Tuesday, December 26, 2023

2024 Formula One Predictions

Christmas is behind us, and it brings us to our Boxing Day tradition of making Formula One predictions for the upcoming season. We are coming off a historic, record-breaking season from Max Verstappen and Red Bull, but it was tight for second through fourth in the constructors' championship, and some drivers were basically bound together in the drivers' championship at the very end. 

It will be a new season in 2024, but after 2022 and 2023, it is difficult to think we will see much different. It might not be identical, but at the moment there is no reason to expect a big flip in running order. That doesn't mean we will not see different things nor things that will please us in the new season. 

1. The second Red Bull entry leads at least 200 laps
Max Verstappen led 1,003 laps in 2023. Sergio Pérez led 146 laps in 2023. 

Pérez did win the second most races in 2023, two. It was a little underwhelming compared to the success of his Red Bull teammate. After what we saw, it is hard to believe Pérez could take anything away from Verstappen's success in 2024. However, it is had to see how if Red Bull remains the best team that the second car does not do a little better if it means Verstappen does a little worse. Take away two victories and 100 laps from Verstappen and it is still a historically, successful season. 

But, who knows? It might not necessarily be Pérez in that second Red Bull car, and we should take that into consideration. Red Bull has a history of changing drivers midseason. It just did it in 2023 with AlphaTauri. 

We are leaving the door open for that. It is hard to see Verstappen being that dominant again. If Red Bull is great, the second car will do better in 2024 than it did in 2023. Leading 200 laps is not asking much in that scenario. 

2. There will be midseason driver changes at multiple teams
All 20 drivers that started the 2023 season finale at Abu Dhabi is slated to be on the grid for the 2024 season opener at Bahrain. 

There were two driver changes all of 2023. Daniel Ricciardo replaced Nyck de Vries at Hungarian Grand Prix. Liam Lawson deputized for Ricciardo for five races after Ricciardo suffered a wrist injury in practice for the Dutch Grand Prix. 

Somebody is going to get tired of somebody in 2024. 

We have covered that there is the possibility Red Bull could shake its driver lineup midseason. It should be mentioned Williams has a driver that wasn't necessarily performing to a desired level in 2023. A unfruitful stretch to start 2024 could lead to Logan Sargeant being shuffled out at Williams. 

There is always the possibility of the unforeseen. A relationship blowing up midseason, money drying up, a driver deciding to leave early, another Ricciardo wrist injury. Things are too calm in Formula One. There will be a spicy situation at some point next season.

3. On at least one occasions there will be three consecutive different winners
This is basically hoping Red Bull will lose multiple races, but this can also be a fulfilled prediction with Red Bull success. 

All we need is Max Verstappen to win a race, Sergio Pérez to win a race and then a non-Red Bull driver to win a race. This could have happened in 2023 if Pérez had just won the Italian Grand Prix or Qatar Grand Prix. 

We did not see three consecutive different winners in 2023. I think we are all hopeful it happens in 2024. We are hoping for an increase in competitiveness. We would like to see Ferrari being able to take it to Red Bull more. We would like to see Mercedes get back to their winning ways, and after going winless in 2023, you have to think Mercedes is keen on bouncing back from its worst season in over a decade. McLaren looked racy. 

We would love to see three different winners in three consecutive races from three different manufacturers. That would be great. We can all dream.

4. Each Williams car will score at least four points
Alexander Albon had another outstanding season carrying Williams. Albon scored 27 points in 2023. He got Williams up to seventh, its best season since 2017. 

The problem is Albon scored 96.428% of Williams' points. Williams was 92 points behind Alpine for sixth in the constructors' championship, not that simply cloning Albon would have made much of a difference, but another driver adding points would at least have created some breathing room between Williams and AlphaTauri in eighth, which was only three points behind Williams. 

This prediction is either hoping Logan Sargeant makes the bare minimum improvement and can score four points in 2024 instead of one, or Sargeant is replaced and another driver is able to extract something from Williams. 

I am not saying Williams is going to score 50 or 60 points in 2024. There is a chance we could see Williams only score 12 points, but Albon and the other driver, whether it be Sargeant or another competition, each score six points. Keep that in mind.

5. Fernando Alonso finishes at least five positions better than Lance Stroll in fewer than nine grand prix
Alonso whooped Stroll in 2023. There was a 132-point gap between Alonso and Stroll in the championship. Alonso was on the podium eight times. Stroll didn't finish on the podium once. Aston Martin ended up finishing 22 points behind McLaren for fourth in the constructors' championship. A stronger second driver for Aston Martin likely would have scored enough points to hold off McLaren. 

In 2023, Alonso finished at least five positions better than Stroll in ten races. In 2024, I think that total will go down. I don't think Alonso will have the same hot start in 2024 and score six podium finishes in the first eight events. 

Aston Martin will dip a little and bring Alonso closer to Stroll. Alonso will still be the top driver in the team and score a majority of Aston Martin's points, but the gap will not be as wide. 

6. McLaren will score more than 29 points in at least six grand prix
Speaking of McLaren, it started the season with 29 points in the first nine races of the 2023 season. McLaren ended up scoring 273 points in the final 11 races, lifting McLaren to fourth in the constructors' championship. 

McLaren ended on a hot streak. It had seven runner-up finishes in the final 11 races. Twice it had multiple podium finishes. The only other team to have multiple podium finishes in 2023 was Red Bull. 

The Woking outfit has gotten off to some slow starts the last few seasons, but I think with the form McLaren ended on in 2023, it will not start slow in 2024. McLaren will be in the mix more from the start, and that means more points being scored. 

McLaren scored 29 points or more in three grand prix last year. I think McLaren will at least double that total in 2024. Note: All these points must be scored on Sunday. Sprint races will not count.

7. The gap between sixth and seventh in the constructors' championship will be less than 40 points
There was a country-mile between sixth and seventh in the constructors' championship in 2023. As stated above, Alpine was 92 points ahead of Williams went the season ended. Alpine was good, but it wasn't that good.

How does 92 points compared to the gaps between sixth and seventh in previous seasons?

2022: 0 Points (Alfa Romeo and Aston Martin tied on 55 points)
2021: 65 Points (AlphaTauri's 142 to Aston Martin's 77)
2020: 24 Points (Ferrari's 131 to AlphaTauri's 107)
2019: 12 Points (Toro Rosso's 85 to Racing Points 73)
2018: 10 Points (McLaren's 62 to Force India's 52, note this was the year Force India had 59 points voided after entering administration)
2017: 4 Points (Renault's 57 to Toro Rosso's 53)
2016: 13 Points (McLaren's 76 to Toro Rosso's 63)
2015: 11 Points (Lotus' 78 to Toro Rosso's 67)
2014: 125 Points (Force India's 155  to Toro Rosso's 30)
2013: 20 Points (Force India's 77 to Sauber's 57)
2012: 17 Points (Sauber's 126 to Force India's 109)
2011: 25 Points (Force India's 69 to Sauber's 44)
2010: 1 Point (Williams' 69 to Force India's 68)

In the 14 seasons since the adoption of the current points system, the average difference between sixth and seventh in the constructors' championship has been 29.928 points. The median has been 15 points. The 2023 season was only the third time the game was greater than 25 points. I am not sure this will necessarily fall to the high-teens or low-to-mid 20s, but that gap will at less than half of what it was in 2023.

8. Charles Leclerc will finish eighth in at least two races
It has been a tough few seasons for Leclerc. There were the numerous races that got away from him in 2022. Last year, he didn't win a race while Carlos Sainz, Jr. did. Leclerc did finish ahead of Sainz, Jr. in the championship by six points as that is all that covered fourth to seventh in the drivers' championship. 

In the last two seasons, Leclerc has won three grand prix, 14 pole positions and finished on the podium 17 times. He has finished second and fifth in the championship the last two years. 

Do you want to know what Leclerc hasn't done in the last two seasons?

He has not finished in eighth position. He was seventh in three races in 2023, and ninth at Silverstone. In 2022, every time Leclerc took the checkered fag on the track, he was sixth or better. 

The last time he has finished eighth was the 2021 Qatar Grand Prix. He has finished eighth in only four races in his 123 starts. 

2020 Tuscan Grand Prix from Mugello
2021 Austrian Grand Prix
2021 Belgian Grand Prix (Yes, that Belgian Grand Prix)
2021 Qatar Grand Prix. 

I think Leclerc increases his eighth-place finish total by at least 50% in 2024.

9. Max Verstappen will be in sole possession of fourth all-time in podium finishes by the conclusion of the British Grand Prix
Versatappen has 98 career podium finishes. He is two away from becoming the seventh driver to hit the century mark in podium finishes. 

Who is fourth all-time?

It is currently a tied between Alain Prost and Fernando Alonso on 106 podium finishes. There is wrinkle to this prediction, as fourth all-time could move during the season. For Verstappen to be ahead of Alonso by the end of the season, he would need to finish on the podium at least nine more times than the Spaniard in 2024. 

For Verstappen to be fourth all-time on his own by the end of the British Grand Prix, he would need at least nine podium finishes in the first 12 races, the first half of the season. However, there are moving goal posts, because if Alonso has one podium finish at the end of the British Grand Prix, that means Verstappen would need at least ten podium finishes from the first 12 races to be in sole possession of fourth all-time. 

If Alonso has three podium finishes in the first 12 races then for this prediction to be correct Verstappen must finish on the podium in each of the first 12 races. If Alonso gets four podium finishes in the first 12 races then that means there is no way for this prediction can be correct because that means at best Verstappen can be tied for fourth after the Silverstone race. 

The prediction goes two ways. It is saying Verstappen will keep up his good form, be on the podium in at least 75% of the races in the first half of the season, and Alonso will be on the podium less early in the season compared to 2023. Nothing like a multiple faceted prediction. 

10. Somebody knocks Alain Prost out of the top ten for oldest pole-sitter in Formula One history
Keeping Alonso in the loop for a moment, he is one of only two scheduled drivers who can fulfill this prediction. 

Alonso will be 42 years, seven months and two days old when the 2024 season opener takes place at Bahrain. A pole position that weekend and Alonso would become the fourth oldest driver to win a pole position in Formula One history. If Alonso wins a pole position at any point in 2024, he would take over as fourth oldest pole-sitter. 

If Alonso were to do that, he would bump Prost out of the top ten as the oldest pole-sitters in Formula One history. Prost's final pole position came when he was 38 years and eight months old at the 1993 Japanese Grand Prix, the penultimate race of Prost's career. That pole position made Prost the eighth oldest pole-sitter at the time. Only Nigel Mansell and Kimi Räikkönen have surpassed him. 

