Thursday, December 4, 2025

2025 Sports Car Predictions: Revisited

Sports car season is over. Sports car season is about to begin. Most series are over and are settled into the offseason. One series is about to start.

We revisit our sports car predictions for 2025 as the 2025-26 Asian Le Mans Series is about to begin. Over December 13-14, ALMS has a pair of four-hour races from Sepang, and the Sepang 12 Hours is this weekend, but none of those events will change any of the results for the predictions we made for the year 2025. All of these are set. 

FIA World Endurance Championships
1. The pole-sitter will be classified in at least seven of eight races
Correct!

After the pole-sitter retired from three of eight races in 2024, this season saw the pole-sitter finish every race in the 2025. In fact, five times did the pole-sitter finish on the podium this season after the pole-sitter finished only five of eight races total in 2024. Last season, the pole-sitter had only two podium finishes with only one victory. In 2025, the WEC pole-sitter won three races.

2. At least two manufacturers that did not win in LMGT3 in 2024 do win in 2025
Correct!

We were halfway there through the first race of the season as the #33 TF Sport Corvette of Jonny Edgar, Daniel Juncadella and Ben Keating won in Qatar after Corvette went winless in 2024. It would take a minute, but Lexus took victory in São Paulo with the #87 Akkodis ASP Team and José María López, Clemens Scmid and Razvan Umbrarescu, making that two new winners among manufacturers. 

But we aren't done yet! At the next round at Austin, United Autosports took victory in the #95 McLaren with Sean Geleal, Darren Leung and Marino Sato. That's three new manufacturers!

To add to it, TF Sport won again at Fuji, but this time with the #81 Corvette, and the #87 Akkodis ASP Team Lexus won again at Bahrain. In the final four races of 2025, each LMGT3 race had a winner that was a manufacturer that did not win in 2024. 

Porsche won twice (Imola and Le Mans). Ferrari won once (Spa-Francorchamps). BMW and Aston Martin went winless in 2025 after each won a race in 2024.

3. Each Cadillac entry will get a podium finish
Correct!

And it happened in the same race as Hertz Team Jota Cadillac went 1-2 at the 6 Hours of São Paulo. The #12 Cadillac of Alex Lynn, Norman Nato and Will Stevens took the victory ahead of the #38 Cadillac of Earl Bamber, Sébastien Bourdais and Jenson Button.

Outside of those finishes, Cadillac didn't finish on the podium in any other race this season. Cadillac was looking good at the season opener at Qatar... and then the two cars collided under safety car and took each other out of contention for a podium. The #12 Cadillac was fourth at Le Mans. The #38 Cadillac had four finishes outside the top ten in 2025. 

4. There will be at least two overall winners with a driver winning in his home country
Incorrect!

It only happened once. Ferrari won at Imola, and Antonio Giovinazzi and Alessandro Pier Guidi were home winners in the #51 Ferrari. Outside of that, we did not see another home winner. 

There were no Qatari, Brazilian, American or Bahraini drivers that competed in Hypercars this season. 

At Spa-Francorchamps, the best finishing Belgian was Laurens Vanthoor in ninth. Frenchman Kévin Estre was second at Le Mans. Kamui Kobayashi was the top Japanese driver at Fuji, finishing seventh. 

Other than at Le Mans, this wasn't really close to happening a second time.

IMSA
5. The overall pole-sitter will win consecutive races at some point
Incorrect!

After going winless in 2024 and having a 12-race winless streak dating back to 2023, the pole-sitter did finally win an IMSA race in 2025. It took five races as the #93 Meyer Shank Racing Acura of Nick Yelloly and Renger van der Zande won at Detroit. However, it was not followed with another pole-sitter victory. 

The pole-sitter would not win again until Indianapolis when the #31 Whelen Racing Cadillac of Jack Aitken, Earl Bamber and Frederik Vesti finished first. This was also the penultimate race of the season, which meant the winner at Petit Le Mans had to start on pole position for this prediction to be correct.

The #60 Meyer Shank Racing Acura won pole position, but the entry finished fifth in the race. 

6. At least three LMP2 races feature a class winner with a Formula One-experienced driver
Incorrect!

Daytona started with a Formula One-experienced driver winning. Initially, Sébastien Bourdais won with Tower Motorsports, but Tower was disqualified for excessive wear to the skid block underneath the car. However, another Formula One-experienced driver was elevated to the race victory. That was Paul di Resta with United Autosports.

It wasn't di Resta's only victory, as he won at Watkins Glen with United. However, those were the only victories this season for Formula One-experienced drivers won in LMP2.

Sébastien Bourdais came close to victory at Sebring as Tower Motorsports was second. Pietro Fittipaldi ran a full season with Pratt Miller Motorsports, but Fittipaldi's best finish in class was sixth. 

The only other past F1 driver to run in LMP2 in 2025 was Felipe Massa, who only ran at the 24 Hours of Daytona with Riley Motorsports. Massa was second.

7. The top three in the GTD Pro Endurance Cup championship will all be full-time entries
Correct!

The #48 Paul Miller Racing BMW won the Endurance Cup championship in GTD Pro with the #1 Paul Miller Racing BMW finishing second in the Endurance Cup, and the #77 AO Racing Porsche was third. 

All three of those teams were full-time teams. The #48 BMW was fourth in the overall championship with the #77 Porsche in fifth while the #1 BMW finished seventh. All three cars won races in 2025. The #48 BMW won at Watkins Glen and Road Atlanta. AO Racing won Sebring and Laguna Seca. The #1 BMW won at Road America.

8. Renger van der Zande's winning streak ends at eight consecutive seasons
Incorrect!

Van der Zande and co-driver Nick Yelloly won at Detroit, from pole position as you may have heard, and van der Zande has now won an IMSA race in the premier class in nine consecutive seasons. 

Van der Zande has actually won a race in all 12 seasons since the Grand-Am/American Le Mans Series merger. In those first three seasons, van der Zande ran in the Prototype Challenge class, and he won a race in each of those years, including winning overall at Lime Rock Park in a Prototype Challenge/GT race in 2016. Van der Zande was the PC champion in 2016 with Alex Popow and Starworks Motorsport. 

The #93 Acura was fifth in the GTP championship with additional podium finishes at Sebring and Road America. Each of those were third-place finishes. The #93 Acura did win three consecutive pole positions over Detroit, Watkins Glen and Road America.

European Le Mans Series
9. At least two different Americans win a race
Correct... kind of

I don't like a class inside of a class. In ELMS, there is the LMP2 class, but there is also the LMP2 Pro-Am class. LMP2 entries with a bonze-rated driver are placed in the LMP2 Pro-Am class. It is essentially the same class, only one of the drivers is seen as more amateur than others in those entries. 

Based on the ELMS structure, three American drivers won in 2025. P.J. Hyett and Dane Cameron were co-drivers in the #99 AO by TF Oreca, and they won at Imola with Louis Delétraz. Boom! Prediction correct right there, but to add insurance, Rodrigo Sales won in LMP2 Pro-Am with TDS Racing.

In LMP2 Pro-Am, three American drivers won a race. In LMP2, LMP3 and LMGT3, there were no American winners.

10. LMGT3 will have different British drivers win in consecutive races
Incorrect!

There were no British winners in LMGT3 in 2025. Since 2021, only three times has a British driver to win in the GT class in ELMS. Duncan Cameron won at Monza in 2021 with Spirit of Race. Sam De Haan won at Imola in 2022 with Oman Racing with TF Sport. In 2024, Cameron won at Circuit Paul Ricard with Spirit of Race.

Other
11. The closest finish in an Intercontinental GT Challenge race will be greater than four seconds 
Incorrect!

This prediction was looking good. 

At the Bathurst 12 Hour, the #32 Team WRT BMW won over the #46 Team WRT BMW by 10.244 seconds. 

The Nürburgring 24 Hour is a bit of a mess because the #911 Manthey EMA Porsche was first on the road, but received a one-minute and 40-second penalty for causing a collision during the race. This elevated the #99 Rowe Racing BMW to first-place overall, and the listed margin of victory was 1:17.810. Even if we got based on the margin of victory on the road, the #911 Porsche was more than four seconds ahead of the #99 BMW.

Grasser Racing Team won the 24 Hours of Spa by 8.703 seconds over the Rutronik Racing Porsche. Team WRT won the Suzuka 1000 km by 13.647 seconds over Absolute Racing. 

What happened in the final IGTC race, the Indianapolis 8 Hour?

Team WRT won by 0.805 seconds over Mercedes-AMG Team GMR.

Yep. So close. At least Indianapolis was a good finish.

12. Ben Barnicoat will win a proper class on at least three different continents in at least two different championships
Incorrect!

This one hurts because Ben Barnicoat was hurt for most of 2025. After a mountain biking accident in the middle of March, Barnicoat was sidelined until June. 

Prior to that biking accident, Barnicoat had raced only once in IMSA and once in WEC. He had also raced in four Asian Le Mans Series races, and he won the first race from the Dubai Autodrome in the #96 2 Seas Motorsport Mercedes-AMG on February 8. 

That was Barnicoat's only victory of the season. In IMSA, he ran seven races but his best finish with Vasser Sullivan Racing was fifth at Indianapolis. In WEC, he ran four races, but his best finish was the first race of the season, fourth at Qatar. 

I don't know how much the cycling accident affected this prediction, but it certainly did not help. 

Five-for-12. 

It wasn't even a strong 5-for-12. One of those is correct on a technicality (Thanks LMP2 Pro-Am). There were a few close ones. It always feels like there are few close ones. I hate to think I have to take driver's training programs into consideration when making predictions, but it might be good to keep in mind moving forward. More drivers should be swimmers. 


Monday, December 1, 2025

Musings From the Weekend: Which One-Time Indianapolis 500 Winner Deserves a Second the Most?

Here is a rundown of what got me thinking...

McLaren has kept the championship alive into the Abu Dhabi finale, and it is a three-horse race as Max Verstappen won in Qatar, Oscar Piastri won the sprint race, and Lando Norris leads the World Drivers’ Championship by 12 points over Verstappen and 16 points over Piastri. Formula Two was back in competition after two months off. The Supercars championship decided the title with a playoff format for the first time, and it was not well received. The World Rally Championship went down to the final day, and it was a lively finale. It was a holiday weekend, and this has actually been on my mind for two weeks, but I am keeping it light. 

Which One-Time Indianapolis 500 Winner Deserves a Second the Most?
This question came to me when Ryan Hunter-Reay was on Trackside with Curt Cavin and Kevin Lee a few weeks ago when Hunter-Reay was speaking about his deal to drive for Arrow McLaren in next year’s Indianapolis 500. 

Hunter-Reay was possibly one clean pit stop away from pulling off an incredible Indianapolis 500 victory this past May with Dreyer & Reinbold Racing with a backup car that was literally pulled from the back of the D&R shop and only had about a lap-and-a-half of an installation run under it after sitting unused for years. It was stunning Hunter-Reay put himself that close to victory that not winning the race should not completely erase the story of his day and the resiliency of driver and team.

