Friday, February 28, 2025

Best of the Month: February 2025

The second month is the quickest and we are onto another collection of positivity as this year is 1/6 of the way over. 

Business is picking up. NASCAR has started. The FIA World Endurance Championship is racing at time of posting. Australia has been busy. Supercross is already in Daytona. Formula One is testing. MotoGP and IndyCar open this weekend. 

The silence of winter is breaking and soon with the warmth will be an abundance of motorsports as far as the eye can see. 

Possible IndyCar Milestones
With IndyCar practice beginning today, it is a good time to keep in mind what little bits of history we could see in 2025. A few things are rather significant. We do not see all-time records break that often, at least not records of significant, but one is poised to change, and change rather soon at a historical venue.

Scott Dixon: All-Time Leader in Starts
Late in the 2024 season, Dixon became only the second driver to reach 400 career starts. Entering 2025 on 402 starts, Dixon has the record in his sight. Mario Andretti made 407 starts from 1964 to 1994. If everything goes as expected, Dixon should make start #408 in the 109th Indianapolis 500.

For over two decades, Dixon has been the torchbearer for greatness in IndyCar. He has already ascended to second all-time in championships and second all-time in victories. Dixon is already the leader in top five finishes. Nobody has won in more seasons than Dixon. There are not many categories where Dixon is not somewhere at the top.

This will feel right. In 24 seasons, Dixon has only missed one race. He has been Mr. Consistent from almost the very beginning. For him to have this spot in history is fitting, and to some it will likely be surprising. When Andretti retired, I don't know if many believed if some of his records would be touched again. Less than seven years after Andretti’s final career start, an unassuming boy from New Zealand came along and proceeded to re-write history.

Dixon: All-Time Leader in Podium Finishes
Andretti has not just one record in jeopardy, but two! 

Dixon enters 2025 with 142 podium finishes. That is two behind Andretti's all-time record. 

Like the starts, it is not a matter of "if" but "when."

With the starts, we at least have an exact idea when it will broken. Podiums is a little more flexible. It could be in three races at Long Beach, the earliest it could be broken. It could be in the final race in Nashville. There is a chance it is not broken in 2025, but keep in mind Dixon has had at least three podium finishes in 19 consecutive seasons! In all 19 of those seasons, Dixon has had at least four podium finishes. 

Dixon: 300 Career Top Ten Finishes
Every year we do this it gets a little boring because there are about five or six milestones Scott Dixon could hit that are significant. This is entire practice and be a little redundant because the drivers that are most likely to hit significant milestones have been around for a while, and it ends up being the same cast of character.

In this case though, we must give Dixon the attention, because 300 top ten finishes is incredible. IndyCar does not publish official records on top ten results, but you need at least 300 starts to have 300 top ten finishes, and there are only nine other drivers to reach 300 starts, so you know the list cannot be long. 

Like podium finishes, Dixon is three away from this milestone. His 297 top ten finishes in 402 starts translate to top ten finish percentage of 73.88%.

Graham Rahal: 300 Career Starts
Speaking of 300 career starts, we are on the verge of someone else joining that club. Graham Rahal is about to join a club that even his father Bobby is not a member. 

The younger Rahal is eight starts away from becoming the 11th driver to hit 300 career starts. It would come at Gateway. 

It might not be the most decorated career we would have expected at 300 starts, but Rahal's career is one of perseverance. Rahal has come back from rough seasons and been a winner when most thought he was a disappointment. Even now, he continues to press on looking for more. 

Conor Daly: Most starts before a first career victory
Here is a record no one wants, but they wouldn't mind having it. Conor Daly has made 115 starts over 11 IndyCar seasons. Daly has raced for 11 teams during that time. He has become a journey for a new generation the same way we once had Roberto Moreno or Oriol Servià. 

Daly has not had many race-winning capable race cars. One could argue he has had none. The fifth Andretti Autosport car has a slim shot. It doesn't mean Daly has not come close, and Daly has had a few good races in his career. Luck and the bounces didn't quite go in his direction for an upset, but Daly keeps trying and life is a number's game. Eventually, it will go you way. 

If it does go Daly's way, there is a chance he could make history.

If Daly does not miss a race and does not win until the 12th round of the season at Iowa, he will set the record for most starts before a first career victory. 

Currently, Michel Jourdain, Jr. holds the record with 126 starts before he won for the first time at Milwaukee in 2003. If Daly wins at any point between now and the first Iowa race, he will still be ranked second all-time. 

It isn't a great record but if you have it that means you won at least one race. Daly would love to have just one. It is better than being tied for sixth all-time with Tom Bigelow for most starts without a victory, which is where Daly is presently. Daly is three spots away from surpassing Hiro Matsushita in that category. If Daly does not win at all this season, he would pass Vitor Meira for fourth all-time with 132 starts and zero victories. 

Josef Newgarden: 20 Career Oval Victories
As much as we love first time winners, we love history, and Josef Newgarden has plenty of potential history in front of him in 2025. One piece that you might not realize is Newgarden is three victories away from 20 oval victories in his career. It does not sound like much, but it is more rare than you think. 

Only ten drivers in IndyCar history have won at least 20 oval races. Newgarden would be the 11th. Hélio Castroneves has 18 oval victories, but it appears unlikely Castroneves will get there. Newgarden has a longer runway and he is the only other driver that is close.

Among active full-time drivers, only three have ten career oval victories. Scott Dixon has 25, Newgarden is on 17 and Will Power has ten. The next closest is Patricio O'Ward on three.

There are not many oval races on the schedule. A few years ago, I contemplated how Scott Dixon might be the last driver for a long time to reach 20 oval victories in a career, and Newgarden had a chance at it but he was the only likely driver to reach the mark. Newgarden is there, but we are looking at only the third driver to begin their career in the last 49 years to reach 20 oval victories. The only other driver to meet that criteria is Rick Mears.

It is tougher to do than you would think. With only five or six oval races a season, it requires being brilliant to get close to 20. Newgarden has been brilliant. He has won at least three oval races in two of the last three seasons. His last eight victories have been on ovals. This feel more "when" than "if" and when could be in 2025. 

Alexander Rossi and Álex Palou: 50 Career Top Five Finishes
Both Alexs are on the verge of something only 33 drivers have achieved. Fifty top five finishes does not sound like much, but not many have made it to that milestone. 

For Rossi, he is one away, sitting on 49 top five finishes. Palou is seven away, with 43 top five finishes in 81 career starts. It could be a fun bet to see who gets there first. 

Alexander Rossi and Álex Palou: 1,000 Laps Led
The two Alexs are on the verge of another club. There are a few more members but it is still rather impressive to reach. Only 43 members have reached 1,000 laps led. Two drivers reached it last year. Those were Scott McLaughlin and Colton Herta. This year, there are two drivers right on the precipice. 

Rossi has led 995 laps in his career. Palou has led 956 laps. Again, it could be a fun bet to see who gets there first.

Will Power: Top Five All-Time in Top Five Finishes
Like Dixon, Power could probably hit a dozen milestones this season. This one is a little more historic. 

Currently, eighth all-time in top five finishes, Power has 136 to his name. The top five is within reach. In fifth is Al Unser, Jr. on 141 top five finishes. Last year, Power had seven top five finishes. If Power repeats that, he could jump as high as fourth. Seven more would take Power to 143 and one more than Hélio Castroneves.

Of course, Castroneves could secure fourth all-time if he were to finish in the top five of the Indianapolis 500, but Power is looking to climb a few more spots this season. Theoretically, Power could become the third driver to reach 150 top five finishes in a career. That would require a staggering 14 top five results. Power's personal best in a season was 12 two years ago.

Hélio Castroneves: 25 Indianapolis 500 Starts
We usually hold off on Indianapolis 500 stuff until... well, you know... May, but I think this one deserves early recognition. Castroneves is a four-time Indianapolis 500 winner after all. 

Only three drivers have made at least 25 Indianapolis 500 starts. A.J. Foyt (35), Mario Andretti (29) and Al Unser (27). That's it. That is the list!

Castroneves must qualify, but we don't think speed should be a concern. The Brazilian will also make another bit of history. He will be 50 years and 15 days old when the green flag waves to start the Indianapolis 500. Should he make the race, Castroneves will become the 13th driver since 1946 to start a race after the age of 50. He would become the the first driver over the age of 50 to start the Indianapolis 500 since...

Lyn St. James! I bet you didn't see that one coming St. James was 53 years and 26 days old when she made her final start in the 2000 Indianapolis 500. That is also the last time we have seen any driver over the age of 50 start an IndyCar race. 

It is kind of staggering we haven't had anyone over the age of 50 start an IndyCar race in nearly a quarter-century. Not many drivers race to that age, but you would think one or two would have done it. It was once commonplace not long ago that a NASCAR Cup race would have multiple drivers over the age of 50 competing. 

I don't think anyone considered more drivers reaching 25 Indianapolis 500 starts a decade or so ago. Twenty felt like the limit. Plenty of outstanding drivers didn't reach 20 Indianapolis 500 starts. Rodger Ward, Bobby Unser, Tom Sneva, Rick Mears, Danny Sullivan, none of them reached 20. 

Part of that is the times have changed. Bobby Unser was 29 years old when he made his first Indianapolis 500 start. Time was not conducive to 20 Indianapolis 500 starts. There was also danger. Drivers got hurt. Some reached a certain age and decided they were done, getting out alive, milestones be damned. 