Who is the other driver who could knock Prost out of the top ten? 

That would be Lewis Hamilton. Hamilton will be 39 years, one month and 24 days old at the season opener. A pole position that weekend will put Hamilton as the eighth oldest pole-sitter. He could be as high as the sixth-oldest before this season is over.

Basically, I am predicting either Fernando Alonso or Lewis Hamilton win a pole position in 2024. They just need one lap pace. They don't need to beat Red Bull over an entire grand prix. 

11. Yuki Tsunoda will have fewer 11th-place finishes than in 2023
There was a running gag during the 2023 season about the number of 11th-place finishes Tsunoda had. However, it isn't as funny when you look at the facts. 

Tsunoda was classified in 11th position in only three races. Those just happened to be three of the first five races. He also finished 11th on the road a fourth time during that span but was classified in tenth at the Australian Grand Prix after gaining a position due to Carlos Sainz, Jr. being assessed a penalty for causing a collision.

Get this, Tsunoda didn't even have the sole lead for most 11th-place finishes in 2023. Pierre Gasly also had three 11th-place finishes. But everyone ran with this cheap joke for most of the season. 

Guess what? Tsunoda will have fewer 11th-place finishes in 2024. It will become a forgotten gag, which is for the mercy of all of us.

12. Haas will exceed 12 points before Formula One's second visit to the United States
Haas was dead-last in the constructors' championship in 2023. It had 12 points, which is the most for a last-place finisher in the constructors' championship, but it is a hollow record. Haas ended up four points behind Alfa Romeo for ninth, and Haas fell from 37 points in eighth the year before. It was the fourth time in the last five seasons Haas has finished either ninth or tenth in the constructors' championship.

However, as an optimist, I think it will be better for Haas in 2024, and it will have at least 13 points by the time the 2024 Formula One season reaches Austin. That means Haas will 13 points in the first 18 races. A foolish prediction, I know. 

Is there any reason why we should believe in such an increase for Haas? It is keeping Kevin Magnussen around reluctantly for the third year in his second Formula One stint. The team is keeping Nico Hülkenberg for no other apparent reason but lack of ambition. The Haas doesn’t produce great cars. If it wasn't for a mess of a late restart in Australia, Hülkenberg would have scored only three points in 2023, all from the Austria sprint race. 

Haas did have 12 points entering Austin last year. Its final point came when Magnussen was tenth in the Singapore Grand Prix. In six of its first eight seasons, Haas has had at least 12 points entering Austin. I have no other great reason to make this prediction other than it isn't boring and it keeps the sequential number-related predictions going through the very end. It is still lofty to think Haas will have 13 points by the time Formula One enters the United States Grand Prix weekend. 

Formula One done. NASCAR, already done. Three more predictions remain, and we will have some sports car predictions tomorrow. 



Friday, December 22, 2023

2023 Motorsports Christmas List

What better way to close a week than with a holiday on the other side? Christmas is here, and for the next few days we get to spend the time with our families, doing the minor things that make memories for lifetimes. 

While we sip hot chocolate and eggnog, and watch Christmas movies, we all know what will come in a few days, with presents under the tree. We all want something. It doesn't have to be major. The best gift could be the most practical gift, the thing that makes your life a little easier. 

The same goes for those in the motorsports world, and it our yearly tradition to give those faces and places something that would truly appreciate this Christmas. 

Shall we...?

To Álex Palou: Contractual peace.

To Sergio Pérez: A soft landing. 

To Fernando Alonso: A teammate that can score at least 60% of his points total.

To Charles Leclerc: Winning a race from pole position.

To Valtteri Bottas: People stop making the same jokes. It is old, folks. Move on.

To Shane van Gisbergen: Avoid all accidents at Daytona, Talladega and Atlanta.

To every NASCAR broadcaster: Pronunciation lessons.

To Scott McLaughlin: A NASCAR Cup car for all the non-conflict road course races. If van Gisbergen can win on debut, what could McLaughlin do?

To Callum Ilott: A ride in the 11 IndyCar weekends that do not conflict with the FIA World Endurance Championship. 

To Matthew Brabham: Driving in the five IndyCar weekends Ilott cannot race in as well as an Indianapolis 500 entry. 

To Patricio O'Ward: Someone to listen to his concerns.

To Josef Newgarden: Better pace on street courses. 

To Graham Rahal: A race at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway road course where he has the strategy advantage over Scott Dixon.

To Sébastien Bourdais: A flawless day in his hometown in June.

To the Milwaukee Mile IndyCar Event: 35,000 attendees each race day. 

To Chase Elliott: A new winter hobby. 

To Honda: Better return on investment for its IndyCar program. 

To Meyer Shank Racing: A customer GTP program. Any manufacturer it likes. 

To Wayne Taylor Racing: A Petit Le Mans where nothing goes wrong.

To Romain Grosjean: A better grip on the steering wheel at street races. 

To the World Endurance Championship: A better television deal in the United States, or MotorTrend just showing the races in their entirety on its cable channel. What are we doing here? 

To MotoGP: A race at Barber Motorsports Park... it will be on here every year until it happens

To World Superbike: Races on more continents... speaking of it, why hasn't World Superbike raced in Japan in the last 20 years? 

To Eli Tomac: A clean bill health for the entire year.

To Dale Coyne: A proper partner who can run his race team while he keeps his name on the door and remains as a strategist. You know what? Justin Marks. Dale Coyne's gift is Justin Marks. 

To NASCAR: A weekend in Montreal. 

To Kyle Kirkwood: A handful of top five finishes.

To Nick Tandy: A race in Trackhouse's Project 91 effort.

To Nick Cassidy: A GT3 program to fill his downtime between Formula E races. 

To Nico Hülkenberg: The improbable... a Formula One podium finish.

To Logan Sargeant: Results good enough that everyone stops making jokes.

To Lusail International Circuit: Better curbing.

To New Zealand: A Formula E doubleheader. It more than deserves it.

To António Félix da Costa: A few sports car races once the Formula E season is over.

To Deutsche Tourenwagen Masters: A return to Brands Hatch.

To Raffaele Marciello: Turning some heads in the BMW M Hybrid V8.

To Colton Herta: Respectable results.

To Will Power: An easier year, at and away from the racetrack.

To Simon Pagenaud: Medical clearance to return to a race car. 

To Takuma Sato: A full season in Super Formula.

To J.R. Hildebrand: A decision-making role within IndyCar.

To Jorge Martín: Suitable tires in every race.

To Marc Márquez: Career rejuvenation.

To Álex Márquez: A memorable race between him and his brother.

To Enea Bastianini: Job security.

To all the Japanese manufacturers in MotoGP: A return to their highest levels.

To the Race of Champions: A return to a proper stadium event that generates big interest.

To Corey Heim: A contactless Truck Series season finale.

To Louis Foster: Fewer retirements. 

To Sheldon Creed: Getting even. 

To A.J. Allmendinger: A season for the ages.

To Mazda MX-5 Cup: Rounds at Watkins Glen and Road America. Seriously, how is neither track on the 2024 schedule?

To Ryan Blaney: A better summer. 

To Conor Daly: A Daytona 500 attempt that isn't a complete mess. 

To the Brickyard 400: A healthy crowd.

To Indianapolis Raceway Park: NASCAR's second division moving back there. 

To Tony Stewart: Remaining on the ground in his rookie Top Fuel season.

To Chicago: Clear skies for the first ten days of July. 

To Dane Cameron: Picking up where he left off in IMSA.

To Robert Wickens: Development of hand controls to allow him a proper IndyCar test at Indianapolis.

To Kyle Larson: Two weeks of solitude with his family. No racing. No one calling him. No one mentioning his name. He gets enough attention as it is. 

To Marcus Ericsson: That same top ten finishing percentage carrying over from Chip Ganassi Racing.

To Fabio Quartararo: A decoy that can run 50% of the sprint races for him but no one knows it isn't Quartararo on the bike.

To Austin Cindric: A year without bringing up his father in context to his employment.

To Tony Kanaan: Hassle-free travel.

To Alexander Rossi: Multi-color Christmas tree lights.

To Max Verstappen and Fernando Alonso: A Hypercar or LMDh car of their choosing. 

To Marcus Armstrong: A full set of Le Creuset cookware.

To Christian Lundgaard: Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing establishing itself as an IndyCar contender and a place he can build his career.

To Dale Earnhardt, Jr.: A year where his drivers never take each other out of a race.

To the World Rally Championship: A host of heroes. It feels like WRC is lacking those respected names that once filled the championship. 

To Denny Hamlin: Podcast comments that do not carry championship consequences.

To Bubba Wallace: A caution in his favor at a 1.5-mile oval. 

To Martin Truex, Jr.: A complete season.

To Ryan Truex: A full-time ride with Joe Gibbs Racing in NASCAR's second division.

To Ben Rhodes: A full-time chance in NASCAR's second division.

To Layne Riggs: A Cup team signing him to a development contract and committing to it. 

To Rinus VeeKay: Another team believing in his ability.

To Jack Harvey: A second chance in IndyCar.

To Stefan Wilson: A drama-free month of May.

To Álvaro Bautista: A bigger trophy case.

To Toprak Razgatlioglu: BMW getting it right.

To Jonathan Rea: One more taste at glory.

To every other World Superbike ride: A chance at being competitive.

To Andrea Kimi Antonelli: Not winning the Formula Two championship at 18 years old and forcing him into a weird spot where he can no longer race in Formula One's ladder system and forces Mercedes to find somewhere else to race for a year or two before he is actually ready for Formula One.

To Alex Albon: Catching the eye of a bigger team... or Williams having at least an early-2000s renaissance. Either or, the second one sounds better. 

To Lando Norris: A race where he is within five seconds of a Red Bull that has a track limits penalty being applied at the checkered flag.

To Liam Lawson: A team that properly acknowledges his talent. 

To Linus Lundqvist: A rookie season that validates Chip Ganassi's decision to hire him. 

To Pierre Gasly, Esteban Ocon and Théo Pourchaire: A Le Mans entry with an Alpine A424.

To Carlos Sainz, Jr.: Avoiding all drainage covers.

To Ed Carpenter: Acceptance he should only run the Indianapolis 500.

To Hélio Castroneves: Eight more starts along with his Indianapolis 500 appearance to get him to 400 IndyCar starts. 

To Christian Rasmussen: A full IndyCar season like he deserves.

