finale, where it was a three-driver fight and Kimi Räikkönen won the title entering third; it hosted the 2008 finale and the famous "Is that Glock?" moment with Felipe Massa being champion for about 30 seconds before Lewis Hamilton swept through; and it hosted the 2012 finale where Sebastian Vettel spun early and then had to fight back in changing conditions to defeat Fernando Alonso for the title? 

I think we have a collective that remembers three races and thinks that is how every Interlagos finale played out. The 2004 finale was a dead-rubber. The 2006 finale saw Fernando Alonso leading Michael Schumacher by ten points and the only way Schumacher could win the title was with a victory and Alonso failing to score a point. The 2011 race is the one where Sebastian Vettel had a gearbox issue and limbed to second while Mark Webber won. The 2013 race capped off Vettel's nine-race winning streak. 

The truth is Interlagos is more likely to produce a competitive and thrilling race than Abu Dhabi, but let's stop acting like we lost a tradition. Formula One had completed over 50 seasons before Interlagos ever had a finale. Adelaide hasn't been on the schedule in three decades and it has still hosted more finales than Interlagos. Mexico City has hosted more finales than Interlagos, and it last hosted the final race since 1970. 

I am tired of Abu Dhabi as well. I wish there was another venue that was hosting the final race. But stop acting like the finale not being at Interlagos is some travesty and rejection of tradition. It was never a tradition. 

Winners From the Weekend
You know about Verstappen and Norris, but did you know...

Arvid Lindblad (sprint) and Joshua Dürksen (feature) split the Formula Two races from Abu Dhabi.

Jake Dennis won the São Paulo ePrix.

Coming Up This Weekend
The Asian Le Mans Series opens with a pair of four-hour races from Sepang.




Thursday, December 4, 2025

2025 Sports Car Predictions: Revisited

Sports car season is over. Sports car season is about to begin. Most series are over and are settled into the offseason. One series is about to start.

We revisit our sports car predictions for 2025 as the 2025-26 Asian Le Mans Series is about to begin. Over December 13-14, ALMS has a pair of four-hour races from Sepang, and the Sepang 12 Hours is this weekend, but none of those events will change any of the results for the predictions we made for the year 2025. All of these are set. 

FIA World Endurance Championships
1. The pole-sitter will be classified in at least seven of eight races
Correct!

After the pole-sitter retired from three of eight races in 2024, this season saw the pole-sitter finish every race in the 2025. In fact, five times did the pole-sitter finish on the podium this season after the pole-sitter finished only five of eight races total in 2024. Last season, the pole-sitter had only two podium finishes with only one victory. In 2025, the WEC pole-sitter won three races.

2. At least two manufacturers that did not win in LMGT3 in 2024 do win in 2025
Correct!

We were halfway there through the first race of the season as the #33 TF Sport Corvette of Jonny Edgar, Daniel Juncadella and Ben Keating won in Qatar after Corvette went winless in 2024. It would take a minute, but Lexus took victory in São Paulo with the #87 Akkodis ASP Team and José María López, Clemens Scmid and Razvan Umbrarescu, making that two new winners among manufacturers. 

But we aren't done yet! At the next round at Austin, United Autosports took victory in the #95 McLaren with Sean Geleal, Darren Leung and Marino Sato. That's three new manufacturers!

To add to it, TF Sport won again at Fuji, but this time with the #81 Corvette, and the #87 Akkodis ASP Team Lexus won again at Bahrain. In the final four races of 2025, each LMGT3 race had a winner that was a manufacturer that did not win in 2024. 

Porsche won twice (Imola and Le Mans). Ferrari won once (Spa-Francorchamps). BMW and Aston Martin went winless in 2025 after each won a race in 2024.

3. Each Cadillac entry will get a podium finish
Correct!

And it happened in the same race as Hertz Team Jota Cadillac went 1-2 at the 6 Hours of São Paulo. The #12 Cadillac of Alex Lynn, Norman Nato and Will Stevens took the victory ahead of the #38 Cadillac of Earl Bamber, Sébastien Bourdais and Jenson Button.

Outside of those finishes, Cadillac didn't finish on the podium in any other race this season. Cadillac was looking good at the season opener at Qatar... and then the two cars collided under safety car and took each other out of contention for a podium. The #12 Cadillac was fourth at Le Mans. The #38 Cadillac had four finishes outside the top ten in 2025. 

