Showing posts with label B12HR. Show all posts
Showing posts with label B12HR. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 31, 2023

Best of the Month: January 2023

One month down and 11 remain in the year 2023. For the first month of the year, there are a number of significant events. It is a smashing start to the year, especially as many more of our favorite events are still to come. A few endurance races are behind us, as are a few rallies. However, things could be better in some areas, and we start this year with a few new ideas.

Dakar's Green Jersey
Another Dakar Rally concluded this month, and the bike class was a sensational battle from start to finish. Halfway through the race, there were eight riders within eight minutes of one another at the top. The bike battle went to the final day with the top three entering the final stage with only a minute and 31 seconds covering them, and on the final stage, Kevin Benavides came from behind to win the Dakar Rally. 

Not every class was that thrilling, and that is part of the Dakar. It is a two-week endurance race. There is a lot of time to lose over the competition, and if one team limits its stoppages and mistakes, it can be a runaway. That was the case in the car class. Nasser Al-Attiyah won by over an hour and 20 minutes over Sébastien Loeb, and Al-Attiyah's lead was over an hour for the final nine stages. 

In the quad class, Alexandre Giroud led by 35 minutes and 31 seconds after the third stage and that was the closest it was over the final 12 stages. Light prototypes, SSV and Trucks were rather class for most of the race only for the tide to turn late, but I think there is a way can turn each stage into more of a competition. 

Loeb won six consecutive stages in the second week of this year's Dakar, but over those six stages, Loeb never got closer than an hour and 21 minutes to Al-Attiyah. All credit to Al-Attiyah, but there is a way to make those stage victories mean something. 

In the Tour de France, there is a green jersey for a points classification. Each stage awards points to the top finishers and there are intermediate points over the course of a stage where points are awarded. It is a competition within a competition. The Tour de France and Dakar have the same organizer, Amaury Sport Organisation. The Dakar could easily adopt this concept, using the FIA points system to award the top ten finishers at each stage and give competitors a chance to compete for something to the very end without have one or two disastrous stages leave them racing for pride alone. 

Here is what the points classifications would look like based on the 2023 Dakar results for bikes and cars.

Bikes (Difference to overall finish):
1. Toby Price - 151 (+1)
2. Kevin Benavides - 134 (-1)
3. Skyler Howes - 129 (-)
4. Daniel Sanders - 113 (+3)
5. Luciano Benavides - 110 (+1)
6. Pablo Quintanilla - 97 (-2)
7. Adrien Van Beveren - 87 (-2)
8. Mason Klein - 81 (Withdrew)
9. Joan Barreda - 67 (Withdrew)
10. Ross Branch - 64 (+13)

Cars:
1. Sébastien Loeb - 223 (+1)
2. Nasser Al-Attiyah - 176 (-1)
3. Guerlain Chicherit - 154 (+7)
4. Mattias Ekström - 111 (+10)
5. Yazeed Al-Rajhi - 108 (+32)
6. Henk Lategan - 100 (-1)
7. Carlos Sainz - 88 (Withdrew)
8. Jakub Przygoński - 62 (+9)
9. Lucas Moraes - 57 (-6)
10. Vaidotas Žala - 54 (Withdrew)

There would be some changes. Price and Loeb would each have won green jerseys. Benavides and Al-Attiyah would each be second. Some forgotten performances would get highlighted. Audi was not that bad in the car class as the overall results suggest. There were a few accidents and mechanical problems, but the Audi was quick. Ekström was in the top four of the final six stages. Sainz was in the top three in five of the first eight stages prior to his retirement. 

In 2022, Seth Quintero won 12 of 13 stages, but 17 hours lost in stage two due to mechanical failures and penalties meant that he was 16th overall and was left with nothing more than a spot in the record books. Not a bad place to be, but not necessarily receiving the recognition one should get in the moment. 

We would still have the overall classification, and that would remain the big prize, but something else to play for could bring more intrigue into those final stages, and give the competitors something else to shoot for.  

Can we find a better date for the Race of Champions?
Race of Champions took place this past weekend. One problem? It was the same weekend as the 24 Hours of Daytona. 

The Race of Champions once had a good place for itself in the middle of December. The Formula One season had been over for a few months, and testing for the next season wouldn't start until the start of January. IndyCar was in its offseason. NASCAR had just finished its season. Sports cars had been off for months. The World Rally Championship would be in the middle of its offseason, closer to the next season opener, Rallye Monte-Carlo, than the previous season finale. It was a great time. 

Then the world changed. Formula One's schedule expanded. The end of the season inched closer to December and then into December. The FIA World Endurance Championship developed and would race into November in some cases. Formula E emerged and would stage races of its own in December. ROC now takes place after the Dakar Rally, not before. The World Rally Championship doesn't have the same pull. Touring car racing doesn't have the same pull. The December date got squeezed out, and ROC was moved into the new year for some breathing room, but here it was taking place on the same weekend as another major event in the motorsports calendar. 

This year's event took a step back in quality of entrants. For the last seven or eight editions, the field is becoming more dependent retirees. Tom Kristensen has run 15 consecutive Race of Champions. David Coulthard has competed in 15 of the last 16 ROCs, missing only 2010. Mika Häikkinen ran this year. Petter Solberg is an ROC regular. All have been successful drivers, champions in their own right, but in 2023, are they the champions of the moment? 

There were six champions in this year's ROC, in line proportionally with most years since the event moved to stadiums in 2004, but the W Series, Extreme E, eTouring Car World Cup and Nitro Rallycross champions aren't really the upper-echelon of the motorsports world. 

The Formula One title-holder has not competed since 2012, same as the MotoGP title-holder. The most recent WRC title-holder to compete was Sébastien Loeb in 2010! The only WEC title-holder to compete was Timo Bernhard in 2018. The only Formula E champion to compete was the first Formula E champion, Nelson Piquet, Jr. in 2015, oh, and there happened to be a Formula E doubleheader to clash with this year's ROC weekend as well. Australia's Supercars champion hasn't appeared since 2014 and the NASCAR Cup champion hasn't appeared since 2007! That was Jimmie Johnson's second Cup title in case you wanted some context how long ago that was. 

Race of Champions has never been a collection of all the top champions from that season. It averages about five title-holders, about 27.8% of the field, a good mix. Not all great drivers end up being champion that year, but some good ones are being missed, and this weekend didn't help. Location might also be a problem. As fun as it might be to race on ice, it is hard to sell anyone on a trip toward the Arctic Circle this time of year. 

It is difficult to place Race of Champions when the winter has become cluttered with other series, but avoiding one of the biggest endurance races in the world, one that has been held at the same time of year for over six decades, would be a wise first choice. 

This event has incredible potential, it always has and once was a buzzing event, but in the last 20 years, it lives down to what it could be, and that is a great shame. Hopefully once everyone thaws out they can reassess and improve for 2024.

February Preview
The Bathurst 12 Hour returns to February after being canceled in 2021 and moved to May in 2022. After travel restrictions made last year's race less international, this year's race sees the return of many notable drivers and teams.

SunEnergy1 Racing won last year and it will be back with Jules Gounon, Luca Stolz and Kenny Habul in the #75 Mercedes-AMG, looking to become the first drivers to win this race in consecutive years since Christopher Mies and Darryl O'Young in 2011 and 2012. Mies will be in this race in the pro-am #777 Audi for Team MPC with Ricardo Feller and Yasser Shahin. 

Mercedes-AMG has a deep bench of entries alongside the SunEnergy1 team. Triple Eight race has Shane van Gisbergen and Broc Feeney paired with Maximilian Götz in the #888 Mercedes, and the #88 Mercedes has Jamie Whincup, Richie Stanaway and Prince Jeffri Ibrahim in a pro-am entry. Craig Lowndes leads another pro-am Mercedes, this being the #222 Scott Taylor Motorsports entry with Alex Daivson, Geoff Emery and Mr. Scott Taylor himself. 

There are also a few international heavy lineups. Philip Ellis, Nicky Catsburg and Daniel Juncadella will drive the #77 Mercedes for Theodore Racing with Craft-Bamboo while GruppeM Racing has entered the #999 Mercedes for Maro Engel, Mikaël Grenier and Raffaele Marciello. Ellis replaces Lucas Auer, who suffered a back injury in practice ahead of the 24 Hours of Daytona. 

Last year was Mercedes-AMG's second Bathurst 12 Hour victory, nine years after its first. 

Porsche's only Bathurst 12 Hour victory was in 2019, and it will have two cars entered. Manthey EMA Motorsport is the lone pro-class Porsche, the #912 for Matt Campbell, Mathieu Jaminet and Thomas Preining. Earl Bamber Motorsport and Grove Racing will run the #4 Porsche for Anton De Pasquale, Brenton Grove and Stephen Grove in pro-am.

Audi has three Bathurst 12 Hour victories and it looks to tie Mazda for the all-time lead in this race. Beside the #777 Audi, Team MC has the #74 Audi in the pro-class with Christopher Haase, Patric Niederhauser and Mattia Drudi entered. A pair of pro-am Audi to watch will be the #9 Hallmarc Racing entry with Lee Holdsworth, Dean Fiore and Marc Cini, and the #55 Schumacher Motorsports Fuchs Racing Audi with Frédéric Vervisch, James Golding and Brad Schumacher.

Audi's most recent victory came in 2018 with Team WRT, and Teams WRT is back but this time fields a pair of BMWs. Dries Vanthoor was one of the winning drivers five years ago and he will drive the #32 BMW with his usual GT World Challenge co-driver Charles Weerts and 2022 Deutsche Tourenwagen Masters champion Sheldon van der Linde. Team WRT's other car sees the debut of Valentino Rossi at Mount Panorama with Augusto Farfus and Maxime Martin joining the two-wheel legend in the #46 BMW. 

BMW has never won the Bathurst 12 Hour in the GT3-era. The Bavarian constructor's most recent victory in 2010 was with a BMW 335i touring car.

Bathurst again hosts the opening round of the Intercontinental GT Challenge championship on February 5. It will be a quick turnaround as the second round of the championship is the Kyalami 9 Hour February 25. Round three takes place over July 1-2 at the 24 Hours of Spa. The Indianapolis 8 Hour is the penultimate round on October 7 with the Gulf 12 Hours from the Yas Marina Circuit in Abu Dhabi hosting the finale for the second consecutive year on December 10.

This year's Bathurst 12 Hour will begin at 1:45 p.m. Eastern on February 4 in the United States.

Other events of note in February:
NASCAR is back in the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum for the Clash and then it has the Daytona 500.
Formula E has two races scheduled for new venues, Hydrabad and Cape Town.
World Superbike season begins in Philip Island.