To Tom Blomqvist: Some of that Formula Three magic.

To George Russell: Less reasons to speak over the radio.

To Nyck de Vries: Multiple victores in Formula E and the World Endurance Championship.

To Jake Dennis: A few IndyCar outings with Andretti Global.

To Andretti Global: Everyone remembering the team is now called Andretti Global. 

To Sam Bird: A championship push in Formula E.

To the Las Vegas Grand Prix: A 6:00 p.m. local start. Let's be realistic.

To Circuito de Jerez: The Spanish Grand Prix. It cannot be much worse than Barcelona and is a better option than Madrid.

To Formula One fans based in Europe: Understanding that one race is going to start at 3:00 a.m. Central Europe Time. 

To Lewis Hamilton: Sidepods. 

To Jack Doohan: Something to occupy him at the back of the garage... a yo-yo, perhaps. 

To Frederik Vesti: I guess an IndyCar ride... there is nowhere for these Formula Two drivers to go. 

To every Formula Two driver: Two more Formula One teams because there are not enough spots.

To the existing ten Formula One teams: Money... because it is the only thing that can shut them up. 

To Daniel Ricciardo: A return to the lovely person he was circa 2016.

To Kevin Magnussen: A Cadillac V-Series.R.

To Pirelli: Tires it is confident it can introduce to Formula One that do not require tire blankets.

To Yuki Tsunoda: Another race leading laps. 

To James Calado: Autosport British Competition Driver of the Year because he won the 24 Hours of Le Mans he was the only nominee to win anything. 

To Francesco Bagnaia: Some better sprint race results.

To Marco Bezzecchi: Ice packs.

To Brad Binder: A home race at Kyalami. 

To Franco Morbidelli: The bounce back year he has been waiting for. 

To Joey Logano: Fans appreciating NASCAR drivers more. 

To Alex Quinn: A full-time entry in Indy Lights.

To Myles Rowe: Force Indy support for at least two seasons beyond 2024 if he doesn't immediately break into IndyCar.

To Kyffin Simpson: Towels.

To Kamui Kobayashi: A Super Formula victory.

To Filipe Albuquerque: A commitment that Honda will take him to Le Mans.

To Mick Schumacher: An impressive year in Hypercar. 

To A.J. Foyt Racing: Indianapolis-esque speed everywhere else.

To Santino Ferrucci: Another full season in IndyCar

To Juncos Hollinger Racing: The ability to say the right thing in response to bad behavior.

To Oscar Piastri: Avoiding a sophomore slump.

To Guanyu Zhou: A phenomenal first home race.

To Pedro Acosta: Realistic expectations from everyone else.

To Álex Rins: A Jacuzzi. 

To Aprilia: A little more speed everywhere. Not a lot. Just a little bit. 

To Maverick Viñales: A grand prix where he is in the battle for the lead late. 

To Aleix Espargaró: A hibachi set.

To Lance Stroll: A seat in Aston Martin's Valkyrie program starting in 2025.

To David Malukas: Not being burnt out after a year at McLaren.

To Agustín Canapino: Averaging a top 20 finish in IndyCar.

To Kevin Harvick: Broadcast booth partners that are up to his level.

To William Byron: Keeping up the results.

To Alex Bowman: A year's worth of dog food. 

To Ben Keating: A 24 Hours of Le Mans entry in the Hypercar class.

To Pipo Derani: Some quality sunglasses. 

To Risi Competizione: Enough funding to return to full-time IMSA competition. 

To DragonSpeed: Another shot at IndyCar since it is no longer getting the sports car entries.

To Ryan Newman: A full season in the NASCAR modified series.

To Superstar Racing Experience: Realizing it doesn't need dirt races. 

To the NASCAR Truck Series: Its playoffs not taking two-and-a-half months to complete, and its season finale starting a practical hour. Move the finale to Saturday afternoon with the finale for NASCAR's second division taking place Saturday evening at Phoenix. Makes sense.

To Chase Sexton: Remaining on the bike.

To Jett Lawrence: Another dazzling season.

To Jack Miller: Fewer races getting away from him.

To Takaaki Nakagami: A podium finish. It could be any of the three positions. 

To Phillip Island: Weather that allows a sprint race and a grand prix to take place.

To Felix Rosenqvist: Staying out of the marbles at Indianapolis. 

To Pietro Fittipaldi: Haas wishing it gave him a proper shot at Formula One.

To Jak Crawford: Haas supporting him as a development driver. Come on, Haas! He is right there.

To Christopher Bell: No brake failures.

To Carson Hocevar: Some proper sense.

To Matt Crafton: Anger management.

To Chris Buescher: A pogo stick.

To Jordan Taylor: More aggression for his next NASCAR start.

To Parker Kligerman: Not overdriving the car with a chance to win a race.

To Brad Keselowski: Some good nights of sleep.

To Tyler Reddick: Cozy pair of socks.

To Kalle Rovanperä: A fun year experimenting in other forms of motorsports. 

To Oliver Askew: A full-time ride somewhere. He is a good commentator, but he is too young to be a commentator. 

To the sports car world: Splitting the Asian Le Mans Series into the Middle East Le Mans Series and the Pacific Le Mans Series. Four rounds in the Middle East. Four to five races over the Pacific countries (Japan, China, Thailand, Malaysia, Australia).

To Super GT: Somewhere easy for people to watch the races live around the world.

To Supercars: Same as Super GT.

To GT World Challenge America: Returning to how the fun the series was as Pirelli World Challenge from 2014-2018. It is ok to run with IndyCar. Those were great weekends.

To Indianapolis Motor Speedway: No construction delays on the Hall of Fame and Museum renovations.

Also to Indianapolis Motor Speedway: Higher catchfences. 

To IndyCar's Nashville weekend: No hiccups and no interruptions to the on-track activities.

To Watkins Glen and Richmond: Flipping NASCAR Cup races. It makes zero sense that Watkins Glen is in September after being in August forever and Richmond is in August when it was in September for the longest time. Quick swap.

To North Wilkesboro: One of Atlanta's Cup weekends. 

To Daytona: The second NASCAR weekend returning to July 4th. 

To Atlanta: It's one Cup weekend being the regular season finale. 

To Sonoma: Moving its Cup weekend to the start of the season with the other western races. It makes no sense for there to be one trip to California between races outside St. Louis and in Iowa. 

To NASCAR fans: Amazon Prime subscriptions. You are going to love it. 

To the state of Texas: The NASCAR weekend at Texas Motor Speedwaynot conflicting with any international series taking place at Circuit of the Americas. How does this keep happening?

To Pocono Raceway: An IndyCar-NASCAR doubleheader. 500-mile IndyCar race on Saturday afternoon, 400-mile Cup race on Sunday afternoon. $2 million prize if anyone can win both. $1 million prize if anyone can finish in the top five in both. $500,000 prize if anyone can finish in the top ten in both. 

To Zandvoort: Another rain shower during the Dutch Grand Prix.

To Imola: Clear weather for its grand prix weekend. 

To the Canadian Grand Prix: A sprint weekend. It actually makes sense if you think about it. 

To Sauber: People just calling it Sauber and not overthinking it. 

To Richie Stanaway: A return season for the ages.

To Felipe Massa: Accepting he did not win the world championship in 2008.

To Jack Hawksworth and Ben Barnicoat: Toyota giving them a Toyota GR010 Hybrid for the 24 Hours of Le Mans. Third driver of their choosing. 

To Sebastian Vettel: Returning to racing whenever he is ready.

To Scott Dixon: Quality time with the family.

To Lime Rock Park: An IMSA round. There is literally a month off in from the middle of August to the middle of September. There is your window. 

To Devlin DeFrancesco: Completing a fifth-to-first pass at the start of a race and then not falling off the face of the planet.

To Winward Racing: Avoiding all incidents in the build up to the 24 Hours of Daytona.

To IndyCar: Geez... where to start? How about settling on a definitive date for a new chassis and engine regulations?

To the IndyCar fanbase: Chilling out. Dial it back by about 90%. It's not the end of the world. 

Of course, I wish everyone a Merry Christmas and happy holidays. The years start going a little quicker, but that does not mean they are any less enjoyable. Remember to savor this time with loved ones. I hope every stays safe and healthy. 

Peace and love to all!


Wednesday, December 20, 2023

2024 NASCAR Predictions

Our annual Christmas season tradition is upon us. The year 2023 is effectively over. Most of us are mailing it in for the next 11 days. We will get back to 100% on January 2, maybe we hold off until January 3. But with the year closing, let's look to next year and consider what we could see in 2024. We start with NASCAR!

1. The Cup Series champion will have at least five top five finishes between the months of June, July, August and September
This is in response to the 2023 champion. Ryan Blaney did not have a top five finish from his victory in the Coca-Cola 600 in May to his victory at Talladega on October 1. Blaney went 124 days between top five finishes. He ended with the fewest top five finishes for a Cup champion since Bill Rexford in 1950, NASCAR's second season. 

In all likelihood, that was a fluke. A driver with only eight top five finishes the entire season and none for the entire summer will not win the championship a second consecutive year nor a second time in a decade nor not for another 73 years. It is not likely to happen...

But with this playoff format it is increasingly more likely than any previous format. You don't have to win a lot to win the championship, you just have to win at the right time. That is essentially how Blaney won the championship in 2023. 

However, the cream rises to the top. We are going to see a driver win five or six races and have about 18 top five finishes in the entire season and that driver will win the championship more times than a driver who goes over four months without a top five finish. 

The 2024 champion will have a more prolific season and be at the front more than the 2023 champion, specifically for the four months that make up summer.

2. Every Cup playoff driver finishes the season with at least four top five finishes
The more you look at the Cup Series and consider the competitiveness of this generation of car, we see more variety at the front. There were fewer winners in 2023 than 2022, but there were still 15 winners, including a driver winning on debut. We are seeing more teams clicking at a few tracks or a few disciplines and able to be in the front while running more in the middle elsewhere. 

In 2023, 14 playoff drivers ended the season with five top five finishes or more. However, outside the playoffs was Chase Elliott, who had seven top five finishes. Ty Gibbs, Alex Bowman and A.J. Allmendinger each had four top five finishes. Even Chase Briscoe had four top five finishes. 

Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. and Michael McDowell each won a race to make the playoffs, though they only finished with two top five finishes. Elliott and Gibbs will make significant playoff pushes in 2024. Bowman should also be in the picture. Briscoe has won before.

The door will remain open for a driver to win once and sneak in with an otherwise lackluster season, but I think the bar will be high to make the playoffs, and we will see that at the end of the season. 

