Monday, December 29, 2025

2026 Sports Car Predictions

Sports car racing keeps things interesting. We are coming off a year where there was a new manufacturer joining the top echelon of sports car racing, and looking ahead we have a year where another new manufacturer will join the top echelon of sports car racing. 

There is plenty of competition to keep you busy in the sports car world, for world championships to domestic series, and it will all start soon enough. It technically has already started as the Asian Le Mans Series season got underway earlier this month, but there is still plenty to preview and predict ahead of the New Year.

FIA World Endurance Championship
1. Genesis Magma will score more points than Aston Martin's 2025 total
New year, and another new manufacturer is joining the WEC grid. Genesis Magma Racing is making its debut with the Genesis GMR-001. Pipo Derani and André Lotterer were contracted to lead the development of this program, and the team has added Mathieu Jaminet, Daniel Juncadella, Paul-Loup Chatin and Mathys Jaubert to round out the lineup.

The driver ability is there. The question will be the car. 

The 2025 season saw the debut of the Aston Martin Valkyrie AMR-LMH, a long-awaited entry into the series, which had sat on the shelf for a period of time. For all the attention it got for the noise from its 6.5 liter V12 engine, it only scored 24 points. Its only points finishes were the final two races. The #009 Aston Martin was fifth at Fuji and seventh at Bahrain. 

Genesis has been testing since August and it did a 32-hour test at Portimão in September. That doesn't mean it is going to run well, but I think Genesis scores earlier. It might just be a few points here and there, but they add up. There could be a big result later in the season that helps get Genesis exceed that 24-point total.

2. There will be fewer 1-2 overall finishes for manufacturers
Four out of eight races had a 1-2 finish for a manufacturer. 

Ferrari went 1-2-3 in Qatar and 1-2 at Spa-Francorchamps. Cadillac's lone victory of the season at Interlagos was also a 1-2 result. Toyota closed the 2025 season with a 1-2 in Bahrain.

In 2024, there was only one 1-2 result for a manufacturer, and it was the race a privateer team won. Hertz Team Jota won at Spa-Francorchamps while still a Porsche team ahead of the Porsche Penske Motorsport outfit. 

I don't see it happening again where the only day Cadillac or Toyota win a race also being a 1-2 result. I don't see if Aston Martin has one good race both cars end up 1-2. I think that will just be a quirk for 2025.

3. Every winner in LMGT3 will have a podium finish that isn't first
In 2025, six different entries won in LMGT3, but for four of those cars, their only podium finish was first-place. 

The championship-winning #92 Manthey Porsche won twice, but its next best finish was fourth. The #87 Akkodis ASP Team Lexus won twice as well, and also had its next best finish be fourth. The #33 TF Sport Corvette won the season opener and never finished better than sixth the rest of the season. The #95 United Autosport McLaren won at Austin, and its next best finish all season was seventh. 

For it to happen once is one thing, but for four of the six winners to have their only trips to the podium be victories is staggering. 

Now, it did happen three times in 2024, and it happened twice in the final year of GTE-Am in 2023. However, I predict a strong market correction and it doesn't happen at all in 2026, even if history says it is going to happen at least once.

4. Among the top five in the LMGT3 championship, British drivers are in the top two most-represented nationalities
Last season in LMGT3, there was a lack of British drivers in the top ten of the championship. There were only two. 

Ian James was fourth with Heart of Racing Aston Martin, and Jonny Edgar was sixth with TF Sport. 

Meanwhile, there were six Italians, three Americans, two Austrians and two Frenchmen. No other nationalities were represented multiple times. In the championship top five, there were three Italians, two Americans and two Austrians.

There are a few more Brits in LMGT3 this year. James and Edgar will each be back in their respective entries, and Edgar was only four points off cracking the top five in 2025. 

James Cottingham will be in a Manthey Porsche. Ben Tuck is back in a Proton Competition Ford. Darren Leung has moved to Team WRT BMW and Dan Harper will be in the other Team WRT entry. Tom Fleming will be in a McLaren with Garage 59. 

It will likely take at least three drivers to crack the top two most-represented. It feels possible.

IMSA
5. Six GTP entries have consecutive podium finishes
Last season, five different entries had a run of consecutive podium finishes at some point.

The #7 Porsche won the first three races and then finished second. The #6 Porsche had five consecutive podium finishes to open the season. The #24 Team RLL BMW was third in consecutive races at Long Beach and Laguna Seca. Wayne Taylor Racing's #10 Cadillac went second and third at Detroit and Watkins Glen. The #31 Whelen Racing Cadillac ended the season with a pair of victories.

But a sixth entry having consecutive podium finishes at some point in the season? Really? Is that possible? Well, it happened in 2022 and 2023. There were only six full-time entries in 2022, so that made it a lot easier, but even with all the cars in GTP for 2026, six of them will have consecutive podium finishes at some point during the season.

6. At least four drivers reach 15 career victories
There are made notable names approaching this milestone. 

Felipe Nasr is on 14 career victories, as is Jon Field, who will be back in LMP2 as Intersport Racing has returned to competition. Felipe Albuquerque, Sébastien Bourdais, Laurens Vanthoor and Matt Campbell are all on 13 victories, though Campbell will become an Endurance Cup driver for Porsche in 2026. Jack Hawksworth has 12 victories.

Those are seven drivers within three victories of the 15 milestone. I say just over half get there in 2025. Nasr feels almost certain to get one victory. With how well Porsche did, you would think Vanthoor could pick up two as well. Albuquerque, Bourdais and Hawksworth all went winless in 2025. All three aren't going to be shutout again in 2026. One will definitely win, and in all likelihood at least two will, and multiple victories cannot be ruled out.

7. At least four nationalities are represented between the two GT class winners at Road America
Last year at Road America, the #1 Paul Miller Racing BMW of Madison Snow and Neil Verhagen won in GTD Pro, and the #021 Triarsi Competizione Ferrari of Kenton Koch and Onofrio Triarsi won in GTD. That is four American winners among the drivers.

However, in 2026, Road America is going to be a six-hour race. In the five endurance races on the 2025 calendar, at least four nationalities were represented among the winning GT drivers in four of them (Watkins Glen was the exception). 

We aren't going to see an all-American set of winners again. With third drivers likely in some entries, we are going to see more possibilities. I think there will be multiple flags being waved for these winners.

8. Two class champions also win the Endurance Cup championships
The champions are rarely the Endurance Cup champions. 

Last year, the Endurance Cup champions were third in GTP, second in LMP2, fourth in GTD Pro, and the Endurance Cup-only #21 AF Corse Ferrari won the title in GTD.

In 2024, two of the champions were also Endurance Cup champions, the #7 Porsche in GTP and the #57 Winward Racing Mercedes-AMG in GTD. It also happened in 2023 when the #31 Whelen Racing Cadillac took both titles in GTP and the #74 Riley entry did it in LMP3.

It feels quick for it to happen again, but I think we see a bit of a swing from 2025, and the top teams from the entire season will be on top at the endurance races as well.

Other
9. There will be at least four European Le Mans Series overall winners that have consecutive letters in their last name
Looking at the ELMS entry list, there are a fair number of LMP2 drivers with consecutive letters in their last name. 

Pietro Fittipaldi
Ryan Cullen
Louis Rousset
Enzo Trulli
Griffin Peebles
Alex Quinn
Richard Verschoor
Tom Dillmann has two sets of consecutive letters!
Nick Yelloly
François Perrodo
P.J. Hyett

Last year, three drivers with consecutive letters in their last name won overall, Perrodo, Daniel Juncadella and Esteban Masson. I think that number increases this season.

10. In the Matt Bell battle, LMGT3 Matt Bell will have the better class finish over LMP3 Matt Bell in majority of the races
Two drivers, one name, and the Matt Bell confusion will hit its greatest heights in 2025 when both drivers will be competing in the European Le Mans Series.

Matthew Richard Bell will be competing in the #11 Eurointernational Liger in LMP3. Matthew Thomas Bell will be competing in the #33 TF Sport Corvette in LMGT3.

In the last two seasons, Matthew Richard Bell and Eurointernational has finished second in the LMP3 championship. Matthew Thomas Bell has not compete in ELMS since 2024 when he ran an LMP2 Pro-Am entry with Team Virage. He spent the last three seasons in IMSA, and the last two in a Corvette GT3 with AWA. 

Eurointernational has been a strong team in LMP3, but I think Matthew Thomas Bell with TF Sport will pull off better results than Matthew Richard Bell in LMP3. 

11. No drivers win in multiple entries in Intercontinental GT Challenge
Last year, Kelvin van der Linde took the Intercontinental GT Challenge championship as van der Linde won four of the five races. He won the four races in three different entries. 

At the Bathurst 12 Hour, he won in the #32 Team WRT BMW. He won the 24 Hours Nürburgring with the #99 ROWE Racing BMW. Van der Linde was back in the #32 Team WRT BMW for the Suzuka 1000 km, but he won in the #46 Team WRT BMW at the Indianapolis 8 Hour.

What happens in 2026? No driver wins in multiple entries. It is going to be pretty straight forward. If you win in one car, then you are going to win in that car later in the season, if you win again. 

12. The number of home race winners in GT World Challenge Asia at least doubles
We don't talk about GT World Challenge Asia often in this space, and we aren't going to increase our coverage, but we need another prediction and we need to mix it up. 

In 2025, twice where there home race winners. Malaysian Prince Jefri Ibrahim won at Sepang, and Chinese due Ye Yifei and Zhang Yaqi won in Beijing. 

In 2026, there will be two rounds in China, as well as two rounds in Japan, plus Sepang remains and Mandalika is also on the schedule representing Indonesia. 

With an additional Chinese round, we are highly likely to see another race with home winners, and while Japanese drivers are not overly abundant in GTWC Asia, you would think after being shut out and having no Japanese drivers win overall in 2024 and 2025, at least one will do it in 2026, and there are two Japanese rounds where it could happen. 

Four predictions are now complete, and you can catch up on NASCAR, motorcycle racing and Formula One predictions before we conclude the year with IndyCar predictions. 



Friday, December 26, 2025

2026 Formula One Predictions

Christmas is behind us, and this Boxing Day falls on a Friday, which means our annual tradition of Formula One predictions takes you into the weekend. We really have no clue will happen as a new set of regulations will be introduced. It could be more of the same. It could be a giant shakeup. It could start slow and get better. It could be chaotic early and then be even-keel come the midway point of the season. We don’t know. We have no clue.

But let’s shoot from the hip anyway. 

1. There will not be a race where McLaren swaps its drivers when both are in a podium position
Perhaps the most notable moment of the 2025 season was at the Italian Grand Prix when McLaren swapped positions after Lando Norris fell behind Oscar Piastri due to a slower pit stop for Norris. The swap moved Norris back up to second, though Piastri was leading the world championship at the time. It was three points to Norris and three points away from Piastri. 

Of course, Norris won the title by two points.

This was the second consecutive season with a notable McLaren position swap after pit strategy bit one of its drivers. At Hungry in 2024, Norris was dropped to second and Piastri took the victory after pit strategy put Piastri behind his teammate.

In 2026, I don’t think that will happen again. Either McLaren will not be in a position to swap or it will not have to because the right driver will always been ahead. 

2. One race will feature a podium with at least two drivers who were not on the podium in 2025
New regulations, new possibilities. 

Somebody is going to do better than expected and experience a big leap forward. A few drivers will go through more rough patches. Some winners are going to remain winners, but the door will be open to someone else having their day in the sun. It doesn’t have to be a victory, but a third would do.