For Hunter-Reay, it was at least fourth time he had a shout at an Indianapolis 500 victory and it was not his day. He isn’t the first driver to have a number of close calls but not have it work out a second time. 

But where does Hunter-Reay rank among deserving a second Indianapolis 500 among the one-time winners? 

Let’s set the table. 

Fifty-five drivers have only one Indianapolis 500 victory to their name. We are only considering those 55. We are not considering drivers who never won it but had a case for at least one. We are not considering multi-time winners and whether or not they deserve a third, fourth, fifth or sixth. It is the 55 drivers with one victory to their name. 

The 55 drivers can be broken into a few different groups. 

Some drivers not only deserve a second but also a third and possibly a fourth. Some may deserve a second. Some are good with one, and for some, one victory is generous. There are also a few special cases. We are going to break down those drivers in such group, starting with those who should be thankful they had one Indianapolis 500 victory to their name before ending with the most deserving. 

One Victory is Generous
Joe Dawson won the 2nd Indianapolis 500 after Ralph DePalma broke down two laps from the finish nd with a five-lap lead. DePalma had led 196 of the first 198 laps. Dawson led the final two laps. He was fifth in 1911 and returned for one more start in 1914 where he only completed 45 laps.

Ralph DePalma had a two-lap lead in 1920 before his car stalled out with 14 laps remaining. Gaston Chevrolet came through and led the final 14 laps. DePalma didn’t even lead the most laps in this race, but it was Chevrolet who benefitted the most as attrition was a deciding factor.

Two drivers have won the Indianapolis 500 and never led a lap in the race. That would be the co-winner years, L.L. Corum in 1924 and Floyd Davis in 1941. Corum was taken out of the car while in third and Joe Boyer drove the car to victory. Davis had done 72 laps and was 12th when Mauri Rose took over. Both Corum and Davis contributed to the victories. I don’t think Davis would have done enough to pull off the victory in 1941. Corum may have been able to win in 1924 as Jimmy Murphy and Earl Cooper each had cut tires while leading. Cooper had a second cut tire as he was chasing Boyer.

Graham Hill was in the right place at the right time in 1966. Jackie Stewart broke down while leading with ten laps remaining. It was also a race where Jim Clark spun multiple times and Clark would finishing second, just over 40 seconds behind Hill. It was also a race where Lloyd Ruby led the most laps and a slow pit stop cost Ruby multiple laps. It is also the race where 11 cars were out of the race on the opening lap due to an accident. It was Hill’s lucky day.

One is Generous, but He Arguably Could Have Two
A.K.A the Marcus Ericsson zone. 

Ericsson is lucky to have one, and also maybe should have two. 

If Scott Dixon doesn’t speed entering the pit lane for his final pit stop in 2022, Marcus Ericsson is not winning that race. However, with how the 2023 race ended with Ericsson leading when the race was restarted with one lap remaining and seeing Josef Newgarden pass Ericsson entering the turn three on the final lap, he maybe should have one, if not two.

Ericsson benefitted from circumstances in 2022, and did not benefit from circumstances in 2023. The 2023 race was such a mess of a finish with the red flags and accidents, it is hard to feel too bad about how it ended. Someone was going to feel cheated. Ericsson exists in this special territory. 

The Goldilocks Zone - One is Just Right
This is a rather large group. It is actually the largest group. Most drivers are good with just one Indianapolis 500 victory. To be specific, 35 drivers.

Ray Harroun only ran one Indianapolis 500 and he won it. He’s good. 

Jules Goux is good on one. Goux led 139 laps in his Indianapolis 500 career, 138 of those were in his 1913 victory. 

René Thomas won in 1914 with 102 laps led. Thomas was second in 1920, but we have already covered the 1920 race. 

Dario Resta won the only Indianapolis 500 not scheduled for 500 miles. The 1916 race was only a 300-miler. Resta led 103 of 120 laps. He was second the year prior, but rightfully second. 

Jimmy Murphy was one of the best drivers ever at Indianapolis, but his 1922 victory is good enough for his career. He was fourth, 14th, first, third and third in his five Indianapolis 500 starts, but one is just right for him.

Joe Boyer won the 1924 as a relief driver and benefitting from two competitors having tire failures. But Boyer led 93 of the first 107 laps in 1920. Boyer got even for a race lost. 

Peter DePaolo dominated the 1925 race with 115 laps. He only had two other top ten finishes at Indianapolis. 

George Souders won as a rookie in 1927, and he was third in his only other start in 1928, but he was good on one. 

Ray Keech only made two “500” starts, fourth in 1928 and first in 1929. Keech lost his life in an accident at Altoona less than a month after his Indianapolis victory. 

Louis Schneider only led 39 laps at Indianapolis, all in his 1931 victory. He was outside the top ten in four of six starts. 

Fred Frame won in 1932 a year after finishing second. One is historically accurate for Frame. 

Bill Cummings won in 1934. He had two other top five finishes. 

Kelly Petillo’s victory in 1935 was his only top ten finish at Indianapolis. He led 102 laps in that race and only six more laps in his other eight Indianapolis starts. Those six laps all came in 1934.

Floyd Roberts only led in one Indianapolis 500, the one he won in 1938. He led 92 laps.

George Robson won in 1946 after being 23rd and 25th and never completing more than 67 laps in his first two starts.

Johnnie Parsons was second and first in his first two Indianapolis 500 starts. Parsons won a rain-shortened race in 1950, but he led 115 of 138 laps run. He only had one other top five finish in his final eight “500” starts.

Lee Wallard won the only “500” he was truly competitive in. He led 159 of 200 laps in 1951.

Troy Ruttman won in 1952 with 44 laps led. He had one other top ten finish in his 12 Indianapolis starts.

Bob Sweikert won in 1955 after Bill Vukovich’s fatal accident. Sweikert did lead 86 laps, but it was the only time he led an Indianapolis 500.

Pat Flaherty won in 1956, and he never finished better than tenth in any other Indianapolis start.

Sam Hanks is most remembered for winning in his final Indianapolis 500 start, but he only led four laps in his first 12 appearances in the race.

Jimmy Bryan was second in 1954 and third in 1957, but his victory in 1958 is just the right amount of success. 

Jim Rathmann did finish second in the Indianapolis 500 on three separate occasions before he won in 1960, but one is enough for Rathmann. 

Mark Donohue started fourth, fifth, second, third and third at Indianapolis in his career. He had finishes of seventh, second, 25th after the gearbox failed him while dominating the first quarter of the 1971 race before he won in 1972 and was 15th in 1973. You could make a case Donohue was fortunate to have won because he won in 1972 after Team Penske teammate Gary Bettenhausen broke down while leading, and Jerry Grant had to make a late pit stop for fuel, stopping in his teammate Bobby Unser’s pit box to get fuel. However, 1972 somewhat cancels out 1971.

Like Jim Rathmann, Tom Sneva had three runner-up finishes at Indianapolis before he won, but in none of those three races did Sneva lead more than 16 laps, and each of those races had a driver lead more than 100. After he won in 1983, Sneva’s best finish in his final eight “500” starts was 14th.

Bobby Rahal won in 1986, but only one other time did he lead more than 15 laps in the race. There really isn’t another year where you feel one got away from Rahal.

Jacques Villeneuve made three Indianapolis 500 starts. He went second, first and 14th in 2014 after 19 years away. He didn’t deserve 1994. He drove from two laps down in 1995. History represents Villeneuve accurately.

I was tempted to put Buddy Lazier in the generous group because of The Split, but Lazier won the race with a broken back. Give it to him.

I was also tempted to put Eddie Cheever in the same group, but Cheever did lead 76 laps from 17th on the grid, the most in the race, as he won in 1998.

You may think Kenny Bräck should be in the generous group because Bräck won after Robby Gordon had to pit for a splash a fuel before starting the final lap in 1999, but Gordon wasn’t the best driver that day. Bräck was with 66 laps led, the most in the race. 

It sucks that Gil de Ferran only made four Indianapolis 500 starts in his career. He thankfully won one of those as he was brilliant.

Buddy Rice may have only one top five finish at Indianapolis in six starts, but he won from pole position and led 91 of 180 laps completed before the rain came in. Rice deserved that victory in 2004.

Sam Hornish, Jr.’s track record at Indianapolis is not great, but he did win in 2006 in one of the most memorable finishes. He was a little fortunate to win in 2006, but considering he was a three-time champion at a time when the series was oval-dominant in the Indy Racing League, it would have felt more odd if Hornish, Jr, had never won one. 

One victory is good enough for Will Power. The only other close call was 2015 where he lost in a semi-close finish to Juan Pablo Montoya. Only once has Power led more than 23 laps at Indianapolis, and that was the year he won in 2018 with 59 laps led. Since that victory, he has led a combined ten laps in his last seven “500” starts. 

Simon Pagenaud won the 2019 race from pole position with 116 laps led. In his other 11 Indianapolis starts, Pagenaud had only one other top five finish. 

Technically, He Has Won Twice
A.K.A the Howdy Wilcox zone. 

Wilcox won the 1919 race with 98 laps led. Prior to that, he had led only six laps in his first six Indianapolis starts and his best finish was sixth. In his final four Indianapolis starts, Wilcox never completed more than 65 laps.

In his final Indianapolis 500 appearance in 1923, Wilcox led 11 of the first 60 before his engine failed while leading. However, Wilcox took over for Tommy Milton, who had burned hands that needed to be treated. Wilcox drove 48 laps in relief and led 41 of them. Milton returned to his car and drove the final 49 laps on his way to victory. 

Unfortunately, the history book only recognizes co-winners when a different driver takes the checkered flag from the driver who started the race. Wilcox is credited in the record book with the 41 laps led in Milton’s car, but he does not get credit for the victory. 

Though he should, as should a number of other drivers who took a spin behind the wheel of a winning Indianapolis 500 entry.  

A Good Case for a Second
This is where we get to the countdown because there are 13 drivers with respectable cases as for deserving a second victory. 

13. Danny Sullivan
Sullivan had the spin-and-win in 1985, but he had led 91 of the first 94 laps in 1988. A pit stop under caution shuffled Sullivan back to fourth and the cars ahead of him were Jim Crawford and his Team Penske teammates Rick Mears and Al Unser. However, Sullivan had a front wing issue that led to accident on lap 102. 

Sullivan only led the Indianapolis 500 three times in his career, 1985, 1987 and 1988. Mears cruised to victory with Sullivan out in 1988, leading the final 78 laps. It would have been difficult to beat Mears, but Sullivan had a great race going in 1988 and likely could have given Mears a challenge.

12. Álex Palou
This doesn’t feel a little knee-jerk, but the 2025 winner was leading in 2021 with three laps to go. In his sophomore Indianapolis 500, Palou led 35 laps. He lost to Hélio Castroneves making a bold move into turn one and then using traffic to stall out a challenge from Palou. If it was any of about 28 other drivers behind Palou in that race, I don’t think they could have pulled out what Castroneves did to win. 