3. William Byron will have fewer victories where he lead 20 laps or fewer
Byron won the most races in 2023. He had six victories. He also ended tied for the most top five finishes (18 with Kyle Larson) and Byron was the only driver to break 20 top ten finishes in 2023 (21 to be specific). 

However, if you take a closer look at Byron's victories, a few of those were fortunate. 

He won at Darlington in May after Martin Truex, Jr., Ross Chastain and Kyle Larson were all caught in late accidents. Byron won having led only seven laps. 

At Atlanta in July, he had only led 19 laps when rain ended the race, and those were the final 19 laps before weather ended the race. 

He won at Texas in September having led only the final six laps after a late restart after Kyle Larson spun out of the race battling Bubba Wallace in the late laps. 

Half of his victories saw him led 20 laps or fewer. Two of those saw him lead fewer than ten laps, and in each of those races he led he led none of the laps in the first 97% of the race. 

Byron might win six races again in 2024, but he isn't going to win three times like he did in 2023. He was set up to pounce when an opportunity opened, but you cannot always put yourself in that position. Even if you do, the breaks don't always go your way. 

4. 23XI Racing will win more Cup races but have fewer drivers in the final top ten championship standings
There is a world where Tyler Reddick wins twice, Bubba Wallace wins once but those drivers finish sixth and 11th in the championship. 

On paper, that season would be one more victory for 23XI than it had in 2023, which would look good, but Wallace losing a spot would look bad. Wallace only finished in the top ten by ten points over Martin Truex, Jr. in 2023.

The way the championship positions are decided in the playoffs is fluid. Once the playoffs start, the points matter less and once a driver is eliminated from the playoffs, we see teams fall off. Truex, Jr. was ranked in the top five of the championship after 17 of the 26 regular season races. At the end of the regular season, Truex was first, 47 points ahead of Denny Hamlin in second and 179 points ahead of Joey Logano in 11th. 

Yet, due to the resets and Truex's dip in results, he ended up 11th in the championship. Was he really the 11th best driver? No, but he wasn't 17th in 2022 either and that is where he was placed in the championship standings. Without the playoffs, Truex wouldn't have been champion this year, but he would have been fourth. 

With that said, 23XI could have another banner year, but the championship positions will not reflect that. Wallace should have won a race in 2023. I think he will in 2024. Reddick has a good chance of winning more in 2024. Each driver could win three times, but Reddick could end up 12th because results took a turn at the wrong time or Wallace could be boom or bust, winning three times but only having four top five finishes all season. 

As much as you think winning means everyone goes up, let's not forget, along with Truex, Joey Logano was not in the top ten of the championship. Kyle Busch was not in the top ten of the championship. Chase Elliott, Ty Gibbs and Alex Bowman didn't make the playoffs. There is a world where all six of those drivers are in the top ten in 2024. If they are in, somebody has to get moved out. 

5. Shane van Gisbergen's average finish across the three national NASCAR series will be greater than 15.5
The full Shane van Gisbergen experiment will begin in 2024. Van Gisbergen will be full-time in NASCAR's second division. It has already been announced van Gisbergen will run seven Cup races. Any Truck participation will be determined and announced at a later time. 

We already saw van Gisbergen win for Trackhouse and he will be competing for Kaulig Racing in the second division. He is in good cars, but ovals will still be new to him. Most of his races will be with Kaulig. In the Grand National Series, a Kaulig car should be a top 20 car at worse. You put the average driver in a Kaulig car and that car should still finish 20th. 

Van Gisbergen will have rough days, but there will be races where it clicks for him and he is closer to the top ten or in the top ten. There will be six road course races, which will help his average finish. A victory or two and four or five top five finishes on road courses will bring the average down, but van Gisbergen's numbers will reflect his inexperience. 

Consider that Chandler Smith and Daniel Hemric were Kaulig's full-time drivers in 2023. Smith's average finish was 15.6 and Hemric's was 13.5. We considered Smith's season respectable. I am not sure van Gisbergen can match that. 

If you factor in every race van Gisbergen runs across the three series in 2024, I think any stellar success on road courses will be balanced out with teething problems on ovals.

6. Ty Gibbs will get his first career Cup victory before the All-Star Race
This is as straight up of a prediction as you can get. Gibbs will win one of the first 13 races. He was getting better over the course of the season. All four of his top five finishes came in the final 15 races of the season. He had a few good races early in the season. With another season under his belt, driving for Joe Gibbs Racing, he is bound to win once. 

Why do I think he is going to win early? 

A hunch. Nothing more than that. 

Within those first 13 races you have Daytona, Atlanta and Talladega, three races where you just have to be at the right place at the right time. There is Austin, and Gibbs is good on road courses. He won at Las Vegas, Kansas, Richmond, Martinsville and Phoenix in NASCAR's second division and all five of those tracks host one of the first 13 races. 

If he is going to win, I think he is going to win early and lock up a playoff spot. 

7. Both Legacy Motor Club entries finish in the top 25 of the owners' championship
The first year of the rebranded Legacy Motor Club was rather dismal. 

Erik Jones was 27th in the championship. Jones had one top five finish and seven top ten finishes. His average finish was 20.4. 

Before being fired, Noah Gragson had an average finish of 28.2 in 21 races. Gragson was outside the top 30 in eight of those races and outside the top 25 in 14 races. He had two top 20 finishes!

In the 15 other races for the #42 Chevrolet, things were a little better. The average finish was 24.733 and it had five top 20 finishes. 

Why should we think 2024 will be better?

Legacy is switching to Toyota. Instead of being at best the sixth best Chevrolet team, it will now be one of the top three Toyota teams. Of the six full-time Toyota entries in 2023, four made the playoffs. All six made the top 18 in the championship. 

Switching manufacturers isn't going to just flip fortune, but the lineup is set up for improvement. Jones has experience with Toyota, and in his previous two seasons with this organization he was 24th and 18th in the championship. John Hunter Nemechek will be the new full-time driver in the #42 Toyota, and he has found new confidence in the last few years driving for Toyota in the lower two divisions.

We are not looking for a massive swing upward. The cars ending up 24th and 25th will be good enough. 

8. The Iowa Cup winner will have won there previously in one of NASCAR's other national series
Iowa is finally getting a Cup race. After years of being neglected and ignored, NASCAR is doing the right thing and running a Cup race there. 

It has been a few seasons since any NASCAR national series has gone to the 0.875-mile oval, but plenty of drivers have experience there, whether it be in the second division or Trucks. Many of those drivers have even won at Iowa. 

Of the 14 drivers to win at Iowa in NASCAR's second division, ten will likely be in the Cup race in June. Those drivers are Brad Keselowski, Kyle Busch, Ricky Stenhouse, Jr., Ryan Blaney, Erik Jones, Chris Buescher, William Byron, Ryan Preece, Christopher Bell and Chase Briscoe. 

Throw in Austin Dillon and John Hunter Nemechek and about a third of the tentative Cup grid at Iowa has won there already. 

Give me the those drivers against the field. 

Why? 

Why not?

Don't get me wrong. The field is pretty good: Kyle Larson, Chase Elliott, Denny Hamlin, Martin Truex, Jr., Joey Logano, Ross Chastain, Tyler Reddick, Bubba Wallace, Alex Bowman, Ty Gibbs. 

I don't think Iowa experience will matter one way or another. Iowa's worn surface will likely favor those who run well at Darlington, a place Larson, Hamlin and Truex have had success at. 

It is a tossup, but I will go with the drivers who have won there before.

9. The driver that wins the most races in NASCAR's second division wins the championship
This is more due to the absurdity that the champion in NASCAR's second division has not been the driver to win the most races since Kyle Busch in 2009. The last time the Grand National Series champion had the most race victories and wasn't a full-time Cup driver was Martin Truex, Jr. in 2005.

There was that long period of Cup driver dominance, that continued even when Cup drivers were made championship ineligible, but for most of the playoff era, the Grand National Series has shifted to being about the full-time drivers in the series. We don't see Cup drivers moonlighting and taking 25 victories from 33 races. In 2023, championship ineligible drivers combined for six victories, 27 of 33 races went to the regulars. 

And still, the driver with the most victories didn't win the championship! 

It is bound to end. It will end in 2024.

10. This will be the season with the most race winners qualifying for the playoff in NASCAR's second division
For the second consecutive year, the Grand National Series has a deep field of drivers. This isn't the case of there being nine really good teams and drivers and then three guys who combine for three top five finishes and ten top ten finishes have to fill the final three spots. There are about 16 drivers with legitimate playoff aspirations and only 12 playoff spots. 

Since the adoption of playoffs in 2016, the most drivers to qualify for the playoffs on race victories is eight. It happened the last two seasons. 

I think we are going to see at least nine drivers win in the regular season and earn a playoff spot that way, and it could be higher. I am not sure it will be 12-for-12, but ten sounds practical as well. 

Consider any of the four JR Motorsports drivers can win a race (Justin Allgaier, Sam Mayer, Sammy Smith and Brandon Jones). Then you have the defending champion (Cole Custer) and his Stewart-Haas Racing teammate, who ended 2023 on a strong note (Riley Herbst). Austin Hill has a knack for winning and Richard Childress Racing does well in this series, which should boost the confidence of its newest driver (Jesse Love).

Sheldon Creed has had a tough two seasons at this level, but he is now at Joe Gibbs Racing, and the equipment is proven. Chandler Smith has already won in this series and is moving to Gibbs. 

Then you have A.J. Allmendinger and Shane van Gisbergen at Kaulig Racing. Both will likely win one road course race. Jeb Burton can win at Talladega or Atlanta. Burton's Jordan Anderson Racing teammate Parker Retzlaff showed some promise last year. Parker Kligerman had a few close calls in 2023, and it would not be surprising if he won in 2024. Josh Williams is a question mark, but he will be at Kaulig.

That is 16 drivers and not factoring in Jeremy Clements just won at Daytona in 2022, Ryan Sieg has been hanging around the periphery for a victory for a few seasons, and there could be another five drivers that could steal a win at Daytona or Talladega. 

It is hard to make an argument there will not be nine or ten winners in the regular season.

11. Drivers with a first name beginning with the letter "C" will combine to win fewer than ten Truck races
Goofy prediction!

Last season, drivers with a first name beginning with the letter "C" combined to win 11 races.

Christian Eckes and Carson Hocevar each won four times and Corey Heim won three times. 