Lewis Hamilton notably did not have a podium finish in 2025. Many are skeptical Ferrari will have anything better than it did in 2025, but maybe it does. Maybe Hamilton gets lucky. He did win a sprint race. 

Fernando Alonso is going to be driving an Adrian Newey-designed Aston Martin, and Alonso was not on the podium last year. We have also seen Lance Stroll pick up podium finishes when he is in a competitive car. Don’t rule that out.

The catch here is we need the likes of Alonso and Hamilton, or Hamilton and Esteban Ocon, or Pierre Gasly and Lance Stroll to be on the same podium for this prediction to be correct. Things must align. That is where it gets tricky. 

3. On at least two occasions will a driver win a race following a retirement
I keep thinking back to 2014 and Lewis Hamilton won the championship after he overcame mechanical issues that did not affect Mercedes teammate Nico Rosberg in the same way. And it happened early in the season. Hamilton was out before the season opener from Melbourne even got underway, and he then won four consecutive races. Hamilton then won five consecutive races after he retired from the Belgian Grand Prix.

The level of Hamilton’s responses likely will not be matched in 2026, but why couldn’t Max Verstappen drop out after engine issues in one race only to win the next? Why couldn’t the McLarens get together in one race and then one of them win the next? 

We are going to see a few responses from one race to the next. 

4. Max Verstappen’s longest podium streak will not be greater than six races
Verstappen ended the 2025 season with ten consecutive podium finishes. Prior to that he had five podium finishes in the first 14 races and he was never on the rostrum for consecutive races. 

There will be some balance in 2026. Verstappen will not struggle, but I don’t think he will be inseparable from the podium. He could still have three streaks of five podium finishes during the season and that would be 15 podium finishes, the same total he had this past season. 

He is going to be competitive. He will likely carry the car further than it can go. I am not sure he can come close to how he ended the 2025 season where he was clearly the best over the final ten races and it nearly led to an improbable championship. 

5. Andrea Kimi Antonelli will score at least 35 points between May and June
In 2025, Antonelli scores 22 points over the six races between May and June. 

He was sixth in Miami and was seventh in the sprint race the day before. Eight points for sixth and two points for the sprint result. 

He was third in Montreal for his first career podium finish. That is 12 points. 

In the other four races, Antonelli had three retirements and he was 18th at Monaco. 

I think things go better during spring 2026. There are only five races between those two months but Miami is still a sprint weekend, and Canada becomes a sprint weekend. 

Antonelli would need to average a finish of 6.5 in the five Grand Prix to hit the 35-point total. I think he does it. 

6. Lewis Hamilton will finish in the points in more sprint races but he will have fewer sprint race points than he had in 2025
In 2025, Hamilton scores 21 points in sprint races. Eight of those were thanks to his sprint race victory in China. He scored in four sprint races (China, Miami, Austin, Interlagos)

It is nuts to think Hamilton will do better than 21 points in 2026. Let’s just say he scores in all six sprint races, he would need to average around four points per sprint race. I don’t think he will have six top five finishes in sprint races. However, I could see Hamilton being in the top eight for five of six sprint races. 

Maybe one or two are in the top five. That could be about ten points right there, but he could be eighth in two others and seventh in another. That would be a total of 14 sprint race points with five finishes in the points. It is plausible. 

7. Cadillac will not have the most double retirements
New team. Unknowns across the board. I want to be optimistic and see Cadillac score points. I want it to have a few thrilling days with Valtteri Bottas and Sergio Pérez each having their spots to shine. But it likely will not match Haas’ debut race when Romain Grosjean finished in the top six. 

Cadillac has done all the right things to prepare for this season. It was doing simulated weekends toward the end of the 2025 season where the team went through the flow of a race weekend as if it was already competing. That will help but that doesn’t mean the team is going to come out like gangbusters. There will be plenty of things it can only learn from having a car on track. 

But let’s be positive. I think Cadillac will avoid double retirements and not have the most in Formula One. 

In 2025, there were only three instances of a team having a double retirement. The first was the team formerly known as Toro Rosso at Silverstone. Ferrari was responsible for the other two (Zandvoort and Interlagos). 

This suggests the window is narrow. You cannot have more than one, but with the new regulations the overall likelihood increases. It could happen to Cadillac, but I think Cadillac will make sure it cars stay on track. 

8. When breaking the schedule into thirds, Liam Lawson will outscore Arvid Lindblad in at least two of those thirds
Lawson ran two races for Red Bull to start the 2025 before being kicked down to the junior team. It was the best thing to happen to Lawson. He scored 38 points from there on. 

Lindblad is the latest child Red Bull has rushed to Formula One. He was sixth in Formula Two and he did win three races (one feature and two sprints). He only turned 18 years old in August. We have more examples of these kids not being Max Verstappen than being Max Verstappen that it is far more likely Lindblad struggles, make mistakes and doesn’t score points regularly. 

Lawson is battle-tested. There could be a period later in the season where Lindblad is on the same level and could be getting better finishes, but I don’t see that happening early. Lawson will need to be responsible for points early, and that could be the case for the entire season.

9. Alexander Albon will have a podium finish but finish behind Carlos Sainz, Jr. in the championship
Albon outscored Sainz, Jr. by nine points in 2025 (73 to 64). However, Sainz, Jr. had two podium finishes while Albon’s best finish was fifth. 

Let’s see the reverse in 2026. Albon will get on the podium but Sainz, Jr. will score more points. It felt like Sainz, Jr. had the better season. Albon had the better start, but once Sainz, Jr. was familiar with the car, it swung. I think Sainz, Jr. will be stronger from the start in 2026. Albon will do well, but Sainz, Jr. will be carrying the Williams flag for majority of the season.

10. There will be an incident between Gabriel Bortoleto and Franco Colapinto
It is a World Cup year. We have a Brazilian and an Argentine on the grid. If there are any two drivers on the grid that could cause an international incident if they got together, these would be the two.

We could see two drivers fighting toward the back of the grid. Colapinto definitely needs results after he failed to score a point. Bortoleto did well as a rookie. Both will want more. Both will be pushing the limit. The two could get together. It would be notable.

11. At least one race will be won from outside a top ten starting position
It goes back to the new regulations. We are going to see teams figuring things out and teams will experience more technical gremlins. An untimely engine change could lead to a grid penalty. A front row start could turn to 12th, but a fast car is a fast car, and there are some circuits where a grid penalty is not insurmountable. 

Max Verstappen won from 14th at Spa-Francorchamps with ease in 2022. We have seen it before. A team could have a setback but run the right strategy to overcome it. It could be Spa-Francorchamps. It could be Monza or Baku. It could be a rain race where it happens and grid penalties don’t even come into play. 

Every race winner in 2025 started on one of the first two rows. We are due for something different, even if only for one race. 

12. There will be one race where Oliver Bearman is the top finishing British driver
I thought Bearman was the best rookie in 2025, and he was putting Haas in a wonderful position. He was fourth in Mexico and sixth in Brazil. Bearman outscored teammate Esteban Ocon by three points. If there is a driver best positioned for a promotion to a top tier team in 2027, Bearman is the guy, and Ferrari could have two open spots.

This prediction is saying a lot because you have Lando Norris at McLaren, George Russell at Mercedes, Lewis Hamilton at Ferrari, and now there is Arvid Lindblad at Red Bull’s B-Team, and Bearman has to finish ahead of all those drivers. 

Could there be a race where Oscar Piastri wins ahead of Max Verstappen and Bearman is a surprise in third, perhaps filling the role of Nico Hülkenberg at Silverstone? Yeah, that could happen. 

What if there is a race where Norris retires, Ferrari is slower than Haas, Russell has an issue on track and is knocked down about five spots from where he should be running, Lindblad is just 17th best on the day, and Bearman is the best Brit in sixth? It doesn’t sound crazy. 

Haas has never had a podium finish in 214 races. It went a decade without a podium finish! It is bound to happen. It feels like Bearman is meant to be the guy. If he does it, he could be the best finishing Brit on the day, a remarkable achievement in its own right considering the competition from his fellow countrymen. 

And that is another set of predictions complete! We are more than halfway done with NASCAR and motorcycle racing already in the bag. We will finish up next week, as we slowly move toward 2026.


Wednesday, December 24, 2025

2025 Motorsports Christmas List

It is Christmas Eve, and you likely wondered if we were going to pass out some Christmas presents this year, but here we are! The last month or so has been rather difficult. It was an active month with Formula One finishing up its season. Then the 23XI/Front Row Motorsports vs. NASCAR was underway and took about a week-and-a-half our attention before the case was settled and the teams were the big winners. Sadly, the last week has been marred with the fatal plane crash that claimed the lives of Greg Biffle and his family.

This December never really settled down. Now Christmas is here. These next few days should be a little more peaceful. It should be a chance to detach for a moment and not be consumed with anything all that important. This should be time for ourselves. 

Before the festivities get going with family visiting, meals shared and gifts exchanged, let’s cover what we are handing out to those in the motorsports world. 

To Denny Hamlin: Immunity for untimely cautions

To Michael Jordan: Cigars

To Denny Hamlin, Michael Jordan and Bob Jenkins: Thank You cards from every other NASCAR team owner

To Lando Norris: Jet-ski

To Oscar Piastri: Restored confidence 

To Zak Brown: Humility

To Max Verstappen: Patience in Barcelona 

To Lewis Hamilton: A Time Machine back to December 24, 2023.

To Charles Leclerc: Acceptance when it it time to move on

To Oliver Bearman: Catching another team’s attention

To George Russell: A trip to Bali

To Andrea Kimi Antonelli: No sophomore slump

To Valtteri Bottas and Sergio Pérez: Smooth development

To Cadillac F1: Respectable results

To Colton Herta: His time being worth the switch to Formula Two

To Isack Hadjar: A full season at Red Bull

To Arvid Lindblad: There actually being a change of philosophy at Red Bull with Helmut Marko gone

To Liam Lawson: Continuing to outscore the second Red Bull entry

To Carlos Sainz, Jr.: His best race of the season being in Madrid

To Alexander Albon: Quickly ending his point-less streak

To Nico Hülkenberg: Another podium finish

To Pierre Gasly and Esteban Ocon: Making up

To Yuki Tsunoda: A dabbling in IndyCar

To Franco Colapinto: Being ready to jump

To Fernando Alonso: A few entries into the record book

To Gabriel Bortoleto: Continuing his development

To Leonardo Fornaroli, Jak Crawford, Luke Browning and a host of other junior drivers: Formula One sprint weekends becoming a separate championship for reserve/development/non-full-time drivers to compete

To Alex Dunne: Less contact

To Marc Márquez: A good challenge in track

To Álex Márquez: A few memorable battles where he beats his brother Marc

To Jorge Martín: Not being rusty

To Marco Bezzecchi: A better start to the season

To Francesco Bagnaia: Staying up right

To Johann Zarco: A few more rainy days

To Fabio Quartararo: Not needing to be majestic just to get average results

To Pedro Acosta: Not getting stuck at KTM if things take a turn

To MotoGP: The Brazilian Grand Prix returning without a hitch

To Daniel Holgado and David Alonso: Becoming title contenders in Moto2

To Supercars: A mulligan for 2025

To Broc Feeney: A clean weekend at Adelaide

To Chaz Mostert: NASCAR Cup weekends at Austin and Watkins Glen

To Kyle Larson: Comfortability in failure

To Chase Elliott: Legos

To William Byron: Reasonable expectations

To Alex Bowman: The first Hendrick Motorsports victory of 2026

To Brad Keselowski: A speedy recovery

To Chris Buescher: More laps led

To Shane van Gisbergen: A top 20 average finish on ovals

To Connor Zilisch: No broken bones

To Corey Heim: A NASCAR Cup Series ride

To Joey Logano: Sunscreen

To Ryan Blaney: Razors

To Austin Cindric: That lost road course ability

To Josh Berry: More than two good races

To Kyle Busch: A clear path for 2027 and beyond

To Austin Dillon: Sustained success at Richmond

To Richmond Raceway: Regulations that allow for competitive racing

To Watkins Glen: A lovely spring weekend for May 9-10

To Bubba Wallace: More road course practice

To Tyler Reddick: Mental clarity

To Christopher Bell: Being on the right side of the cutline after Martinsville

To Chase Briscoe: A pinball machine

To Daniel Suárez: Keeping up with his new teammates

To Ty Gibbs: The ability to be a good teammate

To Erik Jones: Short-track speed

To John Hunter Nemechek: Three consecutive top ten finishes at some point in 2026

