We are at the halfway point of summer, and we are coming off a break for some. IndyCar, NASCAR, MotoGP and Formula One were all off last week. MotoGP is back after a month off. IndyCar had two weeks off and now has a five-week run-in to close its season. NASCAR gets just the one week off. Formula One will be on break for a few more weeks. Sports cars have remained busy. Every series has established itself. We know how things stand, and over the next few weeks and months, series will conclude their seasons.
This isn't really a catchup in the traditional sense. It is more some thoughts and where things stand for a few series.
Formula One: This is Fine
It sounds odd to say a season where one driver won five consecutive races and has won over half the races run to this point has been rather competitive, but that has been the case, and the playing field has leveled out a little more recently.
Andrea Kimi Antonelli leads the championship with 219 points, and he is 50 points clear of Lewis Hamilton in second. Antonelli has been the best driver this season, and he is really one mechanical issue and an off-track excursion away from having a slightly better lead. The championship is still within his control, but it feels like a strong second half from Ferrari could see him challenged.
Even with Antonelli winning six of 11 races, Ferrari has been up to the task and both its driver have won. George Russell has won twice. Lando Norris put McLaren on the board in Hungary. Red Bull isn't great but we all believe Max Verstappen could work something brilliant to win a race or two. A few races have been good. A few have been dull. It is a Formula One season like many Formula One seasons before it. There are still 12 races scheduled after the summer break! Remember when we got to August and there would be five races left?
MotoGP: It is Marc Márquez's lose
This is a slightly more common belief around MotoGP. Despite Márquez's sloppy start to the season where he failed to stand on the podium in the first seven grand prix, two of which he missed due to injury, it feels like he entered the summer break as the best rider.
In the last four races he has gone first, first, seventh and first with a pair of sprint victories in there. He did win two of the first four sprint races as well. He reached the summer break 18 points behind Jorge Martín. Martín's one grand prix victory was the French Grand Prix. Martín has two sprint victories, Austin and Le Mans. Ai Ogura is four points ahead of Márquez in the championship and has been rather strong the last few races. Marco Bezzecchi has unraveled ever since his retirement in Hungary with an exclusion for pushing a marshal at Brno and a broken collarbone in Germany in the interim.
No Ducati rider is going to consistently beat Márquez, and it does not appear any competitor can match him on pace over the final 11 races. It really comes down to Márquez not tossing away results, something we cannot dismiss him doing. If he can accept days where he is going to fourth or fifth and not be desperate, he will take the title because more times than not the race will come to him.
NASCAR: Isn't it ironic how few surprise winners there are?
We are four races until the playoffs begin in the Cup Series, and all ten race winners this season rank in the top 15 of the championship. How about that in the first season since the reversion to the "Chase" format where the top 16 drivers in points will compete for the championship after the 26th race and there are no scheduled eliminations?
After the first 22 races last season, three winners were outside the top 16 in the championship.
It should be acknowledged it pays more to win a race. Winning a race now pays 55 points as a base versus 40 points. The maximum points for a victory is now 76 points! A winner can now earn up to 41 more points than second place. That is one reason.
Another is Shane van Gisbergen has improved mightily on ovals. Van Gisbergen has won twice, both on road courses, but his most impressive races have been the Coca-Cola 600, where he finished 11th but spent most of that race in the top ten, and he was fifth at North Wilkesboro and was legitimately a top five car. Add in finishing sixth in both Atlanta races and just showing more top twenty pace versus struggling to crack the top 25, and he is in the playoffs on points.
We have had some close calls. Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. was second in the Daytona 500 to Tyler Reddick in what was somewhat a toss-up coming to the checkered flag. Alex Bowman missed four races due to vertigo-like symptoms, and then he nearly won at Talladega. Brad Keselowski was second at Darlington after winning the first two stages. Drivers currently outside the top 16 were close to victory this season. It just didn't break their way.
FIA World Endurance Championship: There is greater intrigue
BMW has won two of four races. Le Mans was rather compelling with Toyota beating BMW with Cadillac not far off. Ferrari has been good, but not as quick as it has been in previous seasons. The #20 BMW and the #7 Toyota are tied in the championship through four races. It has felt like WEC races have been a little more open this season, and it is not surprising to see deeper competition.
The next round is at Circuit of the Americas in about a month, and there could be nine cars that have a plausible shot at winning. That isn't a bad thing. It feels like we are bound to see a proper championship fight until the final round.
The WEC calendar has always been eight or nine races in length. I feel like we are a few rounds too short. I wish there were more opportunities to see this championship.
IMSA: Something is Missing
I cannot put my finger on it. It has been a fun IMSA season.
Laurin Heinrich stole the show early. Whelen Racing has been near-bulletproof. Acura has won a race. Wayne Taylor Racing finally ended its slump. We have a fun two-driver championship battle because Heinrich has pieced together a full season and Jack Aitken had a different co-driver at Long Beach because Earl Bamber had WEC responsibilities. Something is missing though.