Hocevar is moving to the Cup Series. That is three victories gone. Eckes and/or Heim could win more. Chase Purdy will be full-time with Spire Motorsports, which takes over the Kyle Busch Motorsports operation, but I think it will be lower. 

ThorSport has four capable drivers in Ben Rhodes, Ty Majeski, Matt Crafton and Jake Garcia. None of those first names begin with the letter "C." Layne Riggs is finally full-time with Front Row Racing. Nick Sanchez is due for a victory or two. Grant Enfinger will still be out there. 

I don't sense any one driver will dominate the Truck Series in 2024. Heim had a really good season, but I don't see him winning six times and then Eckes winning three and Purdy winning twice. I don't see any of those three drivers winning eight times and the other two combining to win at least twice. 

This is a little more unusual of a prediction. We will have to wait and see.

12. Each Chicago race will complete at least 95% of the scheduled distances but neither will exceed 110% of the scheduled distances.
It will be remembered fondly, but the inaugural Chicago event had the disappointment that the Grand National Series race did not even reach halfway and the Cup race was shortened due to darkness mid-race. It cannot be called a smashing success, but there was definitely some joyous relief that the Cup race was at least respectable when the weekend is over. 

A historic rainstorm picked the wrong weekend to circle over the Windy City. That will likely not happen two consecutive years for NASCAR. The 2024 weekend should be pleasant. The weather should be favorable with each race getting in, no delays and no abbreviations. Each race should get to full distance.

However, I am leaving this one open and also putting a restriction on it. Each race will at least complete 95% of the scheduled laps, but neither will exceed 110%. That means there will not be a crazy overtime situation. 

For the Grand National Series, the race is scheduled for 50 laps. That means at least 48 laps will be completed, but it will not go beyond 55 laps. The Cup race has already been shortened for 2024 to 75 laps. We are going to see at least 72 laps completed, but the Cup race will not go beyond 82 laps. 

We need good weather and everyone to be on their best behavior in the closing laps to get this one correct. 

One set of predictions down, four more to come next week, and keep an eye out for a Christmas list in the coming days. 




Monday, December 18, 2023

2023 For the Love of Indy Awards

There were plenty of historic moments in motorsports in 2023. Records were shattered. We saw achievements for the first time in decades. There were standout races and racers from all around the globe. New formats were adopted and new places were visited. There were tears for those that came short, and cheers for those clutching silverware. It was a complete year with plenty of reasons to celebrate what happened over the last 12 months. 

We close another year recognizing the best that made up this motorsport season, from those competing to the races themselves. There are many moments that standout in our heads from this year and we will do our best to capture what was the best of the 2023 season.

Racer of the Year
Description: Given to the best racer over the course of 2023.
And the Nominees are:
Ritomo Miyata
Max Verstappen
Jett Lawrence
Ben Keating
Álex Palou

And the winner is... Max Verstappen
Max Verstappen had already made a fair amount of history in 2022. Off a second consecutive championship, one that was convincing and left little doubt who the best driver was that season, it was going to be difficult to follow that up with something better.

Verstappen did just that. He didn't just put 2022 to shame, he made us forget about it entirely. The Dutchman's 2023 season was historic beyond belief. 

Everyone knew Red Bull would be the team to beat. I don't think anyone thought Red Bull would be this untouchable. The manufacturer won 21 of 22 races, but Verstappen was the clear top dog in the team, winning 19 times, a record. He won ten consecutive races, every race from Miami in May to Italy in September, another record. He was only a few days away from a perfect summer when he finished fifth in Singapore. 

It wasn't just the victories, but the way he was winning. He left the field in his dust most of the time. 

11.987 seconds in Bahrain. 
27.921 seconds in Monaco.
24.090 seconds in Barcelona.
33.731 seconds in Hungary.
22.305 seconds in Spa-Francorchamps. 
19.387 seconds in Suzuka. 
10.073 seconds in Austin.
13.875 seconds in Mexico City.
17.993 seconds in Abu Dhabi. 

Nearly half of his victories were by more than ten seconds! At one point, he led 248 consecutive laps from lap 48 in Miami through lap 24 in Austria, nearly two full months later. It is the third longest streak in Formula One history. Verstappen led 1,003 laps total in 2023. He led 75.70% of the laps run this season. Both are records. Verstappen started on pole position 12 times this season and won all 12 times. Again, another record. 

It will be hard to look back and find a more flawless season in Formula One history. Verstappen never finished worse than fifth. He was on the podium in 21 of 22 races, another record. 

At no point did Verstappen step over the line. At no point did a mistake cost him precious seconds or a position or, more importantly, a victory. While a fair number attempt to discredit his ability and boil it down to just the race car, Verstappen makes it hard to ignore the driver. He has shown us an incredible ability to stomp the competition. While he was gone, the rest of the field was close. Teammate Sergio Pérez found himself among Mercedes, Ferrari, Aston Martin and McLaren more times than not. The Red Bull was an incredible car, but only Verstappen could extract its highest potential. 

Verstappen might not be the most lovable personality, but he comfortably expressed himself throughout the season as a race car driver, unafraid to voice dissatisfaction with course selection as more street courses going the schedule, nor when questioning the existence of sprint weekends. He might not be the most sociably driver, but Verstappen does have a passion for racing, and he believes it is the most important part of Formula One. 

I would hate to say we will never see this again, but knowing Verstappen and Red Bull, it feels unlikely their dominance will vanish in 2024. For all the records broken in 2022 and then broken again in 2023, Verstappen is poised for another staggering run in 2024, and no one would be surprised if Verstappen ended up surpassing himself. At the moment, he looks like the only person who possibly could. 

On the other nominees:
Miyata had a breakout year in Japan. In Super Formula, he picked up his first career victory, but better than that he won twice and never finished worse than fifth in a race. With 114.5 points to his name, Miyata claimed the champion, the first title for a Team TOM'S driver since Nick Cassidy in 2019. In Super GT, Miyata and co-driver Sho Tsuboi won three races, including the final two events, claiming the GT500 title with 89 points. Miyata became the fifth driver to win the Super Formula and Super GT championships in the same year. Now, he will be off to Formula Two, competing with Carlin in 2024, while also running in the European Le Mans Series. 

Lawrence has been an outstanding motocross rider for the last few years now, but 2023 saw the Australian move from the 250cc class to the 450cc class. After winning the 250 West Supercross championship with six victories and an average finish of 1.44, Lawrence swept the 2023 AMA Motocross 450 season, winning all 22 races, the third rider to ever go undefeated in a season, and he did it in his rookie year. He closed out the season taking the inaugural SuperMotocross 450 championship. At 20 years old, he has already made a place for himself in history, and there is still a long time to go.

Gentlemen drivers are not thrown into the mix as ever being the best, but Keating has stood out as one of the best amateur drivers in the world today. Keating returned to the FIA World Endurance Championship to defend his GTE-Am championship, but this time driving a Corvette instead of an Aston Martin. In IMSA, Keating drove full-time in an LMP2 entry. In WEC, Keating with co-drivers Nicky Catsburg and Nicolás Varrone won the championship with two races to spare. The trio won three races, including the 24 Hours of Le Mans, Keating's second consecutive victory in the event. In IMSA, Keating and PR1/Mathiasen Motorsports co-driver Paul-Loup Chatin won once and finished no worse than fourth over the six championship races, taking the LMP2 championship. 

Despite it appearing his IndyCar career would be heading elsewhere in 2024, Palou put together one of the most dominant championship performances the series has seen since reunification. The Spaniard went on a tear, opening the season with nine top five finishes in the first ten races, including four victories, three of which were on the spin from June into July. With a worst finish of eighth, Palou was able to claim the championship in style, winning in Portland and clinching the trophy with a race to spare. Palou ended with the lowest average finish for a champion since reunification, and he will continue onward with Chip Ganassi Racing into 2024 and beyond. 

Past Winners
2012: Kyle Larson
2013: Marc Márquez
2014: Marc Márquez
2015: Nick Tandy
2016: Shane van Gisbergen
2017: Brendon Hartley
2018: Scott Dixon
2019: Marc Márquez
2020: Lewis Hamilton
2021: Kyle Larson
2022: Max Verstappen

Race of the Year
Description: Best Race of 2023.
And the Nominees are:
Dakar Rally - Bike Class
Portland ePrix
12 Hours of Sebring
Singapore Grand Prix
World Superbike at Portimão, Race Two

And the winner is... 12 Hours of Sebring
This year's 12 Hours of Sebring could not get anymore chaotic. All five of the classes were close for majority of the race. In the final hour, at least four of the five were nail-bitters. 

For the overall victory, every manufacturer was in the mix. For most of the race, it was Acura and Cadillac trading the lead, with the #01 Chip Ganassi Racing Cadillac and the #60 Meyer Shank Racing Acura being the main players. Wayne Taylor Racing got in the mix with the #10 Acura, and then #01 Cadillac retired due to a mechanical issue. As the sun started to set, the Germans arrived on the season. Both Porsches and the #25 BMW led the race.

Late cautions bunched the field, and it set up for a wild dash to the finish. Mathieu Jaminet and Filipe Albuquerque came together heading into turn three while battling for the lead. Albuquerque slid through the inside of the corner and hit Jaminet again. As those two cars came to a halt, the #7 Porsche of Felipe Nasr had nowhere to go and hit Albuquerque, taking out the third-place runner as well. 

This allowed Pipo Derani to inherit the lead with only minutes remaining in the #31 Whelen Engineering Racing Cadillac. The only other car on the lead lap was the #25 BMW, but the BMW could not match the Cadillac, and Derani along with Alexander Sims and Jack Aitken took the victory. 

That would normally be enough, but in LMP2, Tower Motorsport overcame an accident halfway through the race to win the class with Scott McLaughlin holding off Mikkel Jensen and Paul-Loup Chatin in the final hour. 

In LMP3, the class leading #30 Jr. III Racing Ligier-Nissan of Garett Grist hit some debris, damaging the car and allowing Riley Motorsports with Gar Robinson, Felipe Fraga and Josh Burdon to take the victory. 

In GTD Pro, six cars from six different manufacturers were on the lead lap. Pfaff Motorsports held over the VasserSullivan Lexus with the WeatherTech Racing Mercedes-AMG in third. Iron Lynx brought a Lamborghini in fourth ahead of the factory Corvette and the Risi Competizione Ferrari. 

BMW went 1-2 in GTD with Paul Miller Racing ahead of Turner Motorsport as the top ten in the pro-am class finished on the lead lap. 