To Kaulig Racing and RAM: Not screwing up year one in the Truck Series

To Parker Kligerman: A Daytona victory that counts in the record books

To A.J. Allmendinger: More sports opportunities and an Indianapolis 500 entry with Meyer Shank Racing

To Sheldon Creed: Finally winning a NASCAR national series race 

To Matt Crafton: A peaceful retirement

To Nick Sanchez: Landing on his feet in a competitive seat

To Justin Allgaier: Slippers

To Jesse Love: A fitting championship result 

To Austin Hill: Deep breathing exercises 

To Corey Day: Not being replaced midseason due to results

To Aric Almirola: Full-time in NASCAR’s second division

To NASCAR Brasil Series champion Rubens Barrichello: A NASCAR Cup entry at Austin

To Chicagoland Speedway: Proper-running plumbing

To Iowa Speedway: A better connection with the local area

To Formula E: Their races on a proper channel in the United States and races on weekends and at times when nothing else is going on. 

To Jake Dennis: A sports car role

To Aston Martin: Results that justify the attention drawn to its LMDh program

To Porsche: Better luck on the next set of FIA World Endurance Championship regulations

To Hertz Team Jota: No contact between its cars

To the 24 Hours of Le Mans: A real battle with multiple manufacturers until the checkered flag

To Lone Star Le Mans: Moving to any other weekend but Labor Day weekend. Open the season in Austin.

To IndyCar: A 2028 car that stands out and attracts more attention from manufacturers and viewers

To Álex Palou: As much success in the courtroom as he has on the racetrack

To Scott Dixon: A victory where the leader didn’t drive off course on his own

To Scott McLaughlin: Taking the green flag for every Indianapolis 500 for the rest of his career

To Will Power: Showing it to Team Penske

To Kyle Kirkwood: A complete season

To Marcus Ericsson: A return to 2022 form

To Josef Newgarden: No finishes outside the top twenty 

To David Malukas: Maturity

To Patricio O’Ward: A home race that IndyCar properly supports

To Christian Lundgaard: Better oval results

To Ryan Hunter-Reay: A development role in the McLaren Hypercar program

To Callum Ilott: Two full seasons in IndyCar and IMSA 

To Robert Shwartzman: Road course pace that matches his oval for,

To Prema: A charter and some financial support

To Dennis Hauger: Giving Andretti Global a good headache

To Marcus Armstrong: A few days when he is the best Kiwi in IndyCar

To Felix Rosenqvist: Races where he starts in the top five and finishes better than where he finishes 

To Conor Daly: A good role as an ambassador

To Alexander Rossi: A tire advantage in the final stint at Milwaukee

To Christian Rasmussen: Remaining on Ed Carpenter’s good side

To Mick Schumacher: Fun days at the racetrack

To Graham Rahal: Better tire strategy when leading the Grand Prix of Indianapolis

To Louis Foster: A top ten finish

To Myles Rowe: A real shot at IndyCar

To Caio Collet: Not becoming the next Matheus Leist at A.J. Foyt Racing

To Santino Ferrucci: Proper pit entry at every race

To Rinus VeeKay: Not sweating out a Last Row Qualifying session for the Indianapolis 500

To Kyffin Simpson: Results that do the Sunoco livery justice

To Sting Ray Robb: A snowblower

To Jack Harvey: Lincoln City promotion to the Championships. Currently second in League One

To Romain Grosjean: More weekends at the racetrack as Prema’s reserve driver

To Hélio Castroneves: 112 laps in the Indianapolis 500

To Takuma Sato: Kitchen remodeling

To Victor Martins: Half the success Dennis Hauger had in Indy Lights

To IndyCar’s new street races in Arlington and Markham: No hiccups

To IndyCar’s new officiating panel: Team Penske being in its best behavior

To Tim Cindric: Quiet days at home

To Jack Benyon: A full-time podcast co-host

To Dario Franchitti: A 24 Hours of Le Mans entry

To all the Meyer Shank Racing Acura GTP Drivers: Honda supporting the program to take it to Le Mans

To Kakunoshin Ohta: Honda making up its damn mind over what it wants to do with him in the United States

To Ben Barnicoat: A swimming-based training program

To Kelvin van der Linde: A BMW GTP/Hypercar opportunity

To Kamui Kobayashi: A Super Formula victory

To Genesis Magma Racing: Respectable first-year results

To António Félix da Costa: Making Porsche jealousy

To Richard Verschoor: Peace in sports car racing

To James Calado: Proper recognition from his home country that he is a world champion with Ferrari

To Alessandro Pier Guidi and Antonio Giovinazzi: Proper recognition from their home country that they are world champions with Ferrari 

To Louis Delétraz and Jordan Taylor: Top five finishes

To Felipe Nasr and Nick Tandy: Strong finishes

To Frederik Vesti: More than just the endurance races in IMSA

To Jack Aitken: A scooter

To Earl Bamber: Noise-cancelling headphones

To Tower Motorsport: Clearing post-race inspection at the 24 Hours of Daytona

To Dane Cameron: A return to GTP competition. 

To Ricky Taylor: New patio furniture

To Philipp Eng and Dries Vanthoor: Race results matching qualifying results

To Kevin Magnussen: Replicating some of his father’s success

To Nick Cassidy: Peugeot having it figured out

To IMSA LMP2 category: A weekend with a split pro race and amateur race. That would be fun to see. 

To Sébastien Bourdais: Heating pads

To Tom Blomqvist and a host of other sports car drivers: No clashes between IMSA and the European Le Mans Series. I don’t understand how or why a series with six-race weekends would clash with another multi-class series with so many shared drivers.

To Jack Hawksworth: A few breaks

To James Hinchcliffe: No race cars let down on his feet

To Logan Sargeant: Joy at the racetrack

To Memo Gidley: A 24 Hours of Daytona return

To Road America: A stellar IMSA endurance race weekend 

To Dover Motor Speedway: A points-paying NASCAR Cup race

To Zandvoort: A fitting end to this stint on the Formula One calendar

To Sébastien Ogier: A season where it is clear whether or not he will be full-time or part-time

To Kalle Rovanperä: A personal training program to develop the right muscles

To the NHRA: The ability to postpone the final round of the season to another weekend if it is going to rain for the entirety of the scheduled date

To Jim France: A rocking chair and some thick blankets

To Jett and Hunter Lawrence: A tandem bike

To Eli Tomac: One more trip to the fountain of youth

To Cooper Webb: A motocross season that matches his Supercross success

To the Deutsche Tourenwagen Masters: Reinforcements after a number of its top drivers announced they would not be returning for 2026

To Antonio García: A championship finish other than first or third

To Jack Doohan: A full-time ride somewhere. DTM?

To Mac Clark: Support up to Indy Lights

To Liam McNeilly: No visa issues and a full season in Indy Pro 2000

To Max Garcia: Enough patience to realize he doesn’t need to be in IndyCar by the time he turns 18 years old 

To Elfyn Evans: Coming back in another time where he isn’t stuck finished second in the World Rally Championship… and a return of Wales Rally GB

To Valentino Rossi: A 24 Hours of Daytona entry

To Kaden Honeycutt: Full-time job security

To Rockingham Speedway: Lights and a NASCAR Cup date in late-spring

To North Wilkesboro Speedway: Its NASCAR Cup race moving to Saturday night. There is no reason for IndyCar and NASCAR to be clashing post-World Cup final

To Indianapolis Motor Speedway: Realizing we have heard enough about the pavement in turn two. Were good.

To Mid-Ohio Sports Car Course: Facility updates. Come on, now! This has been too long.

To Lime Rock Park: A proper sports car round. Either IMSA GT only or Michelin Pilot Challenge

To Superstars Racing Experience: A NASCAR-funded resurrection that has it compete at a half-dozen short tracks 

To World Superbike: A competitive championship

To Nicolò Bulega: A challenge for the entire season

To the Grand Prix of Indianapolis: Using oval turn one

To Laguna Seca: A crowd worthy of hosting the IndyCar finale

To the Milwaukee Mile: IndyCar realizing it is the best event currently on the schedule for its finale

To Chip Ganassi Racing’s Indy Lights program: Many spare parts

To NASCAR: A championship format that rewards winning, is a season-long aggregate and accepting that the championship might not go down to the final lap of the season

To the NASCAR In-Season Tournament: Some stakes worth a damn

To the Canadian Grand Prix: Moving to the Sunday before the Indianapolis 500 or the Sunday after the Indianapolis 500 in 2027 and from there onward. 

And that is it! The bag is empty. 

I wish you all a Merry Christmas, and I hope you have a fun few days. We have a few more sets of predictions left before we close out 2025, and soon we will be entirely locked in on the new seasons, which will be here in a flash.


Friday, December 19, 2025

2026 Motorcycle Predictions

We are onto the second set of predictions, and fittingly, these are of the two-wheel variety. 

A number of changes are coming to some of the biggest motorcycle championships in the world. Riders are switching manufacturers. Some are changing series. Plenty of riders are attempting to comeback from injuries. There is never a dull moment, and with that, we try to gaze into the future and predict what will happen in a form of motorsports that is constantly getting turned upside down. 

MotoGP
1. Marc Márquez longest sprint race winning streak will not be longer than five races
Márquez won 13 sprint races in 2025 before his season was cut short at the Indonesia round. He opened the season with six consecutive sprint victories before he was second in the Silverstone sprint race behind his brother Álex Márquez.

After Silverstone, Marc Márquez won the next seven sprint races. 

He might still be the best rider in the world in 2026, and Ducati still might be the best bike, but we surely are not going to see the same level of dominance. Right? He was on pace for 15.8889 sprint victories before his injury. Surely, he isn't going to repeat that. 

Even if he wins five consecutive sprint races multiple times during the 2026 season but never more than five, he would still have at most 19 sprint races victories. He could be super and still have this prediction come in correct. I think the competition will step up a level in 2026 and Márquez will winner fewer sprint races, but he could still even if he remains on top.

2. Aprilia has multiple multi-race winning streaks
Aprilia was halfway to this prediction at the end of 2025. Aprilia ended up winning three of the final four races, including the final two. Yes, these came without Marc Márquez on the grid, but Marco Bezzecchi was rising in the second-half of 2025, and Bezzecchi also won the British Grand Prix. Raúl Fernández won the Australian Grand Prix with Trackhouse, and we should be getting a healthy Jorge Martín back. 

If Martín and Bezzecchi combined to bring the fight to Ducati, it is not crazy to think Martín could win at Le Mans and Bezzecchi then win at Barcelona before later in the season seeing Martín win consecutive races at Misano and the Austrian Grand Prix. 