4. There will be at least two overall winners with a driver winning in his home country
Incorrect!

It only happened once. Ferrari won at Imola, and Antonio Giovinazzi and Alessandro Pier Guidi were home winners in the #51 Ferrari. Outside of that, we did not see another home winner. 

There were no Qatari, Brazilian, American or Bahraini drivers that competed in Hypercars this season. 

At Spa-Francorchamps, the best finishing Belgian was Laurens Vanthoor in ninth. Frenchman Kévin Estre was second at Le Mans. Kamui Kobayashi was the top Japanese driver at Fuji, finishing seventh. 

Other than at Le Mans, this wasn't really close to happening a second time.

IMSA
5. The overall pole-sitter will win consecutive races at some point
Incorrect!

After going winless in 2024 and having a 12-race winless streak dating back to 2023, the pole-sitter did finally win an IMSA race in 2025. It took five races as the #93 Meyer Shank Racing Acura of Nick Yelloly and Renger van der Zande won at Detroit. However, it was not followed with another pole-sitter victory. 

The pole-sitter would not win again until Indianapolis when the #31 Whelen Racing Cadillac of Jack Aitken, Earl Bamber and Frederik Vesti finished first. This was also the penultimate race of the season, which meant the winner at Petit Le Mans had to start on pole position for this prediction to be correct.

The #60 Meyer Shank Racing Acura won pole position, but the entry finished fifth in the race. 

6. At least three LMP2 races feature a class winner with a Formula One-experienced driver
Incorrect!

Daytona started with a Formula One-experienced driver winning. Initially, Sébastien Bourdais won with Tower Motorsports, but Tower was disqualified for excessive wear to the skid block underneath the car. However, another Formula One-experienced driver was elevated to the race victory. That was Paul di Resta with United Autosports.

It wasn't di Resta's only victory, as he won at Watkins Glen with United. However, those were the only victories this season for Formula One-experienced drivers won in LMP2.

Sébastien Bourdais came close to victory at Sebring as Tower Motorsports was second. Pietro Fittipaldi ran a full season with Pratt Miller Motorsports, but Fittipaldi's best finish in class was sixth. 

The only other past F1 driver to run in LMP2 in 2025 was Felipe Massa, who only ran at the 24 Hours of Daytona with Riley Motorsports. Massa was second.

7. The top three in the GTD Pro Endurance Cup championship will all be full-time entries
Correct!

The #48 Paul Miller Racing BMW won the Endurance Cup championship in GTD Pro with the #1 Paul Miller Racing BMW finishing second in the Endurance Cup, and the #77 AO Racing Porsche was third. 

All three of those teams were full-time teams. The #48 BMW was fourth in the overall championship with the #77 Porsche in fifth while the #1 BMW finished seventh. All three cars won races in 2025. The #48 BMW won at Watkins Glen and Road Atlanta. AO Racing won Sebring and Laguna Seca. The #1 BMW won at Road America.

8. Renger van der Zande's winning streak ends at eight consecutive seasons
Incorrect!

Van der Zande and co-driver Nick Yelloly won at Detroit, from pole position as you may have heard, and van der Zande has now won an IMSA race in the premier class in nine consecutive seasons. 

Van der Zande has actually won a race in all 12 seasons since the Grand-Am/American Le Mans Series merger. In those first three seasons, van der Zande ran in the Prototype Challenge class, and he won a race in each of those years, including winning overall at Lime Rock Park in a Prototype Challenge/GT race in 2016. Van der Zande was the PC champion in 2016 with Alex Popow and Starworks Motorsport. 

The #93 Acura was fifth in the GTP championship with additional podium finishes at Sebring and Road America. Each of those were third-place finishes. The #93 Acura did win three consecutive pole positions over Detroit, Watkins Glen and Road America.

European Le Mans Series
9. At least two different Americans win a race
Correct... kind of

I don't like a class inside of a class. In ELMS, there is the LMP2 class, but there is also the LMP2 Pro-Am class. LMP2 entries with a bonze-rated driver are placed in the LMP2 Pro-Am class. It is essentially the same class, only one of the drivers is seen as more amateur than others in those entries. 