11. Frank Lockhart
Lockhart only made two Indianapolis starts. As a rookie, he won in 1926 with 95 laps led. He went from 20th to fifth in the first five laps. The race was called due to rain at lap 160 but Lockhart had a two-lap lead at the time. In 1927, Lockhart qualified on pole position and he led 110 of the first 119 laps but retired on lap 120 when a connecting rod broke. Lockhart lost his life on April 25, 1928 in Daytona Beach, Florida in an accident attempting to set a land speed record.

10. Tony Kanaan
Kanaan had a few chances to win before he won in 2013. As a rookie, Kanaan had led 23 of the first 89 laps before he spun in some oil ending his race in 2002. However, 2002 is more remembered for Tomas Scheckter leading 85 laps before hitting the wall while leading. In 2005, Kanaan led 54 laps from pole position, but fell back to eighth. However, 2005 was a race where Sam Hornish, Jr. led the most laps, 77.

The one that got away from Kanaan was 2007. When the first rain delay came, Kanaan was leading and he had led majority of the laps. However, the race restarted and the pit stops cycled Kanaan back when the second, and final, delay came. Kanaan ended 12th with 83 laps led while Dario Franchitti won. 

It feels like Kanaan should have one more.

9.  Billy Arnold
Arnold won the 1930 race with 198 laps led, still the record for most led. In 1931, Arnold led 155 of the first 161 laps. On lap 162, Arnold suffered a tire failure and his race ended. In 1932, Arnold led 57 of the first 58 laps before having an accident in turn three. This accident broke Arnold’s shoulder and ended his career. 

The Most Deserving for a Second
8. Alexander Rossi
Rossi may have pulled out one of the more unthinkable victories in 2016 when he stretched his fuel and coasted to victory as a rookie, but pretty much every year since, Rossi has been in contention for victory. He was one of the best cars in 2017 as Andretti Autosport controlled that race for the most part. With 23 laps led, it was the fourth-most on the day, but the pit cycle shuffled Rossi back to seventh. In 2018, Rossi went from 32nd to fourth, and if Rossi doesn’t have a tire puncture on his final qualifying run when everyone was made to qualify twice, he likely doesn’t spend 200 laps chasing from behind.

Simon Pagenaud dominated the 2019 race, but without the late caution for Graham Rahal and Sébastien Bourdais coming together in turn three, Rossi would have won that race as Pagenaud had to save fuel while Rossi had just taken the lead and had plenty of fuel to make it. Without that caution, Pagenaud would have likely lost another few spots, and Rossi would have taken a comfortable victory. Instead, we had a tight battle to the finish, and Pagenaud was able to fight back and defeat Rossi.

In 2020, Rossi was on Scott Dixon’s heels the entire race before Rossi was issued a penalty for contact with Takuma Sato in the pit lane. Rossi ended up outside the top twenty and would have an accident attempting to get back to the front. Sato won the race leap-frogging Dixon in the final pit cycle.

In ten Indianapolis starts, Rossi has six top five finishes.

7. Bill Holland
If it wasn’t for ignored team orders, and better communication from Lou Moore’s team that his lead was under threat, Bill Holland would have won as a rookie in 1947. Holland led 143 laps but Mauri Rose took the lead when Holland thought he had a lap on Rose when he was overtaken with eight laps remaining. Holland went second, second, first, second and 15th in his Indianapolis career. Holland is still ranked 20th all-time in Indianapolis 500 laps led. 

6. Ryan Hunter-Reay
Hunter-Reay maybe should have won the year before he actual won at Indianapolis. He was leading at the time of the final restart with three laps to go. Tony Kanaan passed him into turn one, and about ten seconds later, Dario Franchitti spun and the race ended under caution.

In 2016, Hunter-Reay had one of the best cars, leading 52 laps. The next closest driver was James Hinchcliffe with 27 laps led. However, Hunter-Reay’s race was altered when Townsend Bell made contact with his Andretti Autosport teammate in the pit lane. Both drivers had a shot for victory, but each lost a lap for repairs just after halfway. Hunter-Reay did play a role in Alexander Rossi’s victory as Hunter-Reay towed Rossi around, helping Rossi save the fuel he needed to win the race.

Hunter-Reay was one of the Honda drivers to lose an engine in 2017 when running at the front. He led the second-most laps in that race and he was still in contention when his engine expired on lap 137.

People forget that Hunter-Reay was in the top five in 2021 before he sped entering the pit lane on his final pit stop. He might not have been the most deserving winner that day, but if he didn’t speed, Hunter-Reay would have been up there and could have pulled off what Castroneves did. 

Then there was 2025. Hunter-Reay was one clean stop away from likely winning this race. There is a chance Hunter-Reay would have gotten out of the pit lane ahead of the Devlin DeFrancesco and Louis Foster, meaning he would have had two lapped cars between him, Marcus Ericsson and Álex Palou. If that was the case, Hunter-Reay likely holds on for the final 30 laps without much of a threat.

5. Jim Clark
Clark likely should have won as a rookie in 1963. There is a good case that Parnelli Jones should have been penalized and waved in when his car was leaking oil. In 1964, Clark was leading when his suspension failed on lap 47. Then there was Clark’s historic victory in 1965, and in 1966, Clark was one of the better cars but a pair of spins cost him time and ultimately allowed Graham Hill to win when Jackie Stewart broke down. 

For four consecutive years, Clark was one of the best drivers at Indianapolis. He didn’t get a break in one year, the car broke on him in the next, and in the other, Clark didn’t have a clean race that cost him victory. 

4. Parnelli Jones
We are looking at a driver that could have been a four-time winner. As a sophomore in 1962, Jones led 120 of the first 125 laps, but he was having brake issues and had to nurse the car for the remainder of the race and ultimately finished seventh. Even with the possible penalty for the oil leak in 1963, Jones did lead 167 laps. He was the best driver that day. 

Jones had just inherited the lead when Clark broke down in 1964, but after seven laps in the lead, Jones’ race ended due to a pit fire. A.J. Foyt led the remaining 146 laps without much of a challenge from the rest of the competition. 

Then there is 1967 when a $5 part cost the STP-Paxton Turbocar a victory as a bearing broke when Jones led with four laps remaining. Jones had led 171 laps up to that point. 

3. Scott Dixon
On six occasions has Dixon led the most laps in the Indianapolis 500. Only once has he won.

His best cases for a second were 2012, where Dixon led the second-most laps actually, but he spent a fair amount of the race ahead of both Dario Franchitti and Takuma Sato, only for the race to come down to those two battling into turn one on the final lap.

The real years that stand out are 2020, when Dixon led the most laps and a slightly slower than average pit stop cost him the lead on the final pit cycle, and Dixon was unable to pass Takuma Sato, and then there was 2022, when Dixon had the race won and sped entering the pit lane for his final stop. The stop was fine, the entry is what cost him, and he lost a guaranteed victory.

2. Mario Andretti
For how great Andretti was and as synonymous as he is with heartbreak at Indianapolis, there are only two real cases he has, but they are tough to swallow, and 1981 is not one of them.

He would have won 1981 on a technicality, and Andretti passed cars on the apron after making a pit stop just like Bobby Unser, only Andretti had not passed as many. 

The real years are 1985 and 1987.

In 1985, Andretti was in a tight battle with Danny Sullivan the entire race. Andretti led over half the race, and when Sullivan spun, it felt like it was going to be Andretti’s day, but Sullivan came back and took the lead only 20 laps after the spin on a similar move in turn one. Only 2.477 seconds separated the drivers at the checkered flag.

In 1987, Andretti had a lap on the field and no one was close to touching him. However, after leading 170 of 177 laps, he slowed due to an engine issue, and this took Andretti out of the race. It is believed pacing himself in those final laps led to a harmonic imbalance in the car, leading to a broken value spring. 

1. Ralph DePalma
DePalma has nearly a handful of races that got away from him.

The car broke down with two laps to go while DePalma had a five-lap lead in 1912. He led 196 of 200 laps.

DePalma led 93 of the first 102 laps in 1919 before tire issues forced a lengthy pit stop and took him out of contention. 

In 1920, he had a two-lap lead when mechanical issues caused him to stop on track with 14 laps remaining. 

The following year saw DePalma lead 108 of the first 110 laps before a connecting rod broke. 

At the end of the 1921 race, DePalma had led 612 laps of 1,720 laps run in the first nine Indianapolis 500s. The next closest drivers on laps led was Dario Resta on 140. DePalma would be the all-time leader in Indianapolis 500 laps led until the final lap of the 1987 race when Al Unser took the checkered flag for his fourth victory. DePalma was the all-time leader for 75 years. His last Indianapolis 500 start was a century ago, and he is still third all-time. The man could have been a five-time winner in the first decade of the race. Nobody deserves a second more than DePalma.

We all know how difficult it is to win the Indianapolis 500, and there is no better example in that three of the top four drivers in laps led in the event each only won once. There may be a driver or two who get off this list. There will more likely be another half-dozen who join it. 

Champions From the Weekend

Leonardo Fornaroli clinched the Formula Two championships with finishes of sixth and second at Qatar.

Sébastien Ogier clinched the World Rally Championship with a third-place finish in Rally Saudi Arabia while Elfyn Evans was sixth and Kalle Rovanperä was seventh. It was Ogier’s ninth World Rally Championship, tying. Sébastien Loeb’s record. 

Chaz Mostert clinched the Supercars championship with three consecutive finishes of second at Adelaide while Will Brown went ninth, fourth and third; Broc Freeney went fourth, first and 20th after an opening lap spin and engine issues; and Kai Allen went fifth, fifth and fourth.

Winners From the Weekend
You know about Verstappen and Piastri, but did you know....

Richard Verschoor (sprint) and Victor Martins (feature) split the Formula Two races from Qatar.

Brodie Kostecki and Matt Payne won the other two Supercars races from Adelaide.

Thierry Neville won Rally Saudi Arabia.

Coming Up This Weekend
The Formula One season ends in Abu Dhabi.
The Formula E season begins in São Paulo.


Friday, November 28, 2025

Best of the Month: November 2025

For many of you, this could be a day off for the Thanksgiving holiday, and if we are honest, you haven't done a thing for a week and still have another weekend between you and productivity. When you return to work, it will be December, and the year will be entering its final chapter. Oh my, has 2025 flown!

It will not be long until we hit a hiatus for nearly every series, but a few championships will keep us busy for a month or so. Truth be told, December is really the only month off for motorsports. It is not like it once was when November was pretty quiet outside of NASCAR, everything was silent come December, and most of January was quiet. You can stay occupied with motorsports for a good 11 months. 

As we are near the end, there are two championships I want to focus on, both of which could be determined this weekend, one of which definitely will be decided.

World Rally Championship
The final round of the 2025 World Rally Championship season, the inaugural Rally Saudi Arabia, is underway and three drivers are alive for the championship.