Wednesday, January 29, 2020

2020 Bathurst 12 Hour Preview

A week after Daytona the motorsports world turns it eyes to a 12-hour endurance race in Bathurst, Australia on the Mount Panorama Circuit.

For the 19th-time the Bathurst 12 Hour will take place and for the fifth consecutive year this race will be the opening round to the Intercontinental GT Challenge season. The five-race IGTC calendar will feature Bathurst, the 24 Hours of Spa on July 25-26th, Suzuka 10 Hours on August 23rd, the inaugural Indianapolis 8 Hours on October 3rd and the Kyalami 9 Hours on November 22nd.

This year's Bathurst race will feature 11 manufactures. Porsche took the IGTC championship last year, ending Audi's run of three consecutive championships in the first three years of IGTC competition. Porsche driver Dennis Olsen won the drivers' championship, joining Laurens Vanthoor, Markus Winkelhock and Tristan Vautier as the drivers to take that honor. Porsche won three of the five races in the 2019 season after having never won a IGTC race since the introduction of the series.

Porsche will defend its title while Mercedes-AMG will look to breakthrough and gets its first IGTC crown after falling seven points behind Porsche. Audi and BMW made it a clean sweep of the top four in the championship for German manufactures. The other manufactures competing for the championship will be Lamborghini, Bentley, Honda, Aston Martin and Ferrari. Lamborghini and Aston Martin are new to the championship while Nissan has not committed to the full season.

Five different manufactures have won the last five editions of the Bathurst 12 Hour. Nissan won in 2015 with McLaren, Ferrari, Audi and Porsche taking the races since. Mazda has the most Bathurst 12 Hour victories, having won the race four times when it was a touring car race in the 1990s. Audi has three victories while Mitsubishi, BMW and Ferrari each have two victories. Mitsubishi and BMW had all of their victories come when the race was touring car based.

There are 39 entries for this year's Bathurst 12 Hour with 33 Class A entries for GT3 cars, two Class C entries for GT4 cars and four Class I entries for invitational cars. Class A is broken down into three categories, Class A Pro, Class A Pro-Am and Class A Silver. There are 20 Class A-Pro entries, six Class A-PA and seven Class A-SIL entries.

This preview will look at each Class A entry, give you the team, the drivers, reasons why that entry could win this race and reasons why that entry will not win the Bathurst 12 Hour.

#1 Earl Bamber Motorsport Porsche GT3 R
Drivers: Earl Bamber, Laurens Vanthoor, Craig Lowndes
Why this car could win: Earl Bamber Motorsport won this race last year and it is taking the defending IMSA GT Le Mans class champions in Bamber himself and Vanthoor and pairing them with two-time Bathurst 12 Hour winner and seven-time Bathurst 1000 winner Lowndes.
Why this car will not win: This is a completely new lineup from last year's winners, Bamber and Vanthoor are coming over from the 24 Hours of Daytona and Lowndes is not in his prime anymore. On paper, this is a great entry and I think this car will be pushing for the victory but this is not the Porsche team running for the IGTC championship. Politics could play out on the mountain.

#2 Audi Sport Team Valvoline Audi R8 LMS GT3
Drivers: Dries Vanthoor, Christopher Haase, Frédéric Vervisch
Why this car could win: Vanthoor won this race two years ago, Haase is a two-time 24 Hours Nürburgring winner and Vervisch and Vanthoor won the Suzuka 10 Hours last year.
Why this car will not win: Haase has yet to win this race and Vanthoor is coming from Daytona. This is another entry that should be putting up a strong fight.

#4 Grove Racing Porsche GT3 R
Drivers: Stephen Grove, Brenton Grove, Benjamin Barker
Why this car could win: These three drivers have won the last two years at Bathurst in Class B for Porsche GT3 Cup cars.
Why this car will not win: This team has moved up to Class A and this is a much tougher class.

#6 Wall Racing Lamborghini Huracán GT3
Drivers: Adrian Deitz, Tony D'Alberto, Julian Westwood, Camerson McConville
Why this car could win: It will be on the grid is a DJR Team Penske endurance race driver for the three Supercars endurance races with Fabian Coulthard. McConville won the Bathurst 24 Hour in 2002.
Why this car will not win: This is one of the Class A Silver entries.

#7 Bentley Team M-Sport Bentley Continental GT3
Drivers: Jules Gounon, Maxime Soulet, Jordan Pepper
Why this car could win: Gounon and Pepper have a lot of experience together in the GT World Challenge Europe Endurance Series. Soulet has had his success with Bentley. Bentley was on the podium for in 2016 and 2017.
Why this car will not win: In the last two years in the IGTC the best finish for Bentley is sixth.

#8 Bentley Team M-Sport Bentley Continental GT3
Drivers: Alex Buncombe, Oliver Jarvis, Seb Morris
Why this car could win: Jarvis is coming off a runner-up finish in the 24 Hours of Daytona. Buncombe has experience at Bathurst not only in the 12-hour but as a two-time Bathurst 1000 starter.  Buncombe also has a Blancpain Endurance Series championship to his name. Morris was the 2017 British GT champion in the GT3 class.
Why this car will not win: This is Morris' Bathurst debut and, despite Buncombe's Bathurst experience, he has not been to Bathurst since 2017. Jarvis is flying in from Daytona.

#9 Hallmarc Audi R8 LMS GT3
Drivers: Marc Cini, Dean Fiore, Lee Holdsworth
Why this car could win: Fiore and Holdsworth have plenty of Bathurst experience between this race and the Bathurst 1000. Cini is a regular in this event. These three were 11th in last year's race, third amongst the A-PA class.
Why this car will not win: It is a Class A Pro-Am and there are too many Class A Pro entries in this race for a Pro-Am to sneak through and get the victory.

#12 NED Racing Team Porsche GT3 R
Drivers: David Calvert-Jones, Romain Dumas, Jaxon Evans
Why this car could win: Calvert-Jones has won in Class B in this race and he has stood on the overall podium. Dumas is one of the most versatile drivers in the world. Evans is a Porsche Carrera Cup Australia champion and he was in Porsche SuperCup last year.
Why this car will not win: Like the entry above, this is a Pro-Am squad and though I think this might be the top Pro-Am entry, even with Dumas overall victory is asking a lot.

#18 KCMG Nissan GT-R Nismo GT3
Drivers: João Paulo de Oliveira, Edoardo Liberati, Alexandre Imperatori
Why this car could win: De Oliveira is a race winner in Super GT and Super Formula. Liberati and Imperatori ran together in Intercontinental GT Challenge last year. Nissan won this race in 2015. This team led 18 laps in last year's race before finishing seventh.
Why this car will not win: Nissan's best finish in IGTC last year was sixth. There are stronger cars in the field.

#22 Audi Sport Team Valvoline Audi R8 LMS GT3
Drivers: Garth Tander, Christopher Mies, Mirko Bortolotti
Why this car could win: Tander is a three-time Bathurst 1000 winner, he was runner-up last year with Shane van Gisbergen and he won the Bathurst 24 Hour in 2002. Mies has won this race twice. Bortolotti had a lot of success with Lamborghini and in his first two starts with Audi he has look good, finishing third at Daytona in the GTD class.
Why this car will not win: It is hard to argue against this car. Bortolotti is coming from Daytona but Tander and Mies will be ready. Audi won this race two years ago. The one concern is Audi struggled last year. Its best finisher was in ninth and none of the Class A Pro Audis finished the race. Last year's results are going to linger a little bit.

#24 Bostik Australia Audi R8 LMS GT3
Drivers: Tony Bates, Geoff Emery, Max Twigg, Dylan O'Keeffe
Why this car could win: Emery has won three consecutive Australian GT Championships. Twigg was fourth in the Australian GT Championship last year.
Why this car will not win: It is a Class A Silver entry.

#27 HubAuto Corsa Ferrari 488 GT3
Drivers: Marcos Gomes, Tim Slade, Daniel Serra
Why this car could win: Serra has been an ascending driver in sports cars for the last few years and last year he won at Le Mans, Petit Le Mans and picked up his third consecutive Stock Car Brasil championship. Slade knows Mount Panorama and he won the California 8 Hours last year.
Why this car will not win: Gomes is too much of an unknown and this will be Serra's Bathurst debut.

#29 Trofeo Motorsport Lamborghini Huracán GT3
Drivers: Liam Talbot, Dean Canto, Marcel Zallousa, Grant Denyer
Why this car could win: Canto has 21 Bathurst 1000 starts to go with his Bathurst 1000 experience. Denyer has some Bathurst experience but is an amateur driver.
Why this car will not win: This is a Class A Silver entry.

#30 Honda Racing Team JAS Honda NSX GT3
Drivers: Dane Cameron, Renger van der Zande, Mario Farnbacher
Why this car could win: Cameron is coming off an IMSA Daytona Prototype international championship, van der Zande is coming off his second consecutive 24 Hours of Daytona victory, Farnbacher is coming off an IMSA GT Daytona championship. This is a pretty stout trio for Honda to put together.
Why this car will not win: We have yet to see Honda have any great success in IGTC or what will now be known as the GT World Challenge Europe Series. Not to forget mentioning all three of these drivers are coming over from Daytona and van der Zande is the only one with Bathurst experience with that coming in 2016. This will be the first time the Honda NSX GT3 has entered the Bathurst 12 Hour. We are not sure how this car will handle Mount Panorama.

#34 Walkenhorst Motorsport BMW M6 GT3
Drivers: Augusto Farfus, Nicky Catsburg, Chaz Mostert
Why this car could win: Farfus and Mostert are heading to Bathurst fresh off a victory in the 24 Hours of Daytona in the GTD class. Last year, Farfus and Mostert led 68 laps with Martin Tomczyk, the most laps led. Catsburg is coming over fresh off a debut with Corvette at Daytona. Mostest won the Bathurst 1000 in 2014. Walkenhorst Motorsport won the 24 Hours of Spa in 2018.
Why this car will not win: BMW has not won the Bathurst 12 Hours since it became a GT3 race. All three of these drivers are coming from Daytona, two of which are coming off a victory and here is a fun fact: Since adopting GT3 cars in 2011, no Daytona class winner has gone immediately to Bathurst and won the race.

#35 KCMG Nissan GT-R Nismo GT3
Drivers: Josh Burdon, Katsumasa Chiyo, Tsugio Matsuda
Why this car could win: Chiyo won this race in 2015. Matsuda has two Super GT GT500 championships and two Super Formula championships. Burdon and Chiyo were teammates last year in IGTC.
Why this car will not win: The only time Burdon and Chiyo finished in the points last year was sixth at Suzuka.