Castroneves hitting this mark would be a testament to his longevity but also the safety improvements motorsports have made, especially in the 21st century. 

Ok, About Something That Really Happened in February
It is nice to wax about what we could see, but none of that has happened. None of it is guaranteed to happen. It definitely isn't happening in February 2025. What about something in February? What was something nice that we saw in the last 28 days that should be shared?

Daytona 500 qualifying? 

For the first time in a while it felt like their were real stakes on the line for making the Daytona 500. Thirty-six of the spots are locked up. A vast majority of the drivers are showing up knowing they only have to worry about Sunday. For a much smaller group, qualifying on Wednesday and the qualifying races on Thursday are suffocating. 

Almost everyone attempting the Daytona 500 as an open entry is basing their season on that one race. Most are only attempting Daytona. The rest might have a part-time schedule, but the Daytona 500 has been the only race drivers have failed to qualify for since 2019. Running at Atlanta and Michigan and the Brickyard 400 doesn't make up for missing the Daytona 500. 

The crop of open drivers is what made this year feel heightened. 

Seven-time NASCAR Cup Series champion and two-time Daytona 500 winner Jimmie Johnson had to qualify for the Daytona 500.

NASCAR Cup Series champion and three-time vice-champion Martin Truex, Jr. had to qualify for the Daytona 500. 

The first Cup Series entry for Dale Earnhardt, Jr.'s JR Motorsports with Justin Allgaier had to qualify for the Daytona 500.

Hélio Castroneves ended up benefitting from the first ever Open Entry Provisional to lock himself into the race, but Castroneves could have made it without relying on the provisional. 

Either way, there were only four spots on the line with eight drivers competing for them.

It ended up being a little anti-climatic as the two biggest names ended up being the fastest two Open qualifiers on Wednesday, and Truex, Jr. and Johnson were locked in on speed. There is more intrigue if one of them or neither of them makes it on speed and must race in. 

It ended up following the most logical outcome. Truex, Jr. and Johnson make it, Allgaier and JR Motorsports race in, Corey LaJoie in a Rick Ware Racing car, which was full-time last year, raced in and the teams and drivers that missed were... 

J.J. Yeley and NY Racing Team, which has next-no funding and was the second-slowest car in qualifying...

Chandler Smith and Garage 66, which hadn't attempted the Daytona 500 since 2022... 

B.J. McLeod and Live Fast Motorsports, which failed to make the Daytona 500 the year before and it is a under-funded team...

And Anthony Alfredo and Beard Motorsports, which has been a regular entry at superspeedway races and has had some good results over the last eight years, but it is still a small organization. 

The results on paper is what we got. 

Though it went as expected, it was still enthralling. It is lacking because these teams have such a narrow path into the race. One spot available to the top finisher in each qualifying race is rather disappointing. I would love to see Daytona 500 qualifying return to how it once was where the front row was locked up, the best 14 finishers from each qualifying race take the next spots on the grid and then the remaining spots are filled in on qualifying speed.

Let's consider if it was done that way. Of course, that would have changed how teams would have prepared for qualifying on Wednesday night and how drivers raced on Thursday night this year, but for the sake of the experiment, let's say the teams and drivers acted as if they had to race in and charter teams were not locked in. 

We would have ended up with LaJoie still racing in, Alfredo racing in, and then Zane Smith, Alex Bowman, Brad Keselowski, Truex, Jr., Noah Gragson, Daniel Suárez, Johnson, Justin Haley, Cole Custer and Carson Hocevar falling back on qualifying times. The drivers that would have missed are Castroneves, Ricky Stenhouse, Jr., Chandler Smith, McLeod and Yeley. 

Essentially, the only difference between the historic system and the current system would have been Alfredo making it and Stenhouse, Jr. missing it as the one stunner. Castroneves only made the race because of the OEP. He missed the race and then caught a saving grace. 

Maybe this is something NASCAR should explore. The charter teams wouldn't like the risk but it makes all of Thursday more important. That added tension could be a good thing. It would be a better way to drum up interest ahead of the big race on Sunday. 

March Preview
We are going to do a mini-Super Formula preview here because that series begins next weekend in a rather early start for that championship. This will be the longest Super Formula season as there will be 12 races with five doubleheader rounds scheduled. 

Suzuka opens with two races over March 8-9. Motegi hosts a doubleheader over April 19-20. Autopolis is one race on May 18. Fuji is two races over July 19-20. Sportsland SUGO is one race on August 10. Then there is two months until the second Fuji round, another doubleheader on October 11-12. Suzuka closes out the season with two races November 22-23. 

Last year, only one car featured an international driver, and it featured three. The #19 Team Impul Toyota had Théo Pourchaire, Ben Barnicoat and Nyck de Vries combine to run five races. The other four saw Hibiki Taira behind the wheel.

This year, there are four international drivers set to run the full season. 

Defending champion Sho Tsuboi has Sacha Fenestraz as his teammate at Team TOM'S. Fenestraz is returning after being championship runner-up in 2021. The Argentine driver will also race for Toyota in a Super GT GT500 entry.

Zak O'Sullivan will be Kenta Yamashita's teammate at Kondo Racing. O'Sullivan won two Formula Two races last year before his funding dried up and he lost his Williams Driver Academy spot. Dane Oliver Rasmussen moves from a Hertz Team Jota hypercar role to the #19 Team Impul Toyota with Mitsunori Takaboshi as his teammate. Brazilian Igor Fraga will drive for Nakajima Racing after spending the previous two years in Super GT's GT300 class. 

Among domestic talent, Tomoki Nojiri was second last year in the championship, and he has finished in the top three of the championship in four consecutive seasons and in the championship top five in six consecutive seasons. Nojiri pairs with Ayamu Iwasa at Team Mugen.

Kakunoshin Ohta ended last season with two consecutive victories, and Ohta and Team Dandelion Racing teammate Tadasuke Makino were third and fourth in the championship last year. Makino also won two races. 

Kamui Kobayashi continues to look for his first career Super Formula victory. Kobayashi remains at Team KCMG with Nirei Fukuzumi as his teammate. In 70 starts over the previous ten seasons, Kobayashi has yet to win with five runner-up finishes and eight total podium results. 

This Super Formula season will see the absence of a few notable names. Three-time champion Naoki Yamamoto retired as did two-time champion Yuki Kunimoto. Both drivers will still compete in Super GT this season. 

Other events of note in March:
There will be Race of Champions next week from Sydney, Australia. 
Formula One begins with two races in Australia and China. 
The 12 Hours of Sebring comes along.
IndyCar returns to Thermal Club, and this time it counts. 
MotoGP has plans to race in Argentina and the United States.
NASCAR will have some races.
Supercross continues. 


Thursday, February 27, 2025

Track Walk: St. Petersburg 2025

The first of 17 rounds in the 2025 NTT IndyCar Series season is the Grand Prix of St. Petersburg. It will have been 168 days between the 2024 season finale in Nashville and the 2025 season opener at Albert Whitted Airport. The grid remains at 27 entries though there is a new team on the grid and there will be 11 different organizations fielding an entry. A dozen cars have different drivers from when they last took to the track in 2024. This will be the first race in IndyCar's charter era, as 25 entries are guaranteed a spot in this race with two open spots remaining to non-chartered entries.

Coverage
Time: Coverage begins at 12:00 p.m. ET on Sunday March 2 with green flag scheduled for 12:29 p.m. ET.
Channel: Fox
Announcers: Will Buxton, Townsend Bell and James Hinchcliffe will be in the booth. Kevin Lee and Jack Harvey will work pit lane.

IndyCar Weekend Schedule
Friday:
First Practice: 3:05 p.m. ET (75 minutes)
Saturday:
Second Practice: 10:15 a.m. ET (60 minutes)
Qualifying: 2:30 p.m. ET 
Sunday:
Warm-up: 9:02 a.m. ET (25 minutes)
Race: 12:29 p.m. ET (100 laps)

What Has Testing Told Us?
IndyCar had one preseason test at Sebring International Raceway on Tuesday and Wednesday last week. The two-day test split the grid into two groups with each group running either a morning session or afternoon session each day.

Over the combined test session, Will Power ran the fastest lap and he led a Team Penske 1-2. Power's fastest lap was run on Wednesday morning at 52.2459 seconds. Josef Newgarden was only 0.0642 seconds off his teammate. Last year's St. Petersburg winner Patircio O'Ward made it a clean sweep of the top three for Chevrolet. O'Ward was 0.0921 seconds slower than Power's best time. 

The fastest Honda entry is possibly a surprise. Marcus Armstrong was fourth-quickest over the two days, and Armstrong's lap came in the #60 Meyer Shank Racing Honda as Felix Rosenqvist was under the weather and was not able to participate in the test on Tuesday. The New Zealander's fastest lap on Tuesday afternoon was 52.3675 seconds. Colton Herta rounded out the top five, 0.1269 seconds slower than the fastest time.

Car #6 was sixth fastest with Nolan Siegel running at lap at 52.4405 seconds. The defending champion Álex Palou was responsible for the seventh-fastest time at 52.4948 seconds. 

