As you have may have noticed, over the last few weeks, we have been covering the IndyCar championship leader, and facts surrounding those who have topped the championship since 1946. We covered those who led the championship, from the all-time leader to those who led for only one race.
With the basics covered, there are a few questions that arise from the first wave of research. Today, we look to answer a few of those questions.
Who has the most victories to never lead the championship?
Since 1946, 107 drivers have led the championship. That is a lot of drivers, but that isn't everybody. Naturally, you wonder who has the most victories to never lead the championship?
Many drivers who won a lot led the championship. Even those drivers you don't think as winning a great abundance of races have led the championship. Scanning over the all-time leaders in victories and cross-referencing the championship leader list, I was getting surprised how far I was going down. Then I hit the answer, and it is a few drivers.
Since 1946, the most victories for a driver to never lead the championship is seven, and four drivers won seven races in their career but never led the championship.
Johnny Thomson won seven times in eight seasons. He won four times in the 1958 season but he never led the championship. The best Thomson was ever ranked in the championship was second for six races from the second Milwaukee race through the penultimate race at Sacramento. He missed the final four races due to an injury and dropped to third after the final race.
Dan Gurney was never full-time in IndyCar. The most starts he ever made in a season was nine in 1969, and that was out of 24 races. However, he won seven times in his career, his first victory coming in the 1967 season finale at Riverside and the last being at Sonoma in 1970. Despite never running full-time, Gurney ranked as high as second in the championship during the 1969 season. He was second at the Indianapolis 500, earning him 800 points, second at Continental Divide and he won the first race of a doubleheader on the road course at Indianapolis Raceway Park. This gave him 1,240 points and put him second in the championship for a pair of races. Gurney would finish fourth in the championship that year. He was ranked second again after his Sonoma victory in 1970, and then jumped back to second in the championship after he was third in the Indianapolis 500 a few races later.
Arie Luyendyk won the Indianapolis 500 twice, but he never led the IndyCar championship! Didn't matter if it was CART or the Indy Racing League. Luyendyk wasn't beating down the world in CART, but he was respectable, and in the early day of IRL he was one of the greater talents. Yet, he never led the championship. He was ranked second in the championship after the 1991 Indianapolis 500. He opened that season with finishes of ninth, fifth, first and third, and he trailed Rick Mears for the championship lead by nine points. That was the only time Luyendyk was second in the championship! Other than that one race, he never was higher than third at any other point in his career.
Justin Wilson never led the championship, which feels kind of odd. In all his years in Champ Car, there was never a brief moment where Wilson was a few points ahead of Sébastien Bourdais and on top of the world. Wilson was twice second in the championship in 2006 and 2007. He was second after 11 of 14 races in 2006. He was also second after the third race of the 2005 season at Milwaukee, a season where he opened with three consecutive fourth-place finishes. The final time Wilson was second in the championship was after St. Petersburg in 2010. He opened with an 11th at São Paulo, and he then finished second at St. Petersburg. It was technically a three-way tie for second with Ryan Hunter-Reay and Dario Franchitti. Franchitti had finished seventh and fifth in the first two races. Hunter-Reay was second in Brazil and then 11th in St. Petersburg. Effectively, Hunter-Reay and Wilson were tied because their results mirrored one another from the first two events.
Who has led the championship but never won a race?
If you read the first two parts of this series, you really just needed to read the second part, you would be able to pick out the answer, but in this case we are just going to drop it here for you. Four drivers led the championship at some point but never won a race.
There is Geoff Brabham, who led the championship for three races during the 1981-82 USAC Gold Crown season. That season started with the 1981 Indianapolis 500, Pocono a month later, Springfield and DuQuoin in August, the Hoosier Hundred from the Indiana State Fairgrounds in September and then the 1982 Indianapolis 500 also counted. Brabham only ran the pavement races. He was fifth in the 1981 Indianapolis 500 and second at Pocono. That gave him 1,300 points. He led the championship after Pocono, Springfield and DuQuoin despite not running the latter two. George Snider took the championship lead at the Hoosier Hundred by 80 points. Neither ran well in the 1982 Indianapolis 500 and Snider took the title.
Raul Boesel led the championship after the 1988 Grand Prix of Long Beach. He had finished fifth and fourth in the first two races. Mario Andretti won at Phoenix but failed to score at Long Beach. Al Unser, Jr. failed to score at Phoenix but won Long Beach. Boesel was a point ahead of both.
We covered Mike Groff quite closely. Groff led four races during the 1996-97 IRL season. He suffered a broken leg in a practice accident for the first Texas race and that is what saw him drop from the championship lead. He returned for Charlotte, was injured in practice for the second Loudon race, missed the rest of the season, returned in 1998 and was replaced after three races. He made an attempt at the 1999 Indianapolis 500 and that was it for his career.
