We wrapped up two days of testing from Indianapolis Motor Speedway without much drama. Damp conditions delayed a day. There was a fox on the track. Christian Rasmussen stopped as a precaution. Jack Harvey lost an engine that set his car on fire. Other than those incidents, there was no accidents, no torn up race cars, and everyone can feel a little bit better entering the month of May, which is today!
However, while we saw cars on track, it does feel rather empty after these two days.
Is There Anything We Can Take Away From This Test?
More teams bring unrelated cars to the open test and it makes the results feel somewhat meaningless.
What can we take away from Álex Palou when he is using his Long Beach car in this test? That was the case for the entire Chip Ganassi Racing team.
So does anything we see matter?
Obviously, Ganassi and all the teams not running their Indianapolis 500 car are getting something out of this test. They would not have bothered to show up if there was nothing to gain from these two days, but what they got we will not see in the time chart. We already knew Ganassi was better than most, so seeing Palou fourth-fastest overall in what is no better than his backup car for the Indianapolis 500 is not a surprise. Is the thought Palou's main car must be a smidge quicker? Is his best lap at 39.9517 seconds really about two or three-tenths slower than what the car sitting in the shop will do?
We don't know... yet.
We say we shouldn't draw much from these tests, but then we see each year someone who was in the top five or top ten be one of the best cars in the race, and it suggests we cannot entirely rule out these results. If there has been a driver that was 25th after the opening test and then went on to win the race or play a significant role, it has been a long time since that has happened.
Everyone is trying different things. Some teams probably didn't even bother to go 100% at any point during this test. These two days appeared to allow for more race simulations. Teams can worry about speed in practice week, but this test created scenarios, and it was a chance for teams to try something in the faintest chance it should come up during the race.
These two days weren't about what we can take away from it, but rather what the teams could gather and us never knowing if that information will be useful in a month's time.
Who is Probably Serious?
As mentioned above, Palou is probably serious in fourth, and that would also apply to Scott Dixon in eighth. Chip Ganassi Racing might not sweep the front row, but it will have two cars in the picture.
Team Penske is probably good. Josef Newgarden was second-fastest over two day. He is likely comfortable, and Penske will look to pick up from where it left off prior to the attenuator penalties in qualifying last year. David Malukas was ninth. Scott McLaughlin is 15th. Penske is likely fine.
Can we take Caio Collet seriously?
At 39.7560 seconds (226.381 mph), Collet ran the fastest lap over the two days, and nobody probably thought a rookie would leave as the fastest driver. It is a test. Is this Collet's true speed, or did A.J. Foyt Racing decide to give Collet a jolt on Wednesday morning and it paid off with the fastest lap, aided with a draft?
Foyt has shown good speed in recent years at Indianapolis. It is not crazy to think Collet could make the Fast 12. Benjamin Pedersen made the Fast 12! But Robert Shwartzman was never considered a factor after the open test last year and Shwartzman and Prema ended up winning pole position. Jacob Abel was 13th in this test. Do we really think Jacob Abel is going to be pushing for the Fast 12? You cannot look at these results as hard and fast of what is to come in a few weeks.
Collet got to have a good day and gets this feather in his cap. It doesn't mean anything is guaranteed tomorrow.
Conor Daly was third-overall and Jack Harvey ran the fastest no-tow time. That is a good test for Dreyer & Reinbold Racing. The last two years, D&R has shown promise. In 2024, it was in qualifying. In 2025, it was in the race. It is also a team that has had its struggles at Indianapolis. Last year, D&R didn't look great in qualifying, and then Ryan Hunter-Reay stretched fuel and had cautions fall his way in the race. Harvey's record at Indianapolis is rather poor. Daly's record is good recently.
D&R is probably better than it was last year. That doesn't mean it will be in the Fast 12.
We are also at the point where Takuma Sato's speed is always pure. Sato has made the Fast 12 in the last two years and started second last year for Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing. If Sato is doing that with RLLR, his seventh in this test is indicative of where his car is at. He is probably solid, going to be a contender for the Fast 12 and maybe push for the Fast Six again.