Prema's first IndyCar preseason test was a rather successful first outing. Callum Ilott had the #90 Chevrolet eighth-fastest and only 0.050 seconds off Palou. Felix Rosenqvist was better for Wednesday's test session, and he ran the ninth-fastest lap among the 27 drivers at 52.5273 seconds. Conor Daly rounded out the top ten for Juncos Hollinger Racing, the seventh different team represented in the top ten at the test. Daly was 0.3197 seconds off Power.

Another surprise in the test was Devlin DeFrancesco in 11th with a lap at 52.5968 seconds in the #30 Honda for Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing. DeFrancesco is back after a year out of IndyCar, and he was 0.0152 seconds faster than Scott Dixon. Kyle Kirkwood was just behind Dixon, 0.0275 seconds to be exact. Christian Lundgaard and Santino Ferrucci rounded out the top fifteen. 

Alexander Rossi's first preseason test with Ed Carpenter Racing had him 16th at 52.7225 seconds. Jacob Abel was the fastest of the three rookies as Abel had the #51 Dale Coyne Racing Honda at 52.7699 seconds. Sting Ray Robb was 0.062 seconds off Abel. Kyffin Simpson and Rinus VeeKay were next as the top twenty were covered by 0.6207 seconds.

Robert Shwartzman's best lap in the #83 Prema Chevrolet was 52.8901 seconds. That was 0.044 seconds quicker than A.J. Foyt Racing's newest hire David Malukas. Scott McLaughlin was 23rd, 0.6663 seconds off his teammate Will Power. 

Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing had a pair of its drivers at the bottom. Graham Rahal's best lap was 52.9595 seconds while Louis Foster's best lap in the #45 Honda was 0.0126 seconds off his teammate. Christian Rasmussen ran a 53.0035-second lap as his fastest and Marcus Ericsson rounded out the field with 0.7637 seconds covering the 27 drivers.

Driver Changes
As mentioned at the top, and somewhat covered in the Sebring test results, there were 12 driver changes in the time between the 2024 finale and the 2025 season opener.

The best driver from the 2024 championship in a new place is Alexander Rossi. After finishing tenth in the championship last year for Arrow McLaren, Rossi has moved to Ed Carpenter Racing and he will drive the #20 Chevrolet on a full-time basis. Christian Rasmussen, who ran most of the 2024 season in the #20 Chevrolet, will shift to the #21 Chevrolet entry for the team and Rasmussen will run all the races. 

With Rossi gone, Christian Lundgaard steps into the #7 Arrow McLaren Chevrolet. Lundgaard was 11th in the championship last year, 54 points behind Rossi in the championship. Lundgaard leaves Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing after spending three full seasons with the RLLR organization. 

Rinus VeeKay moves from Ed Carpenter Racing, where he was 13th in the championship in 2024, to Dale Coyne Racing, and VeeKay will drive the #18 Honda. VeeKay had spent his first five seasons at ECR before this move. Along with VeeKay, DCR has brought in Jacob Abel from Indy Lights to run the #51 Honda. 

Marcus Armstrong has switched teams, but he has somewhat stayed in place. With Chip Ganassi Racing contracting down to three cars due to the new charter rules, Armstrong has moved to Meyer Shank Racing to run the #66 Honda. This season, Meyer Shank Racing has a technical partnership with Chip Ganassi Racing. Armstrong was 14th in the championship last year, eight points behind Felix Rosenqvist in the championship. 

David Malukas ended the 2024 season as the driver of Meyer Shank Racing's #66 Honda. Malukas begins the 2025 season as the driver of A.J. Foyt Racing's #4 Chevrolet. After missing the first seven races and losing a ride with Arrow McLaren due to a wrist injury, Malukas had two top ten finishes in the final ten races with his best result being seventh at Toronto. 

Malukas takes over for Sting Ray Robb, who has moved to Juncos Hollinger Racing, and Robb will drive the #77 Chevrolet with Conor Daly as his teammate. This will be Robb's third team in three seasons in IndyCar. Last year, JHR became the 11th different team Daly has driven for in 11 IndyCar seasons.

Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing has made a pair of driver changes. With Lundgaard leaving the team, RLLR has hired 2024 Indy Lights champion Louis Foster to drive its #45 Honda. Pietro Fittipaldi was not retained for the 2025 season, and Devlin DeFrancesco has been drafted in to fill the #30 Honda. 

The other two changes to the grid involves two entries exiting and two entries entering. With the charter agreement limiting a team to three such entries, Chip Ganassi Racing withdrew two entries from the championship, and will run only three full-time cars compared to five in 2024. This has left an opening for the Prema organization to join IndyCar.

Prema will field the #83 Chevrolet for Robert Shwartzman and the #90 Chevrolet for Callum Ilott. Ilott brings IndyCar experience to the team with 38 starts to his name, including two last year driving for Arrow McLaren at St. Petersburg and in the Indianapolis 500. He was 11th in both races. Shwartzman enters IndyCar after competing last season in a privateer Ferrari 499P for AF Corse in the FIA World Endurance Championship. Shwartzman was on the overall winning team at the Austin round. He was previously Formula Three champion in 2019 and runner-up in the 2021 Formula Two championship.

Who Wants to Pick Up Where They Left Off?
It has been a little more than five-and-a-half months since the most recent IndyCar race. While an entire autumn came and went, and we find ourselves in the final weeks of winter, there are a number of drivers hoping the passage of time does not knock them off where they were when the 2024 season ended.

There were a number of drivers who had a good run to end last season. Some were performing at their highest levels. Others were achieving results that could be championship worthy over an entire season. If they can pick up where they left off, 2025 could be their best seasons yet.

Leading this cast of characters is IndyCar's most recent winner, Colton Herta. A victory at Nashville did more than lift Herta's pride to close the 2024 season. That victory was enough to put him up to second in the championship, Herta's best championship finish. It was his second victory and his sixth top five finish in the final seven races. Herta ended the season having led a lap in four consecutive races and in five of the final six. 

This is only the second time Herta has had consecutive podium finishes in his career. The four consecutive top five he had from the second Iowa race through Portland is the longest streak of top five finishes in his career. This capped off a 2024 season where Herta reset his career-best for top five finishes (ten) and top ten finishes (13).

That Nashville victory was enough for Herta to nip Scott McLaughlin for second in the championship by seven points. McLaughlin put up an impressive close to the season in his late championship push. The New Zealander ended the season with five consecutive top ten results, three of which were top five results. McLaughlin had five podium finishes in the final nine races as he won three races in a single-season for the second time in three years. 

McLaughlin had the most oval points in 2024, and he also had five pole positions, including at the Indianapolis 500. His eight top five finishes matched a personal-best in a season. 

Though he did not win a race in 2024 after winning twice in 2023, Kyle Kirkwood had his best season in IndyCar last year. Kirkwood had five top five finishes in 2024 after entering the season with just two top five finishes in his career. With an average finish of 8.7059, Kirkwood had the fourth-best averge finish last season in IndyCar, and it was five spots better than his average finish the year prior. Kirkwood also led a personal-best 121 laps in 2024.

Last season, Kirkwood opened with ten consecutive races finishing 11th or better. He ended the season starting on his second career pole position, his first on an oval at Nashville.

The entire 2024 season was unexpected for Santino Ferrucci. The A.J. Foyt Racing driver ended up ninth in the championship, the best season for a Foyt driver since 2002. In the process, Ferrucci had two top five finishes and 11 top ten finishes, a career-best in the latter. Ferrucci's average finish of 10.941 was the ninth-best in IndyCar and better than Josef Newgarden and Christian Lundgaard. 

Ferrucci ended the season with four consecutive top ten finishes. This matches his longest streak of top ten results. Ferrucci also started on pole position at Portland, the first of his career. 

It might be a new location, but Rinus VeeKay would not mind starting his time at Dale Coyne Racing on the same form as how his time at Ed Carpenter Racing ended. Through the first nine races in 2024, VeeKay ranked 18th in the championship and his best finish was eighth. In the final eight races, VeeKay had a top five finish and five top ten finishes to improve to 13th in the championship. 

VeeKay's average finish in the final eight races was 9.5 after averaging a finish of 17.444 in the first nine races. The Dutchman completed 2,522 laps last season, the second-most in IndyCar.

Conor Daly completed a minor miracle to close last season. Hired for the final five races to keep Juncos Hollinger Racing's #78 Chevrolet in a Leader Circle position when it was only one point to the good, Daly ended his season with finishes of third and tenth in two of the final three races. Not only did it keep the #78 Chevrolet in the Leader Circle, it put the JHR entry ahead of Ed Carpenter Racing's #20 Chevrolet and Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing's #30 Honda. 

The third in the second Milwaukee race was JHR's first podium finish in IndyCar. It was Daly's second career podium finish, and his first since June 4, 2016 in the first Belle Isle race.

Who Doesn't Want to Pick Up Where They Left Off?
While some drivers are hoping to begin 2025 as 2024 ended, some are looking for a fresh start.

Two of those drivers are now at Arrow McLaren. Christian Lundgaard may have finished 11th in the championship, but the Dane had one top ten finish in the final five races and three top ten finishes in the final 13 races. Thirteen races is also how many races it has been since Lundgaard's most recent top five result. 