#46 Black Falcon Mercedes-AMG GT3
Drivers: Patrick Assenheimer, Sergey Afanasiev, Michele Beretta
Why this car could win: Black Falcon has a history of winning endurance races and just won the Dubai 24 Hour.
Why this car will not win: It is a Class A Silver entry.

#59 59Racing McLaren 720S GT3
Drivers: Dominic Storey, Fraser Ross, Martin Kodrić
Why this car could win: It is on the grid. Storey is an Australian GT Championship Endurance champion. Kodrić is a GT World Challenge Asia champion and was third in the International GT Open championship last year.
Why this car will not win: It is a Class A Silver entry.

#60 59Racing/EMA Racing McLaren 720S GT3
Drivers: Álvaro Parente, Ben Barnicoat, Tom Blomqvist
Why this car could win: Parente has had a lot of success with McLaren and won this race in 2016. Barnicoat has spent the last two years running an LMP2 car in European Le Mans Series and Asian Le Mans Series. Blomqvist is making his McLaren debut after five years at BMW where he won a Deutsche Tourenwagen Masters race and ran in Formula E.
Why this car will not win: This lineup is too inexperienced together. It is a pretty good lineup but this car doesn't feel like a race winner right now.

#62 R-Motorsport Aston Martin Vantage AMR GT3
Drivers: Luco Ghiotto, Marvin Kirchhöfer, Oliver Caldwell
Why this car could win: Ghiotto is the latest successful Formula Two driver to leave the path to Formula One for greater pastures in sports car racing. This is his Bathurst debut after being third in the Formula Two championship last year. Kirchhöfer has been picking up respectable results in ADAC GT Masters and he was runner-up in this ace last year. Caldwell is 17 years old and spent 2019 in the Formula Regional European Championship where he was fifth in the title race with one victory.
Why this car will not win: A little bit too inexperienced to win Bathurst this year.

#63 Orange1 FFF Racing Team Lamborghini Huracán GT3
Drivers: Andrea Caldarelli, Marco Mapelli, Dennis Lind
Why this car could win: These three drivers had great success in the Blancpain Endurance Series last year with Lind unfortunately missing the finale while Caldarelli and Mapelli won the race to take the championship. Caldarelli and Mapelli also won the Blancpain Sprint Series title as well to sweep the those championships. Caldrelli is coming off a GTD class victory at Daytona and Mapelli was second in class. Mapelli was second in this race in 2015.
Why this car will not win: Caldarelli and Lind are making Bathurst debuts and Mapelli has not been here since 2016. I think this car could be the surprise of the weekend and be competing at the front but it is a tough field and if it just breaking into the top ten that would be a good result.

#75 SunEnergy1 Racing Mercedes-AMG GT3
Drivers: Kenny Habul, Dominik Baumann, Martin Konrad, David Reynolds
Why this car could win: Reynolds is a Bathurst 1000 winner and has made plenty of starts in this race. Habul was second overall in this race in, albeit with a stack list of co-drivers, Jamie Whincup, Tristan Vautier and Raffaele Marciello.
Why this car will not win: This is a Pro-Am lineup and I think this field is too deep for this entry to win.

#76 R-Motorsport Aston Martin Vantage AMR GT3
Drivers: Jake Dennis, Rick Kelly, Scott Dixon
Why this car could win: Dennis was second in this race last year after a fierce battle with Matt Campbell and Dennis did everything he could to win this race. Kelly is a two-time Bathurst 1000 winner and he was runner-up in this race in 2016. Scott Dixon is Scott Dixon and just picked up his third overall victory in the 24 Hours of Daytona.
Why this car will not win: Dixon's inexperience? That sounds crazy but Dixon has never raced at Mount Panorama. I don't think this is going to be a race full of rookie mistakes for Dixon but it is a new car and a new track and Dixon is human racing against a bunch of guys for whom this is their main form of racing. I think this car could win. The 2020 season could be all Scott Dixon with victories at Daytona, Bathurst, Sebring, Indianapolis and with a sixth IndyCar championship to boot but if Dixon is to win this race it is not because he carried the team but because Dennis repeated his 2019 performance, Kelly was smooth and Dixon got ran a respectable pace without making a mistake.

#77 Mercedes-AMG Team Craft-Bamboo Black Falcon Mercedes-AMG GT3
Drivers: Maro Engel, Luca Stolz, Yelmer Buurman
Why this car could win: Engel, Buurman and Stolz have shared the same car plenty of times. They were co-drivers in the Blancpain Endurance Series last year and they were champions in 2018. Engel has won the 24 Hours Nürburgring and Buurman has won the Dubai 24 Hour. Engel and Stolz had a great race going last year with Gary Paffett before a water pump issue ended their race.
Why this car will not win: It is hard to come up with a reason. This is a good lineup and nobody would be surprised if this car won. The only negative is Mercedes-AMG has not won at Bathurst since 2013.

#96 Hobson Motorsport Nissan GT-R Nismo GT3
Drivers: Brett Hobson, Kurt Kostecki, Jake Kostecki
Why this car could win: I am going to save you some time, it is a Class A Silver entry, it isn't going to win overall.
Why this car will not win: See above.

#159 Garage 59 Aston Martin Vantage AMR GT3
Drivers: Andrew Watson, Olivier Hart, Roman de Angelis
Why this car could win: Watson has had some respectable races at Bathurst. De Angelis is making the step into high-end GT3 racing after Porsche GT3 Cup success in North America.
Why this car will not win: Another silver entry.

#188 Garage 59 Aston Martin Vantage AMR GT3
Drivers: Alexander West, Chris Goodwin, Côme Ledogar, Maxime Martin
Why this car could win: Ledogar was previously a Blancpain Endurance Series champion. West and Goodwin have raced together before in Blancpain GT Series competition. Martin is a DTM race winner and is having a strong season in Aston Martin's WEC program.
Why this car will not win: This is a Pro-Am entry with a heavy emphasis on the Am. Ledogar and Martin do lift this car to a competitive level. This will be Martin's Bathurst debut.

#222 Audi Sport Team Valvoline Audi R8 LMS GT3
Drivers: Kelvin van der Linde, Mattia Drudi, Markus Winkelhock
Why this car could win: Van der Linde and Winkelhock have more GT3 success than can be listed but van der Linde won the IGTC race at Suzuka last year, van der Linde is the reigning ADAC GT Masters champion, both drivers have won the 24 Hours Nürburgring, van der Linde once and Winkelhock three times and Winkelhock was the 2017 IGTC champion. Drudi spent last year in Porsche SuperCup, ADAC GT Masters and the Blancpain Endurance Series.
Why this car will not win: Drudi is the weakest link in the three Audi Sport Team Valvoline cars. I think that brings this car down and makes an overall victory difficult. 

#777 The Bend Motorsport Park Mercedes-AMG GT3
Drivers: Yasser Shahin, Nick Foster, Anton de Pasquale, Sam Shahin
Why this car could win: Foster won the California 8 Hours last year. De Pasquale is coming off a respectable sophomore season in Supercars where he picked up two podium finishes and finished 14th in the championship after being 20th as a rookie.
Why this car will not win: It is a Pro-Am entry and not one of the stronger Pro-Am entries. 

#888 Mercedes-AMG Team Triple Eight Race Engineering
Drivers: Shane van Gisbergen, Jamie Whincup, Maximilian Götz
Why this car could win: It has two of the top Supercars drivers in van Gibsergen and Whincup and both those drivers have won this race before. Add to those two Götz, who was second in the IGTC last year and previously was a Blancpain Sprint Series champion.
Why this car will not win: Götz has had a rough last couple of years. He has only won four races in the last three years, two in ADAC GT Masters, one in Blancpain GT Series Asia and a Blancpain Endurance Series Pro-Am class victory and before that he had not won since 2014. I think this will be  a contender for the victory. Van Gisbergen and Whincup are not going to struggle but there could be one stronger Mercedes-AMG in the way.

#911 Absolute Racing Porsche GT3 R
Drivers: Mathieu Jaminet, Patrick Pilet, Matt Campbell
Why this car could win: Here is one of the winners from last year in Campbell, whose strong 2019 got him a promotion into Porsche's factory GT program. Campbell is special and I do not see him faltering. Pilet is still a strong driver and Jaminet is another Porsche hopeful.
Why this car will not win: Repeating is hard to do for anyone and this is a different team running the lead Porsches at Bathurst. This will be Pilet's Bathurst debut. 

#912 Absolute Racing Porsche GT3 R
Drivers: Dirk Werner, Matteo Cairoli, Thomas Preining
Why this car could win: Werner is another third of the Bathurst-winning combination from last year. Cairoli and Preining have plenty of WEC experience with Cairoli having a few GTE-Am victories to his name.
Why this car will not win: This is the Bathurst debuts for Cairoli and Preining. It just doesn't feel like a Bathurst 12 Hour winning team. 

#999 Mercedes-AMG Team GruppeM Racing
Drivers: Felipe Fraga, Maximilian Buhk, Raffaele Marciello
Why this car could win: Fraga is another rising star in sports car racing. Buhk and Marciello have each won championships in GT World Challenge Europe. Buhk was third in IGTC last year and Marciello was fourth. Marciello did win the 2018 Suzuka 10 Hours.
Why this car will not win: Buhk's one major endurance race victory was the 2013 24 Hours of Spa. It has been a while. This is a good entry but it is not even the best Mercedes-AMG on the entry list.

The Bathurst 12 Hour will begin at 1:45 p.m. ET on Saturday February 1st with it concluding 12 hours later at 1:45 a.m. ET on Sunday February 2nd.



Wednesday, December 18, 2019

2019 For the Love of Indy Awards

It is a week until Christmas and pretty much every racing series is in hiatus. We all sit and wait for the next season, which will be here soon, but now is a time for reflection. This is a chance to honor the best of the year, from the stand out drivers to the orderly organizations, the passes that made us say wow to the moments that left us in tears. The 2019 calendar year gave us the best moments of motorsports but we also had some of the worst.

With this we close the 2019 season, recognizing what will be remembered for years to come.

Racer of the Year
Description: Given to the best racer over the course of 2019.
And the Nominees are:
Lewis Hamilton
Marc Márquez
Jonathan Rea
Scott McLaughlin
Nick Cassidy

And the winner is... Marc Márquez
For the third time in eight seasons it goes to the Catalan rider and this might have been his best season yet.

Márquez won the first ten races in 2014 and 13 total. In 2019, he may have not had scored the same number of victories and he may have fallen just 0.1111 points shy of matching his average points per race total from 2014 but this season was remarkable.

