With Fontana two weeks away and the championship on the line, it is time to look at the possible outcomes and what has to happen for each driver to win the championship.
Ryan Hunter-Reay simply must finish seventeen points ahead of Will Power to win the championship on a tiebreaker. The minimum amount of points Hunter-Reay can score and still win the championship is 27 points. Here are the scenarios for Hunter-Reay to be champion:
RHR scores 53 points: Power must finishes 3rd or worse.
52: Power: 3rd or worse, score no bonus points.
51: Power: 3rd or worse, score no bonus points.
50: Power: 4th or worse, score no more than one bonus point.
43: Power: 7th or worse, score no bonus points.
42: Power: 8th or worse, score no more than one bonus point.
41: Power: 8th or worse, score no bonus points.
40: Power: 9th or worse, score no more than one bonus point.
38: Power: 10th or worse, score no more than one bonus point.
37: Power: 10th or worse, score no bonus points.
36: Power: 11th or worse, score no bonus points.
35: Power: 12th or worse, score no bonus points
34: Power: 13th or worse, score no bonus points.
33: Power: 14th or worse, score no bonus points.
32: Power: 15th or worse, score no bonus points.
31: Power: 16th or worse, score no bonus points.
30: Power: 17th or worse, score no bonus points.
29: Power: 18th or worse, score no bonus points.
28: Power: 25th or worse, score no more than one bonus point.
27: Power: 25th or worse, score no bonus points.
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