For 12 hours, some of sports cars and motorsports best drivers slugged it out and when it got to the finish, nearly nothing separated any of them. It forced drivers into errors and left many wondering what could have been if it was for one or two different decisions. For 12 hours, you could not look away from this race, and it did not disappoint. 

On the other nominees:
One of the most grueling races in the world, the Dakar Rally separates the weak from the strong. This year in the bike class, the strong were many. Halfway through the rally, less than eight minutes covered the top eight riders. The class lead had already changed four times in the first eight stages. In the second half of the race, it became a three-way battle between Skylar Howes, Kevin Benavides and Toby Price. The class lead changed four more times over the final six stages, with Benavides overcoming a 12-second deficit in the final stage to win the Dakar Rally over Price and Howes.

For the first time in the United States, Formula E raced on a permanent circuit, the 1.967-mile Portland International Raceway, famous for its IndyCar racing. The track produced the liveliest Formula E race to date. Due to the nature of the circuit, and lack of opportunities for regeneration, drivers looked to remain in the draft, and not in the lead. A total of 403 passes took place, an average of 12.6 a lap, as drivers kept cycling through positions. It was about positioning for the final run to the line. Nick Cassidy ended up winning from tenth on the grid ahead of Jake Dennis and António Félix da Costa. Mitch Evans went from 20th to fourth, Sébastien Buemi from 16th to fifth. The top ten points finishers were covered by 4.3 seconds. Different from every previous Formula E race, this one had everyone in contention for the entire 32-lap affair. 

It was the one race Red Bull got wrong, and it opened the door for an intense battle between Ferrari, McLaren and Mercedes at Singapore. Carlos Sainz, Jr. led from pole position, but he had Lando Norris and teammate Charles Leclerc keeping him honest. The Mercedes went for the two-stop strategy, going to the medium tire compounding, allow George Russell and Lewis Hamilton to carve their way forward. The Mercedes drivers were up to third and fourth, but Sainz, Jr. backed up Norris to slow the Mercedes drivers' progress with fresher rubber while putting Norris within DRS range and canceling out the benefit to the Mercedes drivers. On the final lap, the top four were all within two seconds. Russell brushed the entering turn ten, allowing Hamilton to slide up to third, but Sainz, Jr.'s driving was enough to hold off Norris for the victory. 

It was a two-man race in the World Superbike Championship in 2023, but they put on a few shows for us, most notably, the capper to the Portimão weekend. Toprak Razgatlioglu was on pole position and hoping to take some points out of the gap to Álvaro Bautista before heading to the final round at Jerez. Razgatlioglu started on pole position and led the first four laps, but he could not shake Bautista. The Spaniard took the lead on lap five and led the next five circuits. Over the final 11 laps of the race, neither rider led more than two consecutive laps and the lead changed seven times. Bautista went on to beat Razgatlioglu to the checkered flag by 0.126 seconds, Bautsita's fifth sweep of the weekend and one that added some cushion to his championship lead.

Past Winners
2012: Indianapolis 500
2013: British motorcycle Grand Prix
2014: Bathurst 1000
2015: Australian motorcycle Grand Prix
2016: Spanish Grand Prix
2017: All the races at the World Superbike/World Supersport weekend at Phillip Island
2018: Petit Le Mans
2019: Honda 200 at Mid-Ohio Sports Car Course
2020: Turkish Grand Prix
2021: Monaco ePrix
2022: British Grand Prix

Achievement of the Year
Description: Best success by a driver, team, manufacture, etc.
And the Nominees are:
Max Verstappen breaking the record for highest winning percentage in a Formula One season
Every manufacturer in IMSA's GTP class winning in the first year of the class
Jett Lawrence's Perfect Motocross Season
The NASCAR Garage 56 Effort
Revival of North Wilkesboro Speedway

And the winner is... Max Verstappen breaking the record for highest winning percentage in a Formula One Season
There were many records we could have chosen this year from Verstappen and Red Bull Racing, but this one stands out because of its longevity. It almost felt unreachable. 

With 19 victories from 22 races, Verstappen ended the year having won 86.363% of the Formula One races this season. That didn't just break a record, it shattered the previous mark, and one that stood since the early days of Formula One. 

In 1952, Alberto Ascari won six of eight races, a 75% winning percentage. For 71 years, that record stood, and looked a little unobtainable. Plenty of great drivers had come since Ascari and fallen short. 

Jim Clark. Jackie Stewart. Alain Prost. Ayrton Senna. Michael Schumacher. Sebastian Vettel. Lewis Hamilton. 

They all had great seasons, some had expectations that they would break Ascari's record and fallen short. It almost felt like 75% was just too much to beat. Then Verstappen and Red Bull put together the most dominant season in Formula One history. 

Verstappen didn't just eek over the line with 17 victories, earning him 77.27% and the lowest victory total possible to get the record in 2023. Verstappen crushed the record. He went over 11% better than Ascari's mark. He bypassed the 80% club and started the 85% club. He had a winning streak of ten races and a winning streak of seven races in the same season! 

If Ascari's mark looked untouchable, Verstappen's record is as distant as the stars in Orion's Belt. It will take something truly remarkable to beat Verstappen's 86.363%. It appears like the only thing that will beat it is perfection.

On the other nominees:
It was a banner year for IMSA, as its GTP class debuted and provided close competition across all four manufacturers. It was not a one-make runaway in year one. A few manufacturers struggled, but they all worked through the issues. Each became competitive, and all four won. At one point, each won once in a four-race stretch. There were many reservations about this season, and there could have been a lot of work to do before year two, but IMSA and the manufacturers (Acura, Cadillac, Porsche and BMW), could not have started on a better note.

Perfect season. No defeats. Only victories. That is what Jett Lawrence accomplished in the 450cc AMA Motocross season, and it was his rookie season! Lawrence had mastered the 250cc machinery. He was ready for the next step, and he showed how talented he is at such a young age. The moment was not to grand for him, and the veteran competition did not spook Lawrence. A perfect rookie season does not leave many places for him to go, but it suggests we will see more great things to come. 

Announced in March 2022, the Garage 56 effort for the 100th anniversary 24 Hours of Le Mans would be an adapted NASCAR Cup car. There was much interest in this effort. A NASCAR stock car had competed at Le Mans before, but it was almost 50 years removed, and the current generation of vehicle differs greatly. Under Hendrick Motorsports operation, the NASCAR Garage 56 effort modified the Chevrolet Camaro body style used in the Cup Series to maximize aerodynamics and mechanical grip on the eight-plus mile Circuit de la Sarthe. Weighing 525 pounds less than a normal Cup car, the Garage 56 effort ended up qualifying over 4.5 seconds faster than the GTE-Am pole-winning Corvette. With Jimmie Johnson, Jenson Button and Mike Rockenfeller, the car ran toward the front of the GTE-Am class the entire race until a gearbox issue put it in the garage for an extended period. It was able to return to the circuit and completed 285 laps.

North Wilkesboro Speedway was left for dead after the last NASCAR Cup race there in 1996. With races moving to Texas Motor Speedway and New Hampshire International Raceway, North Wilkesboro was shuttered and slowly was grown over. Nothing was torn down, but Mother Nature did her work, collapsing ceilings and snapping bleacher seating. Weeds grew through the surface. For nearly 30 years, the track was left to die. However, in 2022, after receiving funding from the state of North Carolina, North Wilkesboro began a renovation projection that led to an announcement to bring the NASCAR All-Star Race to the facility in May 2023. After months of work, NASCAR returned to a North Wilkesboro that looked brand new and yet still possessed a charm of yesterday. Arguably the hottest ticket of the NASCAR season, each night of All-Star weekend was full, and they even got to see some racing despite some rain. It appears after being left for dead, North Wilkesboro has a long, second life ahead of it on the NASCAR calendar. 

Past Winners
2012: DeltaWing
2013: Sebastian Vettel for winning nine consecutive races on his way to a fourth consecutive title
2014: Marc Márquez: Setting the record for most wins in a premier class season.
2015: Justin Wilson Memorial Family Auction
2016: Jimmie Johnson for his seventh NASCAR Cup championship
2017: Jonathan Rea: For becoming the first rider to win three consecutive World Superbike championships.
2018: Robert Wickens for winning IndyCar Rookie of the Year despite missing the final three races.
2019: Joe Gibbs Racing setting single-season record for most Cup victories by a in NASCAR's modern-era.
2020: Donald Davidson for 55 years of service to the Indianapolis Motor Speedway and the Indianapolis 500
2021: Team WRT's championship success across multiple series and disciplines
2022: Max Verstappen achieving the most grand prix victories in a single season

Moment of the Year
Description: The Most Memorable Moment in the World of Racing during the 2023 season.
And the Nominees are:
Ferrari wins the 24 Hours of Le Mans
Robert Wickens with the IMSA Michelin Pilot Challenge TCR Class championship with Harry Gottsacker
Kyle Kirkwood's tire flying over the catchfence at the Indianapolis 500
Shane van Gisbergen winning the NASCAR Cup race at the Chicago street course
Jack Harvey making the Indianapolis 500

And the winner is... Shane van Gisbergen winning the NASCAR Cup race at the Chicago street course.
NASCAR's first street race in its modern era was not off to a dream start. Heavy rainstorms washed out half of Saturday's action and significantly delayed the proceedings on Sunday. Many were worried about what would happen if the rain did not let up to allow for competition on Sunday. 

There was a break in the weather, and NASCAR was able to get the Cup race started. One of the drivers competing, making his Cup debut, was Shane van Gisbergen. The Supercars champion made a highly anticipated cameo with Trackhouse's Project 91 effort meant to bring international drivers to NASCAR. While van Gisbergen had only had a brief shakedown of the car at Charlotte, many were curious to see how the New Zealander would do, as the current generation Cup car shared more similarities with a Supercars machine than any ever before. Van Gisbergen's had a wealth of street course experience while a street course was foreign to nearly every other driver competing in Chicago. 

Van Gisbergen topped the Saturday practice session and was third in qualifying. He kept the car pointing in the correct direction at the start of the race in wet conditions. However, van Gisbergen was coming to life as the track dried out. He did suffer a setback when he made his pit stop at the end of the second stage and NASCAR announced the race would be shortened to 75 laps from the scheduled 100 laps to do pending darkness. With 26 laps remaining, van Gisbergen restarted in the middle of the field, but he went to work. 

In 16 laps, van Gisbergen drove up to third. He clearly had more speed than the leader Justin Haley and Chase Eliott in second. A caution for Martin Truex, Jr. getting into the tires erased the deficit, but van Gisbergen didn't need the help. With the disadvantage gone, van Gisbergen took no time taking the lead in turn two. 