Nolan Siegel made 12 starts last season, the final ten with Arrow McLaren. Siegel had one top ten finish, a seventh at Gateway. However, his average finish was 17.5 over his dozen starts. Prorating his points per start, Siegel would have finished 19th, but been about 33 points behind Graham Rahal in 18th. Considering only his McLaren results, Siegel would have still been 18 points behind Rahal. 

Though neither Lundgaard nor Siegel had the worst results in the world, the Arrow McLaren organization has not shown patience when it comes driver results, and both will likely hope to do better for long-term job security.

For as celebrated as 12th in the championship should have been for Felix Rosenqvist and Meyer Shank Racing, it was not the end to the season either side was likely hoping for. By end, I mean the final 65% of the season. After opening with four consecutive top ten results and five top ten finishes in the first six races, Rosenqvist had one top ten finish in the final 13 races. He was fifth in the championship after the first four rounds. Rosenqvist enters 2025 on a four-race top ten finish drought. 

Marcus Ericsson's oval struggles were well documented in the 2024 season. In seven oval races, his average finish was 20.857 with five finishes of 20th or worse. It did not help that his road and street course form was down across the board in his first year with Andretti Global. Eight top ten finishes were his fewest since his rookie season in 2019. Ericsson failed to finish four of the final six races. Six total retirements were his most in a single season.

The last few seasons have not been kind to Graham Rahal and the Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing organization, but 2024 was a particularly tough blow. For the fourth consecutive season, Rahal's championship finish declined, dropping to 18th, his worst championship result in a decade. For the first time ever, Rahal did not have a top five finish in a season. While he had a stretch of three top ten finishes in a four race span in the middle of the summer, Rahal finished 20th or worse in four of the final seven races. 

One final driver who will hope to get off the snide at the start of 2025 is the defending champion Álex Palou. Yes! The champion is entering this season on a bit of a slump. Palou's final two results of the season were 19th at Milwaukee and 11th at Nashville. It is the first time Palou has had consecutive finishes outside the top ten since 2021. The Catalan driver is hoping to avoid three consecutive races without a top ten finish for the first time since his rookie season in 2020. Palou had a eight-race top ten finish drought that season. It is the only other time he has gone at least three races without a top ten finish.

Road to Indy
All three series are opening their seasons alongside IndyCar this weekend in St. Petersburg, and for Indy Lights, there will be 21 cars on the grid in the season opening round. 

Andretti Global won the championship last year with Louis Foster, and it has made a big shift change with three new drivers. Lochie Hughes moves up from USF Pro 2000 after winning the championship. Norway's Dennis Hauger joins the series after three years in Formula Two and four years after winning the Formula Three championship. Salvador de Alba moves over from the Andretti Cape joint operation. James Roe, Jr. is the only returning Andretti driver. Andretti Global won nine of 14 races last season.

Caio Collet and Callum Hedge are the top two returning drivers from last season after they finished third and fourth respectively in the championship. Collet has remained at HMD Motorsports while Hedge has moved to Abel Motorsports. Collet is the only returning race winner from the 2024 season. He won at Mid-Ohio.

HMD has eight more cars entered alongside Collet. Nolan Allaer and Josh Pierson are back for another season. Bryce Aron moves over from Andretti Global. Tommy Smith, Nikita Johnson, Sophia Flörsch, Liam Sceats and Haillie Deegan are all making their Indy Lights debut this weekend with HMD.

Abel Motorsports has three other entries. Jordan Missig is in a full Abel entry while Jack William Miller and Myles Rowe remain with their respective teams, but Miller Vinatieri Motorsports and Force Indy are now in partnership with Abel. 

Andretti Cape has two entries for Sebastian Murray and Ricardo Escotto. Chip Ganassi Racing returns to Indy Lights for the first time since 2007 with Jonathan Browne and Niels Koolen as its drivers. Browne ws sixth last year at St. Petersburg. 

Indy Lights will race at 10:10 a.m. ET on Sunday March 2. The race is scheduled for 45 laps or 55 minutes.

USF Pro 2000 has 22 entries for the season opening weekend. 

Jace Denmark is the top returning driver from the 2024 championship. Denmark was third last year and he will drive for T.J. Speed Motorsports with Ariel Elkin and Sebastian Manson as his teammates.

Max Garcia moves up off his U.S. F2000 championship wit Pabst Racing, and Garcia will have Jacob Douglas and Michael Costello as teammates. 

Turn 3 Motorsport won the USF Pro 2000 championship last year with Lochie Hughes and it is back with five entries for the St. Petersburg weekend. Alessandro de Tullio led the preseason test from NOLA Motorsports Park. Cooper Becklin and Tyke Durst are back for another USF Pro 2000 season. Titus Sherlock and Elliot Cox will be rookies this season. 

Mac Clark will look to improve after being 11th last year in the championship with Exclusive Autosport. Exclusive will also be fielding Joey Brienza and Carson Etter. 

Max Taylor was third in the U.S. F2000 championship last year and he moves up with VRD Racing and Owen Tangavelou as his teammate. 

DEForce Racing is back with Nicholas Monteiro and Jorge "George" Garciarce. Jay Howard Driver Development has paired Tanner DeFabis and Frankie Mossman. Logan Adams and Charles Finelli round out the entry list.

The first USF Pro 2000 race will be at 11:35 a.m. ET on Saturday March 1 with the second race of the weekend scheduled for 8:00 a.m. ET on Sunday March 2. Both races will be 25 laps or 40 minutes.

Nineteen cars are entered for the U.S. F2000 weekend with Pabst Racing returning as the championship defending team. Pabst has two cars at St. Petersburg for G3 Argyros and Caleb Gafrarar. Argyros won at last year's season finale in Portland as he was running a limited schedule. 

Jay Howard Driver Development is one of two teams with four cars entered. JHDD has Liam McNeilly as its lead driver after an impressive offseason testing. Brad Majman, Timothy Carel and Anthony Martella are the other JHDD drivers.

VRD Racing's four-car effort has Thomas Schrage returning to U.S. F2000 while Christian Cameron, Teddy Musella and Ryan Giannetta are rookies. Schrage had two podium finishes last year, a second at Mid-Ohio and a third in Portland. He also had three pole positions.

Exclusive Autosport has three drivers at St. Petersburg. Jack Jeffers was the quickest of the trio in testing ahead of Evan Cooley and Lucas Fecury. DEForce Racing also has three cars with Jeshua Alianell, Sebastian Garzón and Brady Golan. 

Rounding out the entry list are Eddie Beswick, Ayrton Houk and Wian Boshoff.

The U.S. F2000 season begins at 4:45 p.m. ET on Friday February 28 with a 20-lap race with a 45-minute time limit. The second race of the weekend will be at 12:30 p.m. ET on Saturday March 1.

Fast Facts
This will be the sixth IndyCar race to take place on March 2 and the first since Scott Dixon won at Homestead in 2003. It was Dixon's second career victory.

There have been five different winners in the last five St. Petersburg races.

The most consecutive years without a repeat St. Petersburg winner is six (2008-2013).

There have been four different teams to win the last four St. Petersburg races. This is the longest streak of different teams winning this event. 

Team Penske has not won the last two St. Petersburg races. Team Penske has never gone three consecutive years without a St. Petersburg victory.

Honda has won 11 St. Petersburg races and Chevrolet has won nine times at St. Petersburg.

Three of the last four St. Petersburg races have been completed between in under an hour and 52 minutes but in over an hour and 51 minutes. 

The average starting position for a St. Petersburg winner is 5.1428 with a median of fourth. 

Last year, Patricio O'Ward became the third driver to win at St. Petersburg in IndyCar and Indy Lights. Josef Newgarden and Colton Herta had done it previously. O'Ward also won at St. Petersburg in Pro Mazda in 2016.

Felix Rosenqvist, Rinus VeeKay, Kyle Kirkwood, David Malukas and Nolan Siegel are all past Indy Lights winners at St. Petersburg entered this weekend. VeeKay, Siegel, Sting Ray Robb and Christian Rasmussen have all won at St. Petersburg in Pro Mazda/Indy Pro 2000. Kirkwood is also a past winner at St. Petersburg in U.S. F2000. 

Four drivers hav won consecutive St. Petersburg races (Hélio Castroneves 2006-07, Juan Pablo Montoya 2015-16, Sébastien Bourdais 2017-18, Josef Newgarden 2019-20).

The average number of lead changes in a St. Petersburg race is 6.333 with a median of seven.

The average number of cautions in a St. Petersburg race is 4.0952 with a median of five. The average number of caution laps is 18.0476 with a median of 16.

Every St. Petersburg race has had at least one caution. The 2022 St. Petersburg race is the only one to feature only one caution.

This will be the first IndyCar race broadcasted on Fox since the 2002 Grand Prix of Long Beach. It was Michael Andretti's 42nd and final career victory. 

The only driver from the 2002 Grand Prix of Long Beach entered this weekend is Scott Dixon. It was Dixon's 22nd career victory and his penultimate start with PacWest Racing in what was PacWest Racing's penultimate race. 

Six other races have been broadcasted on a Fox-owned channel, all coming in the 1999 Indy Racing League season. Five were on the cable Fox Sports Net and one was on Fox. 

The Fox Sports Net races in 1999 were Phoenix, Texas, Atlanta and both Pikes Peak races. 

The only other Fox IndyCar race was August 1, 1999 at Dover. Greg Ray won the race ahead of Buddy Lazier and Kenny Bräck. 