Based on the ELMS structure, three American drivers won in 2025. P.J. Hyett and Dane Cameron were co-drivers in the #99 AO by TF Oreca, and they won at Imola with Louis Delétraz. Boom! Prediction correct right there, but to add insurance, Rodrigo Sales won in LMP2 Pro-Am with TDS Racing.

In LMP2 Pro-Am, three American drivers won a race. In LMP2, LMP3 and LMGT3, there were no American winners.

10. LMGT3 will have different British drivers win in consecutive races
Incorrect!

There were no British winners in LMGT3 in 2025. Since 2021, only three times has a British driver to win in the GT class in ELMS. Duncan Cameron won at Monza in 2021 with Spirit of Race. Sam De Haan won at Imola in 2022 with Oman Racing with TF Sport. In 2024, Cameron won at Circuit Paul Ricard with Spirit of Race.

Other
11. The closest finish in an Intercontinental GT Challenge race will be greater than four seconds 
Incorrect!

This prediction was looking good. 

At the Bathurst 12 Hour, the #32 Team WRT BMW won over the #46 Team WRT BMW by 10.244 seconds. 

The Nürburgring 24 Hour is a bit of a mess because the #911 Manthey EMA Porsche was first on the road, but received a one-minute and 40-second penalty for causing a collision during the race. This elevated the #99 Rowe Racing BMW to first-place overall, and the listed margin of victory was 1:17.810. Even if we got based on the margin of victory on the road, the #911 Porsche was more than four seconds ahead of the #99 BMW.

Grasser Racing Team won the 24 Hours of Spa by 8.703 seconds over the Rutronik Racing Porsche. Team WRT won the Suzuka 1000 km by 13.647 seconds over Absolute Racing. 

What happened in the final IGTC race, the Indianapolis 8 Hour?

Team WRT won by 0.805 seconds over Mercedes-AMG Team GMR.

Yep. So close. At least Indianapolis was a good finish.

12. Ben Barnicoat will win a proper class on at least three different continents in at least two different championships
Incorrect!

This one hurts because Ben Barnicoat was hurt for most of 2025. After a mountain biking accident in the middle of March, Barnicoat was sidelined until June. 

Prior to that biking accident, Barnicoat had raced only once in IMSA and once in WEC. He had also raced in four Asian Le Mans Series races, and he won the first race from the Dubai Autodrome in the #96 2 Seas Motorsport Mercedes-AMG on February 8. 

That was Barnicoat's only victory of the season. In IMSA, he ran seven races but his best finish with Vasser Sullivan Racing was fifth at Indianapolis. In WEC, he ran four races, but his best finish was the first race of the season, fourth at Qatar. 

I don't know how much the cycling accident affected this prediction, but it certainly did not help. 

Five-for-12. 

It wasn't even a strong 5-for-12. One of those is correct on a technicality (Thanks LMP2 Pro-Am). There were a few close ones. It always feels like there are few close ones. I hate to think I have to take driver's training programs into consideration when making predictions, but it might be good to keep in mind moving forward. More drivers should be swimmers. 


Monday, December 1, 2025

Musings From the Weekend: Which One-Time Indianapolis 500 Winner Deserves a Second the Most?

Here is a rundown of what got me thinking...

McLaren has kept the championship alive into the Abu Dhabi finale, and it is a three-horse race as Max Verstappen won in Qatar, Oscar Piastri won the sprint race, and Lando Norris leads the World Drivers’ Championship by 12 points over Verstappen and 16 points over Piastri. Formula Two was back in competition after two months off. The Supercars championship decided the title with a playoff format for the first time, and it was not well received. The World Rally Championship went down to the final day, and it was a lively finale. It was a holiday weekend, and this has actually been on my mind for two weeks, but I am keeping it light. 

Which One-Time Indianapolis 500 Winner Deserves a Second the Most?
This question came to me when Ryan Hunter-Reay was on Trackside with Curt Cavin and Kevin Lee a few weeks ago when Hunter-Reay was speaking about his deal to drive for Arrow McLaren in next year’s Indianapolis 500. 

Hunter-Reay was possibly one clean pit stop away from pulling off an incredible Indianapolis 500 victory this past May with Dreyer & Reinbold Racing with a backup car that was literally pulled from the back of the D&R shop and only had about a lap-and-a-half of an installation run under it after sitting unused for years. It was stunning Hunter-Reay put himself that close to victory that not winning the race should not completely erase the story of his day and the resiliency of driver and team.