A few more late incidents set up a green-white-checkered finish, a prime moment for van Gisbergen to lose the race due to another driver's tactics, but van Gisbergen was untouchable. He drove away from the field in the final two laps and became the first debutant winner in the NASCAR Cup Series since Johnny Rutherford in 1963. 

It was one of the greatest performances in NASCAR history. Van Gisbergen had tremendous pace in a car he had little time driving, and he found a way to be blindingly quicker than the competition, especially in the back-half of the circuit from turn seven through turn 11. His turned everybody's head, and even had Max Verstappen left in awe. 

On one July Sunday evening, the motorsports world was left astonished when a highly respected talent went out and won in a different discipline against unknown competition. It was a humbling moment on one end, but a defining moment on the other.

On the other nominees:
Ferrari is the most recognizable automobile company in the world. Nearly 60 years had passed since its most recent Le Mans victory, and in the 100th anniversary 24 Hours of Le Mans, the Italian manufacturer was back looking to recreate past Le Mans glory. The Ferrari 499P had the pace, but had the tried-and-true Toyota to battle, which had won five consecutive years at Le Mans. At the end of 24 hours, the #51 Ferrari of James Calado, Alessandro Pier Guidi and Antonio Giovinazzi was on top, a historic result for a monumental race. 

There were plenty reasons to celebrate in 2022 with the return of Robert Wickens to full-time competition nearly four years after his spinal injury. In the IMSA's Michelin Pilot Challenge series' TCR class, Wickens won two races and showed competitive speed on a regular basis. What did Wickens do for an encore? He won the TCR championship with Gottsacker. The duo did not win a race, but they finished runner-up in six of ten races with another third mixed in and the team's worst finish was sixth! It was another case of Wickens dazzling us and showing there is no limit to what is possible.

This year's Indianapolis 500 was an incredible race. It was open for any of about ten drivers to win, and in the closing laps, it felt like we were set up for a grandstand finish. There had been only two cautions in the first 184 laps, and the race was in a full sprint to the finish. Felix Rosenqvist was running in the top five when he brushed the barrier exiting turn one. It brought out a caution, but Rosenqvist was trying to keep the car straight. The Swede's Dallara broke loose into the path of Kyle Kirkwood. Kirkwood attempted to avoid Rosenqvist, and mostly did, only for Rosenqvist's car to catch the left rear tire of Kirkwood. The tire was sheared from the chassis and flew over the catchfence. For a brief moment, it felt like this was about to be the final Indianapolis 500, as we prepared to see a tragedy amongst the spectators. However, the greatest relief was finding out the tire went over the catchfence, but missed the grandstand and all it did was damage a car in the parking lot. No one was hurt. There was a great sigh of relief, but it was closer than anyone hoped for. 

There was much drama in Speedway, Indiana long before we even got to race day. With 34 entries, one car would miss the race, and the four cars relegated to the last row qualifying session on the final qualifying day were the #45 Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing Honda of Christian Lundgaard, the #51 Dale Coyne Racing Honda of Sting Ray Robb, the #30 RLLR Honda of Jack Harvey, and the #15 RLLR Honda of Graham Rahal. RLLR had its back against the wall with three of its four cars in this session, and it looked highly likely one of its cars would miss the race. Graham Rahal sat in the 33rd spot after the first run through while Jack Harvey was on the outside. Harvey made a second attempt late and did not have the speed to bump his way in. When he pulled into the pit lane, Harvey still had a few minutes left on the clock. After a quick adjustment, Harvey went back to the track in a desperation attempt. It worked. Harvey made the race with a four-lap average at 229.166 mph compared to Rahal's 229.159 mph. Harvey was joyous. Rahal was despondent. We were all left stunned.

Past Winners
2012: Alex Zanardi
2013: 24 Hours of Le Mans
2014: Post-race at the Charlotte and Texas Chase races.
2015: Matt Kenseth vs. Joey Logano
2016: Toyota Slows at Le Mans
2017: Fernando Alonso announcing his Indianapolis 500 ride
2018: Kyle Busch and Kyle Larson battle at Chicagoland
2019: Kyle Kaiser and Juncos Racing knocking out Fernando Alonso and McLaren and Penske Purchasing Hulman & Co.
2020: March 12-13
2021: The entire Formula One season
2022: Ross Chastain's final corner at Martinsville

Pass of the Year
Description: Best pass of 2023.
And the Nominees are:

And the winner is... António Félix da Costa on Jean-Éric Vergne in turn eight of the final lap of the Cape Town ePrix
This was the toughest category to select this year. All five nominees could have won. Da Costa's move stands out because of how close to disaster it could have been. 

In the closing laps of the Cape Town ePrix, da Costa was on the heels of Vergne. On the penultimate lap, da Costa had a run down the straightaway out of turn seven. However, turn eight was a slight and quick right-hander just prior to a quick correction to the left for turn nine. 

Da Costa went to the outside of turn eight and then squeezed his car ahead of Vergne on the inside of turn nine and made it stick on exit.

This could have been a gnarly accident if da Costa was a half-inch further to the left going through turn nine. Clipping the inside of the barrier takes him out and takes out Vergne. If da Costa was too quick on exit of turn nine, he likely would have slapped the outside barrier and Vergne would have taken the victory. Da Costa had to be pinpoint precise to make this move work. He was. 

There was another lap after da Costa made this pass. The opportunity presented itself for Vergne to duplicate the move da Costa had just pulled off. Vergne never took a chance attempting it, and da Costa was able to hang on for the victory.

On the other nominees:
The Barber IndyCar race might have been the best of the season, and for most of that race it was Romain Grosjean against Scott McLaughlin. After the final round of pit stops, McLaughlin leapfrogged ahead of Grosjean, but Grosjean had the preferred tire at the opening of the stint. Grosjean hounded McLaughlin. The Frenchman could not get to McLaughlin's inside in turn 13, but Grosjean backed off early in the corner to increase acceleration into turn 14. He got to McLaughlin's outside which allowed Grosjean to have the inside in to the 15th and final corner. Grosjean exited with the lead with such a daring move. Of course, McLaughlin had the tires over the long run and would overtake Grosjean and eventually win the race, but Grosjean gave it his all.

Unexpectedly, DeFrancesco qualified fifth for the second IndyCar race on the IMS road course. We have seen some quizzical qualifying performances before at that track, but Andretti Autosport also had a good track record at the circuit, so perhaps it should not have been a surprise. What was a surprise was the move DeFrancesco made at the start of the race. He settled back in fifth position, but approaching turn one, DeFrancesco went to the outside and kept up his speed. He passed three cars and was on Graham Rahal's outside on corner exit. DeFrancesco was able to get the power down before turn two and take the lead. It was incredible, something no one expected from DeFrancesco. Unfortunately, DeFrancesco must have used up everything to make that one pass because he soon started to fall down the order and ended up finishing 19th, one lap down, with no apparent issue with the car. 

The inaugural Las Vegas Grand Prix proved to be a spine-tingling race with cars able to make numerous overtakes down the fast straightaways. Leclerc had battled most of the race with Max Verstappen for the lead, but Red Bull had the power and the strategy to not only put Verstappen in first but placed Pérez in second in the closing stages. Verstappen pulled away but Leclerc was making a push for second on Pérez. Driving down the Las Vegas Strip toward turn 14 on the final lap, Leclerc had the DRS advantage on Pérez and took his chance. Leclerc braked later than imaginable and went up the inside of Pérez. The Ferrari stuck on exit and Leclerc had the spot. The Monegasque driver held off the counter move from Pérez on the run to the line and Leclerc dispatched the Red Bull 1-2. 

After 24 hours, the LMP2 class at Daytona saw the first two cars within touching distance. Ben Hanley had the #04 CrowdStrike Racing by APR Oreca-Gibson in front while James Allen chased in the #55 Proton Competition Oreca-Gibson. Exiting the chicane for the final time, Allen had the benefit of the draft, which was increased thanks to an LMP3 car also on the banking. Exiting the banking, momentum was on Allen's side as he picked up the tow off Hanley. Entering the tri-oval, Allen slipped to the outside and had enough speed to beat Hanley to the line by 0.016 seconds, the sixth closest finish in IMSA history. Talk about timed to perfection. 

Past Winners
2012: Simon Pagenaud at Baltimore
2013: Robert Wickens at Nürburgring and Peter Dempsey in the Freedom 100
2014: Ryan Blaney on Germán Quiroga
2015: Laurens Vanthoor from 4th to 2nd on the outside in the Bathurst 12 Hour
2016: Scott McLaughlin on Mark Winterbottom at Surfers Paradise
2017: Renger van der Zande: From second to first on Dane Cameron at Laguna Seca
2018: Alexander Rossi for all his passes in the Indianapolis 500
2019: Álex Rins on Marc Márquez in the final corner at Silverstone in the British motorcycle Grand Prix
2020: Pipo Derani on Ricky Taylor into turn one at Road Atlanta
2021: Shane van Gisbergen from fourth to second at Sandown
2022: Ross Chastain's final corner at Martinsville

The Eric Idle Award
Description: "When You're Chewing on Life's Gristle, Don't Grumble, Give a Whistle, And This'll Help Things Turn Out For The Best, and...  Always Look On The Bright Side of Life."
And the Nominees are:
Nyck de Vries
Eli Tomac
Robert Mau
Stefan Wilson
Chase Elliott

And the winner is... Eli Tomac
Eli Tomac was on the precipice of his third Supercross championship. With two races remaining in the season, Tomac had an 18-point lead over Chase Sexton in the championship and he had a chance to lock up the championship in his home race in Denver if he left with a 26-point lead. Even with a good day in Denver, Tomac could leave with at least a hand on the trophy heading to the Salt Lake City season finale. 

Denver's main event started out in Tomac's favor. He had an early lead while Sexton was running in third. However, three minutes into the race, Tomac pulled off course and rode straight to the medical truck. He ruptured his Achilles tendon, ending his race. Sexton ended up winning the Denver race, taking a seven-point championship lead and effectively winning the championship as his closest competitor, Tomac, was done for the season. 

Without the injury, Tomac likely takes the title in his backyard with a race to spare. Even if he had fallen behind Sexton in the Denver main event, he likely would have gone to the finale just needing to 12th or better, something he had easily done in every race prior to the penultimate round. This injury caused Tomac to miss the Motocross season and the inaugural SuperMotocross championship. He will return in 2024 and look to make up for the championship lost.