Add in the testing results with the end of the 2025 season, Aprilia is poising to be a threat, at least a greater one to Ducati.

3. Pedro Acosta will finish on the podium before either Ducati rider on a year-old bike
In the first 11 races of the 2025 season, Acosta had zero podium finishes. In the second 11 races, Acosta had five podium finishes. Next season, Fermín Aldeguer and Franco Morbidelli will be on the Ducati Desmosedici GP25, Aldeguer with Gresini and Morbidelli with VR46.

Aldeguer did have three podium finishes last year, and he won at Indonesia. Morbidelli had two third-place finishes in the first four races, and then he didn't finish on the podium again.

Acosta is doing more with less at KTM, a manufacturer that has plenty of financial concerns away from the racetrack. He was able to finish fourth in the championship, beating Francesco Bagnaia. Acosta could get on the podium in the first race from Thailand. I don't think his 2026 season will start as slowly as 2025 did.

4. Toprak Razgatlioglu will score majority of his points in the second half of the season
The World Superbike champion is heading to MotoGP in 2026, and Razgatlioglu will be on the Pramac Yamaha. 

Yamaha has not been in a great spot the last few seasons. Last year, Fabio Quartararo was ninth in the championship, but his only podium finish was second at Jerez. Jack Miller was the next closest Yamaha rider in 17th, 122 points behind Quartararo. Álex Rins had 68 points over the entire season while Miguel Oliveria had 43 points, though Oliveira missed four races. 

There will be a learning curve for Razgatlioglu. There will be a number of new circuits to him. He will be learning a new bike that might not be the most competitive. It could take a few rounds to adjust, but once he does, Razgatlioglu could start producing. The goal should be to beat Miller. If 80 points is enough, I think Razgatlioglu can get there.

5. A Honda rider cracks the championship top ten
This is the wild one because I am not sure what reasoning can be used to justify this other than Honda was better in 2025 and it was better across the board. 

Johan Zarco was vaulted up to 12th in the championship thanks in part to a victory at Le Mans and a second as Silverstone. Luca Marini was only six points behind Zarco. Joan Mir did get 15th in the championship and he was third at Motegi and Sepang. 

Somkiat Chantra has been replaced with Moto2 champion Diogo Moreira. I think there is enough consistency that can allow Zarco to sneak into the top ten. I would say Marini is the next likeliest rider to do it. It does fell like Mir is too prone to a fall to trust he can put enough results to snag tenth. Expecting the top ten out of Moreira is asking for too much.

6. Rookie and sophomore riders will combine to win at least 12 Moto2 races
During the 2025 Moto2 season, rookies and sophomores combined for 11 victories. 

Sophomore Diogo Moreira led the way with four victories. Senna Agius won twice. Deniz Öncü also won twice. 

Rookie Daniel Holgado won twice while David Alonso won in Hungary. 

That is a pretty good pull, but I would expect Holgado and Alonso to win more in 2026. They could win four or five races between them. Then you have José Antonio Rueda and Ángel Piqueras moving up from Moto3 after they finished 1-2 in the championship, and Taiyo Furusato is also moving up, and he ended the season with three consecutive podium finishes, including a victory in Malaysia.

Rueda will be returning after missing the last three Moto3 races due to injuries suffered during his formation lap crash with Noah Dettwiler. It will be curious to see Rueda's form, and he might not be quite in the position to compete for race victories. 

There could be a surprise winner. Collin Veijer or Iván Ortolá could win in their sophomore Moto2 season and contribute to this prediction. 

World Superbike
7. There will be at least two first-time winners
Toprak Razgatlioglu is gone. Jonathan Rea has retired. The grid has lost some fire power, and it has opened the door. 

The championship will still be Nicolò Bulega's to lose. Bulega was the one threat Razgalioglu faced on a regular basis over the last two seasons. Bulega is going to win a lion's share of the races, but the door will be open to others, like Bulega's Ducati teammate Iker Lecuona.

Lecuona moved over after four seasons at Honda which yielded only two position. The Ducati will only cure so much, but it will help Lecuona. 

There is also Miguel Oliveira, who essentially swapped seats with Razgatlioglu, and filled the BMW vacancy. 

Those are the two favorites, but there is also Andrea Iannone and Sam Lowes, two quick riders on smaller Ducati teams. Jake Dixon is moving to World Superbike with Honda after racing in Moto2. It is a stretch, but Dixon is a contender. Stefano Manzi is moving up with Yamaha after winning the World Supersport title.

With how World Superbike has gone for the better part of the last decade, it is hard to see this being a slam dunk, but it is a possibility.

8. Three British riders finish in the championship top ten
In 2025, Alex and Sam Lowes were sixth and eighth in the championship respectively. Both are remaining with their respective teams, Bimota for Alex and Elf Marc VDS Racing Team for Sam. I think another Brit joins them in the championship top ten.

The leader is Jake Dixon. Dixon won seven times in his Moto2 career, and that included two finishes in the championship top five. It could be Tarran Mackenzie, who was struggled to finish 19th in the championship last year, but Mackenzie switched teams and manufacturers midseason, leaving the Petronas MIE Racing Honda Team to join MGM Bonovo Racing Ducati outfit, where Mackenzie will start the 2026 season. 

In those 12 races with MGM Bonovo, Mackenzie had nine finishes in points after having four in all the first 18 races. 

We have had at least three British riders in the World Superbike championship top ten as recently as 2022 when Jonathan Rea was third, Alex Lowes was sixth and Scott Redding was eighth,

 9. A World Supersport round will be swept by a rider that does not end up as champion
Last season, there were three instances where a rider swept a weekend in World Supersport. All three of those were from champion Stefano Manzi.

Manzi will not be back in 2026, and World Supersport is in the midst of a competition revival. Someone else will sweep a weekend, but that rider will not be fortunate to be champion. 

Prior to 2025, there have been four consecutive seasons where a non-champion swept a weekend. Last season was only the second time since doubleheader weekend were introduced in 2020 that it did not happen.

SuperMotocross
10. The Lawrence brothers will combine for at least 20 podium finishes in the Supercross season
Both Lawrence brothers were injured and missed most of the 2025 Supercross season. They returned for the Motocross season and smoked the field with Jett taking another championship while Hunter was second. 

If they are both healthy for the entire Supercross season, they could repeat that performance. It is asking a lot. Hunter has yet to have a clean Supercross season in the 450cc class. We know Jett is brilliant, but in his one full season of Supercross, he had his low moments. 

In 2024, Jett did have ten podium finishes, eight of which were victories. It will require Jett at least matching that output and Hunter doing the same for this prediction to be correct. 

11. Four of the championship top five in Supercross will be different from 2025
Both Lawrence brother is returning from an injury-abbreviated 2025 Supercross season. 

Eli Tomac is returning and he will be at KTM. Jorge Prado will be Tomac's teammate at KTM, along with Aaron Plessinger, as the Spaniard makes his second attempt at a full Supercross season. Jason Anderson is also returning and has moved to Suzuki. 

That is five notable riders returning from injury, and four you feel confident could crack the championship top five. 

We haven't even mentioned RJ Hampshire, who is moving up to the 450cc class and scheduled to be on the Husqvarna alongside Stewart. Hampshire was fifth in the 450cc Motocross season, but he suffered a broken scapula and ribs in a training accident during the offseason.

There will be a shakeup, but it will be a contentious battle. Cooper Webb is the defending champion and remains teammates with Justin Cooper. Chase Sexton made a late push for the title last year, and Sexton has now moved to Kawasaki. Malcolm Stewart is coming off his best season of his career and ended 2025 with a victory at the Paris Supercross event. Ken Roczen should be back, though he too missed races due to injury. However, missing the final two rounds did not cost Roczen fifth in the championship.

It is difficult to imagine it will be a straight line change with five guys in and five guys out. I cannot see either Lawrence brother missing. Tomac is a question mark, but he had finished in the Supercross championship top five for ten consecutive seasons prior to last year, and he was third in the Motocross championship. Prado could be a surprise, and Anderson is always suffocatingly consistent. 

We can at least feel confident that 2026 will not look identical to 2025.

12. Aaron Plessinger will not have the most third-place finishes in Supercross
Speaking of riders who were not in the top five of the Supercross championship last year, Plessinger was sixth, and he did win in Foxborough. However, one of the reasons Plessinger was sixth in the championship is he had the most third-place finishes in 2025. 

Four times was Plessinger the third-place finisher. Chase Sexton, Justin Cooper and Jason Anderson each had three third-place finishes. 

With the number of riders returning after missing most of the 2025 season, I don't see how Plessinger will finish third that many times. I am not sure he is going to be better than third among the KTM riders. He may get on the podium a few times, but I don't think it will be consistent enough to end up with the most third-place finishes for a second consecutive season.

NASCAR predictions, check. Motorcycle predictions, check. We get a little break, and soon we will be giving out some presents before resuming predictions. 


Wednesday, December 17, 2025

2026 NASCAR Predictions

We are into the final fortnight of the year, and while there is not much motorsports going on, this is a time to be excited for what is to come. There are plenty of changes ahead of us, and drivers looking for redemption while others hope to expand on their legacies. We don't know what will happen but anything is possible. We can let our minds carry us away. 

We begin with NASCAR, which has had a lively offseason even though no race has taken place for over six weeks now. Changes are coming to NASCAR at least on the business side and with the race teams, but there could be more changes in terms of championship format. Nothing is settled, but it has been leaning that way for quite some time. 

Enough about the boardroom dealings, we are here to make predictions for the next season regardless of how the championship trophy is decided. Twelve predictions await you.

1. Kyle Larson's average finish in each third of the season will be 15.5 or better
Kyle Larson is not running the Indianapolis 500 this season, but last year, that marked a significant shift in his performance in the NASCAR Cup Series.

In his 12 Cup starts prior to him starting the Indianapolis 500, Larson had an average finish of 9.333. His average finish in the final 24 races was 14.875. That isn't a terrible average, but it was saved with four top five finishes in the final six races. Take the first 19 races after his Indianapolis 500 start, and Larson's average was 16.789. 

His average in the second-third of the 2025 Cup season was 19.25! His average in the final third was 10.5.

That is a wild swing to be basically averaging a ninth-place finish for 12 races then average worse than 19th for 12 races before ending with an average of just worse than tenth for 12 races. 

Larson is a swing-and-miss driver. For all his success, he does have a fair number of bad results. In 2024, he did finish outside the top ten in 17 races with five finishes worse than 30th. In 2023, he had six finishes outside the top fifteen in the first 11 race, and he had nine finishes outside the top 25. In 2022, he opened the season with four finishes of 29th or worse in the first six races and he had seven finishes outside the top 30.

He wins a fair amount, but he strikes outs a ton as well. However, I think we will see a more balanced Larson in 2026. In each third of the season, his average finish will be 15.5 or better. I don't think his results will wildly jump around. There might be a two or three position dip, but it is still respectable results. 

2. A Team Penske driver will not have a race victory following a finish outside the top twenty
Lately, it feels like Penske goes from zero-to-hero in the NASCAR Cup Series. The results are not that good and then suddenly it is on a run of top ten finishes. Last season, each Penske driver won a race after finishing outside the top fifteen the race before. 

Austin Cindric won at Talladega after being 17th at Bristol. Joey Logano won at Texas after being disqualified at Talladega and being classified in 39th. Ryan Blaney won at Nashville after being 38th at Charlotte. Blaney also won at Loudon after being fourth at Bristol, and he won the Phoenix finale after being second at Martinsville.

I don't think we are going to see as big of swings from the Penske groups. It should be noted that Logano was fourth at Phoenix and Cindric was 27th at the Phoenix finale. Keep that in mind for Daytona.