For Hunter-Reay, it was at least fourth time he had a shout at an Indianapolis 500 victory and it was not his day. He isn’t the first driver to have a number of close calls but not have it work out a second time. 

But where does Hunter-Reay rank among deserving a second Indianapolis 500 among the one-time winners? 

Let’s set the table. 

Fifty-five drivers have only one Indianapolis 500 victory to their name. We are only considering those 55. We are not considering drivers who never won it but had a case for at least one. We are not considering multi-time winners and whether or not they deserve a third, fourth, fifth or sixth. It is the 55 drivers with one victory to their name. 

The 55 drivers can be broken into a few different groups. 

Some drivers not only deserve a second but also a third and possibly a fourth. Some may deserve a second. Some are good with one, and for some, one victory is generous. There are also a few special cases. We are going to break down those drivers in such group, starting with those who should be thankful they had one Indianapolis 500 victory to their name before ending with the most deserving. 

One Victory is Generous
Joe Dawson won the 2nd Indianapolis 500 after Ralph DePalma broke down two laps from the finish nd with a five-lap lead. DePalma had led 196 of the first 198 laps. Dawson led the final two laps. He was fifth in 1911 and returned for one more start in 1914 where he only completed 45 laps.

Ralph DePalma had a two-lap lead in 1920 before his car stalled out with 14 laps remaining. Gaston Chevrolet came through and led the final 14 laps. DePalma didn’t even lead the most laps in this race, but it was Chevrolet who benefitted the most as attrition was a deciding factor.

Two drivers have won the Indianapolis 500 and never led a lap in the race. That would be the co-winner years, L.L. Corum in 1924 and Floyd Davis in 1941. Corum was taken out of the car while in third and Joe Boyer drove the car to victory. Davis had done 72 laps and was 12th when Mauri Rose took over. Both Corum and Davis contributed to the victories. I don’t think Davis would have done enough to pull off the victory in 1941. Corum may have been able to win in 1924 as Jimmy Murphy and Earl Cooper each had cut tires while leading. Cooper had a second cut tire as he was chasing Boyer.

Graham Hill was in the right place at the right time in 1966. Jackie Stewart broke down while leading with ten laps remaining. It was also a race where Jim Clark spun multiple times and Clark would finishing second, just over 40 seconds behind Hill. It was also a race where Lloyd Ruby led the most laps and a slow pit stop cost Ruby multiple laps. It is also the race where 11 cars were out of the race on the opening lap due to an accident. It was Hill’s lucky day.

One is Generous, but He Arguably Could Have Two
A.K.A the Marcus Ericsson zone. 

Ericsson is lucky to have one, and also maybe should have two. 

If Scott Dixon doesn’t speed entering the pit lane for his final pit stop in 2022, Marcus Ericsson is not winning that race. However, with how the 2023 race ended with Ericsson leading when the race was restarted with one lap remaining and seeing Josef Newgarden pass Ericsson entering the turn three on the final lap, he maybe should have one, if not two.

Ericsson benefitted from circumstances in 2022, and did not benefit from circumstances in 2023. The 2023 race was such a mess of a finish with the red flags and accidents, it is hard to feel too bad about how it ended. Someone was going to feel cheated. Ericsson exists in this special territory. 

The Goldilocks Zone - One is Just Right
This is a rather large group. It is actually the largest group. Most drivers are good with just one Indianapolis 500 victory. To be specific, 35 drivers.

Ray Harroun only ran one Indianapolis 500 and he won it. He’s good. 

Jules Goux is good on one. Goux led 139 laps in his Indianapolis 500 career, 138 of those were in his 1913 victory. 

René Thomas won in 1914 with 102 laps led. Thomas was second in 1920, but we have already covered the 1920 race. 

Dario Resta won the only Indianapolis 500 not scheduled for 500 miles. The 1916 race was only a 300-miler. Resta led 103 of 120 laps. He was second the year prior, but rightfully second. 

Jimmy Murphy was one of the best drivers ever at Indianapolis, but his 1922 victory is good enough for his career. He was fourth, 14th, first, third and third in his five Indianapolis 500 starts, but one is just right for him.