Toyota's Elfyn Evans leads with 272 points, three points more than Toyota's Sébastien Ogier with Toyota's Kalle Rovanperä 24 pants behind Evans with 35 points left on the table. 

This has been an interesting championship because Ogier was not a full-time competitor at the tart of the season. He won Rallye Monte-Carlo and then took off the next two rounds from Sweden and Kenya. Then Ogier returned and went second, first, first, second. Through seven of 14 rounds, Ogier was nine points off the championship lead, and then he skipped the next round. 

Ogier returned and went third, first, first over Finland, Paraguay and Chile, and entering the final three rounds, the Frenchman held a two-point championship lead. His hand was kind of forced to go for the world title. 

An accident in the Central European Rally broke serve for Ogier and put Evans back on top, but an Ogier victory in Japan has a ninth WRC title within his grasp. This has been stellar to watch as one of the best to ever race has become a championship contender out of nowhere. He has spent the last three seasons competing part-time, and he has finished in the top five of the championship the last two years. 

However, this championship feels like a crossroads for WRC. 

Ogier doesn't want to be a full-time driver anymore. Rovanperä took off most of last year, and he will be done with rallying as he will run in Super Formula next year, and Rovanperä is only 25 years old. Two of the top three in the championship might not be back on a regular basis in 2026, and we haven't even mentioned that fourth in the championship, Ott Tänak, will retire at the end of this season. 

WRC lacks notable talent at the moment. Twenty years ago the likes of Marcus Grönholm, Colin McRae, Tommi Mäkinen, Carols Sainz, Sébastien Loeb and Petter Solberg were all celebrated and respected names in the motorsports world, and WRC doesn't hold that same reverence as it once did. This is not a new problem. It has been developing for over a decade, and there does not appear to be that next wave of drivers on their way to grab your attention.

This feels like a pivotal point in the series because it is an outstanding championship battle involving a few of the best to ever compete, and we could not see another such title fight for a while.

Formula One
It is rather satisfying to be entering the penultimate round of the Formula One season and have three drivers within one race victory of the championship lead. Thanks to McLaren's double disqualification, Lando Norris leads each Oscar Piastri and Max Verstappen by 24 points with 58 points left on the table with two grand prix and sprint race remaining. 

There is a good chance Norris locks up the title this weekend in Qatar and the title is settled a race early, but it has not been without the dramatics. 

Since summer break, we had Lando Norris lose an engine while in a podium position at Zandvoort. McLaren had a slow pit stop for Norris lead to the team switch positions with its drivers as Norris stopped after Piastri and lost the position due to the slow stop. Norris took second while Piastri was third. Piastri has not been back on the podium since that day. 

Then at Azerbaijan, Piastri jumped the start and had an accident on the opening lap while Norris could not do better than seventh. 

While all this was taking place, Verstappen has finished on the podium in eight races since the summer break. He has won three of them. It is an outside shot Verstappen will win the championship, but he has done enough to remain alive this deep into the season, and nothing can be entirely ruled out. 

Not to forget mentioning Verstappen is achieving this after Christian Horner was fired from Red Bull in July.

This will likely play out as we expect. Norris has enough of a cushion that he can take it easy and not be caught, but the world can be a funny place. Just because it appears inevitable, does not mean it cannot be spun on its head. If it is, this season will become all the more memorable besides McLaren's dominance and constructors' championship.

December Preview
Formula E begins next weekend with the São Paulo ePrix on Saturday December 6. It is the first of a 17-race championship.

This season will see two new venues on the schedule, as the Miami ePrix (January 31) moves to the Miami International Autodrome, home of the Miami Grand Prix, and Circuito del Jarama will host the Madrid ePrix (March 21). Sanya will return with a round on June 20 after not being on the calendar for the last seven years.

Mexico City (January 10), Jeddah (February 13-14), Berlin (May 2-3), Monaco (May 16-17), Shanghai (July 4-5), Tokyo (July 25-26) and London (August 15-16) return from last season. 

McLaren has left after three seasons while Citroën replaces Maserati on the grid. Defending champion Oliver Rowland remains with Nissan and has Norman Nato as his teammate. Jean-Éric Vergne and Nick Cassidy will occupy both Citroën seats with António Félix da Costa replacing Cassidy at Jaguar blog side Mitch Evans. Porsche has replaced da Costa with Nico Müller.

Sébastien Buemi remains with Envision Racing, while Lucas di Grassi is at Lola Yamaha ABT. Andretti Formula E has Felipe Drugovich toking up its other seat next to Jake Dennis. Pepe Martí will be the lone debutant on the 2025-26 grid. Martí will drive for Cupra Kiro with Dan Ticktum  as his teammate. With McLaren's departure, Sam Bird is left without a race seat, and Bird will be reserve driver at Nissan. Since his Formula E debut in 2014, Bird has only not started six races. 

This season will mark the final season of the Gen3 regulations after four seasons of operation. 

December Preview
There is not much remaining on the calendar for December 2025. 

Beside the Formula One finale from Abu Dhabi, the Asian Le Mans Series begins with a doubleheader from Sepang over December 13-14.

Algarve Pro Racing won last year's champion in LMP2, and there are three APR-related entries, one of which is the CrowdStrike Racing by APR Oreca for Louis Delétraz, Malthe Jakobsen and George Kurtz. Enzo Trulli will be in APR's #25 Oreca. United Autosport's will have two cars entered int he top class. Tristian Vautier is driving for RD Limited. Gustavo Menezes is back in competition, and Menezes will drive the #49 Oreca for High Class Racing with Theodor Jensen and Jens Reno Møller.

Narain Karthikeyan will be in LMP3 driving the #1 Team Virage Ligier alongside fellow Indian Ajith Kumar. A third driver will be announced later.

Twenty-two cars are entered in the GT class, including Memo Gidley racing for Kessel Racing in the #15 Ferrari alongside Alessandro Balzan and Dylan Medler.

There are a few things to look for if you need the Asian Le Mans Series to hold you over. 

However, we have December and the Christmas season coming. We will wrap up a few more series, celebrate the best of 2025, and turn an eye to 2026. Stay tuned!


Monday, November 24, 2025

Musings From the Weekend: This Could Be Bigger Than We Think

Here is a rundown of what got me thinking...

Max Verstappen won the Las Vegas Grand Prix as both McLarens were disqualified for excessive wear to their skid plates. This means three drivers have 24 points between them with two grand prix and a sprint race remaining, as Lando Norris is ahead of Oscar Piastri and Verstappen, who are tied for second. Manhole covers again proved to be a menace. Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing hired Gavin Ward. Mick Schumacher will not return to Alpine. Some text message have been released as we near the trial in the 23XI Racing/Front Row Motorsports lawsuit against NASCAR. It warrants our attention.

This Could Be Bigger Than We Think
Unless some settlement is reached before Thanksgiving, we will start the month of December with 23XI/Front Row going to court with NASCAR over the sanctioning body's alleged antitrust violations. 

In the lawsuit, the teams are challenging NASCAR's business practices, as the teams believe NASCAR has a monopoly over the industry after the two teams refused to sign NASCAR's new charter agreement terms in 2024. The teams did not agree to the terms that the charters would not be made permanent. 

Since the teams filed the lawsuit on October 2, 2024, this has been slowly boiling. For over a year, as more information has trickled out and has been released, both sides have had their dirty laundry revealed, and in recent days we have learned of the Race Team Alliance, the organization that consists of the 15 NASCAR Cup Series team owners, plans to organize non-NASCAR affiliated exhibition races around the globe, including in Oman, and we have NASCAR executives' disdain for the Superstars Racing Experience and its drivers, owners and broadcasters competing in SRX.

More is still to come, and that should have the interest of all motorsports in the United States.

NASCAR's control is not only on stock car racing. It has control on almost every asset in American motorsports. Pretty much any series that has four wheels and competes on pavement in this country likely crosses path with NASCAR. Whether that is the sanctioning body owning the series or the tracks where races are host, NASCAR is likely involved. It even owns the equipment that dries surfaces. What happens in this lawsuit is of much interest to those have never spent a second in the NASCAR garage area.

A decision could not only flip how race teams and wealth are distributed within the sanctioning body, but it could change the landscape of motorsports in this country. 

If NASCAR is ruled a monopoly, something would have to be done to break that monopoly. It isn't just paying the teams money and giving them a bigger say at the table. A ruling could require NASCAR to divest itself of some of its assets. That is more than just NASCAR.

That could be selling ARCA. That could be selling the regional series. It could be selling IMSA. 

That is more than just series. 

NASCAR owns a great number of racetracks, some of the most notable in the country. 

Daytona, Talladega, Martinsville, Watkins Glen, even Sebring and Road Atlanta are under NASCAR ownership. 

NASCAR owns notable websites as well, such as Racing-Reference and Jayski, two valuable sources when it comes to information involving its series as well as other forms of motorsports. 

A seismic ruling could significantly alter the layout of things in American motorsports, and it might not be for the better. 

If NASCAR is forced to sell racetracks, those racetracks might no longer be racetracks. A development company could come in and decide to make that land a housing complex. It could become a warehouse or a strip mall. There is no guarantee that there is another entity out there within the motorsports community that would be willing to swoop in. Over the last two decades, the land the racetracks are on is worth more than the track itself. The interested buyers have no interest in maintaining the facility as it is. Its plans are beyond racing and turn the property into something where no one will ever know a track was ever there.

If any track goes away, it goes away for NASCAR and IndyCar and IMSA and any other series that wishes to compete there. A major area could lose its prominent racetrack and interest in motorsports will suffer because of it. It would require more work to maintain the footprint that NASCAR and other series have in this country. NASCAR sold off most of the land in Fontana, and though we are five years removed from a planned short track that was already supposed to be in operation, there is no race taking place at that facility. There isn't even a functional racetrack. Warehouses have sprung around an abandoned slap of asphalt.

Southern California isn't the only place where NASCAR is lacking. Despite its size, the Rocky Mountains does not have a proper facility that draws the top series. The Pacific Northwest has essentially always been ignored when it comes to NASCAR since the start of the Modern Era in 1972. NASCAR did grow over the last 30 years, but it didn't reach everywhere, and one decision could cause the footprint to shrink just a little more.

I don't know if the likes of Roger Penske, Rick Hendrick, Dale Earnhardt, Jr., Joe Gibbs, or even Denny Hamlin and Michael Jordan have any interest in buying Chicagoland Speedway or Richmond Raceway to save the day if so be it. That could be what is needed depending on the outcome of this lawsuit. 

It does not feel like the industry is ready to take on such a demand if called upon. Owning race teams and owning racetracks are two different things. Considering this is an antitrust lawsuit, I am not sure NASCAR could just sell the tracks to Speedway Motorsports, Inc. That appears to solve one antitrust concern by creating another antitrust concern. I am not sure Curtis Francois is looking to expand his track ownership beyond Gateway Motorsports Park. It does not feel like IndyCar has the bandwidth to own any tracks. 