Predictions
Team Penske never goes three years without a victory in St. Petersburg and it will have Josef Newgarden win this time and keep it with Will Power also on the podium and Scott McLaughlin in the top five. Álex Palou will also be in the mix. At least two Andretti cars stumble out of the blocks. At least eight teams are represented in the second round of qualifying. At least four top ten finishers started outside the top ten. All three rookies are running at the finish. Prema will have at least one car finish ahead of both Ed Carpenter Racing entries. Sleeper: Christian Lundgaard.



Wednesday, February 26, 2025

2025 Road to Indy Preview

Joining IndyCar this weekend at St. Petersburg will be the three development series that form the Road to Indy. All three are opening their 2025 seasons as well with over 60 entries spread across the three divisions.

Champions are moving up to another level while there are a few drivers entering from other championships from around the globe. There is even a notable IndyCar team that has expanded its program into the ladder system. 

Many drivers are hoping this will be their season to springboard their careers. A few drivers looked poised for that next jump while others are lurking and could be an unexpected, breakout performance.

Indy Lights
There will be 14 races over 12 race weekends this year in Indy Lights. 

After the St. Petersburg season opener, Indy Lights will have two weeks off, not competing again until May 4 at Barber Motorsports Park. The weekend after that will be the first of two doubleheader weekends, this one at the Grand Prix of Indianapolis weekend on the Indianapolis Motor Speedway road course. 

Three weeks later, Indy Lights will race at Detroit with Gateway following two weeks later. Road America will be the halfway point in the season on June 22. 

Mid-Ohio will host the series on July 6 with Iowa following on July 12. Laguna Seca hosts the other doubleheader weekend over July 26-27. Portland will be the final road course round on August 10. 

The 2025 season ends with two ovals, Milwaukee on August 24 and Nashville on August 31. 

Teams:
Andretti Global
Lochie Hughes: #26 USF Pro Championships/The McGinley Clinic Dallara
What did he do in 2024: The USF Pro 2000 champion on 395 points with five victories and 11 podium finishes.

What to expect in 2025: Hughes showed good times across the board in testing throughout the offseason. His biggest issue is he is likely isn't even the best driver in the Andretti organization. Hughes will be competitive and win races. It will require precision to win the championship. Championship top five feels likely.

Salvador de Alba: #27 Grupo Indi Dallara
What did he do in 2024: Fifth in the Indy Lights championship on 331 points with two podium finishes and five top five finishes.

What to expect in 2025: Andretti should have a good group this year and there is a chance all four drivers will win. De Alba should be good but might not be good as a few of his teammates. He and Hughes could be close to one another in the middle of the championship top ten.

Dennis Hauger: #28 Rental Group Dallara
What did he do in 2024: 11th in the Formula Two championship with one victory and five podium finishes. Hauger ran the first 12 of 14 rounds, and he was the 2021 Formula Three champion.

What to expect in 2025: Hauger is the man to beat. He was second quickest at the Chris Griffis Memorial Test at the IMS road course last October. He was leading the way at the Sebring test last month. If you are winning in Formula Two and were a Formula Three champion that was once a Red Bull development driver, you are going to do fine in Indy Lights. Ovals will be new, but Hauger is with Andretti. He can trust the cars. This is the man to beat and Hauger could be a hot commodity for IndyCar in 2026.

James Roe, Jr.: #29 TopCon Dallara
What did he do in 2024: Sixth in the Indy Lights championship on 316 points with two podium finishes and five top five finishes, plus one pole position.

What to expect in 2025: Roe, Jr. performed above expectations last year. All the Andretti cars were consistently around the top ten. Roe looks set to be in the back half of the top ten again with a few sparkling days.

HMD Motorsports
Nolan Allaer: #11 Martini Dallara
What did he do in 2024: 19th in the Indy Lights championship on 158 points after contesting ten of 14 races. Allaer's best finish was eighth at Mid-Ohio.

What to expect in 2025: More of the same as last year. Allaer in his ten starts had an average finish of 14.4.

Josh Pierson: #14 HMD Motorsports Dallara
What did he do in 2024: 14th in the Indy Lights championship on 264 points with his best finish being seventh at Road America, one of six top ten finishes.

What to expect in 2025: Considering the lack of improvement from his first and second years in Indy Lights, Pierson needs to get a little bit better now that he is 19 years old. He should sneak into the top ten of the championship.

Tommy Smith: #16 Shell Dallara
What did he do in 2024: 20th in the Formula Three championship with a fourth in the Silverstone feature race being his only points finish. 

What to expect in 2025: Many days at the back. That is where Smith has been in testing. 

Nikita Johnson/Max Taylor/Evagoras Papasavvas: #18 HMD Motorsports Dallara
What did they do in 2024: F
Johnson was second in the USF Pro 2000 championship on 355 points with eight victories and top ten finishes. He was deducted 30 points after a technical infringement was found after the Indianapolis Motor Speedway road course round. 

Taylor was third the U.S. F2000 championship on 343 points with four victories, eight podium finishes and 12 top five finishes.

Papasavvas was fourth in the U.S. F2000 championship on 326 points with two victories, eight podium finishes and 11 top five finishes. 

What to expect in 2025: Here is what is happening with this entry: Johnson will run St. Petersburg, the IMS road course and Nashville as he will run full-time in the GB3 Championship in the United Kingdom. 

Taylor will race full-time in USF Pro 2000 but he will run five rounds in Indy Lights, Barber, Detroit, Iowa, Laguna Seca and Milwaukee.

Papasavvas will be HMD's reserve driver, and he will not have a full-time ride in 2025, but he will jump form U.S. F2000 to Indy Lights and race at Gateway, Road America and Mid-Ohio. 

Caio Collet: #23 Combitrans Dallara
What did he do in 2024: Third in the Indy Lights championship on 436 points with a victory at Mid-Ohio, six total podium finishes and nine top five finishes.

What to expect in 2025: The best returning driver from 2024 should be a championship challenger. Collet will have the advantage of track knowledge over Hauger. Collet will win more and have a greater say in the title fight.

Sophia Flörsch: #24 HMD Motorsports Dallara
What did she do in 2024: Scored zero points in the Formula Three championship after starting every race. 

What to expect in 2025: Flörsch started slow in testing, but made a big leap at the Sebring test into the top ten. We have a track record where in three Formula Three seasons, 54 starts, she finished in the points once. I don't have her in the championship top ten. If 20 drivers run every race, I am not sure she will be crack the top fifteen.

Liam Sceats: #30 HMD Motorsports Dallara
What did he do in 2024: Fifth in the USF Pro 2000 championship on 256 points with one victory and five podium finishes. 

What to expect in 2025: Sceats has only St. Petersburg locked down. If he can get a full-time ride, he could challenge for the championship top ten.

Haillie Deegan: #38 Monster Energy Dallara
What did she do in 2024: 32nd in the NASCAR Xfinity Series with four finishes in the top twenty in 17 starts. Deegan ran the final round of the Formula Regional Americas Championship where she placed 11th and 12th in the two races. 

What to expect in 2025: Deegan is making a big jump from NASCAR to Indy Lights with essentially no open-wheel experience. She has been at the bottom of every test, but her times were improving. This is going to be a learning year. Any top ten results will likely come down to strategy or attrition around her.

Bryce Aron: #39 Jaguar Land Rover Chesterfield Dallara
What did he do in 2024: Ninth in the Indy Lights championship on 302 points with two podium finishes and three top five finishes. 

What to expect in 2025: About the same. The grid is tight and Aron is going to a crowded HMD ship. There is a chance he falls out of the championship top ten.

Abel Motorsports
Callum Hedge: #17 Abel Motorsports Dallara
What did he do in 2024: Fourth in the Indy Lights championship on 332 points with one podium finish and five top five finishes.

What to expect in 2025: Hedge has shown great speed, and he should be penciled into the championship battle. Hedge should win a few races and produce better results than his first year in IndyCar. 

Jordan Missig: #48 Nexus Towing Dallara
What did he do in 2024: 22nd in the Indy Lights championship on 74 points after contesting five races. Missig's best finish was ninth at Gateway.

What to expect in 2025: Missig hasn't had great seasons in the Road to Indy. I don't think he will be in the championship top ten, but he should have a few top ten finishes. 

Andretti Cape
Sebastian Murray: #2 Dream Racing Dubai Dallara
What did he do in 2024: 18th in the GB3 Championship with three top ten finishes. 

What to expect in 2025: No expectations. Everything will be new for Murray. If he wasn't great in GB3, he isn't going to be great in Indy Lights.

Ricardo Escotto : #3 Frank's Red Hot Dallara
What did he do in 2024: Ninth in the USF Pro 2000 Championship on 218 points with two podium finishes and five top five finishes. Escotto was also 23rd in the Indy Lights championship on 59 points after contesting five races. His best finish was 13th at Laguna Seca and Milwaukee. 

What to expect in 2025: Escotto had a good testing pace. Looking at the grid though, there are four Andretti cars you think will be quicker, at least two or three HMD cars that should be quicker and possibly another driver or two who should be better. Escotto could be on the fringe of the championship top ten.

Abel Motorsports with Force Indy
Myles Rowe: #99 Force Indy Dallara
What did he do in 2024: 11th in the Indy Lights championship on 285 points with two top five finishes.