It might be the IMSA season is too quick, but it has been this way ever since Grand-Am and the American Le Mans Series merged.
The schedule is front loaded... kind of. There are still six weeks between the first and second rounds, but IMSA becomes a once-a-month series for the top class starting in Detroit.
May 30, June 28, August 2, September 20, October 3. That is the schedule for the top class, and you only see the class compete nine times all year. I don't know if another two or three races over the summer would make the season feel more full or make the championship more compelling. It isn't going to change. IMSA is set on this being the schedule length and this is what the teams can budget toward in terms of mileage over a full season.
Maybe I am just not feeling it this year.
Super Formula: Kakunoshin Ohta is doing enough for Honda to take him to IndyCar
Seven races are in the books in the Super Formula season with five races remaining, Sportsland SUGO this weekend and a pair of doubleheaders at Fuji and Suzuka, and Ohta has 95 points and a 50.5-point lead over Ayumu Iwasa. Ohta has won four of seven races and finished in the points of all seven events. There are 115 points left on the table.
It has been rather quiet on Ohta's possible move to North America. He has expressed interest in both IndyCar and IMSA, but the Acura program is leaving the grid at the end of this season. That leaves IndyCar and Ohta is probably ready for it. That second Meyer Shank Racing could be a good introduction.
Ohta was third in the Super Formula championship last year and he has won ten times in his Super Formula career. He is 27 years old. The last guy to come to IndyCar from Super Formula has done pretty well. Joining next year would mean one year in a lame-duck car. Holding off until 2028 could be the wiser move. Ohta is certainly fit for the challenge should he want it, and Honda will help facilitate it.
The Super Formula season goes until November 22. News could come deeper into the offseason than we are accustomed to hearing.
Indy Lights: I am not sure anyone is great
It speaks for itself. It has been a while since this series has had a three-driver championship fight with this little between the top drivers. Nikita Johnson is on 451 points, one point ahead of Enzo Fittipaldi and Tymek Kucharczyk is 25 points back. Nobody wows me.
Johnson is 18 years old and was strong throughout his Road to Indy career. Fittipaldi spent the previous three years in Formula Two and won two races in that span with a pair of top ten championship finishes. Kucharczyk was Euroformula Open champion last year, but it was a series that had eight full-time drivers and had about 12 cars at most competing in any race. I don't know if these are good drivers or the best the series car attract.
It doesn't help that Indy Lights does not have a historically great record of producing drivers. Drivers make it to IndyCar and then they are gone. There hasn't been a driver in the Road to Indy system that has ever wowed a team into fully supporting from their first race until they make their IndyCar debut. The closest we have is Kyle Kirkwood with Andretti Global being behind him and loaning him to A.J. Foyt Racing for his rookie IndyCar season. The rest are here today, gone tomorrow. Some do not even get that chance (We still remember you, Kyle Kaiser).
Beyond the top three, Max Taylor is 18 years old and started strong but has had ups and downs. There is promise there. Lochie Hughes hasn't been as good as he was last years and the same can be said for Myles Rowe. Outside of the top six, there is no one to really mention.
Somebody is going to be champion and we will have to discuss where that driver will race next year in IndyCar... which actually becomes tougher because of the charter system.
We haven't discussed how the charter system makes it all-or-nothing for the Indy Lights champion. The prize was enough for an Indianapolis 500 entry and a few other races. There aren't going to be a few other races as grids are going to be restricted to chartered entries. That basically means full-time or just Indianapolis unless a team (Dale Coyne Racing) wants to split a car among multiple drivers.
It only becomes more difficult to break into IndyCar for these drivers, and in recent years, rookies have struggled even when full-time and with a proper testing program entering a rookie season. We may need to discuss this further in the future.
Formula E: It looks good on paper
One round remains, a doubleheader from London, and nine drivers are still alive for the championship.
A strong end to the season has seen Jake Dennis re-take the championship lead. With four podium finishes in the last five races, Dennis is on 146 points, two points ahead of Mitch Eavans. Pascal Wehrlein makes its five points covering the top three drivers. Oliver Rowland has an outside chance of defending his title, as Rowland is 14 points behind Dennis. It gets a little harder to believe Edoardo Mortara (116 points) and António Félix da Costa (113 points) have a chance. Nick Cassidy (104), Nico Müller (102) and Nyck de Vries (94) will require some good fortunate.
There are multiple drivers alive for the championship entering the final round and it will likely be decided in the final race.
It is unfortunate how buried Formula E has been. It has been that way for a while. It is a series without any demand. No one is lining up to broadcast the series because it is a can't-miss property. It can have some close races and multiple teams have a chance at winning. Eight of ten teams have won a race this season entering the final two rounds, and one of the winners is the worst time in the championship. Quality drivers are competing as well. It is a rather deep group. If only it was a little more accessible.