There isn't a third racetrack ownership company out there at the moment. A decision could create the space for one to form, but that takes a lot of capital, and I don't know if there are enough interested investors that wants to add multi-track ownership to their responsibilities. 

Once the dominoes start to fall, it could get quite messy, and it is a mess most don't want to step in.

We are all heading into this lawsuit expecting something to change. Status quo seems improbable to maintain considering what we now know and how things have developed over about the last 14 months. Though expected, it still might not be fathomable to some people how big the outcome of this lawsuit could be, and how it could extend beyond one sanctioning body. It could be more than just money changing hands and everyone going on their merry way.

A decade down the line, we could still be feeling the ripple effect from whatever is decided, and it might not play out as we hoped. The shock will not be instantaneous. It will likely hit us slowly though we knew it was coming. That is what will make it hurt worse. 

There is a chance when enough time has passed, we will be thinking there were no winners from whatever is decided. Are we ready for that?

Champions From the Weekend

Ayumu Iwasa won the Super Formula championship despite a retirement in the first race of the weekend at Suzuka, as Iwasa was fourth and first in the final two races. Iwasa came from behind to defend Sho Tsuboi, who was fourth, seventh and eighth over the three races.

Winners From the Weekend
You know about Max Verstappen and Ayumu Iwasa, but did you know...

Tomoki Nojiri and Igor Fraga split the first two Super Formula races from Suzuka.

Coming Up This Weekend
Supercars finale from Adelaide.
Lando Norris has a chance to clinch the World Drivers' Championship at the Qatar Grand Prix.
The World Rally Championship will be decided at Rally Saudi Arabia between either Elfyn Evans, Sébastien Ogier or Kalle Rovanperä.

Friday, November 21, 2025

2025 Motorcycle Predictions: Revisited

With the MotoGP season concluding in Valencia on Sunday, the motorcycle season is effectively over... for now. There will be two-wheel action returning in the very near-future. It doesn't take long for that competition to return. It practically comes when the calendar flips.

Until then, let's take this moment to acknowledge the predictions made over a variety of categories of the two-wheel discipline.

MotoGP
1. Marc Márquez will reach 100 career pole positions
Correct!

On his way to his ninth world championship and first since 2019, Márquez won eight pole positions, giving him 102 in his career when the season was all said and done. The Catalan rider started on pole position in the first four races, setting him up nicely to hit the century mark at some point during this season. He would not win pole position for the next three rounds, but he then won pole position at Aragón and Mugello. Márquez reached the century mark within the first nine races. 

He won two more pole positions at Germany and Hungary, and he ended the season with most pole positions despite missing the final four races due to a collarbone fracture suffered during the Indonesian Grand Price after contact from Marco Bezzecchi. 

2. The "sprint champion" will score fewer than 150 points
Incorrect!

Marc Márquez won 14 sprint races on his own. That is 168 points. He didn't need to score a point in any other sprint race for this prediction to be incorrect. Márquez ended the season with 190 points, the most from sprint races. His brother Álex scored 158 points in sprint races.

Not only did the sprint champion score more than 150 points, but so did the sprint vice-champion. Just goes to show how wrong this prediction was.

3. On at least one occasion will there be three consecutive races with three different manufacturers victorious
Correct!

In 2024, Ducati won 19 races and Aprilia won once. 

In 2025, Ducati opened with five consecutive victories. Then in a stunning mixed conditions race, Johann Zarco won the French Grand Prix for LCR Honda. At the next race at Silverstone, Marco Bezzecchi took a stunning victory from tenth on the grid, ironically ahead of Zarco and Márquez, and Aprilia made it three different winning constructors in three races. 

Ducati then won the next 11 races. Aprilia won three of the final four, two at the hands of Bezzecchi. 

Somehow, this prediction turned out to be correct, and I doubt anyone expected Honda to be involved (Thanks for nothing, KTM).

4. The difference between the top two riders on Japanese bikes will be less than 50 points
Incorrect!

Despite Zarco's victory and some rather encouraging days for Honda, a Honda rider was not the best Japanese bike contestant in the 2025 season. That went to Yamaha's Fabio Quartararo, who scored 201 points and finished ninth in the championship. Quartararo had a slow, but improving start to his season, and in the fifth round from Jerez he started on pole position and finished second. It was the first of three consecutive pole positions the Frenchman would earn. 

However, he had three-race retirement run from Le Mans through Aragón, but then Quartararo had 13 consecutive finishes in the points before he crashed out of the Valencia finale. That consistency put a gap between Quartararo and the rest of the riders on Japanese bikes.

The next closest was fellow Frenchman Johann Zarco, who was 12th in the championship, but on 148 points, 53 points behind Quartararo!

Darn! So close! I don't know where this one got away from me. I am sure there are four races, grand prix and/or sprint, where Zarco could have been at least a spot better. 

5. David Alonso's longest winning streak is not greater than four races
Correct!

After smacking the competition silly in Moto3 in 2024 with 14 victories from 20 races, Alonso moved up to Moto2 and had humbling success against the bigger boys. He only won once, and that was at Hungary. In only five races did Alonso finish on the podium, and three of those were in the final four races.

The Colombian was ninth in the championship on 153 points.

6. Moto3 will be the closest championship margin among the top three classes
Incorrect!

Moto3 was the greatest margin between first and second in the championship for the second consecutive season! Much of that was down to Marc Márquez missing the final four rounds, allowing his brother Álex Márquez to finish 78 points back. However, Moto3 also had its champion-elect out for multiple races to end the season. 

In Moto3, José Antonio Rueda won the title on 365 points, but Rueda missed the final three races after he suffered a fractured hand and concussion from a collision with Swiss rider Noah Dettwiler on the sighting lap for the Malaysia race. Dettwiler suffered multiple cardiac arrests and open leg fracture as well as injuries to his lung and a removal of his spleen from that collision. 

With Rueda out, Ángel Piqueras ended the season 84 points off Rueda in second.

Moto2 ended up being the closest championship, and it was the only one that went undecided into the final round. Diogo Moreira scored 287 points, 30 more than Manuel González. 

World Superbike
7. Toprak Razgatlioglu will have more third-place finishes in the final four rounds than he will in the first eight rounds
Correct!

Somehow, Razgatlioglu was better in 2025 than he was in 2024, and somehow, this prediction ended up coming true in the final race of the season. 

In the first eight rounds, Razgatlioglu had zero third-place finishes. He needed one third-place finish for this to come true. Entering the final race, race 36 of the season, he still had not finished third this season. 

What happened in the final race of the season?

Razgatlioglu ended up third behind Nicolò Bulega and Álvaro Bautista. In the final four rounds, Razgatlioglu had one third-place finish. In the first eight rounds, he had none. 

Count it!

8. At least two rounds will feature three different winners
Incorrect!

There were only three winners the entire season. Toprak Razgatliogu won 21 times and Nicolò Bulega won 14 times. Andrea Locatelli won one race, and it was a weekend when there were three different winners in each race. 

At Assen, Bulega won the first race, Razgatlioglu won the SuperPole race and Locatelli won the second race. 

Eight rounds saw a rider sweep the weekend. Five came at the hands of Razgatlioglu and three times it was Bulega.

Besides the Assen round, in the other three rounds, Razgatlioglu and Bulega were first and second. There wasn't even a case of, in a weekend where the two split the races, there was one race where someone else finished second and we were maybe a position away from this being correct. 

9. None of the top five riders in the championship miss a race
Incorrect!

This was looking good heading into the penultimate round of the season from Estoril. Each of the top five riders had started every race. Then Danilo Petrucci injured his hand in training and missed the final two rounds. Petrucci ended up fifth in the championship. 

It was inconsequential that Petrucci was 66 points clear of Alex Lowes in sixth, but Lowes missed the final two races of the Donington Park weekend. 

Supercross/Motocross
10. At least one Supercross podium will feature three riders that do not finish in the top three of the championship
Correct!

Somehow, this one was correct, but it was due to unfortuante circumstances. The top three finishers in the 2025 championship (Cooper Webb, Chase Sexton and Justin Cooper) combined for 29 out of a possible 51 podium finishes. Six riders outside the top three in the championship finished on the podium at some point over the 17 race season, but there was one race where none of the podium finishers ended up being top three championship finishers. 

It was the third round of the seaosn from Anaheim. Jett Lawrence won the race. Ken Roczen was second. Jason Anderson was third.

Lawrence tore his ACL in the next round from Glendale, ending his season. He ended up classified 18th in championship.

Roczen ended up suffering an ankle injury that took him out of the final two races of the season. This dropped Roczen to fifth in the championship, ten points behind Cooper. Roczen won at Daytona, and he had seven podium finishes in 2025. 

Anderson's season ended after the Birmingham round due to ongoing health concerns. Anderson did return for the Motocross season, but he ended his season after six rounds due to his health. 

Not really how I wished this prediction ended up being correct. I was hoping for a competitive season where fourth, seventh and eighth in the championship all had their best nights occur simultaneously.  

11. Jorge Prado will be the top finishing European rider in the Supercross championship
Incorrect!

As mentioned above, Ken Roczen was fifth in the championship, and the German rider was the best European of the 2025 season.

Prado ran the first two races and in qualifying for the third round from Anaheim, Prado dislocated his shoulder and surgery took him out of the remainder of the season. The Spaniard had finished 14th and 12th in the first two races. 

12. Neither Jett Lawrence nor Haiden Deegan will win SuperMotocross World Championships
Incorrect!

While Deegan did not win the SuperMotocross World Championship in the 250cc division as Jo Shimoda took the title with two victories over the three rounds, Jett Lawrence did win the SuperMotocross championship for the third consecutive year in the 450cc class. Lawrence went first, second, first over the three rounds from Charlotte, St. Louis and Las Vegas respectively. 

That is six-for-12, 50%. 

There are a few tough breaks. A few went my way that seemed unlikely. 

Win some, lose some, onto the next one.


Thursday, November 20, 2025

Career Retrospective: Marco Andretti

For the fifth year of the Career Retrospective series it became obvious that a theme was crossroads. A number of drivers were at crossroads, some unexpectedly, at the end of 2025. A few drivers are making clear choices and are heading in different directions. Some are remaining still and are not sure where they will be heading next. 

This year, we will look at three drivers as their careers are making a change.

For our third and final part, we meet a driver who is calling it a career, though it has been slowly ending over the last few years. After a half-decade away from full-time driving, enough races have been run to satisfy a career. There are boxes that will remain unchecked, dreams unrealized, and an entry in the history book is finished. The end is new. We are still coming to terms with this change, and it will take some time to reach acceptance.

It is Marco Andretti.

Where was Andretti coming from?
A quick rise up the junior series led to Andretti reaching IndyCar just after his 19th birthday.

After immediate success in car racing, winning eight races in the 2003 Barber Formula Dodge Eastern Championship, Andretti moved to the Skip Barber National Championship in 2004 where he won the championship though he only won one race. He did have nine podium finishes and 11 top five finishes in 14 races, and like Tony Kanaan that season, Andretti never finished worse than eighth. 