What to expect in 2025: Rowe had a good season going in the first half of 2024, and then he could not catch a break between mechanical issues and being caught in accidents not of his making. The misfortunate should not follow him. That alone should put Rowe in the championship top ten. He was quick in testing. If that translate into the season, he can push for the championship top five and win a race or two. Sneaky championship contender. 

Abel Motorsports with Miller Vinatieri Motorsports
Jack William Miller: #40 Patterson Dental Haven Go by SAAM Dallara
What did he do in 2024: 15th in the Indy Lights championship on 216 points with two top ten finishes.

What to expect in 2025: More of the season. Many finishes between 12th and 15th. 

Chip Ganassi Racing
Jonathan Browne: #9 Hover Energy Dallara
What did he do in 2024: 13th in the Indy Lights championship on 279 points with eight top ten finishes. 

What to expect in 2025: For a revival of the Ganassi Indy Lights program, it has been a quiet preseason, and you wouldn't think Chip Ganassi Racing has expanded into the championship. Browne did well last year, but not spectacular. I don't see much change from his 2024 results. There has been no indication that Ganassi's Indy Light program is going to look like Ganassi's IndyCar program.

Niels Koolen: #10 Super B Dallara
What did he do in 2024: 20th in the Indy Lights championship on 140 points with one top ten finish. Koolen contested nine of 14 races. He also ran in two Formula Two rounds at Monza and Baku, and his best finish was 19th. 

What to expect in 2025: Koolen has been unspectacular in his first three seasons in car racing. Don't anticipate that changing in year four.

USF Pro 2000
Eight race weekends will be held this season for USF Pro 2000, seven of which will be in association with an IndyCar weekend.

After the season opening doubleheader in St. Petersburg, USF Pro 2000 will go to NOLA Motorsports Park for a triple-header over the weekend of April 12-13. Another triple-header will follow at the IMS road course over May 9-10. The only oval race will be at the halfway point of the season with Indianapolis Raceway Park hosting a race on May 23. 

The second half of the season begins with a triple-header at Road America a month after the IRP weekend. Mid-Ohio has a doubleheader on the first weekend of July. Toronto will host a doubleheader two weeks later. The season ends in Portland with two races.

Teams:
Pabst Racing
Max Garcia: #18 Advance Auto Parts/Bell/OMP/Starling Design Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: The U.S. F2000 champion on 428 points with five victories, ten podium finishes, 15 top five finishes and his worst finish was seventh.

What to expect in 2025: Garcia will be at the front and be a championship threat. He is with the right team. Pabst will put him in a good spot. His consistency can carry over to the next level. 

Jacob Douglas: #19 DouglasFay Group/Fleet Cost & Care Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: Douglas sat out the 2024 season due to funding issues. He was sixth in the 2023 U.S. F2000 championship with two victories and five podium finishes. 

What to expect in 2025: It stunk Douglas was out for the 2024 season. His test results are encouraging. He should be in the conversation for the championship top five. 

Michael Costello: #20 Proguard Automotive/EDA Eyewear Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: Ninth in the U.S. F2000 championship on 218 points with one victory, three podium finish, four top five finishes and 11 top ten finishes.

What to expect in 2025: All three Pabst drivers are going to have good years. They cannot all be champion. They likely will not go 1-2-3. They should all be in the championship top ten. Costello will likely be third of the three, but should still have impressive days.

Turn 3 Motorsport
Cooper Becklin: #2 Helmet House Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: 18th in the USF Pro 2000 championship on 90 points after contesting only the final nine races. Becklin had four top ten finishes. 

What to expect in 2025: Expectations are low. I don't think Becklin will crack the championship top ten.

Titus Sherlock: #3 Mosaic Animal Health Center/Rayne Nutrition Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: Fourth in the Formula Regional Americas Championship on 185 points with four victories and eight podium finishes in 17 starts. 

What to expect in 2025: This is a change of scenery for Sherlock, and the competition will be tougher. He should have some top ten finishes, but not be a regular finisher there.

Tyke Durst: #33 FHI/Relay Payments/Drive Toward a Cure Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: 17th in the USF Pro 2000 championship on 107 points with one top ten finish.

What to expect in 2025: Somewhere around Becklin. A good day here or there, but Durst will not have 13 top ten finishes and a few top five results.

Alessandro de Tullio: #44 DTI Group/Sport Summa/InterMS Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: 20th in the USF Pro 2000 championship on 66 points after contesting the final six races. De Tullio had one top five finish and there top ten finishes.

What to expect in 2025: De Tullio likely surprised a lot of people leading the NOLA test, and he had good speed at the Chris Griffis Memorial Test. It is an unknown with de Tullio if this can last over a full season. At the moment, he appears to be an early contender.

Velocity Racing Development
Owen Tangavelou: #84 VRD Racing Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: Fourth in the Eurocup-3 championship on 158 points with one victory, three podium finishes and nine top five finishes in 15 starts.

What to expect in 2025: I am not sure how well Eurocup-3 translate to USF Pro 2000. VRD does have good cars. Tangavelou should have a few top ten finishes, but those might not be the most competitive days. 

Max Taylor: #88 PINK/Susan G. Komen Foundation/Unicorn Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: Third the U.S. F2000 championship on 343 points with four victories, eight podium finishes and 12 top five finishes.

What to expect in 2025: It will be interesting to see if Taylor's Indy Lights gig will be a distraction. Taylor wasn't blindingly quick at the NOLA test, but that was cut short a day due to weather. He should be competitive and competing for victories while possibly being a championship contender.

T.J. Speed Motorsports
Jace Denmark: #26 3-Dimensional Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: Third in the USF Pro 2000 championship on 345 points with nine podium finishes, but no victories, and 12 top five finishes.

What to expect in 2025: This was a late assignment. We know Denmark is quick but he couldn't quite breakthrough for victory. He should be in the championship top ten again. Denmark was looking to Indy Lights during the offseason. I just wonder if this ride coming together late will cost him early in the championship and he isn't quite in form for the start.

Ariel Elkin: #27 Zero Network/Swift Garage Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: Fourth in the USF Juniors championship on 278 points with three victories and five podium finishes.

What to expect in 2025: Elkin was in the top ten in testing. He is jumping right from USF Juniors into USF Pro 2000. The championship top ten looks likely.

Sebastian Manson: #28 Manson's TCLM LTD/Ted Manson Foundation Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: Second in the New Zealand Formula Ford Championship and second in the Formula Regional Japanese Championship with six podium finishes and nine top five finishes in 14 races.

What to expect in 2025: Fringe of the championship top ten. 

Jay Howard Driver Development
Tanner DeFabis: #4 Destination Athlete Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: 18th in the U.S. F2000 championship on 103 points with a victory at Indianapolis Raceway Park, but DeFabis only ran the first ten races. 

What to expect in 2025: Back of the championship. He might do well at IRP, but that will likely be it.

Frankie Mossman: #6 Ethika/Jaxxon/Ivy Day Spa/Arai Americas Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: Eighth in the USF Pro 2000 championship on 222 points with two podium finishes, three top five finishes and 13 top ten finishes.

What to expect in 2025: Mossman was good in testing. There are about eight drivers that are fringe top ten championship drivers.

DEForce Racing
Nicholas Monteiro: #9 Unique/Caye International Bank/Collection Suites Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: 13th in the USF Pro 2000 championship on 162 points with five top ten finishes.

What to expect in 2025: About the same as last year. Mostly outside the top ten and benefitting if other drivers pull out of the championship early.

Jorge Garciarce: #10 Sidral Aga/Red Cola/Skarch Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: Tenth in the USF Pro 2000 championship on 199 points with one top five finish and 11 top ten finishes.

What to expect in 2025: He will be going by "George" this year. His testing results were not quite matching what he did last year. There is a chance for a step back considering the competition that is entering the series.

Exclusive Autosport
Mac Clark: #90 Corpay Cross-Border Solution/Cubine Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: 11th in the USF Pro 2000 championship on 187 points with four top five finishes and 11 top ten finishes after running 16 of 18 races.

What to expect in 2025: Better than last year. Clark looked good in testing and could be a championship contender. He should at least be pushing for the championship top five.

Joey Brienza: #91 Huntsman Mental Health Foundation/UBS Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: Fifth in the U.S. F2000 championship on 265 points with four podium finishes, eight top five finishes and 16 top ten finishes.

What to expect in 2025: Testing was a little disappointing. It is tough to gauge if it was just a matter of not getting enough time in the car. This could be a season that starts slow and improves throughout the summer.

Carson Etter: #92 Priority Workforce/GATC Health Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: 16th in the U.S. F2000 championship on 121 points with three top ten finishes.

What to expect in 2025: At no point did Etter's speed look particularly dangerous in testing.

Comet/NCMP Racing
Logan Adams: #21 Comet/New Castle Motorsports Park Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: 16th in the USF Pro 2000 championship on 114 points with one top five finishes and three top ten finishes after contesting 14 of 18 races.

What to expect in 2025: At no point did Adams' speed look particularly dangerous in testing.

U.S. F2000
U.S. F2000 will run an identical schedule as USF Pro 2000, eight rounds and 18 races, but the race weekends vary between doubleheader and triple-headers.

The first two race weeks are identical, doubleheader at St. Petersburg before a triple-header at NOLA Motorsports Park, but the IMS road course weekend will be a doubleheader. U.S. F2000 will also run a single race at Indianapolis Raceway Park. 