After Groff was injured, Davey Hamilton took the championship lead with a third-place finish in the Texas race. Hamilton would finish third in the next race at Pikes Peak. However, he would lose the championship lead after an accident in the next race at Charlotte to Tony Stewart, who would go on to win the championship.
That means for a six-race period, the IndyCar championship, in this case the IRL championship, was led by drivers that had never won a race and would never win a race in their careers. That is incredible, and none of use knew it at the time. Hamilton ran three full seasons after that and never won a race. He was injured at Texas in 2001, and he did not return until the 2007 Indianapolis 500.
Who has led the championship before winning their first victory?
We have those four drivers who led the championship but never won a race, but there must be a few drivers who led the champi?nship before they won a race and then actually won a race. How many fit that category?
Technically, we have a driver who won the championship before he ever won a race. Ted Horn won the 1946 championship without winning a race. His first career victory would come the following year at Bainbridge, Ohio.
Mike Nazaruk led the championship four races into his career. In 1951, he opened the season with a second in the Indianapolis 500 before finishing eighth at Milwaukee, ninth at Langhorne and eighth at Darlington. He was three points ahead of Tony Bettenhausen and Lee Wallard. Nazaruk would score his first career victory the following year when he won at Milwaukee.
Mario Andretti led the championship before his first career victory. In 1965, Andretti had finishes of sixth, second, third and fourth to open the season. That gave him the championship lead on 1,100 points, 100 more than Jim Clark and Parnelli Jones. He then was second at Langhorne, skipped Pikes Peak and missed Trenton because of a practice accident but despite this, Andretti, Clark and Jones remained the top three in the championship though Andretti still had never won a race. Then he won the Hooiser Grand Prix on the IRP road course. Andretti led the championship for four races before he scored his first career victory.
It took Billy Vukovich, Jr. 85 starts to lead the championship for the first time in his career. It took Vukovich, Jr. 92 starts to score his first career victory. He opened the 1973 season with finishes of 15th, third, second and second, and that gave him the championship lead after the Indianapolis 500. In the first race of the Twin 125s from Michigan, Vukovich, Jr. passed Gary Bettenhausen with three laps remaining to get the victory, the only one of Vukovich, Jr.'s career.
Scott Pruett had finishes of fourth, third, ninth and second to open the 1995 CART season. This gave Pruett the championship lead but he had zero career victory. He held onto the championship lead for another race after finishing eighth at Nazareth. However, Pruett did not win until the 13th race of that season from Michigan.
Like Ted Horn, Scott Sharp won a championship before his first career victory. Unlike Ted Horn, Sharp won his championship because he and Buzz Calkins were tied after the three-race 1996 IRL season, and instead of giving Calkins the title based on Calkins winning a race while Sharp never won, the two drivers were declared co-champions. Less than three months after becoming a champion, Sharp won his first career race at Loudon to open the 1996-97 season.
The 1999 IRL season is arguably the worst season in IndyCar history. It was truly a season no driver wanted to win. Case in point, Jeff Ward opened the season with finishes of third, second and second. He was leading the championship after the Indianapolis 500! What did he do for the remainder of the season? His best finish was ninth in the remaining seven races. The guy who opened the season with three consecutive podium finishes ended up 11th in the championship. The guy who opened the season with three consecutive finishes of 21st, Greg Ray, won the championship. Nuts. Anyway, Ward would won his only IndyCar race a little over three years after his only time leading the championship. This was at Texas driving for Chip Ganassi Racing.
Roberto Moreno's made his IndyCar debut on June 30, 1985 at the Meadowlands. He was 28th. At one point, Moreno went nearly a decade between IndyCar starts, returning to the series in 1996. On June 25, 2000, Moreno took the championship lead at Portland. He was second and it was his third podium finish in eight races. Seven days later, Moreno won for the first time in his career at Cleveland.
In 2002, Michel Jourdain, Jr. led CART after the fourth round at Milwaukee as he had finished fourth, fifth, fifth and fifth over the first four races. It would be another 363 days before his first career victory, also at Milwaukee.
Along with the four drivers who led the championship but never won a race, nine other drivers led the championship before their first career victory, but it has been over two decades since it has happened.
Who led the championship for the greatest percentage of their careers?
Here is an issue... since we are only looking at the championship standings since 1946, we can only count starts from 1946 onward.
George Robson led the championship for five races. George Robson only started three races. Robson lost his life in the third race of the 1946 season. His Indianapolis 500 victory gave him enough points to lead for five races even though he was not present for two of those.
Technically, Robson led the championship for 166.667% of his career. There is your answer. However, it doesn't feel correct in spirit. It doesn't feel correct in reality either.