In 2005, Andretti was full-time in Star Mazda while also dabbling in some Indy Pro Series races. Star Mazda was a little more of a struggle. Though he finished fifth in the championship, Andretti never won a race, and his best finish was second at Sonoma. Raphael Matos took the championship ahead of Robbie Pecorari while James Hinchcliffe and Graham Rahal were directly ahead of Andretti in points. 

While Star Mazda was not a smashing success, Andretti was turning heads in his limited Indy Pro Series outings. He won on debut at St. Petersburg, and then he won in his third start on the Indianapolis Motor Speedway road course, as Indy Pro ran the Liberty Challenge in conjunction with the United States Grand Prix weekend at the circuit. In Andretti's final three starts of the season, he was third at Kentucky, won at Sonoma and he was second at Watkins Glen. 

Despite starting only six of 14 races, Andretti finished tenth in the 2005 Indy Pro championship 

What did IndyCar look like when Andretti started in the series?
When Andretti entered the IndyCar Series, it was a decade after The Split, and neither series was doing all that well. 

The Indy Racing League was in a bit of a regression. After having its longest season of 17 races in 2005 and running on road and street courses for the first time, the schedule shrunk to 14 races for Andretti's rookie season in 2006, and this was despite the openness to add road and street courses. Fontana, Phoenix and Pikes Peak all fell off the schedule after 2005. 

The grid size also took a dip as 11 of 14 races had fewer than 20 cars start. In the first 11 IRL seasons, only two races had featured fewer than 20 starters. 

This was the fourth season of Andretti Green Racing competing in the series after Michael Andretti bought into the Team Green outfit and moved the outfit from CART to the IRL. In its first three seasons, AGR won two championships with Tony Kanaan in 2004 and Dan Wheldon in 2005. Kanaan won the championship while completing every lap in the season, an IndyCar first, and Kanaan never finished worse than eighth. Wheldon won five races, including the Indianapolis 500. 

How does IndyCar look now?
We have one IndyCar Series, and we have so since 2008. And it is doing... alright.

Roger Penske owns the series literally after he purchased it in November 2019. Fox Corporation purchased a third of Penske Entertainment this year and now has a stake in the series. Every race is on network television, and attendance is respectable at most events. The Indianapolis 500 has been "sold out" twice. Long Beach is as big as it has ever been. St. Petersburg, Barber Motorsports Park, Detroit, Gateway Road America, Mid-Ohio and Milwaukee have all established rather good draws. There are still other events that not as strong as you would wish. 

The schedule has flipped from only three road and street course tracks to 11 out of 16. The ovals come and go. Milwaukee was off the schedule for nearly a decade before a surprisingly strong return in 2024. Nashville Superspeedway returned as a replacement when the Nashville street race crumbled despite IndyCar not racing on the 1.333-mile concrete oval since 2008. Iowa is vanishing in 2026 despite once being one of IndyCar's bright spots during the 2010s, but Phoenix is returning for the first time since 2018. 

The grid is now up to 27 full-time entries, and the series has been drawing two-dozen starts for essentially the entire 2020s.

Andretti Green Racing became Andretti Autosport, which has now become Andretti Global as Dan Towriss, CEO of Group 1001, purchased a stake in the team at the end of 2023. Michael Andretti fully sold the team in 2024 to TWG Global, a conglomerate run by global investment company Guggenheim Partners, which also owns the Los Angeles Dodgers, the Los Angeles Lakers and Chelsea F.C. TWG has an entire motorsports division as the company owns stakes in Spire Motorsports in NASCAR, and the group has successful led the creation of the Cadillac Formula 1 Team, which will make its debut in 2026. 

In October 2024, Michael Andretti stepped down as CEO of Andretti Global and no longer participates in the day-to-day operation of the team.

What did Andretti do in-between?
Marco Andretti made his IndyCar debut at 19 years and 13 days old, the fourth-youngest driver to start an IndyCar race since 1946 at the time. 

Things started slow for Andretti as he finished 15th, 15th and 12th in his first three races. The next event was arguable the most notable event of his career. In his debut Indianapolis 500, Andretti qualified ninth, the second-best Andretti Green starter with Tony Kanaan starting fifth. After a good race where Andretti spent a fair amount of laps in the top ten, cautions and pit strategy had Marco Andretti second as the race restarted with four laps to go while his father Michael directly ahead of him in first in what was Michael Andretti's first Indianapolis 500 start since 2003.

Marco passed his father immediately on the restart and Sam Hornish, Jr. quickly followed into second. Hornish, Jr. was pushing Marco but slipped back as they were about to start the final lap and Marco's lead was about a second at the start of the final lap. However, Hornish was able to remain in the slipstream and pull up to Marco as the two drivers approached turns three and four. Exiting turn four, Hornish had a run of momentum. Andretti defended on the outside coming down the front straightaway, but Hornish made a move to the inside and passed Andretti within the final 500 feet. Hornish won the Indianapolis 500 by 0.0635 seconds over Marco Andretti, the second-closest finish in the event's history at the time. Michael Andretti was third. 

A deflating loss, Andretti could be proud he was second as a rookie, but devastated as victory was so close especially as his family had not won the race since his grandfather Mario in 1969. 

The rest of his rookie season was respectable. He went on a run of five consecutive top ten finishes over the summer. At Sonoma, Andretti went on an alternate fuel strategy and wound up in the lead while stretching fuel. Thanks to late cautions as well as having teammate support, Andretti held on to become the youngest IndyCar race winner at 19 years, five months and 14 days old. Andretti ended up seventh in the championship.

What followed was a struggle to get back on top of the mountain. While he had a sophomore slump and ended up 11th in the championship in 2007, he still had six top finishes including runner-up finishes at Iowa and Michigan. He nearly won again at Sonoma before contact with teammate Dario Franchitti as the two battled after a pit cycle. In 2008, he had four podium finishes, and he had a great chance at victory at Richmond before a caution caught Andretti out during a pit cycle. These results put Andretti back to seventh in the championship.

In the next three seasons, Andretti ended up eighth in the championship. He had no podium finishes in 2009. He led the most laps at Barber Motorsports Park in 2010, but forced to make an extra pit stop relegated him to fifth at the finish. Andretti did not win again until Iowa 2011, snapping a 77-race winless streak, the second-longest in IndyCar history at the time. 

With the introduction of the DW12 chassis, Andretti had his worst season to date. He failed to finish in the top ten in the first eight races, but that was not without a strong running at the Indianapolis 500. Starting fourth, Andretti led a race-high 59 laps, but Chevrolet did not get as good fuel mileage as the Honda teams. Andretti stumbled backward before having an accident with 13 laps remaining in the race. He did finish second at Iowa in a strong night for the Andretti Autosport team, and Andretti ended the season with pole-position at Fontana before finishing eighth. 

Off his worst season, Andretti had his best season in 2013. He opened the season with five consecutive top ten finishes, including a fourth in the Indianapolis 500, and he had seven top ten finishes in the first eight races. He won pole position at Milwaukee, but a mechanical issue took him out of that race. He won pole position for IndyCar's return to Pocono, and he led a race-high 88 laps, but Chevrolet's fuel mileage issues bit him again, and struggling to stretch his fuel dropped him down the order and ultimately to a tenth-place finish. Victory eluded Andretti, but he ended up fifth in the championship, his best championship finish. 

Victory continued to slip out of his grasp. He was second in the wet at Barber in 2014, and he was third at Indianapolis behind the thrilling battle between Ryan Hunter-Reay and Hélio Castroneves. 

At Detroit in 2015, Andretti took advantage of an early pit stop and teams being too conservative as rain approached. While teams proactively took the wet weather tires before the drops began to fall, Andretti ran hard on slicks and not only took the lead, but opened a gap ahead of a number of better cars. However, Andretti was forced to stop for fuel about three laps before he would need wet tires. Carlos Muñoz was able to go those extra few laps and leap-frog ahead of Andretti in the pit cycle. As the thunderstorm rolled in, Muñoz took the victory as the race was red-flagged and stopped. Andretti was caught in second. 

Andretti had another strong chance at victory at Fontana, but he ended up third behind Graham Rahal and Tony Kanaan as that hectic race ended under caution after Ryan Briscoe tumbled through the infield grass after contact with Ryan Hunter-Reay. 

After 2015, Andretti's results took a dip. Over the next two seasons, he had one top five finish over 33 races. He had only three top ten finishes in the entire 2016 season. Results improved in 2018 as he had eight top ten finishes, including a fourth in the first Belle Isle race from pole position, highlighting a season where he was ninth in the championship. 

In the following two seasons, Andretti fell out of the top fifteen of the championship. The 2019 season saw him finish sixth in two races and tenth in three other races as he was 16th in points. His 2020 season had a rough start with four finishes of 19th or worse in the first six races, which made his pole position in the Indianapolis 500 more surprising. 

Andretti Autosport was showing great speed throughout practice, and Andretti led the way as Andretti put four are in the top nine qualifiers. It felt like Andretti's moment was coming. Unfortunately, the car did not have the balance in the race, and he immediately fell backward from the start of the race. He spent most of the race outside the top ten and finished 13th. To add insult to injury, Andretti never led a lap despite starting first. 

Andretti ended the 2020 season with eighth consecutive finishes outside the top ten. He was 20th in the championship and decided at the end of the season to step away from IndyCar full-time, committing to the Indianapolis 500 from there forward.

Over the last five years, Andretti had finishes of 19th, 22nd, 17th, 25th and 29th at Indianapolis. He started no better than 19th in any of those races.

What impression did Andretti leave on IndyCar?
As an Andretti, Marco was always going to leave an impression on IndyCar. With how his first Indianapolis 500 ended, he will never be forgotten, even more so because he never won the race. 

We are going to remember how painfully close Andretti came to cementing his legacy while still a teenager. Winning that one Indianapolis 500 would not have changed Andretti's career that much. While a consistent driver who finished in the top ten of the championship nine times in 15 full seasons, if he had won the 2006 Indianapolis 500, Andretti would likely have an identical career. Maybe he has more confidence and he pulls out another two or three victories. Maybe those two or three victories lead to one or two more championship top five finishes, but for the success that led to the quick rise to IndyCar, Andretti was never on the level of Dario Franchitti, Scott Dixon and Will Power to be a champion. 

The last name attracted more criticism than any other driver would have received. Perceived success was always going to be more difficult for him because he couldn't be just good. He had to be Andretti good. He had to live up to a world-class grandfather and a champion father. Those weren't expectations his family had. Those were the expectations of the on-lookers, the attendees who had been watching IndyCar since they were a child and watched three decades of Andretti success thinking the third generation would match the achievements of the previous two. 

It is mostly unfair because nine seasons finishing in the championship top ten is viewed as failure in this case while a number of other drivers would wish for such a career, and a number of other drivers would be respected for such results even if the victories were not numerous. 