Joe Boyer won the 1924 as a relief driver and benefitting from two competitors having tire failures. But Boyer led 93 of the first 107 laps in 1920. Boyer got even for a race lost. 

Peter DePaolo dominated the 1925 race with 115 laps. He only had two other top ten finishes at Indianapolis. 

George Souders won as a rookie in 1927, and he was third in his only other start in 1928, but he was good on one. 

Ray Keech only made two “500” starts, fourth in 1928 and first in 1929. Keech lost his life in an accident at Altoona less than a month after his Indianapolis victory. 

Louis Schneider only led 39 laps at Indianapolis, all in his 1931 victory. He was outside the top ten in four of six starts. 

Fred Frame won in 1932 a year after finishing second. One is historically accurate for Frame. 

Bill Cummings won in 1934. He had two other top five finishes. 

Kelly Petillo’s victory in 1935 was his only top ten finish at Indianapolis. He led 102 laps in that race and only six more laps in his other eight Indianapolis starts. Those six laps all came in 1934.

Floyd Roberts only led in one Indianapolis 500, the one he won in 1938. He led 92 laps.

George Robson won in 1946 after being 23rd and 25th and never completing more than 67 laps in his first two starts.

Johnnie Parsons was second and first in his first two Indianapolis 500 starts. Parsons won a rain-shortened race in 1950, but he led 115 of 138 laps run. He only had one other top five finish in his final eight “500” starts.

Lee Wallard won the only “500” he was truly competitive in. He led 159 of 200 laps in 1951.

Troy Ruttman won in 1952 with 44 laps led. He had one other top ten finish in his 12 Indianapolis starts.

Bob Sweikert won in 1955 after Bill Vukovich’s fatal accident. Sweikert did lead 86 laps, but it was the only time he led an Indianapolis 500.

Pat Flaherty won in 1956, and he never finished better than tenth in any other Indianapolis start.

Sam Hanks is most remembered for winning in his final Indianapolis 500 start, but he only led four laps in his first 12 appearances in the race.

Jimmy Bryan was second in 1954 and third in 1957, but his victory in 1958 is just the right amount of success. 

Jim Rathmann did finish second in the Indianapolis 500 on three separate occasions before he won in 1960, but one is enough for Rathmann. 

Mark Donohue started fourth, fifth, second, third and third at Indianapolis in his career. He had finishes of seventh, second, 25th after the gearbox failed him while dominating the first quarter of the 1971 race before he won in 1972 and was 15th in 1973. You could make a case Donohue was fortunate to have won because he won in 1972 after Team Penske teammate Gary Bettenhausen broke down while leading, and Jerry Grant had to make a late pit stop for fuel, stopping in his teammate Bobby Unser’s pit box to get fuel. However, 1972 somewhat cancels out 1971.

Like Jim Rathmann, Tom Sneva had three runner-up finishes at Indianapolis before he won, but in none of those three races did Sneva lead more than 16 laps, and each of those races had a driver lead more than 100. After he won in 1983, Sneva’s best finish in his final eight “500” starts was 14th.

Bobby Rahal won in 1986, but only one other time did he lead more than 15 laps in the race. There really isn’t another year where you feel one got away from Rahal.

Jacques Villeneuve made three Indianapolis 500 starts. He went second, first and 14th in 2014 after 19 years away. He didn’t deserve 1994. He drove from two laps down in 1995. History represents Villeneuve accurately.

I was tempted to put Buddy Lazier in the generous group because of The Split, but Lazier won the race with a broken back. Give it to him.

I was also tempted to put Eddie Cheever in the same group, but Cheever did lead 76 laps from 17th on the grid, the most in the race, as he won in 1998.

You may think Kenny Bräck should be in the generous group because Bräck won after Robby Gordon had to pit for a splash a fuel before starting the final lap in 1999, but Gordon wasn’t the best driver that day. Bräck was with 66 laps led, the most in the race. 

It sucks that Gil de Ferran only made four Indianapolis 500 starts in his career. He thankfully won one of those as he was brilliant.

Buddy Rice may have only one top five finish at Indianapolis in six starts, but he won from pole position and led 91 of 180 laps completed before the rain came in. Rice deserved that victory in 2004.

Sam Hornish, Jr.’s track record at Indianapolis is not great, but he did win in 2006 in one of the most memorable finishes. He was a little fortunate to win in 2006, but considering he was a three-time champion at a time when the series was oval-dominant in the Indy Racing League, it would have felt more odd if Hornish, Jr, had never won one. 