3. Chase Briscoe will have the third-most top five finishes at Joe Gibbs Racing
Briscoe's first season with Joe Gibbs Racing exceeded expectations as he was a championship contender in the final race, and he ended up finishing third in the championship. Briscoe won three times at Pocono, the Southern 500 and Talladega. He also led the team with 15 top five finishes. It was actually tight in this category at Gibbs. Denny Hamlin had 14 top five finishes and Christopher Bell had 13. Ty Gibbs had five, and I must admit I nearly forgot Ty Gibbs was a Cup driver.

In year two at Gibbs, I think Briscoe takes a slight step back, and we see Hamlin and Bell perform a little better, or at least a little better than Briscoe. 

4. Chase Elliott will have at least five finishes outside the top twenty in the first 24 races
There was great praise for Elliott's consistency in 2025. He did not have a finish outside the top twenty in the first 23 races. Guess what happens in 2026? He is going to have at least five finishes worse than 20th in the first two-thirds of the season.

Elliott ended up having four finishes outside the top twenty in the final 12 races. That a brief market correction, but 2026 will be more aligned with the rest of the competition. Larson had six finishes outside the top thirty in the first 24 races last year, and he had a 28th-place finish as well. Hamlin had three finishes outside the top twenty in the first five race, and nine in the first 24. Briscoe had seven finishes outside the top twenty in the first 24 races, and Byron had eight.

Those were your four championship contenders at Phoenix, and those results were dreadful in comparison to Elliott, but let's keep going. Bell had five finishes outside the top twenty in the first two-dozen races last year. Ryan Blaney had seven, and three of those were consecutive between races four and six of the season. Logano had four finishes outside the top twenty before he had his first top ten finish, and he had eight in the first 24 races. 

That is every driver ranked ahead of Elliott in the championship in 2025 plus Tyler Reddick had five finishes worse than 20th, Ross Chastian had seven, Bubba Wallace had 11, Shane van Gisbergen had 14, Alex Bowman had eighth, Austin Cindric had nine, Austin Dillon had 11 and Josh Berry had 14. 

Every other playoff driver in 2025 had at least five finishes worse than 20th in the first two-thirds of the season. Elliott isn't special. He will come back down to earth.

5. Denny Hamlin will have five fastest laps or fewer
Last season was the first time NASCAR awarded a point for the fastest lap in the race. Hamlin had the most fastest laps in the season with nine, which meant nothing once he was in the finale and the standings were reset. The next closest driver had five. 

We haven't really tracked fastest lap information because it never mattered in the first 76 seasons of NASCAR. I don't know what the trends are, but I will wager that Hamlin's fastest lap total drops by nearly half. I don't know what the average is, but if Hamlin had nine and was nearly double the rest of the field, I have a feeling he is more likely going to return to the pack than remain that far ahead.

6. Tyler Reddick will be one of the first six drivers to win a Cup race this season
After going winless in 2025, Reddick gets a victory earlier than most in the Cup Series. He had a few close calls in 2025. Reddick was in the top three in two of the first three races. He hit an extended slump that basically went through the entire spring. I think we see a bounce back.

Consider that anyone can win either of the first two races at Daytona and Atlanta, Reddick is a past winner at Austin, and he has great results at Darlington, those are four of the first six races. He could pick up a win at any of those circuits. He should be competitive at Bristol and Kansas. Watkins Glen is going to be in May. That is majority of the first 12 races where Reddick should have a good shout at victory. 

With how last season went, I think Reddick will be focused to get off the snide early.

7. Trackhouse will win fewer road course races by ten seconds or greater
In 2025, Trackhouse won five road course races, and three of those had a margin of victory greater than ten seconds. All of those were with Shane van Gisbergen, but van Gisbergen will have new competition, and it will be coming from within the organization.

Connor Zilisch has moved up to the Cup Series, and he has already shown good pace in his handful of Cup appearances. In NASCAR's second division, Zilisch held his own against van Gisbergen and defeated him a few times. I don't think it is going to swing to where Zilisch will be the better driver, but nothing lasts forever, especially in NASCAR. Van Gisbergen will still be the favorite at every road course, but he cannot win them all, nor can he win them all in complete beat downs. 

However, I don't think Zilisch is going to waltz in and start winning races by ten-plus seconds. Trackhouse is going to win a few road course races, but I think they will be closer than what we saw in 2025.

8. Connor Zilisch will win more races than Jesse Love
Piggy-backing off the prediction above, I think across all NASCAR series, Zilisch will win more races than Jesse Love. The 2025 Grand National Series champion, Love will remain at that level to defend his title, and he and the rest of the series will have their work cut out for them as a driver who won ten times will no longer be full-time.

I don't think that will change much. Love won twice in 2025, the Daytona season opener and the Phoenix finale. Prior to his victory at Phoenix, he did not have a top five finish in the first six playoff race. He will likely do a little better, but Zilisch will still have the chance to come down and run some races at that level. Plus, I think Zilisch will win at least one road course race in Cup. If we learned anything from last year, he could win two, and we cannot ignore that he was comfortable on ovals. He won at Nashville, Dover, Indianapolis, technical he won at Daytona, and he won at Gateway. That is a wide range of ovals. 

We shouldn't be expecting Zilisch to hold his own against Larson and Hamlin at Darlington, but he could have the speed to win at any of the ovals and it shouldn't be a surprise if he pulls it off. I think it is more likely Zilisch wins three Cup races than Love winning three races at the second division. 

9. A driver running in multiple entries will win a race in NASCAR's second division
This isn't that a driver is going to win a race in two different entries, but a driver who will start races in two different cars will win a race. 

We know JR Motorsports is doing this with two of its drivers. Carson Kvapil was fourth in the championship in 2025, but he will be split over multiple cars in 2026. Originally, the plan was for Kvapil to be part-time in the #1 Chevrolet, but after how his 2025 season ended, Dale Earnhardt, Jr. said he would have a car for Kvapil for the entire season. It is unclear if Kvapil will run mostly in the #1 and then switch to a different car, but nothing was said that Kvapil would be in the car for entire season. 

We do know Rajah Caruth will run 23 races for JR Motorsports in the #88 Chevrolet, but Caruth will also run ten races with Jordan Anderson Racing. 

Kvapil did not win a race in 2025, and Caruth had good results in the Truck Series. One of them could win one race, but it could be someone different. 

The restrictions on NASCAR Cup drivers running in the lower series has been relaxed, and they can now compete in ten races a season in the lower two categories, double from the previously limit of five. We could see Kyle Larson run multiple cars or Chase Elliott or Christopher Bell. They could easily win a race in one entry and then in their next appearance be running in a different car. 

The prediction covers many possibilities.

10. The Burton family will lead more combined laps in the first 20 races than they led in the entire 2025 season
Both Burton family members are going to be back in NASCAR's second division in 2026. Jeb Burton is remaining at Jordan Anderson Racing in the #27 Chevrolet while Harrison Burton is moving to Sam Hunt Racing to drive the #24 Toyota. 

Neither of them are outstanding cars. Harrison Burton drove incredibly well to make the playoffs with AM Racing in 2025. A similar effort will likely be required at Sam Hunt Racing. Jeb Burton is banking on winning at Daytona, Talladega or Atlanta. 

Why do I think this prediction is going to happen? Because they only led a combined 59 laps in 2025, I need a prediction that is something deeper than "Driver X will win at insert racetrack" and this is something else to watch.

Harrison had 48 laps led, and they were spread out. One lap led at the Daytona opener, five laps at Austin, 12 laps at Darlington in the spring, three laps at Pocono, four laps at Bristol, a lap at Talladega and 16 laps at Martinsville.

Jeb led four laps at the Daytona opener and seven laps at Talladega in the spring.

What this prediction is hoping for is one of these two drivers either ends up leading a good chunk of laps at Daytona, Talladega or Atlanta when the field is rather calm, either have a good chunks of laps led during a pit cycle at any oval race because they went off strategy, or Harrison Burton and Sam Hunt Racing can put together a competitive day and maybe be a surprise at Darlington, Bristol, Chicagoland or somewhere else. 

It is only 60 laps, how hard can that be? 
 
11. Kaden Honeycutt will finish in the top three of victories in the Truck Series
Honeycutt takes over the #11 TRICON Toyota with Corey Heim moving... elsewhere. It is a shame we don't know what Heim will be doing in 2026. It does not appear to be anything full-time. Brutal.

But I digress, Honeycutt is moving to a great truck, and he is coming off a strong season where he was doing more with less at Niece Motorsports before being canned while in a playoff position, and then at Halmer Friesen Racing, he was competitive and was good enough to finish in the top four of the championship.

Honeycutt is going to win races. Being in the top three in victories is not that hard in the Truck Series. The driver with the third-most victories has had three victories or fewer in the last six seasons. The Truck Series is still not that competitive. Christian Eckes is returning, and Justin Haley will be leading the Ram program with Kaulig Racing, but it isn't scary deep. 

It feels like 2026 will be between Layne Riggs, Ty Majeski and Honeycutt while Chandler Smith has an outside shot as does Eckes. Honeycutt should be able to win three races.

12. Parker Kligerman will get credited with a top five finish
Technically, Kligerman won two races in 2025, but neither are entered in the record book. Kligerman won the Truck race at Daytona, but he was disqualified after failing post-race inspection. Then in the summer, Kligerman replaced Connor Zilisch, who was nursing a broken collarbone, mid-race at Daytona, and Kligerman went on to cross the finish line in first.

But neither counted. In eight Truck starts, Kligerman's best finish was 14th on three occasions. 

We don't know if Kligerman will be doing anything in 2026. There has been no word on Henderson Motorsports continuing after the passing of owner Charlie Henderson last year. I hope Kligerman has something lined up for a few races, and gets at least a top five finish.

One set of predictions are complete. Another set will come tomorrow as we are into our festive period and looking ahead to the rapidly approaching New Year.


Monday, December 15, 2025

2025 For the Love of Indy Awards

We have reached the end of another year, and the motorsports year is effectively over. We are so deep into 2025, seasons that will conclude in 2026 have already begun, but before we get into next year, let's honor the top moments from this year. 

There were a number of incredible performances from the world of motorsports. Some racers confirmed their greatest and put their names even higher in the record books. Breakout performances came as we had expected. There were fierce challenges and a few tussles that went to the very last lap, even the last few corners. We also saw contentious moments that we wish had played out better. This was also a year where the action in the courtroom received just as much attention as the action on the racetrack.

Plenty of memorable moments occurred in 2025, and this is our chance to highlight what stood out over the last year.

Racer of the Year
Description: Given to the best racer over the course of 2025.
And the Nominees are:
Lando Norris
Max Verstappen
Álex Palou
Kelvin van der Linde
Sébastien Ogier
Toprak Razgatlioglu

And the winner is... Álex Palou
In one of the most dominant seasons IndyCar has ever seen, Álex Palou left his mark as one of the greatest to ever compete in the series. If there was any question over how good Palou's talent is, it was answered in 2025.

Expectations were high for the three-time champion who had won the last two titles, but Palou floored us all with his next act. He had already achieved greatness, but this was a special level. He opened the season with consecutive victories, including a memorable drive from over ten seconds back at Thermal Club to win the race. After finishing second at Long Beach, Palou followed it up with three consecutive victories, the last of which was at the Indianapolis 500.

The only thing missing in Palou's already esteemed career, Palou topped IndyCar's most historic race. Already coming close to Indianapolis victory in 2021, Palou had a methodical race and waited for the moment to take control. With a well-timed pass into turn one, Palou took the lead from Marcus Ericsson and dared Ericsson and the rest of the field to beat him in the final sprint to the checkered flag. No one could. That was the theme of the season.