Let's just go through race-by-race: Second, first, retirement, first, first, second, first, second, first, first, second, second, first, first, first, first, first, second and first.

The lone retirement might be most telling of all. It came after Márquez fell from the lead at Austin, ending a streak of 12 consecutive victories in the United States, ten of which were in the premier class. Even Márquez's one mistake all season was historic.

This season was progression for Márquez. He was already great, talented beyond measure with the ability to do anything on a bike but this year we saw the savviness of Márquez take a few victories. He will haunt Fabio Quartararo's dreams for the entire offseason. Twice Márquez ripped a first career MotoGP victory away from the Frenchman, first at Misano but the second time was most painful in Buriram. While Márquez whizzed across the finish line, sealing his eighth world championship, Quartararo could only punch his bike in dismay. Both of Quartararo's hands were on the trophy and he was left holding air while Márquez sunk the eight ball in the corner pocket with hardware by his side.

Márquez was a factor in every race and even crazier is if you gave Márquez three-tenths of a second he could have a dazzling number of victories. He was second to Andrea Dovizioso by 0.023 at Qatar, second to Danilo Petrucci by 0.043 seconds at Mugello, second to Dovizioso by 0.213 seconds at Red Bull Ring and second to Álex Rins by 0.013 seconds at Silverstone. He may not have had a 16-victory season but damn it, Márquez was always a factor.

There are a few other competitors in the world of motorsports who have a stranglehold in their respective championships but no one has a grip as tight as Márquez. There was no off day for him in 2019, even with the fall in the Austin. He has redefined the limits a rider can go. For years he overstepped the boundary in practice and qualifying to perfect his craft. He had to make a mistake to improve. In 2019, those mistakes were few but he still continued to get better, faster and no one is keeping up. There is no sign of him stopping.

On the other nominees:
Lewis Hamilton was hands down the best driver in Formula One this season and easily took a sixth world championship. Hamilton scored points in every race; he won 11 of the 21 races and stood on the podium 17 times. There were a few blemishes. In Germany, he threw away a race in the wet and only got points because both Alfa Romeos received 30-second penalties for using driver aids at the start. In Brazil, he bowled into Alexander Albon and the five-second penalty knocked him down to seventh. While not perfect, Hamilton was level headed, no one got under his skin and he pulled out victories time and time again while others made mistakes around him.

Here is one awards ceremony where Jonathan Rea will be recognized. Rea's fifth World Superbike championship not only put alone for most all-time but it came from behind. Rea did not win any of the first 11 races but he was on the podium for all of them. He had only two victories in the first 16 races but in the final 21 races Rea won 15 times, was runner-up five times and his worst finish was fifth. His championship rival Álvaro Bautista could not keep up despite having his dominant start to the season. Are the records a little inflated because of the introduction of the SuperPole race? Yes but Rea was the most consistent rider and proved to beat him one may not make any mistakes.

Scott McLaughlin is quickly lifting himself up the echelon of Team Penske greats. Not only did McLaughlin win his second consecutive Supercars championship but the New Zealander broke the record for most victories in a season with 18, one of which included the Bathurst 1000. McLaughlin has 35 victories for Team Penske, now fourth all-time after starting 2019 in ninth. The only drivers to win more for Team Penske are Brad Keselowski, Mark Donohue and Rusty Wallace. Wallace will certainly be passed. If McLaughlin stays in Australia he very well could get the top spot but an IndyCar test is on his horizon and his future may be in the United States.

Nick Cassidy broke through and won the Super Formula championship on the final day of the season, reversing the results of a year earlier. In Super GT, Cassidy again finished in the vice-champion position. This New Zealander has found success in sports cars and single-seater competition. He got a taste of IMSA competition in the 24 Hours of Daytona and he made two starts in the Intercontinental GT Challenge. He is making his name in Japan but at his rate he will soon become known in many other corners of the world.

Past Winners
2012: Kyle Larson
2013: Marc Márquez
2014: Marc Márquez
2015: Nick Tandy
2016: Shane van Gisbergen
2017: Brendon Hartley
2018: Scott Dixon

Race of the Year
Description: Best Race of 2019.
And the Nominees are:
British motorcycle Grand Prix
Honda 200 at Mid-Ohio Sports Car Course
Petit Le Mans
3 Hours of Barcelona
Super Formula at Okayama

And the winner is... Honda 200 at Mid-Ohio Sports Car Course
Caution-free race, margin of victory of 0.093 seconds and the top three finishers started eighth, sixth and tenth... at Mid-Ohio? The race can only be described as phenomenal.

The difference in Firestone's alternate and primary tire led to a mixture of strategies. The question was when to use the alternate tire and whether to do a two stops or three. The alternate tire had speed early but faded. Combine that with two stops or three stops and it dictated who was going to be at the front and who would be fighting to just finish in the top five.

Will Power, Alexander Rossi, Josef Newgarden all committed to the two-stop strategy, starting on the alternate tire before switching to the primary. The problem is the three-stoppers stopped earlier and could get within the pit delta. Add to it many of those three-stoppers did not start on the alternate and could take it while the two-stoppers committed to the slower but more durable compound.

This led to Scott Dixon and Ryan Hunter-Reay moving to the front but the lead was Felix Rosenqvist, who was on the two-stop strategy but started on the primary before going on the alternate. While the Swede had a comfortable lead, it was slowly disappearing when the tires started to wear and the team called an audible, shorting stinting Rosenqvist, getting him off the alternate tire but maintaining his advantage in track position.

Dixon inherited the lead and to the surprise of no one Dixon was the one driver who could make the alternate tire last for the entirety of a stint. He was not dropping off at the rate of others and this split strategy allowed Chip Ganassi Racing to hold the top two spots without much pressure from the rest of the field.

The one questionable call was Dixon doubled up on the alternate tire on his final two stints while Rosenqvist and pretty much the rest of the field had the primary tire on. It worked for Dixon once but the second stint on the alternate saw more tire wear than his first stint on alternate tires and his gap started to shrink.

Rosenqvist clawed away at the difference to his teammate and benefited from lapped traffic slowing Dixon even more. It became a hunt, the predator going after its prey but knowing it could escape to safety if he is not quick enough. Rosenqvist got there but overtaking his teammate was going to be much harder. His best chance came on the final lap into the keyhole, Rosenqvist made the move on the inside and made contact with Dixon, both cars remained on the racetrack and Dixon maintained the lead.

After the failed attempted, Rosenqvist re-gathered himself and got back in Dixon's shadow hoping for one more chance to strike but each second saw less and less asphalt in front of them. Rosenqvist had one last chance for a lunge at the line but fell 0.093 seconds short. Dixon pulled off another exhilarating and masterclass Mid-Ohio victory, a victory only Dixon could have pulled off.

Meanwhile, Josef Newgarden made a similar move to Rosenqvist into the keyhole on Hunter-Reay for third only for Newgarden to spin because of the contact and end up stalled in the gravel. It was a shock to the championship. It was points lost for Newgarden on a day when it appeared he would add some insurance.

Throughout the field there were great battles with cars moving up and down the order as teams searched for the right combination of tire and fuel strategy. Each team had to do something slightly different from the rest and it led to a chaotic 90-lap event at a place many do not consider the most accommodating to great racing.

It exceeded the expectations any of us had for Mid-Ohio. Is that what we want from a race? Is that what greatness is, being better than any of us could have expected?

On the other nominees:
Silverstone provided one of the great MotoGP battles and it lasted for all 20 laps. The largest the lead ever got was 0.529 seconds at the end of lap three. That was the only lap where the lead was greater than a half-second. The largest gap between first and third was 2.888 seconds on lap seven. Marc Márquez may have led the first 18 laps from pole position but it did not go unchallenged from Álex Rins and Maverick Viñales. Rins remained on Márquez's back wheel the entire race and gave it a go on the final two laps. After a pair of unsuccessful attempts to maintain the lead, Rins made one final run up the inside exiting the final corner and beat Márquez to the line by 0.013 seconds.

For the second consecutive year, Petit Le Mans produced a thriller down to the final lap. For the second consecutive year, it had a class leader running out of fuel on the final lap and not even finishing on the podium. This time it was not for the overall victory but in the GT Daytona class, a class battle that did not let up for ten hours. Felipe Fraga ran out of fuel early on the final lap allowing Bill Auberlen, Robby Foley and Dillon Machavern to take the victory in the #94 Turner Motorsport BMW. The overall victory had drama of its own. The #5 Action Express Cadillac retired from the lead after brake failure with 30 minutes to go. Its teammate the #31 Cadillac took the lead but Felipe Nasr had the #10 Wayne Taylor Racing Cadillac breathing down its neck with Jordan Taylor hoping to win in his final race for his team's team. The #31 Cadillac took the victory by 0.996 seconds.

There is nothing like a title going to the final race but in the case for the Blancpain Endurance Series and Blancpain GT Series finale it was the longest of long shots coming through. The #563 Orange1 FFF Racing Team Lamborghini entered the final race trailing the #72 SMP Racing Ferrari by 24 points with 26 points left on the table. Problems would bite the #72 Ferrari early with a flat tire dropping the team down the order. Contact with a Bentley led to a drive-through penalty. Meanwhile, the #563 Lamborghini was at the front and leading the race. A late safety car period bunched up the field in the final minutes. The #563 Lamborghini held on while the damage had been down to the #72 Ferrari and it could not get into the points. Orange1 FFF racing Team Lamborghini took the championship, which seemed nearly improbable at the start of the race.

Super Formula had introduced new tire regulations prior to the Okayama round after teams would use  a loophole and only have to use the second compound for one lap of a race either at the start or the end of the race. This led to several different strategies in Okayama but a race shaken up through multiple incidents. A lap 8 accident for Nirei Fukuzumi saw a few drivers stay out and a few drivers dive into the pit lane. Pole-sitter Ryō Hirakawa stayed out when the pit window opened on lap 11 but Kenta Yamashita led the group of drivers that had made their stop. Hirakawa led Nick Cassidy but Cassidy made an aggressive move to take the lead. The one problem was Cassidy and Hirakawa could not open a gap large enough to Yamashita. When they made their pit stop Yamashita inherited the lead while those two fell down the order. Yamashita took the victory from 16th on the grid while Cassidy made contact with Kamui Kobayashi while battling back through the field and Hirakawa dropped to 12th after a slow pit stop.