One victory is good enough for Will Power. The only other close call was 2015 where he lost in a semi-close finish to Juan Pablo Montoya. Only once has Power led more than 23 laps at Indianapolis, and that was the year he won in 2018 with 59 laps led. Since that victory, he has led a combined ten laps in his last seven “500” starts. 

Simon Pagenaud won the 2019 race from pole position with 116 laps led. In his other 11 Indianapolis starts, Pagenaud had only one other top five finish. 

Technically, He Has Won Twice
A.K.A the Howdy Wilcox zone. 

Wilcox won the 1919 race with 98 laps led. Prior to that, he had led only six laps in his first six Indianapolis starts and his best finish was sixth. In his final four Indianapolis starts, Wilcox never completed more than 65 laps.

In his final Indianapolis 500 appearance in 1923, Wilcox led 11 of the first 60 before his engine failed while leading. However, Wilcox took over for Tommy Milton, who had burned hands that needed to be treated. Wilcox drove 48 laps in relief and led 41 of them. Milton returned to his car and drove the final 49 laps on his way to victory. 

Unfortunately, the history book only recognizes co-winners when a different driver takes the checkered flag from the driver who started the race. Wilcox is credited in the record book with the 41 laps led in Milton’s car, but he does not get credit for the victory. 

Though he should, as should a number of other drivers who took a spin behind the wheel of a winning Indianapolis 500 entry.  

A Good Case for a Second
This is where we get to the countdown because there are 13 drivers with respectable cases as for deserving a second victory. 

13. Danny Sullivan
Sullivan had the spin-and-win in 1985, but he had led 91 of the first 94 laps in 1988. A pit stop under caution shuffled Sullivan back to fourth and the cars ahead of him were Jim Crawford and his Team Penske teammates Rick Mears and Al Unser. However, Sullivan had a front wing issue that led to accident on lap 102. 

Sullivan only led the Indianapolis 500 three times in his career, 1985, 1987 and 1988. Mears cruised to victory with Sullivan out in 1988, leading the final 78 laps. It would have been difficult to beat Mears, but Sullivan had a great race going in 1988 and likely could have given Mears a challenge.

12. Álex Palou
This doesn’t feel a little knee-jerk, but the 2025 winner was leading in 2021 with three laps to go. In his sophomore Indianapolis 500, Palou led 35 laps. He lost to Hélio Castroneves making a bold move into turn one and then using traffic to stall out a challenge from Palou. If it was any of about 28 other drivers behind Palou in that race, I don’t think they could have pulled out what Castroneves did to win. 

11. Frank Lockhart
Lockhart only made two Indianapolis starts. As a rookie, he won in 1926 with 95 laps led. He went from 20th to fifth in the first five laps. The race was called due to rain at lap 160 but Lockhart had a two-lap lead at the time. In 1927, Lockhart qualified on pole position and he led 110 of the first 119 laps but retired on lap 120 when a connecting rod broke. Lockhart lost his life on April 25, 1928 in Daytona Beach, Florida in an accident attempting to set a land speed record.

10. Tony Kanaan
Kanaan had a few chances to win before he won in 2013. As a rookie, Kanaan had led 23 of the first 89 laps before he spun in some oil ending his race in 2002. However, 2002 is more remembered for Tomas Scheckter leading 85 laps before hitting the wall while leading. In 2005, Kanaan led 54 laps from pole position, but fell back to eighth. However, 2005 was a race where Sam Hornish, Jr. led the most laps, 77.

The one that got away from Kanaan was 2007. When the first rain delay came, Kanaan was leading and he had led majority of the laps. However, the race restarted and the pit stops cycled Kanaan back when the second, and final, delay came. Kanaan ended 12th with 83 laps led while Dario Franchitti won. 

It feels like Kanaan should have one more.

9.  Billy Arnold
Arnold won the 1930 race with 198 laps led, still the record for most led. In 1931, Arnold led 155 of the first 161 laps. On lap 162, Arnold suffered a tire failure and his race ended. In 1932, Arnold led 57 of the first 58 laps before having an accident in turn three. This accident broke Arnold’s shoulder and ended his career. 