Palou didn't just win the championship, he comprehensively smashed the grid, and he set marks we have not seen since IndyCar reunification. Eight victories were the most since 2007. He clinched the title with two races remaining, the first time the title has been secured with multiple races to go since 2002. He scored over 76% of the maximum total points that could be scored in a season, the most for a champion when there has only been one IndyCar series since 1979. 

Not to forget mentioning this was Palou's third consecutive championship and his fourth title in his six IndyCar season. And he is still only 28 years old. We are witnessing something breathtaking. There is no end in sight for Palou's greatness, and just when you thought you had Palou figured out, he came away and blew the doors off history.

On the other nominees:
Norris became World Drivers' Champion in what was meant to be his season for McLaren, but after a mechanical issue at the Dutch Grand Prix, Norris had work to do to overcome teammate Oscar Piastri, but in the final stretch of the season, Norris picked away at Piastri's lead. For over two months, Norris showed his ability to extract everything for the McLaren MCL39, and he could not be defeated. Piastri could not hold off nor keep up, and Norris capped off a seven-victory season, which include triumphs in Monaco and his home race at Silverstone, with a world title. 

It wasn't for a lack of effort that Verstappen came up shy in earning his fifth consecutive world championship. It was frankly incredible that he came as close as he did. After his home race at Zandvoort, Verstappen was 104 points behind Piastri and 70 points behind Norris. After winning only twice in the first 14 races and only having five podium finishes in the same timeframe, Verstappen ended with ten consecutive podium finishes, six of which were victories, but it only brought him within two points of Norris. There were a few races where Verstappen left points on the table, his time penalty at Barcelona stands out, but when his back was to the wall, Verstappen rose to a level no one else could match. They were only fortunate they were able to hold off the charge.

It was a triple-champion season for van der Linde. It started with a GT World Challenge Europe Sprint Cup title with Team WRT co-driver Charles Weerts. Then van der Linde and Weerts combined for the overall GT World Challenge Europe championship, which included a victory in the endurance race at Circuit Paul Ricard. The most impressive title was the Intercontinental GT Challenge title, where van der Linde won four of five rounds, the Bathurst 12 Hour, 24 Hours Nürburgring, Suzuka 1000 km and the Indianapolis 8 Hour. 

Most retirees spent their lives not doing what dictated their lives through their prime years and caused the most headaches and frustrations. Ogier did not get that memo. The Frenchman has been dabbling in rally the last few years, and that was the plan for this year. The problem was Ogier is still really good at what he does. Even after skipping rounds, his was still at the top of the championship. Soon he took the championship lead. The run at another title was too great to pass up. Ogier went for it, and even though he lost ground in the Central European Rally, Ogier did enough in Japan and Saudi Arabia to claim a record-tying ninth World Rally Championship.

How does one top an 18-win, 27-podium championship season? If you are Razgatlioglu, you win 21 races and stand on 31 podiums. You scored 89 points more than the year before and claim your third World Superbike championship. He started slow once again at Phillip Island, but once into the meat of the season, the Turkish rider could not be caught, winning 13 consecutive races at one point.

Past Winners
2012: Kyle Larson
2013: Marc Márquez
2014: Marc Márquez
2015: Nick Tandy
2016: Shane van Gisbergen
2017: Brendon Hartley
2018: Scott Dixon
2019: Marc Márquez
2020: Lewis Hamilton
2021: Kyle Larson
2022: Max Verstappen
2023: Max Verstappen
2024: Toprak Razgatlioglu

Race of the Year
Description: Best Race of 2025.
And the Nominees are:
Australian Grand Prix
MotoGP's French Grand Prix
Moto2's British Grand Prix
Snap-On Milwaukee Mile 250
Deutsche Tourenwagen Masters Finale from Hockenheim

And the winner is... MotoGP's French Grand Pix
The changing conditions caused minor chaos ahead of the MotoGP round from Le Mans. After one waved off start due to riders changing bikes, the race had an even more chaotic start as most started on slick tires before the rain began to fall again. This sent riders sliding and teams scrambling to adjust, but not all. 

Johann Zarco and the Castrol LCR Honda team started on the wet tires from 11th on the grid. Zarco fell back to 17th on the first lap, but as the weather rolled in, he started picking up spots and by lap eight, he was the leader. Due to the pit stop and combination of long lap penalties, Zarco was significantly ahead of the field, and the intensifying rain made it difficult for anyone to overcome the deficit to the Frenchman. Zarco, for his part, rode a focused race, not pushing the limit, but running confidently to put more time between himself and the competition.

Throughout the field, riders clashed in an attempt to get the most out of this race. Fabio Quartararo went down early from pole position. Francesco Bagnaia went down and lost a lap he could never get back. Álex Márquez had a pair of falls ruin his race. But we also saw Fermín Aldeguer and Pedro Acosta slug it out for the final podium position. Takaaki Nakagami also started on wet tires and used it to finish sixth from 22nd. Lorenzo Savadori scored his career best finish as a replacement rider for the injured Jorge Martín, starting 21st and finishing ninth.

But the man of the hour was Zarco, an unexpected result created through adverse conditions. The Frenchman won on home soil by 19.907 seconds over Marc Márquez, ending Ducati's winning streak at 22 races, giving Honda its first victory in over a year, and it was the first French Grand Prix victory for a French rider since 1954.

On the other nominees:
The first race of the Formula One season told the story for the entire 2025 season. Oscar Piastri appeared to have what it took to bring the fight to Lando Norris at McLaren, but when the rains came, Piastri spun off the road and his shot at victory was gone. Meanwhile, after spending a portion of the offseason wondering how far Red Bull would fall, Max Verstappen showed he would be a threat and pushed Norris to the finish. Norris did not crack, and won by just over eight-tenths of a second. Meanwhile, Andrea Kimi Antonelli made his debut and went from 16th to fourth. Alexander Albon had a competitive day at Williams, and Ferrari had a minor letdown.

Moto2's race from Silverstone was a tightly contested affair from lights out to the checkered flag. It was mostly a race between Arón Canet, David Alonso and Diogo Moreira. At the start of the final lap, it appeared we were watching Canet and Alonso chasing victory, but their battle opened the door for Senna Agius to sweep through the final few corners to take his first career victory while Moreira snuck ahead for second. Alonso was third while Canet went from first to fourth in the final two corners.

IndyCar's trip to Milwaukee saw an abundance of passing as the teams dealt with tire wear, and it became a factor in how the final results would play out. Álex Palou had a handle on the race though, and he looked set for another victory. But one spritz of rain slowed the race, and allowed a number of drivers to make a pit stop for tires about 40 laps to the finish. Palou stayed out to maintain the lead. Behind him saw a scramble as drivers looked to charge down the Catalan driver. Christian Rasmussen broke away from the pack, and picked his way to the front. He reached Palou, who made a strong effort to keep Rasmussen in second, but the fresh tires were the difference, and a pass on the outside put the Dane into first. Rasmussen drove on the ragged edge to the checkered flag, as he took his first career IndyCar victory.

The final race of the DTM season was a dream scenario. Seven drivers could have walked away from Hockenhem as champion. Marco Wittmann had one of the best cars in the race, but he was shuffled back during pit stops while Ayhancan Güven leaped into first during the pit cycle. As the race shook out, Güven was leading the championship despite entering the race fifth in points. However, the Turkish driver was only four points clear of Lucas Auer, and if Güven dropped to second, he would lose five points and fall to second in the championship. On the final lap, Wittmann took the lead out of turn 10, but diving into turn 12 in the stadium section, Güven used every bit of racetrack and even some grass to re-take the lead with four corners left in the season. Güven's move won him the race and the title.

Past Winners
2012: Indianapolis 500
2013: British motorcycle Grand Prix
2014: Bathurst 1000
2015: Australian motorcycle Grand Prix
2016: Spanish Grand Prix
2017: All the races at the World Superbike/World Supersport weekend at Phillip Island
2018: Petit Le Mans
2019: Honda 200 at Mid-Ohio Sports Car Course
2020: Turkish Grand Prix
2021: Monaco ePrix
2022: British Grand Prix
2023: 12 Hours of Sebring
2024: Indianapolis 500

Achievement of the Year
Description: Best success by a driver, team, manufacture, etc.
And the Nominees are:
Nick Tandy's Completes the "Big-Six"
Sébastien Ogier's Ninth World Rally Championship
Shane van Gisbergen's Record for Victories in a NASCAR Cup Series Rookie Season
Corey Heim's Record for Most Victories in a Single NASCAR Truck Series Season
Álex Palou's Championship Season

And the winner is... Sébastien Ogier's Ninth World Rally Championship
I don't think anyone saw this coming. 

With Ogier planning on running a part-time season in the World Rally Championship, Ogier's success pushed him to compete for the world championship. Through the first eight rounds, the Frenchman had the had missed as many rounds as he had rally victories (three) and yet he was still 21 points off the championship lead. Finishes of third, first and first in the next three rounds lifted him to first in points. Ogier's hand was forced to make a championship run.

But it wasn't easy. Ogier had to overcome issues in the Central European Rally. He was 13 points off Elfyn Evans with two rounds remaining. Ogier scored the maximum points with victory in Rally Japan, and a third in the inaugural Rally Saudi Arabia gave him a record-tying WRC title. 

After three seasons running part-time, Ogier won a title while still part-time. The mark Sébastien Loeb first reached 13 years ago of nine world championships has now been matched, and I am not sure anyone saw that coming let alone the way it did. No one saw the record-tying title looking like this, going to a driver who was slowly stepping away from competition only to be so successful he had to keep returning to claim the ultimate prize.

On the other nominees:
We don't see new marks reached in motorsports, but Tandy achieved something no other driver had done in motorsports history. With his victory in the 24 Hours of Daytona, it gave him overall victories in the 24 Hours of Le Mans, 24 Hours Nürburgring, the 24 Hours of Spa, and now Daytona. He came the first driver to win all four of those 24-hour races overall. But it gets better! Six weeks later, Tandy won the 12 Hours of Sebring overall. Throw in an overall victory at Petit Le Mans a decade ago, and he is the first driver to win the "Big Six" endurance races overall. A Bathurst 12 Hour victory would put him in even more rarified air.

Did anyone think the record for most victories in a NASCAR Cup Series rookie season would fall even with van Gisbergen competing in a series with a half-dozen road course races? Van Gisbergen was the favorite in every road course race, but this is NASCAR. The favorite does not win that often. Cautions do not fall in a driver's favor. A restart is botched. Someone runs into someone else. Drivers become collateral damage. Not in van Gisbergen's case. He won five races, and most of those were shellackings. Entering this year, the rookie record for victories was three. Tony Stewart did it in 1999. Jimmie Johnson matched it in 2002. In 2025, van Gisbergen obliterated it. It is hard to see it being matched anytime soon. 

Setting a series-record for victories in a season is impressive no matter the series. Heim was the championship favorite for the Truck Series in 2025, and he still exceeded the expectations of many. No driver had ever hit double-figures for victories in this category. Heim won 11 times. He won at Daytona (after Parker Kligerman was disqualified). He won at Charlotte. He won all three road course races. In the playoffs, he won five of seven races, including the finale to claim the title after having to restart ninth on new tires at the start of overtime. Heim's average finish was fifth. He had 19 top five finishes and 21 top ten finishes. He led 1,625 laps. The next closest driver led 1,128 fewer.