Think about the difference in how people perceive Marco Andretti, a man who only won twice in 253 starts and who only finished in the championship top five once, to Oriol Servià, a man who only won once in 204 starts and who finished in the championship top five twice, one of those coming during Champ Car in the middle of The Split. 

The results are not too different and yet the knee-jerk reaction to hearing each name is opposite.

Andretti was expected to be more, a 21st century savior for American open-wheel racing. He was basically a child but expected to carry a name and carry a series. Another successful Andretti was all IndyCar needed to attract viewers. Pair that with a successful Rahal and IndyCar would be back on the top of the mountain in no time. It was pretty naïve to think people would just keep showing up because an Andretti was winning. IndyCar's issues were always deeper than that. Thinking another generation of a known name was all that was needed was at best lazy, and likely led to a lot of hard work not being done to help the series grow.

Marco was always different, an introvert, and the public didn't want that. He was reserved and did not throw himself into the spotlight. If anything, he avoided it when he didn't warrant the attention. When he was running well or was quick, he was willing to participate, but at no point did Andretti make it about himself when things were not going well. He was never a distraction from something greater. He didn't seek to be noticed. A race would end and if the result was nothing special, he would quietly move on. He never pounded the drum to draw a crowd. He could finish eighth and not be the story, and I think he was ok with that. 

There will be a large percentage of people who will mock Andretti for the career he had and minimize it to nepotism with the results showing it did not warrant the time and resources provided. I think that is misguided. Let's not act like being Andretti didn't help give Marco the career he had, but for all those who believe he did not deserve this career, Marco Andretti did have the respect of his peers. He was a competitor that drivers trusted track. He was quick and fought for victories against some of the best. We never heard about him being a hazard on the track or being dangerously slow. He might not have been the man to beat year-in and year-out, but he certainly occupied a spot on the grid among plenty of other capable race car drivers who could be competitive on their day. 

I think the toughest thing for me to accept is Marco Andretti is 38 years old and it is over. When he debuted at 19 years old, the feeling was he was going to be around forever and he would set a lot of longevity records, especially when you consider how long his grandfather and father drove. Twenty years was the minimum. A 30-year career was plausible. Instead, we got the minimum, and even then we got less than that when you consider he only ran at Indianapolis for the last five years. 

I really wished Marco found love and enjoyment away from IndyCar if the results were not going to be there. This retrospective has focused on his IndyCar career, but it neglects Andretti brief time in sports car racing and the time in the Acura LMP2 with Andretti Green. Do people realize he ran an American Le Mans Series race and an IndyCar race on the same day? If Kyle Larson did the equivalent today we would never hear the end of it. Andretti ran at Le Mans, and was a co-driver with a Prost (Nico). 

Andretti kind of found a post-IndyCar career in SRX, where he was champion, and he dabbled in stock car racing, but spent most of his time in ARCA, which is not the most competitive division, and he was in a rather underwhelming Truck program running a handful of races. It was never a full attempt at it, but an odd sampling in mid-pack equipment.

Part of me wishes in four or five years, Marco will get the bug to compete again and he can find a happy living in LMP2 racing, whether that is in IMSA or the European Le Mans Series or both, and he can get a chance to go back to Le Mans, and he can have a chance to compete with some of his old buddies as co-drivers. He ran one IMSA race, the 2021 6 Hours of the Glen, in LMP3 with his cousin Jarett and Oliver Askew and they finished fourth in class. I was really hoping that was going to lead to more. 

Seeing as how Andretti is viewed, I think my wish is he could find a level where he could have fun and be competitive while achieving some success because he wasn't terrible though plenty will say so. He was better than the record book will say. Not a champion, not one of the best of the last 25 years, but better than the vitriol Marco Andretti gets and will likely never escape.


Monday, November 17, 2025

Musings From the Weekend: Not So Silly After All

Here is a rundown of what got me thinking...

MotoGP closed its season in Valencia, and Marco Bezzecchi closed his season with a victory on his 27th birthday. It was Bezzecchi's second consecutive victory and third of the season. JR Motorsports confirmed it was attempting the Daytona 500 again with Justin Allgaier. IMSA did some testing at Daytona where the results were virtually meaningless because of BOP. The test results are meaningless the week before the 24 Hours of Daytona. What would make two months earlier any more relevant? A number of IndyCar drivers were testing. Speaking of IndyCar drivers, we haven't really spoken much about the recent movement on the grid.

Not So Silly After All
There hasn't really been a need for weekly check-ins on IndyCar silly season, but over the past week-and-a-half, there has been plenty of news, and most of it has been substantial. 

Another full-time seat has been claimed, though it went the way we expected.

Caio Collet was confirmed in A.J. Foyt Racing's #4 Chevrolet for the 2026 season. Collet fills the spot vacated when David Malukas moved to Team Penske. Collet was second in the Indy Lights championship, 72 points off Dennis Hauger with three victories. With this news, it appears two full-time seats remain open on the 2026 IndyCar grid, the second Dale Coyne Racing entry and the #30 Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing Honda, though Devlin DeFrancesco was announced as signing a multi-year deal at the end of last year. 

Beyond the full-time seats, we are also getting Indianapolis 500 seats filled, and one of the biggest one-off entries was filled last week. Ryan Hunter-Reay was announced to be taking the fourth Arrow McLaren entry, and Hunter-Reay will drive the #31 Chevrolet for the team. This will mark Hunter-Reay's 17th Indianapolis 500 attempt and his sixth different team competing for at Indianapolis. He had spent the last three years driving for Dreyer & Reinbold Racing. 

With Hunter-Reay moving, it opens another space on the grid, as Dreyer & Reinbold Racing has lost one of its drivers. D&R announced Jack Harvey would be back in one of its entries at Indianapolis in September.

We sit less than two weeks from Thanksgiving with 25 full-time cars confirmed, two more open and three Indianapolis 500 entries set with Hélio Castroneves in a third Meyer Shank Racing car. 

It feels like a game of musical chairs is about to begin for the month of May seats. 

The two full-time seats appear to have outsiders, those who were not on the grid in 2025, as front-runners. Romain Grosjean is heavily rumored to be the primary candidate for Dale Coyne Racing's vacant seat. The RLLR seat is either remaining in Devlin DeFrancesco's possession or it will be Mick Schumacher. 

Those two decisions do not really change much for May other than if Schumacher does get the ride then DeFrancesco becomes a potential one-off contender. 

Where are those other three seats coming from? 

There is the second Dreyer & Reinbold car, Andretti Global's annual additional entry, Ed Carpenter Racing's third car for Ed Carpenter, and those three alone would get the May grid up to 33 cars without considering Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing bringing out a fourth car, which seems highly likely seeing as how Takuma Sato drove for RLLR at a test at the Speedway last month. Then we are back at 34 entries with each team fielding the same number of cars as they did the year before. 

It really means that as we sit here there are only two open one-off seats seeing as how Ed Carpenter will likely hire Ed Carpenter for the open Ed Carpenter Racing seat, and Sato seems firmly in RLLR's plans. 

It is the second D&R ride and the fourth Andretti car that remain. 

Andretti Global knows its one-off driver from 2025 will not be back. Marco Andretti announced earlier this month his retirement from motorsports. Andretti Global also has a former full-time driver who is competing with the team in a different discipline who has no races scheduled from the middle of April through the start of June. 

If we are being honest with ourselves, the only logical choice for Andretti's open car is Colton Herta, seeing as how his Formula Two schedule allows him to fully focus on an Indianapolis 500 one-off, and if Herta is already announced to be running for Cadillac in three IMSA endurance races, attempting the Indianapolis 500 is not a step too far in his 2026 calendar. 

That leaves one seat for the 2026 Indianapolis 500, and about 975 drivers vying for it. If we are honest, it is about three or four serious names, and everyone is trying to raise significantly more money than Conor Daly.

Daly has four consecutive top ten finishes in the Indianapolis 500, including one with Dreyer & Reinbold Racing. It is his for the taking. 

Could Linus Lundqvist do enough to get that D&R spot on the grid? Maybe. If Devlin DeFrancesco loses the RLLR seat, he could take his money and likely pay for a one-off. Even Jacob Abel is a possibility. 

Outside of that, everyone else is a reach.

Could J.R Hildebrand make a comeback? Yes, but no is the correct answer. Could Katherine Legge raise enough money? Possibly, but Legge's racing interests are elsewhere at the moment. Anyone else is a stretch. 

There is not a swath of drivers at the lower rungs looking to get a shot and see Indianapolis as an opportunity. I do not sense Lochie Hughes and Myles Rowe are itching to add an Indianapolis 500 one-off to their schedules along with a full Indy Lights season. Toby Sowery is hanging around but is technically a RLLR reserve driver. There are the likes of Tristan Vautier and Hunter McElrea who have been in IndyCar circles in recent years ready for an opportunity should it present itself. 

It is not a breath-taking group of suitors for a spot on the entry list for the biggest race IndyCar has to offer. We do not see surprises that often. We knew Kyle Larson wasn't coming back the moment he was out of the race this May, and there isn't another NASCAR driver in consideration for The Double. We aren't going to see Yuki Tsunoda come over because Honda doesn't have a place for him in Formula One, and Tsunoda must be kept busy.

If you are expecting a splash, need not put on that poncho, my friend. You are going to remain dry. The final pieces of the 2026 IndyCar puzzle are laid out and we have a clear view of what the picture will be. The usual suspects have been rounded up, and these teams are rather predictable with their decisions, but who can blame them? There is one clear option that stands above the rest. No one is walking through the door that will make the grid think any differently. 

Champions From the Weekend

Diogo Moreira clinched the Moto2 world championship with an 11th-place finish at Valencia..

Winners From the Weekend
You know about Marco Bezzecchi, but did you know...

Álex Márquez won MotoGP's sprint race from Valencia. Izan Guevara won the Moto2 race, his first victory in three years when he won the 2022 Moto3 finale from Valencia to cap off his championship season. Adrián Fernández won in Moto3, his first career victory in his 85th career start.

Chaz Mostert and Broc Feeney split the Supercars races from Sandown.

Coming Up This Weekend
Formula One has a a bit of an earlier night in Las Vegas.
Super Formula concludes it season at Suzuka.


Friday, November 14, 2025

Career Retrospective: Conor Daly

For the fifth year of the Career Retrospective series it became obvious that a theme was crossroads. A number of drivers were at crossroads, some unexpectedly, at the end of 2025. A few drivers are making clear choices and are heading in different directions. Some are remaining still and are not sure where they will be heading next. 

This year, we will look at three drivers as their careers are making a change.

For part two, we meet a driver still at the intersection, another intersection in his career. His ride has been filled already for the 2026 season, and there are not many left. In all likelihood, it will be making the most of what is left. It is not an unfamiliar position, but it is a tough one no matter how many times you have been through it. The wonder is how many more times can a career be at this point and where else is there left to go.

It is Conor Daly.

Where was Daly coming from?
Daly started in Skip Barber and won the national championship in his first year of car racing. This led to a move to Star Mazda in 2009 where he was third in the championship. In his second year, Daly won the title with Juncos Racing with seven victories in 13 races beating Anders Krohn, Connor De Phillippi and Tristan Vautier.