The next difference is at Road America, where U.S. F2000 will only run a doubleheader. Mid-Ohio will be a triple-header weekend while Toronto matches as a doubleheader. The U.S. F2000 finale will be at Portland, but that weekend will be a triple-header.

Teams:
Pabst Racing
G3 Argyros: #23 Positive Beverage/Elephant Cooperation Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: 17th in the U.S. F2000 championship on 112 points with a victory and five top ten finishes after starting ten of 18 races. 

What to expect in 2025: Argyros ended 2024 was a surprise victory. I don't think he will be winning regularly, but he should be good enough for the championship top ten.

Caleb Gafrarar: #24 Circle K/Bell/Racing Electronics/Molecule Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: Gafrarar competed in karting before running four rounds in the Formula Ford 1600 championship in the United Kingdom where he won a race and had two top five finishes. 

What to expect in 2025: There is a chance Gafrarar will be better than Argyros. He will have some top five finishes, possibly get on the podium. He showed pace that could be good enough for winning races.

Jay Howard Driver Development
Liam McNeilly: #6 Acclaim Contracts/Wolf International Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: Second in the USF Juniors championship on 324 points with five victories and eight podium finishes in 16 races.

What to expect in 2025: I would say McNeilly is one of the early championship favorites. He was quick at both the NOLA and Chris Griffis Memorial Test. He will definitely win a few races. 

Brad Majman: #7 Nat Pat/Paul Marc Masons/Kart Class Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: Fifth in the Ligier JS F4 Series with three victories, four podium finishes and six top five finishes in 15 races. 

What to expect in 2025: Majman showed good testing pace. Top five finishes are likely with a good number of top ten results.

Timothy Carel: #8 Fast Toys Club Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: 11th in the USF Juniors championship on 131 points with oe top five finish and eight top ten finishes in 14 starts.

What to expect in 2025: Some tough days with hopes of improving as the season goes on.

Anthony Martella: #9 NIN Transport/VPS Service Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: 23rd in the USF Juniors championship on 55 points with three top ten finishes in seven starts

What to expect in 2025: Martella should get some top ten finishes. There could be days where he is breaking into the top five. 

Velocity Racing Development
Thomas Schrage: #2 Doug Mockett & Company/Airport Electric Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: 12th in the U.S. F2000 championship on 156 points with two podium finishes, three top five finishes and six top ten finishes after running 15 of 18 races.

What to expect in 2025: Scrhage's testing results did not quite lineup with what we saw last year. He could improve into the championship top ten. 

Christian Cameron: #19 TKO Motorsport/Bitumen Group Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: Tenth in the USF Juniors championship on 135 points with two top five finishes. 

What to expect in 2025: Outside the championship top ten. 

Teddy Musella: #25 Triari Competizione/Don't Sleep Energy Drink Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: Ligier JS F4 Series champion with five victories, 12 podium finishes and 14 top five finishes in 15 races.

What to expect in 2025: Some top ten finishes, but possibly better. Musella might not be in the top tier, but second tier of drivers.

DEForce Racing
Jeshua Alianell: #11 BTEC Turbines/TWFG Insurance Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: 18th in the USF Juniors championship on 83 points with two top ten finishes. 

What to expect in 2025: Maybe a few top ten finishes, but those will likely come later in the season.

Sebastian Garzón: #12 Lucas Oil School of Racing Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: Competed in karting and won at the US SuperNationals in KA100 Junior and X30 Junior.

What to expect in 2025: For a driver stepping into car racing for the first time, Garzón looked impressive in testing. He will be learning though. If he has good results, he should be happy, but he will likely have a few tough days that are not the end of the world.

Brady Golan: #18 DEForce Racing Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: 13th in the U.S. F2000 championship on 154 points with three top ten finishes.

What to expect in 2025: Fringe of the championship top ten.

Exclusive Autosport
Evan Cooley: #90 Brown Brothers Harriman Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: 13th in the USF Juniors championship with three top five finishes and six top ten finishes in 13 starts. Cooley started four U.S. F2000 races and he won pole position for the IMS road course round. He had a third-place finish at that round and he was fourth in Toronto. 

What to expect in 2025: Cooley looked good in testing and he looked good last year in his few starts. He should be in the championship top ten with a good chance at the top five.

Lucas Fecury: #91 Grupo São Paulo/Allma Management Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: 14th in the U.S. F2000 championship on 146 points with five top ten finishes.

What to expect in 2025: Fringe of the championship top ten.

Jack Jeffers: #92 Corpay Cross-Border Solutions Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: Fifth in the USF Juniors championship with six podium finishes. 

What to expect in 2025: Jeffers will be in the championship discussion. He will win a few races. It should not be a surprise if we see a fair number of races with Jeffers and McNeilly going toe-to-toe.

Sarah Fisher Hartman Racing
Wian Boshoff: #67 Filtaquip/Sarah Fisher Hartman Racing Development Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: Boshoff competed in karting last year and this is his first step into car racing. 

What to expect in 2025: This is a big jump for Boshoff. The goal should be to complete as many laps as possible.

Synergy Motorsport
Eddie Beswick: #30 Synergy Motorsport Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: Australian Formula Ford champion with three victories and 11 podium finishes. Beswick ran the Toronto round and finished 14th and 17th.

What to expect in 2025: Beswick is moving to a new country. Everything will be new. He is going to be learning in every session. 

Benchmark Autosport
Ayrton Houk: #58 Wings and Wheel Foundation Tatuus
What did he do in 2024: 11th in the U.S. F2000 championship on 161 points with one top five finish and even top ten finishes after running 16 of 18 races. 

What to expect in 2025: Houk was on the fringe of the championship top ten last year. I think he will be in the same spot as last year.

U.S. F2000 opens the St. Petersburg weekend with its first race at 4:45 p.m. ET on Friday February 28. Its second race will be at 12:30 p.m. ET on Saturday March 1. 

USF Pro 2000 will race at 11:35 a.m. ET on Saturday with race two at 8:00 a.m. on Sunday March 2. 

Indy Lights's only race this weekend will be at 10:10 a.m. ET on Sunday.


Tuesday, February 25, 2025

2025 MotoGP Season Preview

IndyCar is not the only series opening its 2025 season this weekend. On the other side of the world, MotoGP begins its world championship season in Buriram, Thailand, the first of 22 rounds that will stretch until November 16. 

Plenty of changes have occurred this offseason with riders switching teams and even a team switching manufacturers. There is already going to be an absence on the grid due to injury, and we haven't even made it to the first race weekend. 

It is expected to be an enthralling championship to the very end. To start, we will look at when and where the championship will race this year.

Schedule
For the first time ever, Buriram hosts the season opener. The previous five Thailand Grand Prix all took place in the month of October. 

From Buriram, MotoGP heads east to the Americas. Argentina is scheduled to return for March 16 after a one-year absence due to government funding cut from the race. The Circuit of the Americas will host the series on March 30. Qatar will run on April 13 after Ramadan has taken place.

Jerez remains the opening round of the European portion of the season on April 27, two weeks prior to the French Grand Prix on May 11. The British Grand Prix moves up to May 25. This is the earliest the British Grand Prix has ever taken place, and the earliest a world championship round has taken place in the United Kingdom since the Isle of Man TT counted toward the championship in 1975.

Aragón moves up to June 8, the earliest it has ever hosted MotoGP. The Italian Grand Prix from Mugello will be June 22, and Mugello is the first round of a back-to-back with the Dutch TT. This is one of seven instances of consecutive weekends with races in 2025. The next one will be July 13 and July 20 with Germany and the Czech Republic. Brno is back on the calendar after a four-year hiatus. After Brno will be the summer break. 

Competition resumes in Austria at the Red Bull Ring on August 17. Seven days later, MotoGP is slated to return to Hungary and race on the Balaton Park Circuit for the first time. This is the fourth attempted revival of this race. MotoGP has only previously raced in Hungary in 1990 and 1992 with both rounds running at the Hungaroring. 

Barcelona hosts the 15th round of the championship on September 7, seven days prior to the final round of the European leg of the championship from Misano. 

The first of two legs of the Asia-Pacific swing begins on September 28 in Japan with Indonesia following on October 5. There will be a week off before the second leg, starting at Phillip Island and the Australia Grand Prix on October 19 with Malaysia following on October 26. 

The 2025 season concludes with a two-week Iberian swing. The Portuguese Grand Prix from Portimão will run on November 9 with the Valencian Community Grand Prix ending the season on November 16.

Teams

Ducati Lenovo Team
Riders: Francesco Bagnaia (#63 Ducati Desmosedici GP24.9) & Marc Márquez (#93 Ducati Desmosedici GP24.9)

Who should win the intra-team battle?
The most anticipated intra-team battle in ages, the Bagnaia-Márquez partnership is expected to be a test to see if Bagnaia is actually as good as his two MotoGP World Championships suggest or if Márquez can find his old groove on the best bike on the grid. 

Márquez was stellar in testing, and led the way at the Buriram session. Bagnaia had the edge at the Sepang test. 

This should fluctuate back-and-forth at every round. Both riders have a habit of pushing it over the limit. Bagnaia showed in recent seasons to control that aggression, but it cost him a little last year, particularly in sprint races. Márquez went over the edge a few times even when not on the best bike. The Spaniard did have that under control for most of last season, and it netted him third in the championship. 