On the other nominees:
After scoring points on an unexpected Formula One debut in 2022, de Vries earned a call from AlphaTauri to be the full-time driver for 2023. If he could score points with Williams in a cameo, what could he do as a full-time AlphaTauri driver? Well... unfortunately, the 2019 Formula Two champion did not score any points. He was only unclassified in one of the first ten races. Teammate Yuki Tsunoda only had two points in that span, but AlphaTauri had seen enough, and de Vries was out of the rider before Formula One had even reached the summer break.

The name Robert Mau might sound familiar, but you cannot place where you heard it. Mau was the LMP3 driver that plowed into the back of the #6 Porsche while behind the safety car at the 12 Hours of Sebring. The #6 Porsche was able to be repaired and continue in the race, but it was a setback. On the other hand, Mau did not compete in another IMSA race in 2023.

Wilson cannot seem to have a peaceful experience at Indianapolis Motor Speedway. He famously sacrificed his seat in the 2017 Indianapolis 500 to allow Fernando Alonso to attempt in a fifth Andretti Autosport entry. After a two-year hiatus, he returned in 2021 with Andretti Autosport, only to have an accident entering the pit lane. In 2022, Wilson was the 33rd and final entry as there was a scramble to materialize a entry with DragonSpeed. The car didn't get on track until late in the week and the engine failed morning of qualifying, leaving Wilson as the default 33rd starter. How did 2023 go? Wilson qualified comfortably in 25th. Everything was looking fine until Monday practice when a collision between Katherine Legge and Wilson led to an accident in turn one. Wilson suffered a fractured vertebra and had to withdraw from the race. Can Wilson ever have a normal month of May?

It is not easy being the most popular driver in NASCAR. It is worse when you break your leg two days prior to the third race of the season in a snowboarding accident, which is what Elliott did, forcing him to miss six races. It happened early enough in the regular season that Elliott still had a good chance of making the playoffs either through victory or points. He returned and had good results, until he intentionally wrecked Denny Hamlin in the Coca-Cola 600, leading to a one-race suspension. Elliott was unable to win a race, nor could he amass enough points to make the playoffs. A consolation victory in the final ten races did not come either, and 2023 marks the low point for his still relatively young career. 

Past Winners
2012: Ben Spies
2013: Sam Hornish, Jr.
2014: Alexander Rossi
2015: McLaren
2016: Toyota
2017: Nick Heidfeld
2018: Brett Moffitt
2019: Dennis Lind
2020: Marc Márquez
2021: Liam Lawson
2022: Linus Lundqvist

Comeback of the Year
Description: The Best Comeback in the 2023 season.
And the Nominees are:
Eli Tomac in the Anaheim Supercross season opener
McLaren's 2023 Formula One Season
Enea Bastianini: From Injury to Victory
Tower Motorsports winning LMP2 at the 12 Hours of Sebring
Dani Pedrosa: Finishing seventh and fourth in two MotoGP races, five years removed from last competing full-time.

And the winner is... McLaren's 2023 Formula One Season
The 2023 season did not begin on a great note for McLaren. At the opening round in Bahrain, Oscar Piastri could not get out of the first round of qualifying and Lando Norris could not get through round two. Piastri retired and engine issues plagued Norris' race. McLaren continued to struggle for points. There were a few good races, but McLaren was not close to a competitive car. 

Through the first nine races, McLaren had one top five finish and had 29 points. McLaren was averaging 3.222 points per race and on pace for 70 points for the entire season. 

In the final 11 races, McLaren had seven runner-up finishes and nine total podium finishes. Piastri and Norris went 1-2 in the Qatar sprint race. After having one race in the first nine where both cars finished in the points, both McLaren drivers scored points in eight of the final 11 events. 

When the season was over, McLaren finished on 302 points and fourth in the constructors' championship, ahead of Aston Martin. McLaren went from averaging 3.222 points per race to 13.727 points per race. At its original pace, McLaren was looking at seventh in the constructors' championship. Instead, McLaren ended up with its highest points per race since the 2012 season.

On the other nominees:
Tomac had opened a respectable lead in the Anaheim season opener. However, on lap eight, he took a spill and dropped back to fifth, over eight seconds off the lead. Tomac clawed his way back and reclaimed the lead on lap 18. He held on to win the season opener despite being down in the dirt nearly halfway through the race. 

There were plenty of reasons for Bastianini to be excited before the start of this season. After winning multiple races with Gresini Racing, he moved to the factory Ducati outfit. However, his season was plagued with injuries, missing the first five races and then injuring himself on the initial start at Barcelona and forced to miss four more races. Many thought Ducati would move on from Bastianini, especially as Jorge Martín was putting up a championship fight. However, Bastianini ended his season with five points finishes in the final six grand prix, including a victory in Malaysia, and Bastianini will continue with Ducati for another season.

Halfway through the 12 Hours of Sebring, Tower Motorsports was done. Kyffin Simpson had a massive accident exiting turn one. However, Simpson was able to drive back to the pit lane and most of the damage was cosmetic. The Tower crew kept the car in the race and with John Farano and Scott McLaughlin and the #8 Oreca was back in the lead for the final hour. McLaughlin held off late challenges from Paul-Loup Chatin and Mikkel Jensen to win the LMP2 class and finish third overall. 

Pedrosa was once one of the best riders in MotoGP, but he stepped away from full-time competition after the 2018 season. Outside of a wild card appearance at the Red Bull Ring in 2021, Pedrosa had not seen much competition, but he returned as a wild card for the Spanish Grand Prix at Jerez. He qualified sixth, finished sixth in the sprint race and was seventh in the grand prix, only 6.371 seconds off the winner Francesco Bagnaia. Pedrosa returned for a second wild card appearance at Misano, and he finished fourth in both races that weekend, only a few weeks before his 38th birthday.

Past Winners
2013: Michael Shank Racing at the 24 Hours of Daytona
2014: Juan Pablo Montoya to IndyCar
2015: Kyle Busch
2016: Max Verstappen from 15th to 3rd in the final 18 laps in the wet in the Brazilian Grand Prix
2017: Kelvin van der Linde: From third to first after a botched pit stop in the final 20 minutes in the 24 Hours Nürburgring
2018: Billy Monger: Returning to racing after losing his legs and finishing sixth in the BRDC British Formula 3 Championship with four podium finishes and a pole position at Donington Park.
2019: MotoE: For getting to the grid after fire destroyed every motorcycle prior to the first round of the season
2020: The #7 Acura Team Penske: Coming from last in the championship to winning the IMSA DPi championship
2021: Kyle Busch's victory at Pocono
2022: Robert Wickens

Most Improved
Description: Racer, Team or Manufacture Who Improved The Most from 2022 to 2023.
And the Nominees are:
Jorge Martín: From ninth on 152 points to second on 428 points with four victories and eight sprint victories in MotoGP
Marco Bezzecchi: From 14th on 111 points to third on 329 points with three victories and a sprint victory in MotoGP
Chris Buescher: From 21st on 729 points with one victory to seventh with three victories in the NASCAR Cup Series
Nick Cassidy: From 11th on 68 points with one victory to second on 199 points with four victories in Formula E
Fermín Aldeguer: From 15th on 80 points to third on 212 points with five victories in Moto2

And the winner is... Jorge Martín
Through his first two MotoGP seasons, Martín had shown bursts of speed. As a rookie, he won a few pole positions and even won at the Red Bull Ring in a season where he missed four races due to injury. In his sophomore season, Martín again had mostly good days and scored a fair number of points, but of the eight Ducati riders, he finished fifth best of that group, and he was fourth best of the five riders on the 2022 bike. 

With Ducati's success in 2022, it was going to be a tough season for any Ducati rider to stand above the best in 2023, no matter which bike the rider was on. For Martín, he started slow with two retirements in the first three races, but took his consistency to a new level as the season went on. He scored five consecutive top five finishes for the first time in his career after his previous longest streak was two. His sprint race results lifted him up the championship as well.

Martín kept the pressure on Francesco Bagnaia as the season wore on, and it did not appear as if Martín would slip up. For a brief moment, in Indonesia, the championship lead was Martín's, but an accident saw the lead go back to Bagnaia. Martín stayed in the fight to the final round. A poor set of tires in Qatar forced himself to face an even greater uphill battle in Valencia. It may not have ended the way Martín had hoped, but even without a championship trophy, he earned greater respect and appreciate for his 2023 season.

On the other nominees:
Bezzecchi had a great sophomore season in MotoGP. He struggled to score points in sprint races, and that might have held him back in a championship push. But Bezzecchi was one of the most competitive riders for most of this season. He made an early push for the championship, and while it did not stick, he was one of the top three riders this season.

Buescher led a bounce back for RFK Racing in the NASCAR Cup Series this season. The turnaround started in late 2022 with a victory at Bristol, but it carried into 2023. Along with three victories, Buescher tripled his best season in top five finishes from three to nine. He had 17 top ten finishes, his most ever in a season. He had his best average finish in a season, 12.1, over five positions better than his previous best. It led to Buescher making the semifinal round and finishing seventh in the championship, the first top ten championship finish for the team since 2014.

Cassidy had some success in his first two Formula E season, but far from the lofty success he experience in Japan. Year three saw Cassidy make great strides. After scoring four podium finishes in his first two seasons, the New Zealander had eight podium finishes in 2023 alone. He was in the points in 12 of 16 races and he went to the final round with a chance at the championship, finishing second to Jake Dennis.

Aldeguer had some good moments, but had some rough moments in his first full season in Moto2 in 2022. In 2023, Aldeguer made incredible strides, and he ended on the highest notes. Victory and 11 points finishes in the first 13 races aside, Aldeguer ended with four consecutive victories and six consecutive podium finishes. In the final six races, he went from 11th on 88 points to third on 212 points.

Past Winners
2012: Esteban Guerrieri
2013: Marco Andretti
2014: Chaz Mostert
2015: Graham Rahal
2016: Simon Pagenaud
2017: DJR Team Penske
2018: Gary Paffett
2019: Cooper Webb
2020: Joan Mir
2021: Francesco Bagnaia
2022: Scott McLaughlin

And that will do it. What a tremendous year this was! While it felt like 2023 went a little quicker than previous years, 2024 will be here soon enough. Competition will begin shortly and soon another batch of spectacular memories will be made. There will be plenty of new things we will see as well as historic moments we will be grateful to witness. For now, let's enjoy this holiday season. 

Soon, we will be making predictions and handing out some Christmas presents.