Palou's season was incredible. Along with his third consecutive championship and fourth in his IndyCar career, this was only the ninth time since 1946 a driver has won at least eight races in a season. It was the sixth time a driver had at least 13 podium finishes and the ninth time a driver had at least 14 top five results. His 711 points were the most in a season since the Indy Racing League started awarding 50 points for a victory in 1998. He scored over 76% of the maximum amount of points. Without a question, Palou was the best driver in IndyCar in 2025.

Past Winners
2012: DeltaWing
2013: Sebastian Vettel for winning nine consecutive races on his way to a fourth consecutive title
2014: Marc Márquez: Setting the record for most wins in a premier class season.
2015: Justin Wilson Memorial Family Auction
2016: Jimmie Johnson for his seventh NASCAR Cup championship
2017: Jonathan Rea: For becoming the first rider to win three consecutive World Superbike championships.
2018: Robert Wickens for winning IndyCar Rookie of the Year despite missing the final three races.
2019: Joe Gibbs Racing setting single-season record for most Cup victories by a in NASCAR's modern-era.
2020: Donald Davidson for 55 years of service to the Indianapolis Motor Speedway and the Indianapolis 500
2021: Team WRT's championship success across multiple series and disciplines
2022: Max Verstappen achieving the most grand prix victories in a single season
2023: Max Verstappen breaking the record for highest winning percentage in a Formula One Season
2024: Jorge Martín and Pramac Racing's first MotoGP championship for an independent team

Moment of the Year
Description: The Most Memorable Moment in the World of Racing during the 2025 season.
And the Nominees are:
Team Penske's Attenuator Penalty at Indianapolis
McLaren Flipping Positions at Monza
Nico Hülkenberg's Podium Finish at Silverstone
William Byron's Flat Tire at Phoenix
23XI Racing/Front Row Motorsports vs. NASCAR Settlement

And the winner is... A TIE! Nico Hülkenberg's Podium Finish at Silverstone and 23XI Racing/Front Row Motorsports vs. NASCAR Settlement

The news at the end of last week was too hard to ignore. One moment will stand out for the beauty of sport and perseverance. The other is the first domino to fall in seismic change to one of the largest sanctioning bodies in the world. 

Hülkenberg had become the journeyman driver everyone loved. His Formula One career was over five years ago, but a few one-off drives as a super-sub kept him in the conversation. Everyone was comfortable with Hülkenberg being the record-holder for most grand prix starts without a podium finish, a dubious honor to hold, but one that has some meaning in terms of integrity and respect from those within Formula One. 

The British Grand Prix did not appear to be the place for a historic first. Hülkenberg started 19th, but in a  race of changing conditions, Hülkenberg and the Sauber team played the strategy right, and Hülkenberg was able to pick up positions. He was able to run with the big dogs, and in the closing laps, it appeared he would have his toughest test as Lewis Hamilton took on new tires in an effort to get on the podium. However, Hamilton's fresher rubber was not enough to leap ahead of Hülkenberg, and the German's tires held on. All eyes were on third as he took the checkered flag.

One record was gone. Another was created. In his 239th start, Nico Hülkenberg was able to claim his first career podium finish, a universally beloved result. 

------------

For over a year, we have been anticipating a legal showdown in the NASCAR world. When 23XI Racing and Front Row Motorsports did not sign the charter renewals in September 2024, it signaled a challenge of NASCAR's order of operations that had largely gone uncontested for over 75 years. Over the entire 2025 season, the tension was building as a day in court was destined to occur. 

We got nine days. Nine days where secrets were revealed and the fabric of the largest sanctioning body in the United States was torn. Everyone went into this trial knowing nothing would be the same when it was over, and after a few days and testimonies that were unflattering to NASCAR, a settlement was reached that saw charters become permanent as well as additional revenue being shared with the teams that previously remained entirely in NASCAR's control. 

The dust is still settling in the aftermath of this case, and it will be a few years before we really see how the landscape of NASCAR has changed, but it is going to be different and it will all stem from Thursday December 11, 2025 after 23XI Racing and Front Row Motorsports did the unthinkable and questioned the France family's grip on premier stock car racing. 

On the other nominees:
For the second consecutive year, Team Penske caused the greatest waves in IndyCar, and it wasn't for success on the racetrack. During inspection for the second day of Indianapolis 500 qualifying, it was found that the Team Penske cars all had illegal modifications to the attenuators. In the immediate aftermath, Will Power and Josef Newgarden were moved to the rear of the grid, strategists were suspended, and tempers flared once again in the aftermath of a Penske cheating scandal. It turned out to be a significant moment for the team, as team president Tim Cindric, managing director Ron Ruzewski and general manager Kyle Moyer were all dismissed from the team. Add to it that Penske had its worst season since 1999, and 2025 will be remembered for all the wrong reasons in Team Penske's long-esteemed history.

For a brief moment, Oscar Piastri was in control of the World Drivers' Championship. A victory in the Netherlands combined with Lando Norris' retirement saw Piastri up 34 points with eight races remaining. In the next race at Monza, Norris was ahead in second while Piastri ran in third. After the final pit cycle, Piastri moved into second after Norris had a slow stop changing the front left tire. Once the cars were back on track, Piastri was asked to readdress the positions and allow Norris through. Piastri reluctantly did, and it gave Norris three more points. In the moment it was suspect as to why the championship leader was returning points to his teammate, but at the end of the season, when Norris ended two points clear of Max Verstappen, that one decision stands out even more.

We were three laps away from a clean end to the NASCAR Cup Series season, and Denny Hamlin was three laps away from scoring his seventh victory of 2025, and claiming his first Cup Series championship. Suddenly, William Byron was in the wall, and the championship finish became even cloudier. It would come down to a final round of pit stops. Hamlin took four tires. Kyle Larson took two. Two tires were enough as Larson ended up third while Hamlin was sixth. It was another unsatisfying end to a NASCAR season, and one that could not be ignored.

Past Winners
2012: Alex Zanardi
2013: 24 Hours of Le Mans
2014: Post-race at the Charlotte and Texas Chase races.
2015: Matt Kenseth vs. Joey Logano
2016: Toyota Slows at Le Mans
2017: Fernando Alonso announcing his Indianapolis 500 ride
2018: Kyle Busch and Kyle Larson battle at Chicagoland
2019: Kyle Kaiser and Juncos Racing knocking out Fernando Alonso and McLaren and Penske Purchasing Hulman & Co.
2020: March 12-13
2021: The entire Formula One season
2022: Ross Chastain's final corner at Martinsville
2023: Shane van Gisbergen winning the NASCAR Cup race at the Chicago street course
2024: The Indianapolis 500 Post-Storm

Pass of the Year
Description: Best pass of 2025.
And the Nominees are:

And the winner is... Ayhancan Güven on Marco Wittmann in turn 12 at Hockenheim
Güven had to make the move to win the championship. After pulling off a great pit strategy to put him in first, Güven had just lost the lead to a rather strong Wittmann, and the stadium section at Hockenheim is not the friendliest to passing. 

Turn 12 is the last true braking zone before the flowing final four corners, and Güven took his shot up the inside. He dropped his left side tires into the grass, but he was side-by-side with Wittmann, and some contact was made. Wittmann was pushed wide, and Güven went through. There was no time for a counter move, and Güven's pass not only won a race but completed an astonishing championship drive.

On the other nominees:
Marc Márquez had made a slight mistake early into the sprint race from Austin, and it cost him the lead. Ducati teammate Francesco Bagnaia and his brother Álex split Marc exiting turn 18, but Marc was able to power down into turn 19 and dove up the inside. Effortlessly, he was back into the lead before the final corner of the circuit. It was a statement move of what was to come in 2025.

When the laps are running out at the Indianapolis 500, any pass feels risky. Ericsson led the race, but had an eager Palou behind him. Not to forget mentioning the leaders had two back-markers ahead and both leaders were in dirty air. This was to the benefit of Ericsson, as there was additional risk for Palou. The move was always going to come, but with 14 laps remaining, it may have come sooner than we thought. Palou made a late dive up the inside of turn one, and Ericsson could not react. Palou was into the lead. There was plenty of laps remaining, but at that moment, it felt like the race was over. Palou was practically unbeatable and he dared Ericsson and the rest of the field to take the Indianapolis 500 from him. No one could.

On the final lap of the Moto2 race from Aragón, the top two riders were going for their first career victories in the category. Deniz Öncü and Diogo Moreira were feeling each other out as it appeared the race would come down to the final lap. Moreira took the lead into turn five, but Öncü remained on the Brazilian's heels. Öncü made the move to the outside off the final corner and it was enough to beat Moreira to the line by 0.003 seconds.

The NASCAR Truck Series finale from Phoenix saw a late caution, and a slow stop for four tires knocked Corey Heim from the lead to ninth, and the fourth-best of the four championship contenders. At the restart for the first overtime attempt, Heim went to the very inside of the racetrack, and with four fresh tires he entered in eighth and came out the other side in second. Another caution had come out before the field could take the white flag, but this move set up Heim up to restart second for the second attempt, and right next to championship rival Ty Majeski. With the tire advantage, Heim was in control, and he pulled away to take the race victory and championship.

Past Winners
2012: Simon Pagenaud at Baltimore
2013: Robert Wickens at Nürburgring and Peter Dempsey in the Freedom 100
2014: Ryan Blaney on Germán Quiroga
2015: Laurens Vanthoor from 4th to 2nd on the outside in the Bathurst 12 Hour
2016: Scott McLaughlin on Mark Winterbottom at Surfers Paradise
2017: Renger van der Zande: From second to first on Dane Cameron at Laguna Seca
2018: Alexander Rossi for all his passes in the Indianapolis 500
2019: Álex Rins on Marc Márquez in the final corner at Silverstone in the British motorcycle Grand Prix
2020: Pipo Derani on Ricky Taylor into turn one at Road Atlanta
2021: Shane van Gisbergen from fourth to second at Sandown
2022: Ross Chastain's final corner at Martinsville
2023: António Félix da Costa on Jean-Éric Vergne in turn eight of the final lap of the Cape Town ePrix
2024: Josef Newgarden on Patricio O'Ward for the lead on the final lap of the Indianapolis 500

The Eric Idle Award
Description: "When You're Chewing on Life's Gristle, Don't Grumble, Give a Whistle, And This'll Help Things Turn Out For The Best, and...  Always Look On The Bright Side of Life."
And the Nominees are:
Denny Hamlin
Connor Zilisch
Jack Doohan
The #7 Porsche Penske Motorsport Entry
Team Penske's IndyCar Program

And the winner is... Connor Zilisch
Zilisch smacked around the competition in NASCAR's second division in 2025. Ten victories, 20 top five finishes, 22 top ten finishes, eight pole positions and over 1,000 laps led. 

And yet it did not end in a championship. Despite finishing third in the Phoenix finale, Zilisch lost the championship as Jesse Love won the race. It was Love's second victory of the season, his first since the Daytona season opener. 

Zilisch was left emotional after his astonishing season that saw him overcome multiple injuries and multiple missed races would only be good enough for second in the history books. 

The silver-lining is Zilisch had earned universal sympathy for his result. Going into the Phoenix finale, many dreaded how the season would end for all three NASCAR national series as in two of them there were two deserving champions who stood above the rest of the competition. Even in a loss, Zilisch won the admiration of many because over an entire season, everyone saw how his ability was greater than his competition.