After this championship, Daly made a decision to head to Europe to race in the GP3 Series while also running non-conflicting rounds in Indy Lights with Sam Schmidt Motorsports. He opened the Indy Lights season with a second at St. Petersburg, an 11th at Barber Motorsports Park, and he won at Long Beach after Josef Newgarden got into the barrier while in the lead. 

The GP3 results were not spectacular in 2011 with Carlin, but he moved to ART Grand Prix the next year and he won the first sprint race of the season at Barcelona. Daly ended up sixth in the championship. He also completed straight line tests for Force India. During that winter, he won the MRF Challenge F2000 Championship in India.

The following year saw Daly as a championship contender heading into the final round at Abu Dhabi. With a victory, six podium finishes and 12 finishes in the points in 16 races, Daly wound up third in the championship behind Daniil Kvyat and ART teammate Facundo Regalia but Daly was ahead of Tio Ellinas, his other ART teammate Jack Harvey and Nick Yelloly. Alexander Sims and Carlos Sainz, Jr. also competed in GP3 that season.

Daly did run the 2013 GP2 season opener in Malaysia where he was seventh in the sprint race. While competing in GP3, Daly was able to make his Indianapolis 500 debut in an additional entry with A.J. Foyt Racing. He had an accident in Thursday practice before qualifying, but he was able to make the race, qualifying 31st. He ended up finishing two laps down in 22nd.

After finishing third in GP3, Daly moved up to GP2 in 2014. Driving for Lazarus GP, Daly had only one finish in the points, a seventh in the Hungarian sprint race.

What did IndyCar look like when Daly started in the series?
IndyCar was in the early days of the DW12 chassis and had just introduced the manufacturer specific aero kits a year prior to Daly's first full season in 2016. There was a bit of changing time in IndyCar in the early days of the DW12. While some teams returned to IndyCar, others had left the series. Car count was still around 22 full-time entries, but three teams were responsible for over 54% of the grid.

IndyCar was coming off a season where nine different drivers won a race representing seven different teams. It allowed for six drivers to be alive for the championship at the final round with a driver from Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing and CFH Racing, a merged program of Ed Carpenter Racing and Sarah Fisher Hartman Racing, were each alive for the title.

Of course, the title went to Scott Dixon and Chip Ganassi Racing. It was Dixon's fourth career championship and his second in three seasons. Three different teams had won the title over the first four seasons of the DW12 chassis.

There were rumors of a season opener at Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez in Mexico City. A round on the streets of Boston was scheduled for Labor Day weekend. Phoenix was returning to the calendar for the first time in 11 years. Road America was set to return for the first time in nine years.

How does IndyCar look now?
IndyCar has grown to 27 full-time entries with 11 teams on the grid. Each team is limited to three chartered entries, but can still enter "open" entries that could fail to qualify for a race. All 25 chartered entries are locked into the race (sans the Indianapolis 500) with any open entries competing to fill two spots on the grid.

Six teams run the maximum three chartered entries. Every team on the grid fielded two full-time cars in 2025.

IndyCar is coming off a season where Álex Palou has just won his third consecutive championship and his fourth title in five seasons. It is the second time in three years Palou has clinched the championship with races in hand. This year, Palou did it with two races remaining, the first driver to clinch a title with multiple races remaining since Cristiano da Matta in 2002. Palou also became the first driver with at least eight victories in a season since reunification. 

With Palou's championship, it was Chip Ganassi Racing's fifth title in six seasons. Chip Ganassi Racing and Team Penske have combined to win the last 13 championships.

IndyCar has not raced in Mexico City, and though there were rumors of Mexico City possibly being included on the 2026 calendar, it did not materialize. The Boston race never took place and IndyCar went to Watkins Glen for two seasons as a filler event on Labor Day weekend. Phoenix is scheduled to return to the calendar in 2026 after seven seasons off the schedule. 

What did Daly do in-between?
Daly's reputation has become that of a super-sub. 

Even before his first full season in IndyCar, Daly took a role as a substitute. In 2015, with no full-time seat in any series, Daly filled in at Long Beach for Rocky Moran, Jr. at Dale Coyne Racing He would be entered for the Indianapolis 500 with Schmidt Peterson Motorsports, but he took a larger role with the team as he replaced James Hinchcliffe in three races, including finishing sixth in the second Belle Isle race.

For 2016, he put together a full-time program with Coyne. Strategic races allowed for some of Daly's best results. He was sixth in the Grand Prix of Indianapolis, second and sixth at the Belle Isle doubleheader, and he was sixth at Mid-Ohio. At the end of the season, he was fourth at Watkins Glen. Encouraging results led to a move to A.J. Foyt Racing in 2017.

While he moved to a program with more resources, results dipped or at best plateaued at Foyt. He had four top ten finishes the entire season, with his best result being fifth at Gateway. He was 18th in the championship for the second consecutive season, but Foyt decided to drop him as well as his teammate Carlos Muñoz for the 2018 season. 

Daly was back on the sideline and waiting for a call. He drove a one-off for Coyne at the Indianapolis 500 in 2018, but he got the call for three races with Harding Racing after the team dropped Gabby Chaves in the middle of the season. 

For 2019, Daly put together an Indianapolis 500 entry with Andretti Autosport with Air Force sponsorship. Daly ended up finishing tenth, his best finish in the race. Carlin experienced a midseason shakeup as Max Chilton decided to step away from oval races. Daly posted respectable results considering both Carlin cars failed to qualify for the Indianapolis 500. His worst finish was 13th but he was sixth at Gateway. Daly was called up to run at Portland for Schmidt Peterson Motorsports as Marcus Ericsson was on standby for Kimi Räikkönen at the Belgian Grand Prix with Alfa Romeo, and Daly added the Laguna Seca season finale with Andretti Autosport. 

With Chilton done running ovals, Daly was able to put together a full season program in 2020 driving on ovals for Carlin while running Ed Carpenter Racing's #20 Chevrolet on the road and street courses while Ed Carpenter contested the ovals. The one exception was the Indianapolis 500, where Daly ran a third ECR car as Chilton was comfortable enough to compete on that one oval.

The oval results were magnificent with four top ten finishes in five races driving for Carlin, including winning pole position for the first Iowa race. This dueling full-time arrangement continued for another season in 2021, but results were not quite as high. Daly failed to score a single top ten finish. 

Despite this, ECR brought Daly on for full-time in 2022. A slow start was erased with a month of May that saw him finishing sixth in the Grand Prix of Indianapolis and fifth in the Indianapolis 500, but the results fell off from there. While he was eighth in the Indianapolis 500 in 2023, ECR released Daly after the Detroit round the following week.

Daly ended up contesting four more races in 2023, three substituting for Simon Pagenaud at Meyer Shank Racing, and one at Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing after the team released Jack Harvey. He remained without a full-time ride in 2024 but put together an Indianapolis 500 program with Dreyer & Reinbold Racing, where he would finish tenth. 

Though scheduled for only one race, Daly again stepped in for an injured driver. This time, Harvey was ruled out of the second Iowa race due to back issues and Daly filled Harvey's Dale Coyne Racing seat. As Juncos Hollinger Racing was struggling to keep its #77 Chevrolet in a Leader Circle spot, Daly was hired to drive the five races. He took a third in the first Milwaukee race and a tenth at Nashville secured JHR's spot in the Leader Circle for 2025. 

With the salvation job Daly did, JHR gave him a full-time seat. Road and street course results were lacking, but Daly had strong days on ovals, finishing eighth in the Indianapolis 500 and running competitively at Gateway before finishing sixth. He would pick up a seventh in the first Iowa race and he ended the season with a fifth at Nashville.
 
However, Daly was 18th in the championship, and in six full seasons competing in IndyCar, he has never finished better than 17th in points. 

What impression did Daly leave on IndyCar?
Daly's career is very much not over in IndyCar, but we are running out of runway.

Daly has made 132 starts and has zero career victories. Only three drivers have made more starts and never won in IndyCar history. Scott Brayton (150), Dick Simon (183) and Raul Boesel (199). 

His career is on borrowed time. Daly has driven for eight of the 11 teams currently on the grid. The exceptions are Team Penske, Chip Ganassi racing and Prema. Of those three, one is a realistic option in the future. Daly is about to turn 34 years old next month. The opportunities will soon be disappearing, at least on the full-time level. 

Based on his Indianapolis 500 track record, he should have a seat as a one-off for the next five or six years. It is the one thing Daly has going for him. When it comes to the Indianapolis 500 and ovals in general, Daly has shown a tremendous ability to be competitive in a variety of machinery. He has been on the verge of pulling off something special for the last few seasons. Of course, that is easier said than done. 

When your schedule is limited to one race a season, at best two or three depending on who needs a seat filled, it is difficult to establish yourself as someone noteworthy in the series. Yet, Daly has developed a persona most drivers in IndyCar cannot match. 

Daly has become a voice for the fanbase with his podcast Speed Street, which allows him to share his viewpoints happening around the series. His willingness to honestly express himself and connect with fans through his antics, whether that be in the Snake Pit on Indianapolis 500 race morning or social media posts, has made Daly one of the most personable drivers in IndyCar even if he is struggling more times than not to have a full-time ride. 

There is still time for Daly to leave his mark on IndyCar and notch a victory to his name. What we have seen is a driver who has been able to make the most of the opportunities given and sometimes pull out results the other average drivers cannot quite match. However, when given a full-time opportunity, he has never exceeded expectations of the equipment given and led to a greater shot down the road. His career is littered with lateral moves, and some have been slight moves backward. There has never been that giant leap forward.

If he had impressed anyone at this point, he would have already received his big opportunity and been with an organization for a three-to-five-year run. 

However, I believe Daly's legacy in IndyCar will go beyond what he has done as a driver. He will be remembered for some of his performances. It has been a respectable career, but Daly's future is beyond the steering wheel. I don't know if he will every end up in the broadcast booth but Daly is set to be a spokesman for the series that it rarely has seen for past drivers. There is a clown prince quality to Daly, the kind you read about from Robin Miller and company on Eddie Sachs and Jim Hurtubise. IndyCar hasn't had one of those in a longtime. Daly is the 21st century equivalent. 

Daly is going to be involved in IndyCar for a long time after his driving career is done. His father is Derek Daly and his stepfather is IndyCar president and Indianapolis Motor Speedway president Doug Boles. Conor Daly is going to be involved, and maybe it is in a capacity we have not seen a driver venture into before. It could be broadcasting as suggested above, but it could be in promotion or marketing or leadership. Though options might be limited when it comes to sitting behind the wheel of a car, when it comes to working in the series, Daly might have plenty of options to choose from in his future. 

At this moment, he still wants to be a driver, and all signs point to Daly continuing in that direction for the near-future. However, he currently stands at the crossroads of his career for what feels like the 100th time, unsure where the next opportunity will come from and how many more will come after it.