Past Winners
2012: Indianapolis 500
2013: British motorcycle Grand Prix
2014: Bathurst 1000
2015: Australian motorcycle Grand Prix
2016: Spanish Grand Prix
2017: All the races at the World Superbike/World Supersport weekend at Phillip Island
2018: Petit Le Mans

Achievement of the Year
Description: Best success by a driver, team, manufacture, etc.
And the Nominees are:
Kyle Busch reaching 208 NASCAR national touring series victories
Joe Gibbs Racing setting single-season record for most Cup victories by a team in NASCAR's modern-era
Jonathan Rea's fifth World Superbike championship
Colton Herta becoming the youngest IndyCar winner and pole-sitter
Romain Dumas breaking the Goodwood Festival of Speed record in the Volkswagen I.D. R
Scott McLaughlin's Record-Breaking Supercars Season

And the winner is... Joe Gibbs Racing setting single-season record for most Cup victories by a in NASCAR's modern-era.
Nineteen victories in 36 races. That is over 50%. There have been other great seasons in NASCAR but this has to rank very close to number one.

Not only did Joe Gibbs Racing win 19 races but it won the Daytona 500, the Coca-Cola 600 and the Southern 500. Joe Gibbs Racing had seven 1-2 finishes and four 1-2-3 finishes, including 1-2-3 finishes in the season opener at Daytona and the season finale at Homestead. The team had all four drivers win a race. The team had the driver that won the most races, the second-most races and the third-most races. Kyle Busch won the championship, Martin Truex, Jr. was second and Denny Hamlin was fourth.

There was always going to be a Joe Gibbs Racing car in contention. No other team could match that level of consistency. Team Penske started strong but could not keep up. Hendrick Motorsports is still off. Stewart-Haas Racing is just Kevin Harvick.

Joe Gibbs Racing took everything that was one the table in 2019. It was an outstanding year.

On the other nominees:
Kyle Busch's success in NASCAR's national touring divisions shows the change in the sanctioning body. NASCAR is no longer one division with 56 races a year but three divisions with each having at least two-dozen races. These are not all Cup victories but these are victories in competitive series, each with teams with dedicated crews and resources. He picked up his 200th victory at Fontana in the Cup Series and got his 201st in a Truck race at Martinsville. Busch is a driver. He wants to spend his time behind the wheel of a race car, doesn't matter what it is and he is going to find a way to win.

We touched upon Rea above but he stands alone now in World Superbike history. He has surpassed Carl Fogarty's record that had stood for 20 years. The man has been strung together five terrific seasons. He deserves all the credit in the world.

Colton Herta entered IndyCar and immediately found speed. It was not a flash in the pan. Herta's first career victory may have come with fortunate circumstances but he ran away with it when given the chance. Herta had his low points, some were out of his control, a few he played a hand in, but Herta never looked out of his elements in IndyCar. He won three pole positions and then pulled off another victory, a dominant display to close his rookie season in Laguna Seca. We have seen young drivers come to IndyCar, win early and then just be ok. Herta feels different and there feels like much more is to come.

The Goodwood Festival of Speed record was always a bit of a myth. It is an exhibition of sorts. People are not developing cars for this 1.16-mile strip of tarmac. Some take it seriously, others are there for fun and there is no grand prize for being fastest. Volkswagen had already shattered the Pikes Peak record with the I.D. R and it went to Goodwood looking to do the same. While others were there for champagne and chat, Volkswagen was there for speed and in practice broke the record with a run of 39.9 seconds, 1.7 seconds faster than Nick Heidfeld's record set in 1999 in a McLaren MP4/13. The record was going to fall at some point. No one expected it to be done like this with an all-electric vehicle. The future is here.

Like Rea, we touched on McLaughlin above. It seemed like every weekend you knew McLaughlin was going to get at least one victory. He started the season with four consecutive victories, stubbed his toe before the fifth race and then won the next two. The record had stood for 23 years, which Craig Lowndes set. McLaughlin may benefit from a bloated schedule but he the Supercars schedule has had a massive number of races for over a decade now. If it were easy the record would have been broken years ago.

Past Winners
2012: DeltaWing
2013: Sebastian Vettel for winning nine consecutive races on his way to a fourth consecutive title
2014: Marc Márquez: Setting the record for most wins in a premier class season.
2015: Justin Wilson Memorial Family Auction
2016: Jimmie Johnson for his seventh NASCAR Cup championship
2017: Jonathan Rea: For becoming the first rider to win three consecutive World Superbike championships.
2018: Robert Wickens for winning IndyCar Rookie of the Year despite missing the final three races.

Moment of the Year
Description: The Most Memorable Moment in the World of Racing during the 2019 season.
And the Nominees are:
Snow at the 6 Hours of Spa-Francorchamps
The end of the Canadian Grand Prix
Penske Purchasing Hulman & Co.
Kyle Kaiser and Juncos Racing knocking Fernando Alonso and McLaren out of the Indianapolis 500
The Belgian Grand Prix Weekend: From the start of the Formula Two race through the end of the Belgian Grand Prix.

And the winner is... a tie! Kyle Kaiser and Juncos Racing knocking out Fernando Alonso and McLaren and Penske Purchasing Hulman & Co.
We have another tie in the award show, the first time since 2013.

On the racetrack, nothing can top when the little team of Juncos Racing slain McLaren. Juncos Racing was done. Kyle Kaiser wrecked a car during Friday practice when it appeared Kaiser would have the speed to make the race. The team was reset to zero, it had to get together a backup car, a car that had previously raced at Austin and was not at all ready for the 2.5-mile oval that is Indianapolis Motor Speedway.

Meanwhile, McLaren struggled to find speed. Fernando Alonso had an accident on Wednesday. The team did not have the backup car ready on Thursday because it was the wrong shade of orange. It got back on the track Friday but continued to struggle.

On Saturday, Juncos Racing continued to struggle for speed while McLaren was knocking on the door but fell 0.020 MPH short of locking Alonso into the field on Saturday.

Come Sunday, it was a six-car shootout for the final three spots between Max Chilton, Patricio O'Ward, Sage Karam, James Hinchcliffe, Alonso and Kaiser. After a lengthy detail, the session got started and while Alonso successfully qualified ahead of Chilton and O'Ward, he found himself in 33rd position with Kaiser taking to the track as the final qualifier.

A lot can happen over ten miles, the distance of a qualifying run, and Kaiser did not put a wheel wrong. He did not blink. He did not come up gasping for air. Kaiser ran four smooth laps and he completed his ten miles 0.019 MPH faster than Alonso or 0.0129 seconds faster than the Spaniard. Kaiser was in the Indianapolis 500 and Alonso was going home. The minnow had vanquished the shark. The Hail Mary was successful. Indianapolis provided another stunning result.

Nearly six months later, Indianapolis Motor Speedway was another site for news and this was of unthinkable proportions. Roger Penske had bought Hulman & Co. Roger Penske had bought Indianapolis Motor Speedway, the Indianapolis 500, IndyCar and everything else that comes with it.

For decades we have heard the rumors of the Hulman-George family selling the track but for decades it has never happened. Many possible suitors have come and gone and the track remained in the family. It never felt like the family was going to sell. Mari Hulman George had passed away but Tony George was in charge and fit the position. George's sisters were also instrumental in the facility and the grandchildren were groomed to lead the Speedway for the next few decades.

Then on one cool Monday morning in November the track released a statement about the sale. There was no speculation for days, weeks or months. There wasn't even speculation for 12 hours. There was no leaked story. There was no scrambling from the Speedway and Penske to stay on top of this. The news came, the motorsport's world jaw shatter from hitting the floor and we saw a monumental transaction play out in front of us.

Penske purchasing Hulman & Co, Indianapolis Motor Speedway and everything else is the motorsports story of the century. Nothing is going to top that in the next 81 years. The Hulman-George family had owned the track for 74 years. It seemed the family would always be there. Just like that they turned over their kingdom to the most successful man to every step onto that property.

It was fitting. It was sad. It was revolutionary. We wait and see what the rest of the 21st century has in store for the greatest racetrack in the world.

On the other nominees:
Maybe it is because Christmas is upon us but I keep thinking back to the 6 Hours of Spa-Francorchamps back at the beginning of May. We talk about how you can experience all four seasons in a day at Spa-Francorchamps and most times that is an exaggeration but in this case it actually happened. The penultimate round of the 2018-19 FIA World Endurance Championship season had everything. Sun, rain and snow. It has snowed before at a racetrack but this was a different level. This was the highest level of sports car racing in it, LMP1 cars in it and it is a sight we may never see again. It was beautiful.

Sebastian Vettel appeared to be set for victory in Montreal before an off-track excursion and impeding Lewis Hamilton led to a five-second penalty. Vettel was irate, he could not open a five-second gap to Hamilton and at the same time he nearly backed himself up to Charles Leclerc and it could have dropped him to third. The aftermath is what will be remembered. Vettel did not drive to the podium places and simply walked back to Ferrari hospitality. He wanted nothing to do with the podium ceremony, violated all the decorum of the event and risked further penalty. Vettel started making his way to the podium but before getting there he switched the signage, moving the first place board away from the front of Hamilton's car and replacing it with the second place board. It was showmanship. Theatre. There was a tad displeasure in regulations but what we remember are the theatrics.

Unfortunately, moments are not always positive and this year some a dark moment take over the motorsports community. Anthoine Hubert lost his life in the Formula Two feature race from Spa-Francorchamps. It was a devastating loss of a promising young driver. From the start, we knew the accident was not good. We knew this was not going to be something we could move on from quickly and it was the absolute worst outcome for everyone.

The remaining Formula Two activities were cancelled and the Formula One community properly honored Hubert before the Belgian Grand Prix. In this dark moment, the motorsports community came together and paid respect to him. Our prayers continue to go out to the Hubert family and our prayers continue to go to Juan Manuel Correa, who continues to heal from injuries suffered in that accident.

This accident was a reminder that despite all the safety advancements that have been made that have protected drivers and in some cases prevented fatal injuries there is always going to be the chance of death. Sanctioning bodies will continue to work to make sure the cars are safer and make sure every man and woman that competes can step out of the cars when the checkered flag is waved.

Past Winners
2012: Alex Zanardi
2013: 24 Hours of Le Mans
2014: Post-race at the Charlotte and Texas Chase races.
2015: Matt Kenseth vs. Joey Logano
2016: Toyota Slows at Le Mans
2017: Fernando Alonso announcing his Indianapolis 500 ride
2018: Kyle Busch and Kyle Larson battle at Chicagoland

Pass of the Year
Description: Best pass of 2019.
And the Nominees are:
Simon Pagenaud on Scott Dixon for the victory in turn nine at the Grand Prix of Indianapolis
Lucas di Grassi on Pascal Wehrlein at the line of the Mexico City ePrix
Matt Campbell on Jake Dennis into the "Elbow" with 9 minutes to go in the Bathurst 12 Hour
Max Verstappen on Charles Leclerc on lap 69 of the Austrian Grand Prix
Álex Rins on Marc Márquez in the final corner at Silverstone in the British motorcycle Grand Prix

And the winner is... Álex Rins on Marc Márquez in the final corner at Silverstone in the British motorcycle Grand Prix.
This race was spectacular. Rins, Márquez and Maverick Viñales were in touch distance for most of the race. Márquez led most of it but Rins did not let him get away. He kept the pressure on and each rider had to be precise.