Hélio Castroneves is also probably fine. Castroneves was fifth overall and second on the no-tow report. I don't know if that means a fifth Indianapolis 500 victory is in the cards, but Castroneves is tied with A.J. Foyt for the most top ten finishes in an Indianapolis 500 career at 17. You have to think Castroneves can at least have a respectable result.
Who is Probably Sleeping?
None of the Andretti Global cars were particularly quick in overall speed. Will Power was quickest at 18th. Kyle Kirkwood was 27th and Marcus Ericsson was 31st. That doesn't speak to a confident outing. However, Kirkwood was third on the no-tow report and Power was 11th. Ericsson was still down in 28th.
Perhaps more is there for Andretti, but Andretti hasn't had the greatest qualifying pace in recent years. A tide could be turning or everything we saw is actually wrong.
While Patricio O'Ward was sixth, none of the other three McLaren cars were in the top twenty. I would think Christian Lundgaard and Ryan Hunter-Reay will be better come May.
Alexander Rossi also cracked the top ten while his two Ed Carpenter Racing teammates were both outside the top 25. I am not saying all three ECR cars will be in the Fast 12, but I think Ed Carpenter and Christian Rasmussen will look better when practice week begins and on the qualifying days.
Does the No-Tow Chart Tell Us Anything?
Last year, the open test had a dedicated two hours to running with turbo boost levels at the qualifying level, as this was going to be the first Indianapolis 500 with the hybrid and IndyCar wanted to see how hybrid worked at that level. As much as we say testing doesn't matter, the top six from that session made the Fast 12 and eight of the top 12 made the Fast 12 in qualifying.
Technically, that was on an open track for all teams testing, but teams looked to get clear laps to show a representative no-tow time. This year, the turbo boost levels remained at race levels for the duration of the test, and there was no additional reason to try and run a no-tow lap. Looking at the speeds, there is not much you can get to replicating qualifying running less boost.
Jack Harvey had the top time, but his fastest lap was at 221.112 mph, 40.7034 seconds. Jacob Abel wasn't close to making the field last year, and all four laps on his best qualifying run where better than 39.7 seconds. We are a second off from being a second off the fastest times.
I tend to think in this test none of the no-tow times mattered. Only three drivers registered no-tow lap average greater than 220 mph. Jack Harvey is probably happy he got to top that time sheet, but Harvey and his Dreyer & Reinbold crew also likely know that is not the zip code this team will be playing in come qualifying weekend. There are some teams that were at the top of the no-tow chart and will make it to the Fast 12 and maybe even the Fast Six, but this test wasn't foreshadowing.
The best Penske car was Newgarden in 23rd. I don't think anything from the no-tow report can be seriously carried over. Any similarities we see in actual qualifying are completely coincidental.
Do We Need to Watch Our Idolatry of Indianapolis Motor Speedway?
We need to watch idolatry at all times in our lives, but in the aftermath of this test, we should cool it when it comes to the mythology of the Indianapolis Motor Speedway and be ok if a driver isn't blown away the first time he runs a lap on the circuit.
It is ok that Mick Schumacher was more impressed at Phoenix. When Schumacher ran at Phoenix it was a race weekend and the qualifying session had some stakes. He qualified fourth and likely impressed himself. In this test, the mission was to check off boxes. For Schumacher, that meant rookie orientation, which is running laps at a controlled speed. After completing rookie orientation, he was likely running to a test plan to get a feel for the car. He wasn't told to go gun-a-blazing and to hold it flat with he rear wing trimmed to an insane angle. The team wasn't looking to blow his socks off nor was Schumacher expecting it.
We must also acknowledge the cultural differences in people, and as a German, Schumacher isn't going to get too high or too low. He isn't going to be impressed by anything. Everything is going to be met with a neutral tone.
It is a racetrack. It is an inanimate object. Let it be that especially for the drivers competing. It is not an altar everyone must bow upon arrival in adoration. It sounds remarkably uneducated to essentially be rooting for a driver to be injured because he didn't honor the racetrack in the right way. Can't we listen and understand what a driver is saying without twisting his words?