The Most Deserving for a Second
8. Alexander Rossi
Rossi may have pulled out one of the more unthinkable victories in 2016 when he stretched his fuel and coasted to victory as a rookie, but pretty much every year since, Rossi has been in contention for victory. He was one of the best cars in 2017 as Andretti Autosport controlled that race for the most part. With 23 laps led, it was the fourth-most on the day, but the pit cycle shuffled Rossi back to seventh. In 2018, Rossi went from 32nd to fourth, and if Rossi doesn’t have a tire puncture on his final qualifying run when everyone was made to qualify twice, he likely doesn’t spend 200 laps chasing from behind.

Simon Pagenaud dominated the 2019 race, but without the late caution for Graham Rahal and Sébastien Bourdais coming together in turn three, Rossi would have won that race as Pagenaud had to save fuel while Rossi had just taken the lead and had plenty of fuel to make it. Without that caution, Pagenaud would have likely lost another few spots, and Rossi would have taken a comfortable victory. Instead, we had a tight battle to the finish, and Pagenaud was able to fight back and defeat Rossi.

In 2020, Rossi was on Scott Dixon’s heels the entire race before Rossi was issued a penalty for contact with Takuma Sato in the pit lane. Rossi ended up outside the top twenty and would have an accident attempting to get back to the front. Sato won the race leap-frogging Dixon in the final pit cycle.

In ten Indianapolis starts, Rossi has six top five finishes.

7. Bill Holland
If it wasn’t for ignored team orders, and better communication from Lou Moore’s team that his lead was under threat, Bill Holland would have won as a rookie in 1947. Holland led 143 laps but Mauri Rose took the lead when Holland thought he had a lap on Rose when he was overtaken with eight laps remaining. Holland went second, second, first, second and 15th in his Indianapolis career. Holland is still ranked 20th all-time in Indianapolis 500 laps led. 

6. Ryan Hunter-Reay
Hunter-Reay maybe should have won the year before he actual won at Indianapolis. He was leading at the time of the final restart with three laps to go. Tony Kanaan passed him into turn one, and about ten seconds later, Dario Franchitti spun and the race ended under caution.

In 2016, Hunter-Reay had one of the best cars, leading 52 laps. The next closest driver was James Hinchcliffe with 27 laps led. However, Hunter-Reay’s race was altered when Townsend Bell made contact with his Andretti Autosport teammate in the pit lane. Both drivers had a shot for victory, but each lost a lap for repairs just after halfway. Hunter-Reay did play a role in Alexander Rossi’s victory as Hunter-Reay towed Rossi around, helping Rossi save the fuel he needed to win the race.

Hunter-Reay was one of the Honda drivers to lose an engine in 2017 when running at the front. He led the second-most laps in that race and he was still in contention when his engine expired on lap 137.

People forget that Hunter-Reay was in the top five in 2021 before he sped entering the pit lane on his final pit stop. He might not have been the most deserving winner that day, but if he didn’t speed, Hunter-Reay would have been up there and could have pulled off what Castroneves did. 

Then there was 2025. Hunter-Reay was one clean stop away from likely winning this race. There is a chance Hunter-Reay would have gotten out of the pit lane ahead of the Devlin DeFrancesco and Louis Foster, meaning he would have had two lapped cars between him, Marcus Ericsson and Álex Palou. If that was the case, Hunter-Reay likely holds on for the final 30 laps without much of a threat.

5. Jim Clark
Clark likely should have won as a rookie in 1963. There is a good case that Parnelli Jones should have been penalized and waved in when his car was leaking oil. In 1964, Clark was leading when his suspension failed on lap 47. Then there was Clark’s historic victory in 1965, and in 1966, Clark was one of the better cars but a pair of spins cost him time and ultimately allowed Graham Hill to win when Jackie Stewart broke down. 

For four consecutive years, Clark was one of the best drivers at Indianapolis. He didn’t get a break in one year, the car broke on him in the next, and in the other, Clark didn’t have a clean race that cost him victory. 

4. Parnelli Jones
We are looking at a driver that could have been a four-time winner. As a sophomore in 1962, Jones led 120 of the first 125 laps, but he was having brake issues and had to nurse the car for the remainder of the race and ultimately finished seventh. Even with the possible penalty for the oil leak in 1963, Jones did lead 167 laps. He was the best driver that day. 