It became clear neither rider was going to make a mistake. Márquez was not going to throw this race away and Rins was not going let Márquez get away easy.

With two laps to go, the two Spaniards traded the lead. Rins took it from Márquez in Aintree, Márquez took it back in Brooklands. Coming to the line to start the final lap Rins retook the lead on the outside of Woodcote but lost it after running wide on the front straightaway.

It could have been game over and Márquez could have pulled away but Rins fought back and positioned himself for one final go. Rins was on Márquez's back wheel into Brooksland, ran a little wide in Luffield but got the power now, keep it close to Márquez and was able to swoop to the inside of Woodcote.

Rins was on the throttle while Márquez had to lift a tad exiting the final corner. Rins had the drive and took the victory by 0.013 seconds.

Márquez did nothing wrong. He did not botch the corner. He did not make a mistake. Rins timed a move perfectly and it was enough to get to the checkered flag in first position.

On the other nominees:
Simon Pagenaud went on a tear in the closing laps at the Grand Prix of Indianapolis and he was better than Scott Dixon in those closing laps. He made an audacious pass on Dixon in turn nine for the lead. It is a spot no one would try in the dry and Pagenaud made it stick in the wet and ran away with it.

Lucas di Grassi didn't have to make that pass on Pascal Wehrlein. Wehrlein was penalized for cutting the course and the penalty was going to drop him behind di Grassi anyway but di Grassi went for it on the racetrack and he did it in tight quarters. Wehrlein was out of energy and coasting, di Grassi forced his way through and took the checkered flag in first place, giving him the victory on the racetrack and not having to worry about getting the trophy after the assessment of penalties.

Matt Campbell had a breakout 2019 season and it all started in his homeland on arguably Australia's most famous racetrack. Campbell was going forward and it was clear he was going to factor in for the victory in the Bathurst 12 Hour. Jake Dennis did his best to keep Campbell at bay but the Australia would not be stopped and he took his chance in the tight Elbow corner on the Mount Panorama Circuit. Campbell was gone from there.

Charles Leclerc looked to be set for his first career victory in the Austrian Grand Prix but Max Verstappen put up a charge to get to the Monegasque driver. Here were two of Formula One's youngest stars battling for a race victory on a beautiful circuit. One was desperate for a breakthrough; the other was looking to continue to move himself up the driver pecking order. Verstappen made the move up the inside, a move we have seen plenty of times before and not come off but Verstappen kept it clean, took the inside and forced Leclerc to lift and run wide. Victory was for Verstappen after that worthy pass.

Past Winners
2012: Simon Pagenaud at Baltimore
2013: Robert Wickens at Nürburgring and Peter Dempsey in the Freedom 100
2014: Ryan Blaney on Germán Quiroga
2015: Laurens Vanthoor from 4th to 2nd on the outside in the Bathurst 12 Hour
2016: Scott McLaughlin on Mark Winterbottom at Surfers Paradise
2017: Renger van der Zande: From second to first on Dane Cameron at Laguna Seca
2018: Alexander Rossi for all his passes in the Indianapolis 500

The Eric Idle Award
Description: "When You're Chewing on Life's Gristle, Don't Grumble, Give a Whistle, And This'll Help Things Turn Out For The Best, and...  Always Look On The Bright Side of Life."
And the Nominees are:
James Hinchcliffe: For being dragged along by McLaren
#7 Toyota: For not changing all the tires when the car came in from the lead with a flat in the 24 Hours of Le Mans
Keating Motorsport: For its great 24 Hours of Le Mans GTE-Am victory only for disqualification for exceeding permitted fuel capacity
Jorge Lorenzo: For switching to Honda only to have a season hampered with injuries leading to retirement
Tom Blomqvist: For being kept from the 24 Hours of Daytona due to visa issues only to have his entry win the GTLM class
Kuno Wittmer: For accidentally hitting the pit speed limit button coming to the finish line in the Michelin Pilot Sports Car Challenge race at Road America and losing the race to Robin Liddell by 0.070 seconds.
Dennis Lind: For missing the final round of the Blancpain Endurance Series due to illness only for his team, the #563 Orange1 FFF Racing Team Lamborghini of Andrea Caldarelli and Marco Mapelli to win the finale and the championship.

And the winner is... Dennis Lind
Drivers lose championships all the time but to lose a championship not because you were beaten on track but because you were ill and unable to participate meanwhile your teammates win and you are not included in the record books because you could to run is painful.

There is nothing that can be done. We cannot include Lind just because he was there for the other rounds. We cannot put an asterisk. We cannot go back into time and move the race up a weekend to make sure Lind could have been there or pushed it back a week to make sure he would be returning to the racetrack after having an illness. It is done.

All we can do is be vigilant and remember Lind was there for nearly the entire championship before life caught him out and kept him from claiming a title.

On the other nominees:
James Hinchcliffe is looking for work. He was a made that seemed to be set in IndyCar, seemed to have a great home at Schmidt Peterson Motorsports and then McLaren entered. It was clear Hinchcliffe was not going to be McLaren's guy but the team dragged him on for months before sending him to the curb. Now Hinchcliffe is fighting upstream without a paddle.

The #8 Toyota got all the attention but it appeared the #7 Toyota of Mike Conway, Kamui Kobayashi and José María López would get its day at Le Mans after being second fiddle for so long. The team should have pulled off a victory. It was the better car and a flat tire happens but the team mishandled it. It did not cover all the bases and sent a car out without changing the flat. From there, the #7 Toyota was done. The #8 Toyota got its second consecutive Le Mans victory, the #7 Toyota had to settle for second fiddle again.

Keating Motorsport took a popular victory. The first, and what seems to be the only, customer Ford GT program took a Le Mans victory. It was a fitting end to the Ford GT program. Days later the violation became public, the victory was stripped and Ben Keating handled it with class. Keating did not go about kicking and screaming. He was very professional through it all.

Jorge Lorenzo seemed to be given another chance at MotoGP success when moving to Honda after having a slight resurgence the year prior at Ducati. However, Lorenzo struggled with pace, got injured again and then Lorenzo announced he was walking away. Lorenzo started the decade joining Yamaha, pushing Valentino Rossi to the limit before sending Rossi to Ducati and was one of the best of the 2010s. His career is ending sooner than many of us would have predicted. It is sad to see it end so soon.

Tom Blomqvist is not the first driver to be kept from racing due to visa issues, he wasn't the only other driver kept from the 2019 24 Hours of Daytona. Mike Conway could not make it to Daytona because of visa issues. Conway's team didn't win its class at the 24 Hours of Daytona. BMW was not favored to win at Daytona. If the rain didn't come or if the race had not gone through all the caution periods and red flags Blomqvist might not be ruing this day. The way everything played out what would have been Blomqvist's entry was leading the GTLM class when the checkered flag ended the race. It was the only victory for the #25 BMW all season. Ouch!

Kuno Wittmer simply made a mistake at the wrong time. It wasn't showboating, it wasn't ego coming out and costing him, it was a simply mistake. Wittmer is a talented driver but he is human and his mistake came at the worst time. I do have to give credit to Robin Liddell because he was fourth entering Canada Corner on that lap and won the race. Liddell does deserve credit for putting himself in that position.

Past Winners
2012: Ben Spies
2013: Sam Hornish, Jr.
2014: Alexander Rossi
2015: McLaren
2016: Toyota
2017: Nick Heidfeld
2018: Brett Moffitt

Comeback of the Year
Description: The Best Comeback in the 2019 season.
And the Nominees are:
Takuma Sato: For all that went wrong at Pocono, falling two laps down at Gateway only to rally and take a surprise victory.
Sebastian Vettel: From 20th to second in the German Grand Prix.
MotoE: For getting to the grid after fire destroyed every motorcycle prior to the first round of the season
Robert Kubica: For returning to the grid of a grand prix and scoring one point driving for Williams F1.
Dempsey-Proton Racing: For losing every point after a technical infringement halfway through the championship only to win three of the final four races and finishing second in the Endurance Trophy for GTE-Am Drivers

And the winner is... MotoE: For getting to the grid after fire destroyed every motorcycle prior to the first round of the season
MotoE nearly died before it could ever get started.

The teams had concluded a test day from Jerez and everything was on course for the series to debut at  the Spanish Grand Prix held at Jerez in May.

Shortly after midnight, a short circuit set the facility housing all the bikes into flames, destroying everything.

In this developing time period when electric forms of transportation and race vehicles are emerging this was a catastrophic blow to the series. It seemed the series was gone. The dream of a 2019 debut was ash in Andalusia.

However, there is an incredible resolve in human beings when faced with adversity. Yes, this is just a motorsports series, there are far greater travesties in the world than this motorsports series that need to be taken care of but this was the livelihood for many people from mechanics to riders to marketing people to truck drivers. A lot of people could have been sent to the curb if MotoE did not take place in 2019.

There would have been good reason if no season happened but the series re-grouped. The season opener at Jerez and the second round at Le Mans were cancelled. The season would open in Germany, race in Austria, have a doubleheader in Misano and a doubleheader in Valencia would make up for the lost rounds in Jerez and Le Mans.

Just over four months after the fire, the first MotoE race when green at the Sachsenring. All four rounds and six races of the inaugural season were held and Matteo Ferrari was the inaugural champion. The grid for the 2020 season was just released.

This is an incredible story, one we have not talked about enough and one deserves much more recognition than it has gotten. It is a small series. It is still learning to crawl and is not quite ready to walk but the fact it is crawling at all is something to celebrate.

On the other nominees:
Takuma Sato's week leading up to Gateway was difficult. Sato got a lot of criticism for his driving the week before at Pocono. It did not help that he started fifth in this race and then walked up the racetrack and nearly took out four cars again on the opening lap. Add to it that he quickly fell to the back and lost a lap but cautions fell his way. He got waved around and then gambled, stretching his fuel as long as he could and then another caution came. This cycle Sato to the lead and he trapped most of the field a lap down. He needed one clean stint and had to hold off a charging Ed Carpenter for the victory but he got it a week after many had torched him.