The machine will be under Márquez, but he will have a teammate pushing him to a higher level. They are both going to push one another. That could cost Márquez and be to Bagnaia's benefit or vice versa. Considering what Márquez did last year on a year-old bike, if he doesn't beat himself, he is believed to have the edge over Bagnaia, though it will likely be close no matter what happens.

Where should Ducati finish in the championship?
First. It is still the best bike on the grid, and it has combined two of the best riders in the championship. I am not sure we will see the same kind of domination from Ducati, but it should claim the championship again this year.

Prima Pramac Yamaha MotoGP
Riders: Jack Miller (#43 Yamaha YZR-M1) & Miguel Oliveira (#88 Yamaha YZR-M1)

Who should win the intra-team battle?
One of the reasons for Ducati's success last year was Pramac. Pramac has switched to Yamaha and it has drafted in Jack Miller and Miguel Oliveira. 

Miller had the edge over Oliveira in testing at both Buriram and Sepang. Pramac Yamaha wasn't great, but looked a little more competitive compared to how Yamaha ran last year. Oliveira's two seasons on an Aprilia were not as fruitful as his years on a KTM, but the Portuguese rider's success has been hitting it on his best day and then being good but not great the rest of the time. 

Miller was not all that brilliant on a KTM, and he cost himself more points than he would like to admit. More times than not, Miller should be ahead of these two on speed alone.

Where should Pramac finish in the championship?
It will be lower than second in the championship. Much lower at that. Last year, the factory Yamaha outfit, the only Yamaha team on the grid in 2024, scored 144 points. Fabio Quartararo was responsible for 113 of those points. If Pramac is in the top nine, it has been a decent season.

Gresini Racing MotoGP
Riders: Fermín Aldeguer (#54 Ducati Desmosedici GP24) & Álex Márquez (#73 Ducati Desmosedici GP24

Who should win the intra-team battle?
Márquez has spent five seasons in MotoGP, the last two on a year-old Ducati. Aldeguer ended 2023 as the hottest Moto2 rider, and teams could not miss the chance to scoop him up, only for his 2024 season to be a bit of a letdown. He still won three races and was fifth the championship, but he did not take a leap forward as was expected.

Márquez had the better of the two in testing. He is on a year-old Ducati again. That experience should favor Márquez, but Aldeguer could come on and make it closer in the closing stages of the season.

Where should Gresini finish in the championship?
With Pramac a Yamaha team, it creates a vacuum for the Ducati bikes. Gresini should benefit to an extent. The issue is the VR46 Racing Team has gotten its hands on the third current generation bike and Gresini is the only Ducati team fielding two year-old models. 

It should still be good for Gresini. Between third and fifth. 

Aprilia Racing
Riders: Jorge Martín (#1 Aprilia RS-GP25), Lorenzo Savadori - #32 Aprilia RS-GP25 & Marco Bezzecchi (#72 Aprilia RS-GP25

Who should win the intra-team battle?
If Martín misses anymore than the opening round due to a hand injury suffered in training, which is different from the injuries he suffered in Sepang testing, it leans a little more into Bezzecchi's favor. If Martín only misses one round, he should do well enough to be impressive in the championship but still fall well short of a successful title defense. 

Where should Aprilia finish in the championship?
Aprilia should be better than last year, and that is partially due to the inclusion of Martín. On the days Aprilia is quick, it will be giving Ducati a run for its money. When the speed isn't there, it will be in the middle of the top ten. 

Ducati very well could go 1-2-3 in the championship again with its teams. Aprilia is likely the best chance to break that up. If it isn't third, it will be fourth in 2025.

Pertamina Enduro VR46 Racing Team
Riders: Franco Morbidelli (#21 Ducati Desmosedici GP24) & Fabio Di Giannantonio (#49 Ducati Desmosedici GP24.9)

Who should win the intra-team battle?
Considering he will have the newer bike, it will be Di Giannantonio. Considering Morbidelli was only eight points better than Di Giannantonio last year and Di Giannantonio missed three races, it should be Di Giannantonio. 

Prior to his shoulder injury that required Di Giannantonio to miss the final two rounds, he was on pace to finish seventh in the championship, three spots better than his final position. On the current Ducati, he should be challenging for race victories.

Where should VR46 finish in the championship?
This team should be second in the championship. If it finishes behind Gresini it will have been a massive letdown.

Red Bull KTM Factory Racing
Riders: Brad Binder (#33 KTM RC16) & Pedro Acosta (#37 KTM RC16)

Who should win the intra-team battle?
Acosta looks like he is going to lift KTM further up the grid than anyone should. Year two for the Spaniard should see significant results even though this manufacturer is in financial turmoil. Acosta could win a race or two on pure speed. I don't think Binder can do that, and I don't think you can count on consistency getting KTM fifth in the championship with a rider. It is going to take skill to finish that high in the championship this year.

Where should Red Bull KTM finish in the championship?
I think everyone expects the bottom to drop out on KTM, and it could if the off-track issues force some difficult decisions on the racing side. This team will go as far as Acosta can go. With the speed of the Ducatis and the assurance of the Aprilia, it feels like fifth is the limit for the factory KTM team. 

Red Bull GasGas Tech3
Riders: Maverick Viñales (#12 KTM RC16) & Enea Bastianini (#23 KTM RC16)

Who should win the intra-team battle?
Both riders are coming off outstanding seasons at other manufacturers. Bastianini won multiple races and was able to be healthy for the entire season with Ducati. Viñales was the lone non-Ducati victory in 2024 as he put Aprilia on the top step of the podium in the United States. The customer KTM team is a long step back for both riders. 

Edge to Viñales because he has spent more time developing bikes while Bastianini spent four seasons at Ducati when the worst Ducati was still challenging for the top five on a regular basis. 

Where should GasGas Tech3 finish in the championship?
While Acosta looked quick in testing and Binder was respectable, the Tech3 bikes were out to lunch.  Of the 242 points GasGas Tech3 scored in 2024, Acosta was responsible for 215 of them. Pedro Acosta is not walking through that door. Tech3 should fall at least one spot, if not more in the championship.

Monster Energy Yamaha MotoGP
Riders: Fabio Quartararo (#20 Yamaha YZR-M1) & Álex Rins (#42 Yamaha YZR-M1)

Who should win the intra-team battle?
Quartararo, no question. The Frenchman was doing some Herculean performances last year and even in testing Quartararo was turning heads for what he was doing with a bike little have faith in to be competitive. Quartararo is the backbone of this team and he will be looking to get more out of this season.

Where should Yamaha finish in the championship?
It cannot be worse than last year, and I think there is a chance Quartararo can take it a step further, which would be incredible. If he can do that, he could put Yamaha ahead of GasGas Tech3, which could be for sixth in the championship considering the belief the factory Yamaha team will beat the Pramac Yamaha team.

Trackhouse Racing MotoGP
Riders: Raúl Fernández (#25 Aprilia RS-GP25) & Ai Ogura (#88 Aprilia RS-GP25)

Who should win the intra-team battle?
Ogura was regularly quicker than Fernández in testing, and he was running top ten times consistently at Buriram. This looks to be leaning in the rookie's favor.

Where should Trackhouse finish in the championship?
Being with Aprilia should help this team in year two. There is a chance Trackhouse approves and is between the Yamaha teams and KTM teams. Seventh in the championship is realistic if KTM is really bad and GasGas Tech3 stumbles more than the KTM factory team, and Pramac Yamaha struggles mightily. 

LCR Honda Idemitsu/Castrol
Riders: Johann Zarco (#5 Honda RC213V) & Somkiat Chantra (#35 Honda RC213V)

Who should win the intra-team battle?
Zarco, hands down. Zarco had a few impressive runs in testing, and he might have been the best Honda rider overall. Chantra is drinking from a firehose. Zarco's experience will be immense. Chantra is in for a rude awakening at the top level. 

Where should LCR Honda finish in the championship?
The goal for LCR Honda should be to remain ahead of the factory Honda team. That will likely mean finishing tenth place. Ninth might be too far, but if things are really bad for KTM or Honda is surprisingly good, it is possible LCR Honda could rise up the order.

Honda HRC Castrol
Riders: Luca Marini (#10 Honda RC213V) & Joan Mir (#36 Honda RC213V)

Who should win the intra-team battle?
Mir had notable pace at the Buriram test. Marini had his own good days at Sepang. Only seven points separated these two last year. Neither is going to be competing for much. They need to be working together to rise up the order.

Where should Honda finish in the championship?
Marini and Mir should combine to do better than Zarco and Chantra at LCR Honda. The distribution should be more equal at the factory Honda team while Zarco will be pulling more weight at LCR. Again, if Honda is good and improving the most over the course of the season, and KTM is having off-track distractions affect on-track results, ninth is possible.

The Thailand Grand Prix weekend will being with practice at 10:45 p.m. ET on Thursday February 27. Second practice will follow at 3:00 a.m. ET on Friday February 28. On Friday night, practice will run at 10:10 p.m. before qualifying takes place. The first round will be at 10:50 p.m. with the second round at 11:15 p.m. 

The first sprint race will run at 3:00 a.m. on Saturday March 1 with the Thailand Grand Prix following 24 hours later on Sunday March 2.