On the other nominees:
Same story, different series. We all know what happened to Hamlin in the final race of the NASCAR Cup Series season. He had never been that close to a championship. Three laps is all that was behind him and a championship. In a format that ultimately only rewards what happens in the final race, Hamlin had done everything right. He led 208 laps. He was clear of the field and then one caution reset the field. One round of pit stops shuffled the deck. After two more laps, Hamlin was three positions short of his first career championship. 

Doohan got six races in Formula One with Alpine, but even before the first race of the season, Doohan had lost the confidence of the team. He was always bound to lose his ride. Alpine had more interest in Franco Colapinto. It was only a matter of time before the Argentine would get the race seat. Doohan had no favors in an Alpine that was the worst car on the grid. With no points, the Australian was canned. If there is any consolation, Colapinto never scored a point in 2025, and he never looked any more competitive than Doohan did.

The year started with such promise with victories in the 24 Hours of Daytona and 12 Hours of Sebring for the #7 Porsche Penske Motorsport entry, and it won at Long Beach to make it three wins on the spin to start 2025. However, the #7 Porsche could not get the championship over the line. The #7 Porsche of Felipe Nasr and Nick Tandy finished tenth or worse in the final four races. Even worse, the #6 Porsche won the championship despite winning only one race the entire season. 

This was one of the worst seasons Team Penske has ever had in IndyCar. The team did win a pair of races, but it failed to win any of the first 14 races. On five occasions did the team fail to have a single top ten finisher. None of the three drivers finished better than eighth in the championship, and the season was marred with another cheating scandal, this one leading to the dismal of three notable personnel. 

Past Winners
2012: Ben Spies
2013: Sam Hornish, Jr.
2014: Alexander Rossi
2015: McLaren
2016: Toyota
2017: Nick Heidfeld
2018: Brett Moffitt
2019: Dennis Lind
2020: Marc Márquez
2021: Liam Lawson
2022: Linus Lundqvist
2023: Eli Tomac
2024: Kyle Larson

Comeback of the Year
Description: The Best Comeback in the 2025 season.
And the Nominees are:
Álex Palou overcoming a ten-second gap at Thermal Club.
José António Rueda: Last to first at the British Grand Prix
David Alonso: 11th to 1st at the Hungarian Grand Prix
Isack Hadjar: From failing to start the Australian Grand Prix to Formula One Podium
Max Verstappen: From 104 points back to two points short of a fifth world championship

And the winner is... José Antònio Rueda: Last to first at the British Grand Prix.
Moto3 championship leader Rueda was forced to start last at Silverstone after being penalized for slow riding on the racing line during qualifying. Rolling off 26th, Rueda would have 15 laps to get back to the front after he was supposed to start on pole position.

Rueda was up eight spots in the first lap. He was up four more spots after lap two. He gained positions on each of the first seven laps, which saw him rise to fifth. It became a little more of a struggle as he reached the top of the grid, but he was up to third on lap 11, and second on lap 12. On lap 13, he took the lead with two laps remaining, but the final lap brought a stiff challenge from Máximo Quiles, who took the lead, but Rueda outmaneuver Quiles in the final corners as an outside-inside move saw Rueda slip through in the final corner to win by 0.046 seconds.

On the other nominees:
IndyCar's trip to Thermal Club looked to be wrapped up with 20 laps remaining. Patricio O'Ward was over ten seconds ahead of the field heading into the final round of pit stop. However, Palou had a new set of alternate tires for the final run to the finish. O'Ward had primary tires, and this was the difference. Palou clawed back time in a blink, and soon he was in the lead, checking out on the competition. What went from a ten-second deficit turned into a ten-second victory for Palou in fewer than 20 laps.

David Alonso did not get off to a great start in Hungary. Dropping from eighth to 11th on the first lap of the Moto2 race, Alonso had some work to do in the inaugural visit to the Balaton Park. Alonso started slow on a circuit where it was difficult to pass. He was back up to eighth by lap four. He spent the next six laps in seventh before he cracked the top five on lap 14 of 25. The final stretch is where Alonso came to life. He went from fourth to second in four laps, and he had Manuel González in his sights for the lead on the final lap. Alonso got it, but nearly threw it away running wide in the final set of corners, but the Colombian had enough to cross the line first, scoring his maiden Moto2 victory.

For a split second, we all thought there wasn't a way Isack Hadjar would survive a full season after he spun on the formation lap. We saw a driver despondent to his mistake, as Hadjar seemed to also believe he had thrown his Formula One chance away. The saving grace was Hadjar meeting Anthony Hamilton, Lewis Hamilton's father, in the paddock area where Hamilton consoled the heartbroken and devastated driver. That moment of comfort possibly has saved Hadjar's career. This mistake on his first act on stage did not derail the promise we had seen. Instead, Hadjar went on to score his first points two races later. He ended up finishing third at the Dutch Grand Prix and ended the season 12th in the championship, the top Racing Bulls driver.

It didn't quite fully pan out, but the fact Verstappen went from over four races behind the championship lead to being alive for the title at the Abu Dhabi season finale is nothing but staggering work. At no point over the first two-thirds of the season did it appear Verstappen had what it took to challenge the McLaren drivers, but he ended the season with ten consecutive podium finishes, six of which were victories. He came two points short. He could find two points wherever he wishes from this season. The obvious spot is Barcelona, where causing a collision with George Russell cost him a ten-second penalty, dropping him from fifth to tenth, a nine-point penalty in terms of positions lost. Verstappen nearly pulled it off. It was remarkable he made it that close.

Past Winners
2013: Michael Shank Racing at the 24 Hours of Daytona
2014: Juan Pablo Montoya to IndyCar
2015: Kyle Busch
2016: Max Verstappen from 15th to 3rd in the final 18 laps in the wet in the Brazilian Grand Prix
2017: Kelvin van der Linde: From third to first after a botched pit stop in the final 20 minutes in the 24 Hours Nürburgring
2018: Billy Monger: Returning to racing after losing his legs and finishing sixth in the BRDC British Formula 3 Championship with four podium finishes and a pole position at Donington Park.
2019: MotoE: For getting to the grid after fire destroyed every motorcycle prior to the first round of the season
2020: The #7 Acura Team Penske: Coming from last in the championship to winning the IMSA DPi championship
2021: Kyle Busch's victory at Pocono
2022: Robert Wickens
2023: McLaren's 2023 Formula One Season
2024: Chase Sexton: From last to first in Hangtown

Most Improved
Description: Racer, Team or Manufacture Who Improved The Most from 2024 to 2025.
And the Nominees are:
Álex Márquez: From eighth on 173 points with one podium finish to second on 467 points with three victories in MotoGP.
Ayumu Iwasa: From fifth on 63.5 points to first on 124 points in Super Formula
Christian Rasmussen: From 11.6 points per start and his best finish being ninth as a rookie to 18.41 points per start and a victory in his sophomore season.
Dale Coyne Racing: From no finish better than 13th to a podium finish and seven top ten finishes.
Ford Multimatic Motorsports: From no cars in the top five of the IMSA GTD Pro championship to a third-place championship finish and three victories.

And the winner is... Álex Márquez
On a year-old Ducati and with his brother Marc with the factory team, Álex Márquez rose to his greatest heights in MotoGP. Álex somehow beat Francesco Bagnaia. We thought 2025 would see Marc Márquez and Bagnaia duke it out over 22 races in a fierce competition between the factory Ducati riders. Instead, Marc Márquez's closest competition was his brother on the older model. 

Álex was in Marc's wing mirrors the entire season, and few got as close as Álex did. Álex led the champion after Austin. At Jerez, he scored his first career MotoGP victory after Marc had a fall early, and Álex was still in the championship lead. That would not stick as Marc showed his might over the summer, but no one else kept up as well as Álex did. 

Along with the Jerez victory, Álex Márquez also won at Barcelona and Sepang. He had seven runner-up finishes this season and he had another two finishes in third. He won three sprint races and had 15 sprint race podium finishes. Marc missing the final four races allowed Álex to finish 78 points behind his brother. At the time of Marc's injury in Indonesia, he was 183 points clear of his brother, but Álex was 114 points clear of Marco Bezzecchi in third, and he was the second-best Ducati rider as Bagnaia wound up fifth.

On the other nominees:
In year two in Super Formula, Iwasa was more competitive and was competing well with the veterans Sho Tsuboi and Kakunoshin Ohta. Iwawa scored his first career victory at Sportsland SUGO, and he was a regular podium finisher, but a few bad days pulled down his championship hopes. Entering the final round from Suzuka, he was 14.5 points off the championship lead. A retirement in the first race was a set-back, but a fourth in a makeup race from the second Fuji doubleheader revived his title chances. In the final race of the season, Iwasa won from pole position to take the title by 5.5 points over Tsuboi.

After a good but not great rookie season, Rasmussen showed better strength in his second IndyCar season. He was difficult to race at times but Rasmussen was getting better finishes with Ed Carpenter Racing. He scored his first career podium finish at Gateway after overcoming a fueling issue that threw off his strategy the entire race. He looked good at all the ovals. At Milwaukee, taking tires with about 40 laps to go when a spritz of rain slowed the race allowed Rasmussen to make a late charge. Passing the likes of Josef Newgarden, Scott McLaughlin, Alexander Rossi and Patricio O'Ward, Rasmussen found himself battling Álex Palou for the victory, and Rasmussen powered through to take an unforgettable first career victory.

In 2024, Dale Coyne Racing was an afterthought in IndyCar. At no point could the team string together a good run of results. With a constant rotation of drivers, the team never had a top ten finish. Its cars were the bottom two in the Leaders' Circle program. In 2025, Coyne was in the fight thanks to Rinus VeeKay. It was ninth in the opening race. VeeKay was fourth and pushing for a podium at Barber Motorsports Park. The Dutchman had a run of top ten finishes during the summer, and it hit a high at Toronto, when VeeKay led a good portion of the race before finishing second when he fell behind Patricio O'Ward during the final pit cycle. VeeKay was only 13th in the championship, but he was ahead of Alexander Rossi, Santino Ferrucci, Marcus Ericsson, Nolan Siegel and all three Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing drivers, a good leap forward for a Dale Coyne Racing driver.

The Ford Mustang GT3's first season in IMSA was good. It wasn't great. There were some teething issues but there was some promise. That promise developed into success in the opening race of 2025. The #65 Ford of Christopher Mies, Denis Olsen and Frédéric Vervisch won the 24 Hours of Daytona. The #64 Ford of Sebastian Priaulx and Mike Rockenfeller would go on to win at Detroit and at Indianapolis. With three victories, Ford was tied with BMW for most GTD Pro victories.

Past Winners
2012: Esteban Guerrieri
2013: Marco Andretti
2014: Chaz Mostert
2015: Graham Rahal
2016: Simon Pagenaud
2017: DJR Team Penske
2018: Gary Paffett
2019: Cooper Webb
2020: Joan Mir
2021: Francesco Bagnaia
2022: Scott McLaughlin
2023: Jorge Martín
2024: McLaren

And that will do it. At the end of every year, the moment presents itself to ask if we saw this coming. Did this past year play out as we thought? Even when things occur as we predicted, I don't believe any of us can accurately predict all the little details well enough to say there were no surprises. There is always something that we could not script mostly because it is more detailed than we can even imagine. 

This year felt the same way. There are no surprises with an Álex Palou championship, a Lando Norris breakthrough, Marc Márquez returning to glory, and another unsatisfying end to the NASCAR season, but with how each played out, from the sheer dominance of Palou, the three-way fight for Norris, Márquez being miles clear of the competition, and the utter shock of the final laps from Phoenix, it leaves me stunned thinking about how 2025 played out. 

Let's hope 2026 plays out the same way. Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays. We will be looking forward to the upcoming New Year very shortly.