Sebastian Vettel was not having a great home weekend. Vettel had to start at the back after a turbo issue. Ferrari was having a poor weekend but in the wet-to-dry conditions, Vettel drove a smart race. He didn't push it over the limit while many in front of him did. When the checkered flag came, Vettel was second; an impressive drive after a weekend had taken a turn for the worst on Saturday.

Robert Kubica's Formula One career appeared over after a rally accident in 2011. Kubica came back to racing, running in more rallies and some sports cars but Formula One seemed to be something that was too far out there for him to achieve. The results were not great. The Williams entry was never going to produce much but Kubica returned, ran all 21 races and scored a point, with some help from Alfa Romeo penalties, but he still did it. Kubica may not have returned to where was when he last raced in Formula One nine years ago but just making it back and doing it is an achievement in itself.

We need to be clear, Dempsey-Proton Racing cheated. It manipulated the data for re-fueling time. It was guilty. However, the team rallied and this goes back to Matt Campbell. Campbell carried this entry but he was also paired with Christian Ried, who has been one of the best amateur drivers for years, and Julian Andlauer, another up-and-comer. The team did something wrong but the drivers were remarkable and to get to second in the championship, to have still have a shot at the championship entering the finale despite being reset to zero points with four races to go deserves acknowledgement.

Past Winners
2013: Michael Shank Racing at the 24 Hours of Daytona
2014: Juan Pablo Montoya to IndyCar
2015: Kyle Busch
2016: Max Verstappen from 15th to 3rd in the final 18 laps in the wet in the Brazilian Grand Prix
2017: Kelvin van der Linde: From third to first after a botched pit stop in the final 20 minutes in the 24 Hours Nürburgring
2018: Billy Monger: Returning to racing after losing his legs and finishing sixth in the BRDC British Formula 3 Championship with four podium finishes and a pole position at Donington Park.

Most Improved
Description: Racer, Team or Manufacture Who Improved The Most from 2018 to 2019.
And the Nominees are:
Álex Márquez: From fourth with no victories and six podium finishes in Moto2 to Moto2 champion with five victories and ten podium finishes.
Denny Hamlin: From 11th in the championship with no victories and 10 top five finishes to fourth in the championship with six victories, including the Daytona 500, and 19 top five finishes.
Nico Müller: From tenth on 96 points and two podium finishes to second on 250 points with three victories, 11 podium finishes and scored points in 16 of 18 races.
Cooper Webb: From ninth in Supercross on 181 points to Supercross champion with 379 points with seven victories after only two podium finishes in his prior two seasons in the 450cc class.
Mazda Team Joest: From fourth in the DPi manufactures' championship with three podium finishes with the entries finishing eighth and tenth in the championship to third the DPi manufactures' championship with three victories, eight podium finishes including two 1-2 finishes and having its entires finishing fifth and sixth in the championship.

And the winner is... Cooper Webb
Anytime you can go from afterthought to champion it has been a great year.

For two seasons, Cooper Webb showed speed but inconsistency. He threw away many good races. He could get a great jump but could not turn it into a complete A-Main.

A switch flipped in 2019. Maybe the switch to KTM had something to do with it but after the success of Ryan Dungey and the presence of Marvin Musquin at the sharp end of the field it appeared Webb was going to be the number two ride in the team. However, Webb won a race and then another and then was in the championship lead and nobody really could mount a challenge.

Musquin could not answer his teammate's pace. Eli Tomac had been the best rider in Supercross the previous few seasons but could not put together a season worthy to take the title. In 2019, Tomac was far from his previous self. He was not in the discussion. Defending champion Jason Anderson was hurt. Ken Roczen returned from injury, was running well but could not breakthrough for a victory.

Meanwhile, Webb was crisp. He did not make mistakes. He did not fall while leading three minutes into an A-Main. He didn't put himself in vicarious situations. He was smart, smooth and ended up taking a surprising championship in his debut season with KTM.

On the other nominees:
Álex Márquez was kind of being undersold after last season. It is hard to succeed when you are constantly compared to an older sibling and one that is actively achieving great things. It didn't seem like Álex Márquez was anywhere near MotoGP at the start of 2019. However, he put together a world championship season, stood out above the rest of the Moto2 grid and he will join his brother Marc with Honda in MotoGP next year.

We were ready for 2019 to be the final year for Denny Hamlin at Joe Gibbs Racing. It seemed like his time was up after a winless season in 2018. There was no reason to expect a grand turnaround but it happened. It started with an emotional victory at the Daytona 500 and five more victories followed. Hamlin went from afterthought to championship-contender. When put into a must-win situation at Phoenix, Hamlin pulled it out. The season did not end in a championship but Hamlin saved his career.

Prior to 2019, Nico Müller had run five seasons in Deutsche Tourenwagen Masters. He had one victory and seven podium finishes in his first 84 races, his best championship finish was ninth and the most points he scored in a season was 96. In 2019 alone, Müller picked up three victories, more than doubled his podium finishes and scored 250 points after having scored a combined 301 points in his first five seasons. Not bad from Müller.

Mazda Team Joest was a feel-good story of 2019. We have seen the Mazda prototype program struggle for years. A lot of good people put in a lot of hard work but the results were not coming. Mazda had some good days but lost them but 2019 was different. Mazda had its breakthrough, won three consecutive races and you could not feel anything but happy for this group.

Past Winners
2012: Esteban Guerrieri
2013: Marco Andretti
2014: Chaz Mostert
2015: Graham Rahal
2016: Simon Pagenaud
2017: DJR Team Penske
2018: Gary Paffett

And there you have it. Congratulations to all the champions, race winners and award recipients from this season. While motorsports is taking some time off remember this is a time to spend with the people we love, family, friends, and colleagues. Enjoy these days. Do not worry too much about missing motorsports. There are things more important that it. Motorsports will return but make the most of the time you have been given with those you love.

Predictions will be coming in the next few days and will be spread out until the end of the year. We will have our annual Christmas list come out next week. I thank everyone who takes the time to read what I post. There are many things out there to view and it is an honor you choose to read this. More is to come in 2020.


Friday, February 1, 2019

2019 Bathurst 12 Hour Preview

We have reached February and the month starts with another endurance race. After experiencing the twice-around-the-clock events from Dubai and Daytona it is time for a race of half the distance but on an iconic circuit. For the 18th time the Bathurst 12 Hour will be held and the Mount Panorama Circuit hosts the opening round of the Intercontinental GT Challenge season for the fourth consecutive year.

Eight manufactures have committed to this year's Intercontinental GT Challenge season. Audi is back and will try to maintain its unbeaten record in this series, as it is three-for-three in the manufactures' championship. Mercedes-AMG was vice-champion to Audi last year and returns as well as Porsche and Bentley. BMW, Nissan, Ferrari and Honda are new manufactures to this year's championship. Honda will be absent from the Bathurst 12 Hour because the NSX GT3 Evo kit is not eligible for this race.

This year's race has 41 entries with 28 in Class A, the leading GT3 class. Class B has three Porsche 911 GT3 Cup cars, Class C has six GT4 cars and Class I for invitational cars has four entries, including one that has Paul Tracy paired with two-time Bathurst 12 Hour winner and one-time Bathurst 1000 winner Paul Morris.

This preview looks at the 28 Class A entries, which will be fighting for the overall victory. Unfortunately, two Class A entries have been withdrawn after accidents and those are covered below as well.

#2 Audi Sport Team Valvoline Audi R8 LMS
Drivers: Christopher Mies, Christopher Haase, Markus Winkelhock
Why this car could win: Mies has won this race twice before and he and Haase have experience driving together. All three of these drivers have won the biggest endurance races from around the world and Audi is coming off winning this race for the third time last year. Winkelhock won the 2017 Intercontinental GT Challenge Drivers' championship. This car was third in Friday practice.
Why this car will not win: There have been four different manufactures that have won this race in the last four years and the last manufacture to win in consecutive years was Audi in 2011 and 2012.

#3 Melbourne Performance Centre Audi R8 LMS
Drivers: Pete Storey, Gordon Sheddon, Matthew Neal
Why this car could win: It can't because Storey had an accident during a practice session and the car will not be repaired in time. Sheddon and Neal are British Touring Car champions. Sheddon ran the World Touring Car Cup season last year.
Why this car would not have won: While Sheddon had one Bathurst start a few years ago, his two co-drivers were making their Bathurst debut. I don't think they would have been able to compete with some of these much more experienced entries.

#6 Melbourne Performance Centre Lamborghini Huracán GT3
Drivers: Adrian Deitz, Julain Westwood, Cameron McConville, Tony D'Alberto
Why this car could win: McConville has six Bathurst 1000 podium finishes and he won a Bathurst 24 Hour before. D'Alberto also finished on the Bathurst 1000 podium a few years ago. This car will not be eligible for IGTC points.
Why this car will not win: McConville and D'Alberto cannot carry this car to victory.

#9 Audi Sport Team MPC Audi R8 LMS
Drivers: Marc Cini, Lee Holdsworth, Dean Fiore
Why this car could win: All three have experience at Mount Panorama with Holdsworth having finished on the podium for the Bathurst 1000 before.
Why this car will not win: This is a good lineup but not a great lineup and Holdsworth and Fiore are coming off rough seasons in the Supercars Championship.

#11 Objective Racing McLaren 650S GT3
Drivers: Tony Walls, Warren Luff, Andrew Watson
Why this car could win: Walls and Luff have run together for many years and Luff has five Bathurst 1000 podium finishes in the last seven year including runner-up results the last two years. Watson has some Bathurst experience. This car will not be eligible for IGTC points.
Why this car will not win: Luff has yet to break through and get a race victory in the Bathurst 1000. A few years ago this team could get a victory but the competition has become really stiff.

#12 Competition Motorsports/McElrea Racing Porsche 911 GT3-R
Drivers: David Calvert-Jones, Kévin Estre, Jaxon Evans
Why this car could win: Calvert-Jones has experience in this race and has had some good outings before. Estre is a top driver and has won plenty for Porsche. Evans is a young driver but he is coming off the Porsche Carrera Cup Australia title and he won a race at Bathurst last year. This car rounded out the top five in Friday practice.
Why this car will not win: Surprisingly, Porsche has yet to win the Bathurst 12 Hour. Calvert-Jones has normally had four-drive lineups and I think that fourth driver would come in handy.