Jones had just inherited the lead when Clark broke down in 1964, but after seven laps in the lead, Jones’ race ended due to a pit fire. A.J. Foyt led the remaining 146 laps without much of a challenge from the rest of the competition. 

Then there is 1967 when a $5 part cost the STP-Paxton Turbocar a victory as a bearing broke when Jones led with four laps remaining. Jones had led 171 laps up to that point. 

3. Scott Dixon
On six occasions has Dixon led the most laps in the Indianapolis 500. Only once has he won.

His best cases for a second were 2012, where Dixon led the second-most laps actually, but he spent a fair amount of the race ahead of both Dario Franchitti and Takuma Sato, only for the race to come down to those two battling into turn one on the final lap.

The real years that stand out are 2020, when Dixon led the most laps and a slightly slower than average pit stop cost him the lead on the final pit cycle, and Dixon was unable to pass Takuma Sato, and then there was 2022, when Dixon had the race won and sped entering the pit lane for his final stop. The stop was fine, the entry is what cost him, and he lost a guaranteed victory.

2. Mario Andretti
For how great Andretti was and as synonymous as he is with heartbreak at Indianapolis, there are only two real cases he has, but they are tough to swallow, and 1981 is not one of them.

He would have won 1981 on a technicality, and Andretti passed cars on the apron after making a pit stop just like Bobby Unser, only Andretti had not passed as many. 

The real years are 1985 and 1987.

In 1985, Andretti was in a tight battle with Danny Sullivan the entire race. Andretti led over half the race, and when Sullivan spun, it felt like it was going to be Andretti’s day, but Sullivan came back and took the lead only 20 laps after the spin on a similar move in turn one. Only 2.477 seconds separated the drivers at the checkered flag.

In 1987, Andretti had a lap on the field and no one was close to touching him. However, after leading 170 of 177 laps, he slowed due to an engine issue, and this took Andretti out of the race. It is believed pacing himself in those final laps led to a harmonic imbalance in the car, leading to a broken value spring. 

1. Ralph DePalma
DePalma has nearly a handful of races that got away from him.

The car broke down with two laps to go while DePalma had a five-lap lead in 1912. He led 196 of 200 laps.

DePalma led 93 of the first 102 laps in 1919 before tire issues forced a lengthy pit stop and took him out of contention. 

In 1920, he had a two-lap lead when mechanical issues caused him to stop on track with 14 laps remaining. 

The following year saw DePalma lead 108 of the first 110 laps before a connecting rod broke. 

At the end of the 1921 race, DePalma had led 612 laps of 1,720 laps run in the first nine Indianapolis 500s. The next closest drivers on laps led was Dario Resta on 140. DePalma would be the all-time leader in Indianapolis 500 laps led until the final lap of the 1987 race when Al Unser took the checkered flag for his fourth victory. DePalma was the all-time leader for 75 years. His last Indianapolis 500 start was a century ago, and he is still third all-time. The man could have been a five-time winner in the first decade of the race. Nobody deserves a second more than DePalma.

We all know how difficult it is to win the Indianapolis 500, and there is no better example in that three of the top four drivers in laps led in the event each only won once. There may be a driver or two who get off this list. There will more likely be another half-dozen who join it. 

Champions From the Weekend

Leonardo Fornaroli clinched the Formula Two championships with finishes of sixth and second at Qatar.

Sébastien Ogier clinched the World Rally Championship with a third-place finish in Rally Saudi Arabia while Elfyn Evans was sixth and Kalle Rovanperä was seventh. It was Ogier’s ninth World Rally Championship, tying Sébastien Loeb’s record. 

Chaz Mostert clinched the Supercars championship with three consecutive finishes of second at Adelaide while Will Brown went ninth, fourth and third; Broc Freeney went fourth, first and 20th after an opening lap spin and engine issues; and Kai Allen went fifth, fifth and fourth.

Winners From the Weekend
You know about Verstappen and Piastri, but did you know....

Richard Verschoor (sprint) and Victor Martins (feature) split the Formula Two races from Qatar.

Brodie Kostecki and Matt Payne won the other two Supercars races from Adelaide.

Thierry Neville won Rally Saudi Arabia.

Coming Up This Weekend
The Formula One season ends in Abu Dhabi.
The Formula E season begins in São Paulo.