If you look at the all-time leaders, a great number of drivers at the top did not have long careers. Pat Flaherty only made 18 starts in a career shortened due to injury. Flaherty led the championship for nine races, half his career, but like Robson that is misleading because Flaherty led the championship for three races in 1956 after he was injured. That is a percentage point skewed in Flaherty's favor. It isn't his fault. It is just a quirk.
Ted Horn made 26 starts from 1946 onward. He led the championship for 12 races (46.153%). Nigel Mansell was only in IndyCar for two seasons. He led the championship for 14 of 31 starts (45.161%).
Mauri Rose only made nine start post-World War II. He led the championship after four of those races, but even for Rose, like Robson, it is misleading because Rose led the championship after races he didn't start. He won the 1948 Indianapolis 500 and that was his only start of the year. He held the championship lead for the two races after that as well. That victory was alone gave Rose third in the championship. It was a different time.
Let's set a standard of a minimum of 50 starts. That knocks out Bill Holland, who led the championship for 37.5% of his career, Bill Vukovich (36.363%), Jacques Villeneuve (35.294%), Tony Stewart (30.769%) and Bob Sweikert (30.555%). These were all drivers who led the championship for at least a quarter of their careers but did not start at least 50 races since 1946.
Even with the 50-start minimum added, the answer is still Álex Palou, who has led the championship after 56 of 103 starts or 54.3689% of his career!
Let's just run down the drivers that led for at least 10% of their careers with a minimum of 50 starts.
1. Palou - 54.3689%
2. Juan Pablo Montoya - 30.927% (30/97)
3. Alex Zanardi - 30.303% (20/66)
4. Johnny Parsons - 27.868% (17/61)
5. Jimmy Bryan - 27.419% (17/62)
6. Sam Hornish, Jr. - 23.275% (27/116)
7. Rodger Ward - 22.667% (34/150)
8. Sébastien Bourdais - 22.321% (50/224)
9. A.J. Foyt - 21.951% (81/369)
10. Cristiano da Matta - 19.801% (20/101)
11. Will Power - 17.592% (57/324)
12. Mario Andretti - 17.444% (71/407)
13. Rick Mears - 17.241% (35/203)
14. Dan Wheldon - 16.541% (22/133)
15. Bobby Rahal - 16.226% (43/265)
16. Al Unser - 15.264% (49/321)
17. Bobby Unser - 15.116% (39/258)
18. Scott Dixon - 14.858% (63/424)
19. Tom Sneva - 13.658% (13.658%)
20. Kenny Bräck - 13.461% (14/104)
21. Tony Bettenhausen - 12.711% (15/118)
22. Dario Franchitti - 12.075% (32/265)
23. Paul Tracy - 11.032% (31/281)
24. Josef Newgarden - 10.970% (26/237)
25. Al Unser, Jr. - 10.638% (35/329)
26. Hélio Castroneves - 10.379% (41/395)
27. Joe Leonard - 10.204% (10/98)
A special mention to Simon Pagenaud (9.178%) and Johnny Rutherford (8.917%), the next two drivers who just missed out on the 10% threshold.
Who many races are we away from Palou dropping to second?
Palou is 23.4419% ahead of the next closest driver in Montoya. Let's say Palou loses the championship lead after the Grand Prix of Indianapolis, which feels highly unlikely...
Palou would need to not lead the championship for the next 79 RACES to fall behind Montoya in terms of percentage of career leading the championship. At 17 races a season, that is Palou not leading the championship for over 4.64 seasons. We would be talking about Palou not leading the championship at all through practically the end of the 2030 season!
Think about that!
Palou could lose the championship lead at the next race on the Indianapolis Motor Speedway road course and not lead again for the rest of the 2020s and he still would likely would have led the championship for the greatest percentage of an IndyCar career with a minimum of 50 starts. Sensational!
It is more likely someone else enters IndyCar between now and then, makes 50 starts and leads the championship for at least 28 races than Palou dropping below Montoya's percentage. If someone is going to top Palou, it is because they are better not because he falls off.
Who has made the most starts to never lead the championship?
This is actually easy to look up.
It is Graham Rahal, 314 starts and he has never led the championship.
Let's give you the top 13 in this category.
1. Graham Rahal - 314
2. Ed Carpenter - 206
3. Oriol Servià - 204
4. Dick Simon - 183
5. Bryan Herta - 179
6. Justin Wilson - 174
7. Arie Luyendyk - 170
8. Mike Mosley - 164
T-9. Patrick Carpentier - 157
T-9. Charlie Kimball - 157
11. Scott Brayton - 150
12. Maurício Gugelmin - 147
13. Roberto Guerrero - 145
Those are the drivers listed with at least 145 starts to never lead the championship.
And in case you are wondering, "Which driver had the most starts before he led the championship for the first time?" That is a question for another day because it only came to me as I was answering this one and I have to stop somewhere.
But it is good that we have questions. It gives us something to shoot for in the future.