#18 KCMG Nissan GT-R Nismo GT3
Drivers: Alexandre Imperatori, Oliver Jarvis, Edoardo Liberati
Why this car could win: These three all ran the Dubai 24 Hour last month. All three of veterans of sports car racing and have run all around the globe. Nissan won this race four years ago. Jarvis is going to want to make up for the lost opportunity at the 24 Hours of Daytona.
Why this car will not win: Nissan's GT3 program hasn't been as strong on the international level since its won this race four years ago and won the Blancpain Endurance Series title that same year.

#19 Griffith Corp. Team Nineteen Black Falcon Mercedes-AMG GT3
Drivers: Mark Griffith, Yelmer Buurman, Christina Nielsen
Why this car could win: Buurman won the Dubai 24 Hour last month and Nielsen is a champion in IMSA's GTD class. This car will not be eligible for IGTC points.
Why this car will not win: This lineup does not have experience with each other, Nielsen is making her Bathurst debut and the Mercedes-AMG pool is deep.

#22 Audi Sport Team Valvoline Audi R8 LMS
Drivers: Kelvin van der Linde, Garth Tander, Frédéric Vervisch
Why this car could win: Van der Linde and Vervisch have plenty of experience with Audi's GT3 operation. Van der Linde is a race winner. Vervisch is still climbing the ladder. Add to the lineup a three-time Bathurst 1000 winner and Bathurst 24 Hour winner in Tander and this team will be competing for the top step of the podium. These three ran last year's race together.
Why this car will not win: This is a deep field. Van der Linde is in his third endurance race on a third different continent in five weeks. Tander is north of 40 and he is coming off the worst Supercars Championship finish of his career.

#27 HubAuto Corsa Ferrari 488 GT3
Drivers: Nick Foster, Tim Slade, Nick Percat
Why this car could win: Percat has a fondness for Bathurst having won on his Bathurst 1000 debut and he has since added another two podium finishes at the track. Slade has had respectable results in the Supercars the last few seasons and Foster has gotten out on the international stage and done pretty good. On top of that, Ferrari has done well in this event and this car was second fastest in Friday practice.
Why this car will not win: There are not many Ferraris in the field and Ferrari has not had much success in the IGTC.

#29 Trofeo Motorsport Lamborghini Huracán GT3
Drivers: Jim Manolios, Benjamin Porter, Ivan Capelli, Dean Canto
Why this car could win: Canto and Capelli have been around the block a few times. This car will not be eligible for IGTC points.
Why this car will not win: This lineup is too amateur to win overall.

#34 Walkenhorst Motorsport BMW M6 GT3
Drivers: Christian Matias Krognes, Nicky Catsburg, Mikkel Jensen
Why this car could win: Krognes won last year in the Spa 24 Hours with this team. Catsburg has been a regular in BMW program for a few years now and he has won in many different series. Jensen has been developing as a sports car driver in recent years.
Why this car will not win: This lineup is too inexperience to win this race. All three are making their Bathurst debuts.

#35 KCMG Nissan GT-R Nismo GT3
Drivers: Katsumasa Chiyo, Matsuda Tsugio, Joshua Burdon
Why this car could win: Chiyo won this race in 2015 and Tsugio has been successful in Japan. Burdon is still getting accustomed to sports cars but has spent the last few years in LMP3.
Why this car will not win: Burdon is a weak link and Nissan might not be able to complete with Mercedes-AMG and Porsche.

#42 BMW Team Schnitzer BMW M6 GT3
Drivers: Augusto Farfus, Chaz Mostert, Martin Tomczyk
Why this car could win: Mostert has won the Bathurst 1000 before. Farfus is coming off a big victory at the 24 Hours of Daytona. Before that Farfus has won in the DTM and has been stout in BMW's GT operation. Tomczyk was a DTM champion and he is learning in sports cars.
Why this car will not win: Farfus is coming over from Daytona and after such a high he might have a let down race and that would be understandable. Daytona was such an emotional experience; especially with the victory coming after the passing of long-time BMW Team Schnitzer team principal Charly Lamm. Add to that a transcontinental flight and everything is bound to catch up with you and slow you down. Add on top of all that, Tomczyk is a Bathurst rookie.

#51 Spirit of Race Ferrari 488 GT3
Drivers: Paul Dalla Lana, Pedro Lamy, Mathias Lauda
Why this car could win: They have won the FIA World Endurance Championship GTE-Am title. They have a lot of experience with one another and they just ran a Ferrari 488 GT3 at Daytona. These three ran this race last year.
Why this car will not win: This team will have a bit of jet lag. It is still an amateur lineup and is going up against not only professional lineups but Bathurst experienced drivers. Dalla Lana also had an accident in practice but the crew will attempt to repair the car.

#62 R-Motorsport Aston Martin Vantage GT3
Drivers: Jake Dennis, Matthieu Vaxivière, Marvin Kirchhöfer
Why this car could win: Dennis and Vaxiviére won last year in the Blancpain Endurance Series at Silverstone. All three drivers have moderately successful junior formula careers and are doing well in their transition to GT competition. Kirchhöfer did well last year in ADAC GT Masters with a third place championship finish. This car will not be eligible for IGTC points.
Why this car will not win: All three are new to Bathurst and Aston Martin has not regularly competed in this event.

#75 SunEnergy1 Racing Mercedes-AMG GT3
Drivers: Kenny Habul, Dominick Baumann, Thomas Jäger
Why this car could win: Tristan Vautier was supposed to be in this car and is coming off winning the International GT Challenge title but Vautier has come down with the flue. Baumann will replace him and this will be his Bathurst 12 Hour debut. Habul won the Bronze Drivers' championship last year in IGTC. These two finished second last year and Jäger won this race back in 2013.
Why this car will not win: Habul and Vautier had Jamie Whincup and Raffaele Maricello last year and no offense to Baumann and Jäger but they aren't Jamie Whincup and Raffaele Maricello. This lineup experienced a late shake up. It will be an uphill fight.

#77 Mercedes-AMG Team Craft Bamboo Black Falcon Mercedes-AMG GT3
Drivers: Maro Engel, Luca Stolz, Gary Paffett
Why this car could win: Engel has experience at Mount Panorama and Stolz was in last year's race. Paffett is coming off a DTM title and he has been running in Formula E. This car was fourth quickest during Friday practice.
Why this car will not win: Paffett does not have much GT experience and no experience at Mount Panorama.

#98 Matt Stone Racing Audi R8 LMS
Drivers: Todd Hazelwood, Roger Lago, David Russell
Why this car could win: Lago and Russell have run together in the Austrian GT Championship. Hazelwood is coming off his first full season in Supercars. This car will not be eligible for IGTC points.
Why this car will not win: This is a good lineup but there are many superior cars in this race.

#107 Bentley Team M-Sport Bentley Continental GT3
Drivers: Steven Kane, Jules Gounon, Jordan Pepper
Why this car could win: Gounon has won IGTC races before as he has won the Spa 24 Hours. These three got to run the back half of the Blancpain Endurance Series schedule last year together. Kane was on the overall podium in third in 2016 and 2017.
Why this car will not win: It has been a while since this car has won a race.

#108 Bentley Team M-Sport Bentley Continental GT3
Drivers: Andy Soucek, Maxime Soulet, Vincent Abril
Why this car could win: This trio has a lot of experience together and has won races in the Blancpain Endurance Series. Bentley has not won this race before but has come close.
Why this car will not win: Bentley's good races are too sporadic to think it could happen at this race.

#540 Black Swan Racing Porsche 911 GT3-R
Drivers: Tim Pappas, Jeroen Bleekemolen, Marc Lieb
Why this car could win: It can't win because Pappas suffered a massive accident in practice and the team has withdrawn the car. It is a shame because this team finished third last year with Luca Stolz as a fourth driver in this car. Pappas and Bleekemolen both raced in the 24 Hours of Daytona last week.
Why this car would not have won: The car was written off in a practice accident but I would have said Lieb is in pseudo-retirement and it seems this is his only race of choice each year. I am not sure that is enough to keep a driver fresh.

#760 R-Motorsport Aston Martin Vantage GT3-R
Drivers: Florian Kamelger, Andreas Bänzleger, Peter Leemhuis, Mathew Perry
Why this car could win: It is on the grid and R-Motorsport has produced race winners before. This car will not be eligible for IGTC points.
Why this car will not win: Too many unknowns with this lineup.

#777 The Bend Motorsports Park Mercedes-AMG GT3
Drivers: Yasser Shahin, David Reynolds, Luke Youlden
Why this car could win: Reynolds and Youlden won the Bathurst 1000 in 2017. Reynolds won three races last year in Supercars including the final race of the season at Newcastle. This car will not be eligible for IGTC points.
Why this car will not win: When looking at other lineups, Shahin is one of the weaker third drivers.

#88 888 Mercedes-AMG Team Vodafone Mercedes-AMG GT3
Drivers: Craig Lowndes, Jamie Whincup, Shane van Gisbergen
Why this car could win: Between the three drivers they have 11 Bathurst 1000 victories, 11 Supercars championship and four Bathurst 12 Hour victories with each driver having won this race before.
Why this car will not win: Because it is too good to be true and the dream team is not always victorious. Also, this team made contact with the #51 Ferrari in that practice accident and while the team had minimal damage in comparison it is a minor setback.

#911 EBM Porsche 911 GT3-R
Drivers: Romain Dumas, Sven Müller, Mathieu Jaminet
Why this car could win: This lineup could win in any series in the world. Dumas has won in everything everywhere he has been. Müller and Jaminet are both hungry drivers and getting Porsche its first win in the Bathurst 12 Hour would boost their careers.
Why this car will not win: A few teams are stronger and this team is beat by a Bathurst-experience group.

#912 EBM Porsche 911 GT3-R
Drivers: Dirk Werner, Dennis Olsen, Matt Campbell
Why this car could win: Another strong lineup from Porsche and Campbell is a past Porsche Carrera Cup Australia champion and he is had a really strong year in the FIA WEC. Olsen is the defending Porsche Supercup champion.
Why this car will not win: Its sister car is stronger. I think either Porsche could win this race.

#999 Mercedes-AMG Team MANN FILTER GruppeM Racing Mercedes-AMG GT3
Drivers: Maximilian Buhk, Raffaele Marciello, Maximilian Götz
Why this car could win: All three drivers have won championships. Buhk has won titles in the Blancpain GT Series as has Marciello. Götz won an ADAC GT Masters title. Maricello did well last year in the IGTC and won at Suzuka. This car was quickest in Friday practice.
Why this car will not win: There are many good teams in this field. This field has at least eight cars that would not surprise me if they won this race.

The Bathurst 12 Hour will begin at 1:45 p.m. ET on Saturday February 2nd with the race continuing to 1:45 a.m. ET on Sunday February 3rd.